George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#271
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#270
Pace70.5#129
Improvement+1.1#122

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#294
First Shot-3.7#282
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#244
Layup/Dunks+2.0#102
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#161
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#285
Freethrows-2.3#321
Improvement+3.1#29

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#222
First Shot-0.2#175
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#299
Layups/Dunks-3.9#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#167
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#35
Freethrows-0.7#246
Improvement-2.1#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 16.0 15.7
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.6% 3.3% 0.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 51.3% 27.4% 53.2%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Away) - 7.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 60 - 8
Quad 32 - 93 - 18
Quad 46 - 48 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 301   St. Francis (PA) W 75-72 67%     1 - 0 -7.6 -9.1 +1.2
  Nov 11, 2021 70   @ Maryland L 64-71 7%     1 - 1 +3.2 -6.4 +9.9
  Nov 13, 2021 247   @ UC San Diego L 55-75 35%     1 - 2 -22.1 -22.1 +1.3
  Nov 16, 2021 170   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 59-74 21%     1 - 3 -12.8 -11.1 -2.4
  Nov 19, 2021 262   Umass Lowell L 56-67 57%     1 - 4 -18.8 -21.8 +3.6
  Nov 22, 2021 206   Wright St. W 74-63 35%     2 - 4 +9.0 -1.8 +10.9
  Nov 23, 2021 164   Kent St. L 69-77 28%     2 - 5 -8.0 +4.9 -13.7
  Nov 24, 2021 77   Missouri St. L 54-72 11%     2 - 6 -10.8 -16.9 +5.9
  Dec 01, 2021 198   Boston University L 54-56 42%     2 - 7 -6.1 -15.3 +9.0
  Dec 04, 2021 195   @ Charlotte L 79-86 25%     2 - 8 -6.0 +1.2 -6.8
  Dec 08, 2021 302   Coppin St. W 75-62 67%     3 - 8 +2.3 -1.9 +4.1
  Dec 13, 2021 285   Radford W 67-58 64%     4 - 8 -0.7 -8.2 +7.7
  Jan 08, 2022 72   Dayton L 58-83 15%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -20.0 -12.0 -7.9
  Jan 11, 2022 75   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-84 8%     4 - 10 0 - 2 -17.1 -5.9 -10.4
  Jan 17, 2022 123   George Mason W 77-76 27%     5 - 10 1 - 2 +1.4 +6.6 -5.2
  Jan 19, 2022 157   @ Saint Joseph's L 61-72 20%     5 - 11 1 - 3 -8.1 -9.3 +1.1
  Jan 22, 2022 89   @ Rhode Island L 59-74 7%    
  Jan 26, 2022 71   @ Saint Louis L 62-78 6%    
  Jan 30, 2022 215   Fordham L 65-66 47%    
  Feb 02, 2022 226   La Salle L 69-70 50%    
  Feb 05, 2022 53   Davidson L 63-76 13%    
  Feb 09, 2022 154   @ Massachusetts L 72-81 18%    
  Feb 12, 2022 72   @ Dayton L 58-74 6%    
  Feb 16, 2022 190   @ Duquesne L 65-72 24%    
  Feb 19, 2022 89   Rhode Island L 62-72 19%    
  Feb 22, 2022 99   Richmond L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 27, 2022 123   @ George Mason L 63-74 13%    
  Mar 02, 2022 190   Duquesne L 68-70 44%    
  Mar 05, 2022 215   @ Fordham L 63-69 28%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 4 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.7 0.1 2.9 8th
9th 0.2 2.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.1 2.5 4.3 0.7 0.0 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 1.8 6.5 2.5 0.1 11.0 11th
12th 0.0 1.2 7.8 6.1 0.6 0.0 15.7 12th
13th 0.0 1.7 9.1 10.1 1.8 0.0 22.7 13th
14th 4.8 12.9 12.8 2.9 0.1 33.5 14th
Total 4.9 14.6 23.1 22.7 17.3 10.6 4.4 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.5% 0.5
8-10 1.9% 1.9
7-11 4.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.3
6-12 10.6% 10.6
5-13 17.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.3
4-14 22.7% 22.7
3-15 23.1% 23.1
2-16 14.6% 14.6
1-17 4.9% 4.9
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.9%