Long Beach St.
Big West
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#239
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#221
Pace77.4#21
Improvement+3.2#51

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#235
First Shot-2.5#260
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#157
Layup/Dunks-2.3#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#25
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#312
Freethrows+0.9#111
Improvement-0.8#232

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#232
First Shot-1.7#237
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#195
Layups/Dunks+7.1#8
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#337
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#352
Freethrows+0.9#119
Improvement+4.1#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 4.0% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 6.4% 11.1% 3.3%
.500 or above in Conference 22.0% 34.7% 13.5%
Conference Champion 2.1% 3.7% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 2.2% 8.5%
First Four1.9% 2.0% 1.8%
First Round2.4% 3.1% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC San Diego (Away) - 40.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 32 - 73 - 14
Quad 48 - 410 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 325   @ Idaho W 95-89 OT 65%     1 - 0 -2.1 -2.3 -0.9
  Nov 15, 2021 12   @ UCLA L 79-100 3%     1 - 1 -1.8 +5.6 -4.8
  Nov 17, 2021 128   Utah Valley L 78-84 OT 34%     1 - 2 -6.0 +0.5 -6.1
  Nov 22, 2021 77   Missouri St. L 66-92 14%     1 - 3 -18.8 -7.4 -10.6
  Nov 23, 2021 51   Murray St. L 43-80 11%     1 - 4 -27.7 -25.7 -2.3
  Nov 24, 2021 206   Wright St. W 85-76 41%     2 - 4 +7.0 -0.1 +6.2
  Nov 30, 2021 33   @ San Diego St. L 47-72 6%     2 - 5 -11.0 -16.6 +6.8
  Dec 04, 2021 131   Loyola Marymount L 74-77 35%     2 - 6 -3.2 +4.5 -7.8
  Dec 12, 2021 26   @ USC L 62-73 5%     2 - 7 +4.2 -1.0 +4.7
  Jan 06, 2022 12   @ UCLA L 78-96 3%     2 - 8 +1.2 +9.9 -7.7
  Jan 08, 2022 161   Hawaii L 67-72 43%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -7.3 -3.4 -4.3
  Jan 13, 2022 176   UC Santa Barbara W 65-58 46%     3 - 9 1 - 1 +3.9 -6.1 +10.5
  Jan 15, 2022 296   Cal St. Northridge W 71-55 72%     4 - 9 2 - 1 +5.6 -9.7 +14.3
  Jan 20, 2022 247   @ UC San Diego L 73-75 40%    
  Jan 22, 2022 110   UC Irvine L 66-72 31%    
  Jan 27, 2022 143   @ UC Riverside L 64-72 21%    
  Jan 29, 2022 208   @ UC Davis L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 03, 2022 228   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 05, 2022 300   Cal Poly W 72-66 75%    
  Feb 08, 2022 170   Cal St. Fullerton L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 11, 2022 161   @ Hawaii L 70-77 25%    
  Feb 17, 2022 296   @ Cal St. Northridge W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 19, 2022 176   @ UC Santa Barbara L 70-76 27%    
  Feb 24, 2022 247   UC San Diego W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 26, 2022 110   @ UC Irvine L 63-74 15%    
  Mar 03, 2022 208   UC Davis W 77-76 53%    
  Mar 05, 2022 143   UC Riverside L 67-70 42%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.5 3.0 2.9 0.6 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.3 3.6 4.8 1.4 0.0 10.2 4th
5th 0.2 3.3 7.0 2.3 0.1 13.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.8 7.7 3.6 0.2 14.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 7.3 5.1 0.4 0.0 15.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 6.1 5.4 0.9 0.0 14.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 4.0 5.0 1.1 0.0 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.7 0.9 0.0 6.2 10th
11th 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.5 11th
Total 0.2 1.2 4.1 8.8 14.1 16.9 17.4 15.2 10.9 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-6 98.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 62.1% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.1
12-8 26.5% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-9 2.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-10 0.1% 0.0    0.0
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.1% 23.1% 23.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.3% 14.2% 14.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-7 1.1% 10.8% 10.8% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
12-8 3.1% 10.5% 10.5% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.7
11-9 6.5% 7.1% 7.1% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 6.0
10-10 10.9% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.1 0.5 10.4
9-11 15.2% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7 14.6
8-12 17.4% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.5 16.8
7-13 16.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.4 16.5
6-14 14.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 14.0
5-15 8.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.8
4-16 4.1% 4.1
3-17 1.2% 1.2
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%