Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#131
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#135
Pace67.1#229
Improvement-0.3#192

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#143
First Shot+0.2#173
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#107
Layup/Dunks+4.5#33
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#341
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#203
Freethrows-0.1#189
Improvement-1.2#253

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#138
First Shot+1.3#134
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#175
Layups/Dunks-0.7#215
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#137
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#46
Freethrows-2.3#309
Improvement+0.9#134
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.5 13.8
.500 or above 35.8% 40.1% 15.0%
.500 or above in Conference 23.0% 26.4% 6.9%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 0.8% 10.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pepperdine (Home) - 82.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 6
Quad 22 - 43 - 10
Quad 33 - 46 - 14
Quad 47 - 113 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 100   Chattanooga L 64-75 48%     0 - 1 -8.2 -2.8 -6.6
  Nov 17, 2021 292   Arkansas Little Rock W 82-63 88%     1 - 1 +8.7 -3.8 +10.7
  Nov 21, 2021 42   Florida St. L 45-73 22%     1 - 2 -17.6 -21.9 +4.3
  Nov 22, 2021 63   SMU W 76-70 29%     2 - 2 +14.2 +15.8 -0.8
  Nov 27, 2021 303   Prairie View W 83-80 89%     3 - 2 -7.8 +1.2 -9.0
  Nov 29, 2021 96   Grand Canyon L 72-78 46%     3 - 3 -2.7 +4.3 -7.3
  Dec 04, 2021 239   @ Long Beach St. W 77-74 65%     4 - 3 +1.3 +7.0 -5.5
  Dec 07, 2021 121   @ Tulsa W 60-55 38%     5 - 3 +10.4 -7.2 +17.8
  Dec 11, 2021 93   New Mexico St. L 58-63 45%     5 - 4 -1.3 -14.9 +13.6
  Dec 18, 2021 116   @ Nevada L 63-68 36%     5 - 5 +1.1 -8.8 +10.1
  Dec 21, 2021 192   @ Bellarmine W 71-57 55%     6 - 5 +15.1 +6.1 +11.0
  Jan 13, 2022 39   @ San Francisco L 73-97 16%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -10.9 -1.1 -6.9
  Jan 15, 2022 172   @ San Diego L 65-70 51%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -2.9 +3.0 -6.5
  Jan 17, 2022 245   Portland W 70-58 81%     7 - 7 1 - 2 +4.9 -6.8 +11.7
  Jan 20, 2022 253   Pepperdine W 76-66 83%    
  Jan 22, 2022 38   St. Mary's L 59-65 31%    
  Jan 27, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 67-90 1%    
  Jan 29, 2022 172   San Diego W 68-63 71%    
  Feb 03, 2022 95   @ Santa Clara L 71-77 28%    
  Feb 05, 2022 38   @ St. Mary's L 57-68 15%    
  Feb 10, 2022 29   BYU L 65-72 26%    
  Feb 12, 2022 245   @ Portland W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 17, 2022 95   Santa Clara L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 19, 2022 260   @ Pacific W 69-64 66%    
  Feb 24, 2022 29   @ BYU L 63-75 12%    
  Feb 26, 2022 260   Pacific W 71-61 83%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 6 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 0.2 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.1 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.6 3.8 0.2 8.0 4th
5th 0.8 6.1 7.6 0.9 15.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 9.6 11.9 2.3 0.0 25.3 6th
7th 0.0 2.3 11.9 12.5 3.1 0.1 29.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 5.7 4.6 0.7 0.0 12.3 8th
9th 0.4 2.0 1.3 0.1 3.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.8 10th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.4 9.3 18.1 23.6 21.5 13.9 6.6 2.1 0.4 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 30.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.1% 19.4% 9.7% 9.7% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.7%
11-5 0.4% 2.9% 1.5% 1.5% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5%
10-6 2.1% 2.3% 2.2% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1 0.1%
9-7 6.6% 1.3% 1.1% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.5 0.2%
8-8 13.9% 0.7% 0.7% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.8
7-9 21.5% 0.2% 0.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.5
6-10 23.6% 0.2% 0.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 23.6
5-11 18.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 18.1
4-12 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.3
3-13 3.4% 3.4
2-14 0.9% 0.9
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16
Total 100% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%