Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#95
Expected Predictive Rating+5.3#98
Pace75.3#45
Improvement-5.1#352

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#62
First Shot+7.3#20
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#335
Layup/Dunks+7.3#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#165
Freethrows+0.7#123
Improvement-4.6#353

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#129
First Shot+2.5#94
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#267
Layups/Dunks-1.3#230
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#312
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#87
Freethrows+3.3#7
Improvement-0.5#207
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 8.2% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.1% 6.0% 1.0%
Average Seed 11.1 10.8 11.4
.500 or above 95.7% 99.3% 94.6%
.500 or above in Conference 74.1% 90.0% 69.5%
Conference Champion 9.1% 20.5% 5.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four1.2% 3.0% 0.7%
First Round2.9% 6.6% 1.8%
Second Round0.8% 2.0% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Mary's (Away) - 22.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 6
Quad 23 - 44 - 10
Quad 35 - 39 - 13
Quad 410 - 120 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 170   Cal St. Fullerton W 84-77 79%     1 - 0 +4.2 +12.7 -8.1
  Nov 12, 2021 76   Stanford W 88-72 54%     2 - 0 +20.9 +15.9 +4.5
  Nov 16, 2021 116   Nevada W 96-74 68%     3 - 0 +23.1 +14.1 +6.9
  Nov 19, 2021 300   Cal Poly W 87-57 93%     4 - 0 +19.4 +9.9 +9.5
  Nov 22, 2021 57   TCU W 85-66 39%     5 - 0 +27.6 +19.1 +8.6
  Nov 24, 2021 78   Fresno St. L 52-59 45%     5 - 1 +0.2 -8.0 +7.2
  Nov 27, 2021 110   UC Irvine L 64-69 66%     5 - 2 -3.2 -1.8 -1.6
  Nov 30, 2021 161   Hawaii W 70-58 78%     6 - 2 +9.7 -5.3 +14.9
  Dec 04, 2021 82   Louisiana Tech L 75-78 55%     6 - 3 +1.6 +4.7 -3.2
  Dec 07, 2021 282   Mount St. Mary's W 88-77 92%     7 - 3 +1.5 +9.7 -8.6
  Dec 11, 2021 107   @ California L 60-72 46%     7 - 4 -5.1 -7.4 +2.3
  Dec 14, 2021 54   @ Boise St. L 60-72 29%     7 - 5 -0.4 -4.4 +4.0
  Dec 17, 2021 320   Florida A&M W 80-66 95%     8 - 5 +1.4 +2.3 -1.0
  Dec 19, 2021 178   Montana W 79-64 80%     9 - 5 +11.9 +2.8 +8.7
  Dec 21, 2021 287   @ San Jose St. W 79-57 84%     10 - 5 +17.3 -0.8 +17.2
  Jan 12, 2022 260   @ Pacific W 84-70 79%     11 - 5 1 - 0 +11.3 +12.0 -0.6
  Jan 15, 2022 1   Gonzaga L 83-115 10%     11 - 6 1 - 1 -11.9 -2.1 -2.5
  Jan 20, 2022 38   @ St. Mary's L 64-71 23%    
  Jan 24, 2022 172   San Diego W 75-66 81%    
  Jan 27, 2022 29   BYU L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 29, 2022 39   @ San Francisco L 71-78 24%    
  Jan 31, 2022 260   Pacific W 78-64 90%    
  Feb 03, 2022 131   Loyola Marymount W 77-71 72%    
  Feb 05, 2022 172   @ San Diego W 73-69 62%    
  Feb 08, 2022 38   St. Mary's L 66-68 43%    
  Feb 12, 2022 39   San Francisco L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 14, 2022 245   @ Portland W 80-72 76%    
  Feb 17, 2022 131   @ Loyola Marymount W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 19, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 76-95 4%    
  Feb 24, 2022 253   @ Pepperdine W 81-73 76%    
  Feb 26, 2022 245   Portland W 83-70 89%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 3.0 4.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.1 1st
2nd 0.3 4.4 6.3 0.4 0.0 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 5.6 10.0 1.7 17.9 3rd
4th 0.4 5.9 12.2 2.1 0.0 20.7 4th
5th 0.4 5.3 10.2 3.1 0.0 19.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.4 6.8 2.1 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 3.4 1.1 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 1.0 3.2 7.7 13.7 18.7 21.3 16.8 11.0 4.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-3 99.6% 1.4    1.3 0.1
12-4 91.2% 4.3    1.6 2.3 0.4
11-5 27.0% 3.0    0.2 1.2 1.2 0.3
10-6 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.1% 9.1 3.3 3.7 1.7 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 77.9% 12.6% 65.3% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 74.7%
13-3 1.4% 49.7% 4.6% 45.1% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 47.3%
12-4 4.7% 20.3% 5.0% 15.3% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.8 16.1%
11-5 11.0% 7.2% 3.0% 4.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 10.2 4.3%
10-6 16.8% 2.9% 2.3% 0.6% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 16.3 0.6%
9-7 21.3% 1.3% 1.1% 0.2% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 21.0 0.2%
8-8 18.7% 0.8% 0.8% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 18.6
7-9 13.7% 0.5% 0.5% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.7
6-10 7.7% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 7.6
5-11 3.2% 0.4% 0.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 3.2
4-12 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.0
3-13 0.2% 0.2
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.6% 1.5% 2.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.4 2.1%