Pacific
West Coast
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#260
Expected Predictive Rating-11.6#327
Pace66.0#265
Improvement-1.6#250

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#290
First Shot-3.1#272
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#275
Layup/Dunks-0.8#199
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#169
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#247
Freethrows-0.4#205
Improvement+0.5#147

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#198
First Shot-4.6#316
After Offensive Rebounds+3.7#6
Layups/Dunks+2.6#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#308
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.7#355
Freethrows+2.4#31
Improvement-2.2#299
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.0% 2.0% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 37.3% 25.1% 46.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Home) - 43.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 31 - 82 - 15
Quad 45 - 57 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 209   Northern Colorado L 65-67 39%     0 - 1 -4.2 -11.1 +6.9
  Nov 13, 2021 161   @ Hawaii L 61-73 23%     0 - 2 -9.3 -11.0 +1.5
  Nov 19, 2021 168   UTEP L 64-73 40%     0 - 3 -11.6 -7.9 -3.7
  Nov 22, 2021 350   Chicago St. W 74-58 86%     1 - 3 -1.0 -4.7 +3.9
  Nov 26, 2021 356   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 74-50 93%     2 - 3 +2.4 -2.5 +7.4
  Dec 01, 2021 208   @ UC Davis L 57-63 29%     2 - 4 -5.6 -10.6 +4.4
  Dec 04, 2021 170   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 57-66 24%     2 - 5 -6.8 -14.4 +7.4
  Dec 11, 2021 287   @ San Jose St. L 66-78 48%     2 - 6 -16.7 -13.1 -3.2
  Dec 14, 2021 176   UC Santa Barbara W 80-71 OT 42%     3 - 6 +5.9 +4.0 +1.9
  Dec 17, 2021 188   North Dakota St. L 61-73 44%     3 - 7 -15.6 -15.5 +0.1
  Dec 19, 2021 208   UC Davis L 67-77 48%     3 - 8 -14.7 -5.5 -9.7
  Dec 22, 2021 107   @ California L 53-73 13%     3 - 9 -13.1 -8.9 -6.3
  Jan 06, 2022 29   @ BYU L 51-73 4%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -7.3 -12.0 +4.0
  Jan 12, 2022 95   Santa Clara L 70-84 21%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -10.6 -2.3 -8.4
  Jan 22, 2022 172   San Diego L 62-64 43%    
  Jan 27, 2022 245   @ Portland L 67-70 37%    
  Jan 29, 2022 29   BYU L 59-74 9%    
  Jan 31, 2022 95   @ Santa Clara L 64-78 10%    
  Feb 05, 2022 253   @ Pepperdine L 67-70 38%    
  Feb 10, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 61-91 0.2%   
  Feb 12, 2022 172   @ San Diego L 60-67 23%    
  Feb 15, 2022 39   San Francisco L 60-73 12%    
  Feb 17, 2022 253   Pepperdine W 70-68 60%    
  Feb 19, 2022 131   Loyola Marymount L 64-69 34%    
  Feb 24, 2022 245   Portland W 69-67 58%    
  Feb 26, 2022 131   @ Loyola Marymount L 61-71 17%    
Projected Record 6 - 20 3 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 2.8 1.6 0.1 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.9 6.2 3.4 0.4 11.9 7th
8th 0.2 5.8 12.9 6.4 0.6 0.0 26.0 8th
9th 0.9 9.6 15.5 5.6 0.3 0.0 32.0 9th
10th 2.5 8.9 8.8 2.4 0.1 22.7 10th
Total 2.5 9.8 18.6 23.7 20.5 13.8 7.0 3.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0% 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.2
8-8 0.7% 0.7
7-9 3.0% 3.0
6-10 7.0% 7.0
5-11 13.8% 13.8
4-12 20.5% 20.5
3-13 23.7% 23.7
2-14 18.6% 18.6
1-15 9.8% 9.8
0-16 2.5% 2.5
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.1%