Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#303
Expected Predictive Rating-14.1#338
Pace78.1#13
Improvement-1.6#245

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#255
First Shot-2.9#268
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#177
Layup/Dunks+0.0#166
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#182
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#289
Freethrows+1.0#94
Improvement-2.1#296

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#327
First Shot-3.0#277
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#337
Layups/Dunks+1.5#127
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#34
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#205
Freethrows-6.1#358
Improvement+0.5#155
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 7.0% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.6% 3.3% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 59.0% 66.8% 36.8%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.4% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 1.4%
First Four6.1% 6.9% 3.7%
First Round2.9% 3.3% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama St. (Home) - 74.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 20 - 30 - 10
Quad 30 - 10 - 11
Quad 49 - 79 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 38   @ St. Mary's L 68-87 3%     0 - 1 -5.8 +5.8 -11.6
  Nov 11, 2021 39   @ San Francisco L 76-92 3%     0 - 2 -2.9 +4.2 -5.7
  Nov 13, 2021 24   Michigan L 49-77 4%     0 - 3 -15.2 -21.1 +7.2
  Nov 14, 2021 46   @ Oklahoma St. L 59-72 4%     0 - 4 -0.5 -8.4 +9.0
  Nov 15, 2021 14   @ Texas Tech L 49-84 2%     0 - 5 -17.1 -13.0 -3.1
  Nov 17, 2021 96   @ Grand Canyon L 64-91 7%     0 - 6 -18.6 -2.7 -16.8
  Nov 27, 2021 131   @ Loyola Marymount L 80-83 11%     0 - 7 +1.9 +7.5 -5.5
  Nov 30, 2021 98   @ South Dakota St. L 90-99 7%     0 - 8 -0.7 +5.3 -5.0
  Dec 10, 2021 54   @ Boise St. L 60-97 4%     0 - 9 -25.4 -12.7 -7.5
  Dec 22, 2021 87   @ Wichita St. L 66-102 6%     0 - 10 -26.9 -6.3 -16.9
  Jan 08, 2022 357   Mississippi Valley L 82-84 OT 92%     0 - 11 0 - 1 -26.0 -19.0 -6.6
  Jan 10, 2022 356   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 75-58 89%     1 - 11 1 - 1 -4.6 -10.9 +5.9
  Jan 15, 2022 268   @ Jackson St. L 63-74 31%     1 - 12 1 - 2 -14.2 +1.5 -17.2
  Jan 17, 2022 277   @ Alcorn St. W 74-73 34%     2 - 12 2 - 2 -3.1 +0.9 -4.0
  Jan 22, 2022 339   Alabama St. W 80-74 74%    
  Jan 24, 2022 334   Alabama A&M W 73-67 72%    
  Jan 29, 2022 204   Texas Southern L 72-76 38%    
  Feb 05, 2022 348   @ Bethune-Cookman W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 07, 2022 320   @ Florida A&M L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 12, 2022 240   Southern L 77-79 46%    
  Feb 14, 2022 322   Grambling St. W 80-75 68%    
  Feb 19, 2022 356   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-72 76%    
  Feb 19, 2022 357   @ Mississippi Valley W 87-76 83%    
  Feb 26, 2022 277   Alcorn St. W 76-75 55%    
  Feb 28, 2022 268   Jackson St. L 68-69 52%    
  Mar 05, 2022 204   @ Texas Southern L 69-78 19%    
Projected Record 9 - 17 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.3 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 2.4 0.8 0.0 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 4.0 2.4 0.1 7.2 3rd
4th 0.3 4.5 5.5 0.5 10.9 4th
5th 0.2 3.9 8.3 1.7 0.0 14.1 5th
6th 0.1 2.6 9.7 4.2 0.2 16.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 7.8 5.8 0.4 15.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 5.9 6.4 0.8 0.0 14.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.6 4.4 0.9 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.1 0.5 0.0 4.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.9 6.9 12.2 17.8 20.6 18.1 12.2 6.0 1.9 0.3 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 89.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1
13-5 53.4% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1
12-6 8.7% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.3% 30.0% 30.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2
13-5 1.9% 19.9% 19.9% 16.0 0.4 1.6
12-6 6.0% 13.6% 13.6% 16.0 0.8 5.2
11-7 12.2% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 1.3 10.8
10-8 18.1% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 1.5 16.6
9-9 20.6% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 1.1 19.4
8-10 17.8% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.7 17.1
7-11 12.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 12.0
6-12 6.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.9
5-13 2.9% 2.9
4-14 0.9% 0.9
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.1 93.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 15.9 11.8 88.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%