Pepperdine
West Coast
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#253
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#287
Pace75.7#42
Improvement-1.3#232

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#277
First Shot-3.2#274
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#225
Layup/Dunks-5.9#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#12
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#209
Freethrows-1.7#297
Improvement-1.7#277

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#205
First Shot-1.3#219
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#155
Layups/Dunks-3.1#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#121
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#148
Freethrows-0.1#201
Improvement+0.4#162
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 65.2% 43.7% 69.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Marymount (Away) - 17.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 8
Quad 20 - 60 - 14
Quad 31 - 71 - 21
Quad 46 - 38 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 167   @ Rice L 63-82 24%     0 - 1 -16.6 -15.5 +0.1
  Nov 12, 2021 336   Idaho St. W 65-60 81%     1 - 1 -9.1 -13.7 +4.5
  Nov 15, 2021 128   Utah Valley L 74-86 OT 32%     1 - 2 -12.0 -3.5 -7.8
  Nov 17, 2021 208   UC Davis W 72-67 49%     2 - 2 +0.3 -5.0 +5.3
  Nov 20, 2021 110   @ UC Irvine L 48-82 14%     2 - 3 -27.2 -15.4 -13.8
  Nov 22, 2021 78   Fresno St. L 63-70 13%     2 - 4 +0.2 +0.8 -1.2
  Nov 24, 2021 57   TCU L 64-73 11%     2 - 5 -0.4 +2.4 -3.4
  Nov 27, 2021 96   Grand Canyon L 56-59 22%     2 - 6 +0.3 -13.4 +13.7
  Nov 30, 2021 116   @ Nevada L 66-79 15%     2 - 7 -6.9 -10.3 +4.6
  Dec 03, 2021 176   @ UC Santa Barbara L 74-86 26%     2 - 8 -10.1 +1.7 -11.8
  Dec 06, 2021 287   San Jose St. W 82-69 68%     3 - 8 +3.3 -1.4 +4.0
  Dec 11, 2021 339   Alabama St. W 79-62 82%     4 - 8 +2.3 -2.3 +4.1
  Dec 18, 2021 316   Southeast Missouri St. W 83-77 75%     5 - 8 -5.8 -6.4 +0.0
  Dec 21, 2021 40   @ Oregon L 59-68 6%     5 - 9 +4.1 -12.3 +16.8
  Jan 08, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 83-117 1%     5 - 10 0 - 1 -8.9 +0.9 -2.2
  Jan 10, 2022 172   San Diego L 62-72 42%     5 - 11 0 - 2 -12.9 -15.2 +3.2
  Jan 13, 2022 38   St. Mary's L 62-77 11%     5 - 12 0 - 3 -6.8 +1.2 -9.0
  Jan 15, 2022 245   Portland L 63-82 58%     5 - 13 0 - 4 -26.1 -17.5 -7.4
  Jan 20, 2022 131   @ Loyola Marymount L 66-76 17%    
  Jan 22, 2022 39   San Francisco L 66-79 12%    
  Jan 27, 2022 172   @ San Diego L 64-71 24%    
  Jan 29, 2022 38   @ St. Mary's L 56-74 4%    
  Feb 03, 2022 1   Gonzaga L 70-95 1%    
  Feb 05, 2022 260   Pacific W 70-67 62%    
  Feb 10, 2022 39   @ San Francisco L 63-81 4%    
  Feb 12, 2022 29   BYU L 64-79 10%    
  Feb 17, 2022 260   @ Pacific L 68-70 40%    
  Feb 19, 2022 245   @ Portland L 72-75 38%    
  Feb 24, 2022 95   Santa Clara L 73-81 24%    
  Feb 26, 2022 29   @ BYU L 62-82 3%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 2 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 1.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 2.2 0.7 0.0 4.1 7th
8th 0.3 4.6 7.6 2.5 0.2 15.2 8th
9th 1.2 12.1 15.1 4.0 0.2 32.6 9th
10th 7.2 19.3 16.5 3.8 0.2 46.9 10th
Total 7.2 20.4 28.8 23.5 12.9 5.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0% 0.0
8-8 0.0% 0.0
7-9 0.3% 0.3
6-10 1.6% 1.6
5-11 5.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.2
4-12 12.9% 12.9
3-13 23.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.5
2-14 28.8% 28.8
1-15 20.4% 20.4
0-16 7.2% 7.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.0%