Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#290
Expected Predictive Rating-11.5#326
Pace71.0#117
Improvement-2.3#279

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#307
First Shot-4.7#312
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#189
Layup/Dunks+2.1#99
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#315
Freethrows-3.7#352
Improvement-1.3#260

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#260
First Shot-3.7#296
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#97
Layups/Dunks-3.0#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#156
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#289
Freethrows+1.4#87
Improvement-1.1#242
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 25.1% 35.3% 11.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 2.0% 7.9%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Home) - 57.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 30 - 41 - 12
Quad 48 - 99 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 41   @ Memphis L 65-89 4%     0 - 1 -10.9 -2.1 -8.5
  Nov 16, 2021 100   @ Chattanooga L 62-69 8%     0 - 2 +0.8 +0.9 -1.2
  Nov 18, 2021 249   UNC Asheville L 55-61 39%     0 - 3 -10.7 -24.4 +14.1
  Nov 23, 2021 280   Lipscomb W 88-77 57%     1 - 3 +1.6 +6.1 -4.6
  Nov 26, 2021 15   @ Tennessee L 69-80 2%     1 - 4 +6.1 +7.7 -1.7
  Nov 30, 2021 100   Chattanooga L 65-82 16%     1 - 5 -14.2 -7.4 -7.2
  Dec 04, 2021 270   @ Evansville L 51-59 34%     1 - 6 -11.5 -19.2 +7.3
  Dec 08, 2021 312   @ Western Carolina L 69-74 OT 44%     1 - 7 -11.2 -13.5 +2.7
  Dec 11, 2021 189   Troy L 72-75 36%     1 - 8 -6.8 -2.3 -4.4
  Dec 18, 2021 206   @ Wright St. L 63-72 22%     1 - 9 -8.5 -15.2 +7.2
  Dec 21, 2021 74   @ Cincinnati L 75-86 6%     1 - 10 -1.1 +1.2 -1.1
  Jan 13, 2022 62   @ Belmont L 77-92 5%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -4.2 +2.4 -5.4
  Jan 15, 2022 324   @ Tennessee Martin W 76-70 51%     2 - 11 1 - 1 -2.0 -5.9 +3.6
  Jan 17, 2022 308   @ Tennessee St. L 64-80 43%     2 - 12 1 - 2 -21.9 -11.8 -10.4
  Jan 20, 2022 273   SIU Edwardsville W 70-69 57%    
  Jan 24, 2022 51   @ Murray St. L 60-79 3%    
  Jan 27, 2022 51   Murray St. L 62-76 10%    
  Jan 29, 2022 314   Austin Peay W 72-68 65%    
  Jan 31, 2022 145   Morehead St. L 64-70 30%    
  Feb 03, 2022 145   @ Morehead St. L 62-73 14%    
  Feb 05, 2022 62   Belmont L 67-80 12%    
  Feb 07, 2022 352   Eastern Illinois W 69-59 84%    
  Feb 10, 2022 352   @ Eastern Illinois W 67-62 68%    
  Feb 12, 2022 273   @ SIU Edwardsville L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 17, 2022 316   Southeast Missouri St. W 80-76 67%    
  Feb 19, 2022 314   @ Austin Peay L 69-70 43%    
  Feb 24, 2022 308   Tennessee St. W 74-71 64%    
  Feb 26, 2022 324   Tennessee Martin W 75-70 70%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.7 5.1 9.1 6.0 2.1 0.3 23.2 4th
5th 0.6 6.7 10.7 4.4 0.7 0.0 23.1 5th
6th 0.2 4.8 9.8 3.1 0.2 18.1 6th
7th 0.1 2.8 8.3 2.8 0.1 14.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.6 3.2 0.2 10.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.3 2.3 0.2 6.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.7 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.8 5.4 11.0 17.1 20.2 19.1 13.8 7.4 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 30.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 6.0% 6.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7
11-7 3.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.0
10-8 7.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.3
9-9 13.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.8
8-10 19.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 19.1
7-11 20.2% 20.2
6-12 17.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.1
5-13 11.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.0
4-14 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
3-15 1.8% 1.8
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%