Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.5#352
Expected Predictive Rating-21.7#353
Pace66.1#262
Improvement+1.5#106

Offense
Total Offense-12.0#358
First Shot-7.8#348
After Offensive Rebound-4.2#354
Layup/Dunks-2.4#274
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#159
Freethrows-3.1#343
Improvement+0.6#141

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#288
First Shot-1.0#207
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#339
Layups/Dunks-3.0#285
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#231
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#175
Freethrows+2.1#52
Improvement+0.9#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.4% 5.1% 0.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 74.8% 42.9% 75.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Murray St. (Away) - 0.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 30 - 40 - 12
Quad 43 - 143 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 59   @ Northwestern L 56-80 2%     0 - 1 -13.0 -13.8 +1.3
  Nov 12, 2021 71   @ Saint Louis L 44-86 2%     0 - 2 -31.8 -23.9 -7.7
  Nov 15, 2021 333   Central Michigan L 61-62 44%     0 - 3 -14.9 -20.8 +6.0
  Nov 22, 2021 216   @ Eastern Kentucky L 43-82 8%     0 - 4 -39.0 -34.8 +0.0
  Nov 24, 2021 255   Albany L 62-64 16%     0 - 5 -7.0 -6.1 -1.0
  Nov 28, 2021 270   Evansville L 54-70 25%     0 - 6 -24.5 -16.7 -9.2
  Dec 01, 2021 295   @ Northern Illinois L 45-55 17%     0 - 7 -15.4 -23.6 +7.5
  Dec 07, 2021 126   @ Missouri L 44-72 4%     0 - 8 -22.9 -22.2 -2.8
  Dec 11, 2021 118   @ Butler L 54-66 3%     0 - 9 -6.0 -7.5 +0.1
  Dec 18, 2021 213   @ Western Illinois L 54-71 8%     0 - 10 -16.8 -17.7 +0.2
  Dec 21, 2021 242   @ Ball St. L 55-75 11%     0 - 11 -22.0 -16.7 -6.5
  Dec 29, 2021 145   @ Morehead St. L 50-63 5%     0 - 12 0 - 1 -9.4 -12.2 +0.5
  Jan 13, 2022 273   SIU Edwardsville L 53-66 26%     0 - 13 0 - 2 -21.9 -20.6 -1.8
  Jan 17, 2022 51   Murray St. L 46-72 3%     0 - 14 0 - 3 -19.2 -19.8 -1.9
  Jan 20, 2022 51   @ Murray St. L 50-77 1%    
  Jan 22, 2022 316   Southeast Missouri St. L 69-73 38%    
  Jan 24, 2022 62   Belmont L 57-78 3%    
  Jan 27, 2022 324   @ Tennessee Martin L 62-70 23%    
  Jan 29, 2022 308   Tennessee St. L 64-69 35%    
  Feb 03, 2022 273   @ SIU Edwardsville L 58-70 13%    
  Feb 05, 2022 316   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 67-76 20%    
  Feb 07, 2022 290   @ Tennessee Tech L 59-69 16%    
  Feb 10, 2022 290   Tennessee Tech L 62-67 32%    
  Feb 12, 2022 324   Tennessee Martin L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 14, 2022 314   @ Austin Peay L 60-69 18%    
  Feb 17, 2022 62   @ Belmont L 55-81 1%    
  Feb 19, 2022 308   @ Tennessee St. L 62-72 17%    
  Feb 24, 2022 145   Morehead St. L 55-69 11%    
  Feb 26, 2022 314   Austin Peay L 62-66 36%    
Projected Record 3 - 26 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.9 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.2 2.4 2.6 0.3 0.0 5.4 7th
8th 0.2 3.0 5.3 0.8 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 6.4 9.5 2.5 0.1 19.5 9th
10th 5.4 13.6 20.6 15.9 4.7 0.1 60.3 10th
Total 5.4 13.6 21.7 22.5 17.2 10.5 5.6 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.3% 0.3
8-10 0.8% 0.8
7-11 2.3% 2.3
6-12 5.6% 5.6
5-13 10.5% 10.5
4-14 17.2% 17.2
3-15 22.5% 22.5
2-16 21.7% 21.7
1-17 13.6% 13.6
0-18 5.4% 5.4
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.4%