Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#136
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#121
Pace73.6#52
Improvement+4.4#30

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#80
First Shot+4.6#57
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#223
Layup/Dunks-1.4#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#320
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.9#12
Freethrows+0.8#115
Improvement+3.9#25

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#241
First Shot-1.5#225
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#245
Layups/Dunks+2.4#92
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#174
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#218
Freethrows-3.3#345
Improvement+0.5#156
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.5% 35.5% 30.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.6 14.0
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round34.5% 35.5% 30.4%
Second Round2.7% 2.9% 2.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Montana St. (Home) - 81.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 35 - 25 - 9
Quad 413 - 219 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 47   @ Utah L 66-101 15%     0 - 1 -22.1 -8.6 -9.5
  Nov 10, 2023 71   @ Mississippi L 64-75 21%     0 - 2 -0.4 -7.4 +7.2
  Nov 12, 2023 43   @ Cincinnati L 73-85 14%     0 - 3 +1.5 +2.9 -0.6
  Nov 17, 2023 101   @ Stanford L 70-95 29%     0 - 4 -17.3 -5.3 -10.1
  Nov 27, 2023 37   @ Washington St. L 72-82 13%     0 - 5 +4.0 +10.7 -7.2
  Nov 29, 2023 97   @ USC L 78-106 26%     0 - 6 -19.4 +6.4 -24.6
  Dec 09, 2023 238   @ Air Force W 73-68 61%     1 - 6 +3.9 -0.2 +4.3
  Dec 18, 2023 335   @ Cal Poly W 62-53 85%     2 - 6 +0.0 -5.6 +6.6
  Dec 21, 2023 57   @ Washington L 66-73 17%     2 - 7 +4.9 -5.9 +11.1
  Dec 28, 2023 250   Portland St. W 91-57 81%     3 - 7 1 - 0 +26.8 +14.0 +11.8
  Dec 30, 2023 320   Sacramento St. W 87-61 90%     4 - 7 2 - 0 +13.8 +10.5 +3.8
  Jan 03, 2024 310   @ South Dakota W 93-79 76%     5 - 7 +8.4 +16.2 -7.6
  Jan 06, 2024 256   North Dakota St. W 91-83 81%     6 - 7 +0.6 +22.0 -20.7
  Jan 13, 2024 311   @ Idaho W 79-58 76%     7 - 7 3 - 0 +15.4 +3.6 +11.8
  Jan 18, 2024 155   @ Weber St. W 80-78 44%     8 - 7 4 - 0 +5.4 +7.9 -2.5
  Jan 20, 2024 260   @ Idaho St. W 79-67 66%     9 - 7 5 - 0 +9.7 +8.5 +1.8
  Jan 25, 2024 202   Northern Colorado W 77-74 75%     10 - 7 6 - 0 -2.1 -2.8 +0.7
  Jan 27, 2024 299   Northern Arizona W 85-70 87%     11 - 7 7 - 0 +4.8 +5.8 -1.3
  Feb 01, 2024 252   @ Montana St. L 60-70 64%     11 - 8 7 - 1 -11.9 -13.8 +2.2
  Feb 03, 2024 165   @ Montana W 78-65 47%     12 - 8 8 - 1 +15.6 +6.4 +9.9
  Feb 05, 2024 250   @ Portland St. W 90-77 64%     13 - 8 9 - 1 +11.2 +4.4 +4.8
  Feb 10, 2024 311   Idaho W 87-79 88%     14 - 8 10 - 1 -3.0 +13.9 -16.5
  Feb 15, 2024 260   Idaho St. W 88-82 82%     15 - 8 11 - 1 -1.7 +14.4 -15.8
  Feb 17, 2024 155   Weber St. L 84-90 65%     15 - 9 11 - 2 -8.0 +7.8 -15.7
  Feb 22, 2024 299   @ Northern Arizona L 71-78 74%     15 - 10 11 - 3 -11.8 -2.8 -9.1
  Feb 24, 2024 202   @ Northern Colorado W 85-76 56%     16 - 10 12 - 3 +9.3 +8.3 +0.9
  Feb 29, 2024 165   Montana W 89-79 68%     17 - 10 13 - 3 +7.2 +15.1 -7.4
  Mar 02, 2024 252   Montana St. W 81-72 81%    
  Mar 04, 2024 320   @ Sacramento St. W 76-67 78%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 15 - 3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 4.3 31.8 63.9 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 4.3 31.8 63.9 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 63.9    63.9
14-4 100.0% 31.8    31.8
13-5 100.0% 4.3    4.3
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 63.9% 36.4% 36.4% 13.6 0.0 0.9 9.7 11.4 1.3 0.0 40.6
14-4 31.8% 31.6% 31.6% 13.9 0.0 0.1 2.5 5.9 1.5 0.0 21.8
13-5 4.3% 27.3% 27.3% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 3.1
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 34.5% 34.5% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 1.0 12.3 17.9 3.2 0.0 65.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 63.9% 36.4% 13.6 0.0 1.4 15.2 17.8 2.1 0.0
Lose Out 4.3% 27.3% 14.3 0.0 2.0 14.5 10.5 0.3