Washington St.
Pac-12
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.2#62
Expected Predictive Rating+9.5#57
Pace63.9#317
Improvement-1.2#269

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#64
First Shot+3.2#88
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#103
Layup/Dunks+9.3#9
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#285
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#247
Freethrows-2.1#297
Improvement-1.6#309

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#73
First Shot+2.2#101
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#85
Layups/Dunks+1.6#119
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#230
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#70
Freethrows-2.3#299
Improvement+0.4#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.2% 1.3% 0.6%
Top 6 Seed 4.1% 4.4% 1.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.9% 27.6% 12.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 22.5% 24.2% 9.4%
Average Seed 9.0 8.9 9.6
.500 or above 83.5% 85.9% 64.5%
.500 or above in Conference 50.9% 52.7% 36.4%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.0% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 3.8% 6.2%
First Four6.3% 6.7% 3.3%
First Round22.6% 24.2% 10.1%
Second Round11.1% 12.0% 4.4%
Sweet Sixteen3.5% 3.7% 1.9%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.4% 0.4%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Riverside (Home) - 88.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 7
Quad 24 - 46 - 11
Quad 36 - 112 - 12
Quad 47 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 335   Idaho W 84-59 97%     1 - 0 +10.6 +6.7 +4.9
  Nov 10, 2023 248   Prairie View W 83-65 92%     2 - 0 +10.5 +7.6 +2.6
  Nov 18, 2023 27   Mississippi St. L 64-76 34%     2 - 1 +0.6 +2.2 -1.7
  Nov 19, 2023 173   Rhode Island W 78-57 80%     3 - 1 +20.5 +9.7 +12.3
  Nov 24, 2023 218   Utah Tech W 93-53 89%     4 - 1 +34.6 +31.5 +4.2
  Nov 27, 2023 217   Eastern Washington W 82-72 89%     5 - 1 +4.6 +8.4 -3.2
  Dec 02, 2023 161   Portland St. W 71-61 85%     6 - 1 +7.1 -2.5 +9.6
  Dec 06, 2023 195   UC Riverside W 75-62 89%    
  Dec 10, 2023 329   Grambling St. W 77-56 98%    
  Dec 16, 2023 135   Santa Clara W 76-70 71%    
  Dec 21, 2023 76   Boise St. W 67-66 53%    
  Dec 29, 2023 38   @ Utah L 68-74 28%    
  Dec 31, 2023 40   @ Colorado L 68-74 28%    
  Jan 04, 2024 147   Oregon St. W 70-60 83%    
  Jan 06, 2024 49   Oregon W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 10, 2024 32   @ USC L 67-74 27%    
  Jan 13, 2024 2   Arizona L 71-79 22%    
  Jan 18, 2024 101   @ Stanford W 71-70 52%    
  Jan 20, 2024 140   @ California W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 24, 2024 38   Utah L 70-71 50%    
  Jan 27, 2024 40   Colorado L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 03, 2024 57   @ Washington L 72-75 37%    
  Feb 08, 2024 147   @ Oregon St. W 67-63 65%    
  Feb 10, 2024 49   @ Oregon L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 15, 2024 140   California W 73-63 81%    
  Feb 17, 2024 101   Stanford W 74-67 72%    
  Feb 22, 2024 2   @ Arizona L 68-82 10%    
  Feb 24, 2024 81   @ Arizona St. L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 29, 2024 32   USC L 70-71 48%    
  Mar 02, 2024 41   UCLA W 65-64 51%    
  Mar 07, 2024 57   Washington W 75-72 58%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.1 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.0 1.9 0.5 0.0 7.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.7 2.0 0.3 10.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.6 2.7 0.3 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.6 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.8 5.5 3.4 0.7 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.1 3.6 0.6 0.0 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.5 3.3 0.6 0.0 11.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 2.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.3 4.2 6.8 9.2 12.0 13.0 13.1 11.3 10.2 6.6 4.7 2.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 92.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 61.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 45.0% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 15.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 6.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 9.0% 91.0% 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.6% 100.0% 14.6% 85.4% 4.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.3% 100.0% 12.2% 87.8% 5.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.8% 96.3% 10.5% 85.8% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.8%
14-6 4.7% 89.2% 9.4% 79.8% 7.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.5 88.1%
13-7 6.6% 69.6% 7.5% 62.1% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 67.1%
12-8 10.2% 51.3% 5.5% 45.8% 9.9 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.0 1.6 0.1 5.0 48.5%
11-9 11.3% 32.7% 5.2% 27.5% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.8 0.2 7.6 29.0%
10-10 13.1% 13.2% 3.4% 9.8% 10.8 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.2 11.4 10.1%
9-11 13.0% 5.8% 4.0% 1.9% 11.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 12.3 2.0%
8-12 12.0% 3.5% 3.3% 0.2% 12.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.5 0.2%
7-13 9.2% 2.0% 2.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.0
6-14 6.8% 1.5% 1.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.7
5-15 4.2% 2.0% 2.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 4.2
4-16 2.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 2.3
3-17 1.1% 1.1
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 25.9% 4.4% 21.5% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.6 2.2 2.9 3.6 6.0 5.6 1.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 74.1 22.5%