Stanford
Pac-12
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#101
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#225
Pace70.4#154
Improvement-1.7#289

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#94
First Shot+6.7#34
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#345
Layup/Dunks+10.8#5
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#253
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#86
Freethrows-5.6#359
Improvement-3.3#358

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#124
First Shot+3.2#83
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#271
Layups/Dunks+2.6#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#304
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#226
Freethrows+3.7#20
Improvement+1.6#58
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.0% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.8% 2.0% 0.8%
Average Seed 11.8 11.6 12.9
.500 or above 22.5% 25.3% 9.0%
.500 or above in Conference 21.6% 23.4% 13.4%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 14.6% 13.4% 20.7%
First Four1.2% 1.3% 0.9%
First Round3.3% 3.5% 1.9%
Second Round1.0% 1.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Home) - 82.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 9
Quad 23 - 54 - 14
Quad 33 - 37 - 17
Quad 45 - 112 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 272   Cal St. Northridge W 88-79 90%     1 - 0 -0.2 +2.5 -3.7
  Nov 10, 2023 269   Sacramento St. W 91-73 89%     2 - 0 +9.2 +13.2 -4.0
  Nov 14, 2023 135   Santa Clara L 77-89 71%     2 - 1 -12.9 -4.4 -7.5
  Nov 17, 2023 217   Eastern Washington W 95-70 83%     3 - 1 +19.6 +9.5 +8.2
  Nov 22, 2023 46   Arkansas L 74-77 2OT 29%     3 - 2 +7.4 -6.1 +13.9
  Nov 23, 2023 51   Michigan L 78-83 32%     3 - 3 +4.5 +8.7 -4.2
  Nov 24, 2023 143   Northern Iowa L 51-73 63%     3 - 4 -20.6 -21.5 +0.3
  Dec 03, 2023 215   San Diego W 79-69 83%    
  Dec 17, 2023 335   Idaho W 81-62 96%    
  Dec 21, 2023 28   @ San Diego St. L 65-76 16%    
  Dec 29, 2023 81   Arizona St. W 71-70 55%    
  Dec 31, 2023 2   Arizona L 73-85 13%    
  Jan 03, 2024 41   @ UCLA L 63-73 19%    
  Jan 06, 2024 32   @ USC L 69-79 18%    
  Jan 11, 2024 147   @ Oregon St. W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 14, 2024 38   Utah L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 18, 2024 62   Washington St. L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 20, 2024 57   Washington L 76-77 46%    
  Jan 26, 2024 140   @ California W 72-71 50%    
  Feb 01, 2024 81   @ Arizona St. L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 04, 2024 2   @ Arizona L 70-88 6%    
  Feb 07, 2024 41   UCLA L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 10, 2024 32   USC L 72-76 35%    
  Feb 15, 2024 57   @ Washington L 73-80 27%    
  Feb 17, 2024 62   @ Washington St. L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 22, 2024 49   Oregon L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 24, 2024 147   Oregon St. W 72-65 73%    
  Feb 29, 2024 38   @ Utah L 69-79 20%    
  Mar 03, 2024 40   @ Colorado L 69-79 19%    
  Mar 07, 2024 140   California W 75-69 71%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.8 0.7 0.0 4.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.4 0.9 0.1 5.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.5 1.7 0.1 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.4 3.1 0.4 0.0 12.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.6 6.3 3.6 0.6 0.0 15.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.8 7.1 3.6 0.8 0.0 18.3 10th
11th 0.4 2.1 4.1 4.4 2.1 0.4 13.5 11th
12th 0.2 0.8 2.0 2.7 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 9.2 12th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.4 5.1 8.2 11.2 13.4 13.7 12.8 10.7 8.1 5.9 3.8 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 53.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 60.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-5 24.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-6 10.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 93.0% 27.9% 65.1% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 90.3%
15-5 0.7% 66.6% 4.9% 61.7% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 64.8%
14-6 1.0% 55.2% 8.1% 47.1% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 51.3%
13-7 2.0% 26.2% 3.6% 22.7% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.5 23.5%
12-8 3.8% 8.9% 3.6% 5.3% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.5 5.5%
11-9 5.9% 4.3% 3.6% 0.7% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.6 0.7%
10-10 8.1% 3.1% 2.9% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.8 0.2%
9-11 10.7% 2.5% 2.5% 14.7 0.1 0.2 10.4
8-12 12.8% 2.1% 2.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.5
7-13 13.7% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 13.4
6-14 13.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.3
5-15 11.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.2
4-16 8.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.2
3-17 5.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.0
2-18 2.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.4
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.6% 1.9% 1.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 96.4 1.8%