Mississippi
Southeastern
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.1#77
Expected Predictive Rating+16.3#21
Pace65.6#278
Improvement+4.5#6

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#85
First Shot+3.2#90
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#170
Layup/Dunks+1.5#122
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#230
Freethrows-1.6#264
Improvement+3.0#8

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#72
First Shot+7.1#17
After Offensive Rebounds-3.4#343
Layups/Dunks+0.6#156
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#261
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#59
Freethrows+3.8#18
Improvement+1.4#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.3% 1.4% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 5.0% 5.2% 1.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 28.7% 29.6% 16.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 26.8% 27.7% 14.3%
Average Seed 8.8 8.8 9.3
.500 or above 83.6% 85.3% 60.8%
.500 or above in Conference 29.3% 30.1% 18.7%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 6.9% 12.0%
First Four6.8% 6.9% 5.4%
First Round24.5% 25.4% 12.3%
Second Round11.1% 11.5% 5.0%
Sweet Sixteen3.1% 3.2% 1.5%
Elite Eight1.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Home) - 92.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 25 - 37 - 11
Quad 34 - 112 - 12
Quad 47 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 330   Alabama St. W 69-59 96%     1 - 0 -3.0 -9.1 +6.1
  Nov 10, 2023 217   Eastern Washington W 75-64 87%     2 - 0 +5.6 -5.0 +10.4
  Nov 14, 2023 323   Detroit Mercy W 70-69 95%     3 - 0 -10.9 -1.9 -8.9
  Nov 17, 2023 141   Sam Houston St. W 70-67 79%     4 - 0 +1.5 +2.4 -0.8
  Nov 22, 2023 144   @ Temple W 77-76 61%     5 - 0 +5.2 +14.5 -9.3
  Nov 28, 2023 67   North Carolina St. W 72-52 58%     6 - 0 +24.9 +5.3 +20.8
  Dec 02, 2023 37   Memphis W 80-77 44%     7 - 0 +11.5 +5.4 +5.9
  Dec 05, 2023 265   Mount St. Mary's W 74-58 93%    
  Dec 10, 2023 79   @ Central Florida L 70-72 41%    
  Dec 16, 2023 140   California W 72-66 70%    
  Dec 19, 2023 189   Troy W 76-65 86%    
  Dec 23, 2023 185   Southern Miss W 74-66 77%    
  Dec 31, 2023 197   Bryant W 78-66 85%    
  Jan 06, 2024 8   @ Tennessee L 62-74 13%    
  Jan 10, 2024 33   Florida L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 13, 2024 178   Vanderbilt W 75-64 83%    
  Jan 17, 2024 94   @ LSU L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 20, 2024 17   @ Auburn L 65-76 17%    
  Jan 24, 2024 46   Arkansas L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 27, 2024 20   @ Texas A&M L 65-74 20%    
  Jan 30, 2024 27   Mississippi St. L 64-67 42%    
  Feb 03, 2024 17   Auburn L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 06, 2024 73   @ South Carolina L 65-68 39%    
  Feb 13, 2024 18   @ Kentucky L 70-80 18%    
  Feb 17, 2024 80   Missouri W 71-67 64%    
  Feb 21, 2024 27   @ Mississippi St. L 61-70 22%    
  Feb 24, 2024 73   South Carolina W 68-65 60%    
  Feb 28, 2024 15   Alabama L 77-82 32%    
  Mar 02, 2024 80   @ Missouri L 68-70 41%    
  Mar 05, 2024 88   @ Georgia L 68-70 44%    
  Mar 09, 2024 20   Texas A&M L 68-71 39%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.1 0.1 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.2 1.8 0.2 4.6 5th
6th 0.3 2.2 3.6 0.6 0.0 6.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 4.1 1.7 0.1 7.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 4.7 3.1 0.3 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.7 4.7 0.8 0.0 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.4 5.7 1.6 0.1 12.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 4.0 6.1 2.3 0.1 13.3 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 3.8 5.3 2.2 0.3 12.7 12th
13th 0.1 1.2 3.0 3.8 1.7 0.3 10.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.5 14th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.5 5.2 8.8 11.8 14.0 14.5 13.2 10.8 8.3 4.9 3.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 75.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 40.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
13-5 14.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 48.0% 52.0% 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 7.1% 92.9% 3.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.6% 100.0% 11.4% 88.6% 4.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.4% 99.1% 5.0% 94.1% 5.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.1%
12-6 3.1% 97.6% 6.4% 91.2% 6.5 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 97.4%
11-7 4.9% 94.9% 5.8% 89.1% 7.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.3 94.6%
10-8 8.3% 79.6% 4.0% 75.6% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 2.0 1.8 0.6 0.0 1.7 78.8%
9-9 10.8% 59.5% 2.8% 56.7% 9.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.3 1.8 0.1 4.4 58.3%
8-10 13.2% 28.4% 2.6% 25.8% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.1 0.2 9.4 26.5%
7-11 14.5% 9.4% 2.8% 6.6% 11.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 13.1 6.8%
6-12 14.0% 2.4% 1.7% 0.7% 12.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.7 0.7%
5-13 11.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.2% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.7 0.2%
4-14 8.8% 1.1% 1.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7
3-15 5.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 5.1
2-16 2.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.5
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 28.7% 2.6% 26.1% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.4 2.2 2.7 3.3 4.9 5.9 5.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 71.3 26.8%