Utah
Pac-12
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.9#40
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#42
Pace71.3#135
Improvement-1.7#323

Offense
Total Offense+5.9#42
First Shot+4.8#63
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#118
Layup/Dunks+2.5#93
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#36
Freethrows+0.8#132
Improvement+0.5#134

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#48
First Shot+1.4#125
After Offensive Rebounds+3.6#9
Layups/Dunks+6.6#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#356
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#308
Freethrows+4.5#10
Improvement-2.1#347
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 1.6% 1.8% 0.4%
Top 4 Seed 7.2% 8.2% 2.0%
Top 6 Seed 17.7% 19.7% 7.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 55.4% 58.6% 39.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 51.8% 55.1% 35.3%
Average Seed 7.7 7.6 8.6
.500 or above 86.8% 89.5% 73.2%
.500 or above in Conference 71.8% 73.7% 62.4%
Conference Champion 5.8% 6.3% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.9% 1.7%
First Four7.0% 7.0% 6.6%
First Round51.9% 55.1% 35.6%
Second Round29.1% 31.2% 18.7%
Sweet Sixteen11.1% 12.2% 5.7%
Elite Eight4.4% 4.8% 2.4%
Final Four1.7% 1.9% 0.7%
Championship Game0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Hawaii (Home) - 83.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 7
Quad 25 - 39 - 10
Quad 35 - 114 - 12
Quad 45 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 201   Eastern Washington W 101-66 92%     1 - 0 +30.0 +12.0 +14.0
  Nov 10, 2023 227   UC Riverside W 82-53 94%     2 - 0 +22.8 +5.9 +16.8
  Nov 16, 2023 76   Wake Forest W 77-70 65%     3 - 0 +13.9 +8.9 +5.3
  Nov 17, 2023 3   Houston L 66-76 21%     3 - 1 +9.2 +5.5 +3.5
  Nov 19, 2023 57   St. John's L 82-91 57%     3 - 2 +0.1 +5.1 -4.2
  Nov 27, 2023 61   @ St. Mary's W 78-71 47%     4 - 2 +18.7 +15.0 +3.8
  Nov 30, 2023 118   Hawaii W 76-66 84%    
  Dec 05, 2023 211   Southern Utah W 87-71 93%    
  Dec 09, 2023 11   BYU L 75-77 44%    
  Dec 16, 2023 171   Utah Valley W 79-65 90%    
  Dec 20, 2023 210   Bellarmine W 77-61 93%    
  Dec 29, 2023 64   Washington St. W 74-68 69%    
  Dec 31, 2023 65   Washington W 80-74 69%    
  Jan 04, 2024 86   @ Arizona St. W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 06, 2024 2   @ Arizona L 74-86 15%    
  Jan 11, 2024 26   UCLA W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 14, 2024 98   @ Stanford W 76-73 61%    
  Jan 18, 2024 157   Oregon St. W 75-62 88%    
  Jan 21, 2024 48   Oregon W 78-74 63%    
  Jan 24, 2024 64   @ Washington St. L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 27, 2024 65   @ Washington L 77-78 48%    
  Feb 03, 2024 38   Colorado W 75-73 58%    
  Feb 08, 2024 2   Arizona L 77-83 31%    
  Feb 10, 2024 86   Arizona St. W 75-67 75%    
  Feb 15, 2024 32   @ USC L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 18, 2024 26   @ UCLA L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 24, 2024 38   @ Colorado L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 29, 2024 98   Stanford W 79-70 78%    
  Mar 02, 2024 153   California W 78-65 88%    
  Mar 07, 2024 157   @ Oregon St. W 72-65 74%    
  Mar 09, 2024 48   @ Oregon L 75-77 42%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.7 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.8 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 3.6 4.1 2.0 0.6 0.1 12.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.8 4.1 1.5 0.2 13.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.5 4.2 1.0 0.1 13.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.8 3.8 0.8 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.0 3.7 0.8 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.1 3.2 0.6 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 3.4 2.8 0.6 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.5 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.2 5.2 7.2 9.7 11.7 12.9 12.8 11.3 9.2 6.8 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 88.4% 0.7    0.6 0.1
17-3 72.3% 1.5    1.0 0.5 0.0
16-4 43.0% 1.7    0.8 0.7 0.2
15-5 16.6% 1.1    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0
14-6 4.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.8% 5.8 3.0 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 14.3% 85.7% 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 19.2% 80.8% 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.8% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% 2.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.1% 100.0% 23.5% 76.5% 3.2 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 3.9% 99.8% 15.4% 84.5% 4.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
15-5 6.8% 99.3% 13.2% 86.1% 5.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.8 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
14-6 9.2% 96.3% 11.4% 85.0% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.9 2.3 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.3 95.9%
13-7 11.3% 89.7% 9.5% 80.2% 8.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 2.6 2.2 1.3 0.4 1.2 88.7%
12-8 12.8% 76.4% 7.6% 68.8% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.0 2.8 2.5 1.2 0.1 3.0 74.4%
11-9 12.9% 56.1% 6.4% 49.7% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 2.7 2.1 0.2 0.0 5.7 53.1%
10-10 11.7% 32.1% 3.9% 28.2% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 8.0 29.4%
9-11 9.7% 11.8% 4.4% 7.4% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 7.7%
8-12 7.2% 4.6% 3.8% 0.8% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 6.9 0.8%
7-13 5.2% 3.7% 3.6% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.0 0.1%
6-14 3.2% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 3.1
5-15 1.7% 2.2% 2.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 1.7
4-16 0.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 55.4% 7.6% 47.9% 7.7 0.5 1.1 2.3 3.4 4.8 5.7 6.7 7.3 7.9 8.2 6.2 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 44.6 51.8%