Army
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#332
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#280
Pace68.9#200
Improvement+1.7#81

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#328
First Shot-4.2#298
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#277
Layup/Dunks-5.6#341
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#354
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#34
Freethrows-0.4#202
Improvement-1.0#254

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#327
First Shot-4.0#312
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#235
Layups/Dunks-1.4#234
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#222
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#183
Freethrows-2.4#323
Improvement+2.6#34
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 2.8% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 10.9% 12.9% 3.7%
.500 or above in Conference 28.1% 30.4% 20.0%
Conference Champion 1.6% 1.9% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 24.4% 22.2% 32.5%
First Four2.2% 2.4% 1.5%
First Round1.3% 1.4% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 78.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 411 - 1111 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 128 @St. Thomas L 76-83 8%     0 - 1 -2.2 +6.2 -8.6
  Tue, Nov 11 4 Duke L 59-114 1%     0 - 2 -36.2 -9.7 -21.4
  Sat, Nov 15 185 Harvard L 52-75 29%     0 - 3 -27.8 -17.5 -12.6
  Tue, Nov 18 159 @Cornell L 73-86 11%     0 - 4 -10.1 -10.5 +1.7
  Fri, Nov 21 162 @Marist L 65-76 11%     0 - 5 -8.3 +0.9 -9.8
  Tue, Nov 25 299 East Texas A&M L 67-84 38%     0 - 6 -24.4 -6.7 -18.0
  Wed, Nov 26 357 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-73 55%     1 - 6 -3.8 +5.2 -8.7
  Sat, Nov 29 319 Manhattan W 81-78 OT 57%     2 - 6 -9.3 -4.6 -4.9
  Tue, Dec 2 78 George Washington L 70-84 9%     2 - 7 -9.7 -1.0 -9.2
  Fri, Dec 12 289 @Maryland Baltimore Co. W 63-60 26%     3 - 7 -0.7 -8.8 +8.2
  Tue, Dec 23 363 Binghamton W 75-67 78%    
  Wed, Dec 31 311 @Lehigh L 69-74 32%    
  Sat, Jan 3 178 Colgate L 70-76 29%    
  Wed, Jan 7 339 Loyola Maryland W 76-72 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 291 @Boston University L 68-75 28%    
  Wed, Jan 14 324 @Holy Cross L 69-73 37%    
  Sun, Jan 18 252 American L 73-75 42%    
  Wed, Jan 21 309 @Bucknell L 68-73 33%    
  Sat, Jan 24 202 @Navy L 65-76 16%    
  Wed, Jan 28 311 Lehigh W 72-71 54%    
  Sat, Jan 31 324 Holy Cross W 72-70 59%    
  Wed, Feb 4 178 @Colgate L 67-79 13%    
  Sat, Feb 7 320 Lafayette W 73-71 57%    
  Wed, Feb 11 291 Boston University L 71-72 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 252 @American L 70-78 22%    
  Wed, Feb 18 339 @Loyola Maryland L 73-75 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 202 Navy L 68-73 32%    
  Wed, Feb 25 309 Bucknell W 71-70 54%    
  Sat, Feb 28 320 @Lafayette L 70-74 36%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.8 1.6 0.1 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.2 5.7 2.2 0.1 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.6 3.0 0.3 13.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.6 3.9 0.4 14.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.7 6.2 3.5 0.5 15.1 9th
10th 0.2 0.9 2.6 4.5 4.9 2.7 0.4 0.0 16.3 10th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.7 5.5 9.1 12.3 13.6 14.6 12.8 10.5 7.7 5.0 2.7 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 86.4% 0.2    0.1 0.0
14-4 71.8% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 37.6% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 13.0% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 21.2% 21.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 18.8% 18.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5
13-5 1.4% 16.8% 16.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.1
12-6 2.7% 9.5% 9.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.5
11-7 5.0% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 4.7
10-8 7.7% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.4 7.3
9-9 10.5% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.4 10.0
8-10 12.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 12.4
7-11 14.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 14.4
6-12 13.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.5
5-13 12.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.2
4-14 9.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.1
3-15 5.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.5
2-16 2.7% 2.7
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 2.5 97.4 0.0%