Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.1 191
Expected Predictive Rating -1.5 187
Pace 74.4 48
Improvement +3.2 55

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C #140 C- C+ D+ A- B+
Defense D+ #265 D D+ C+ C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 17 56% 227 +3.7 62
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 287 34% 299 -2.6 302
Three Pointers 38% 240 32% 253 -2.4 271
1st FG Attempt 0.99 210 -1.3 209
Second Chance 33.5% 94 1.04 163 0.35 102
Turnovers 18.3% 270
Freethrows 0.39 6 71% 211 0.28 13
Total Offense +0.9 140

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 10 64% 328 -7.8 361
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 76 39% 203 -1.4 292
Three Pointers 29% 364 36% 287 +4.9 17
1st FG Attempt 1.10 310 -4.3 310
Second Chance 30.9% 195 1.17 340 0.36 298
Turnovers 17.5% 142
Freethrows 0.31 198 74% 265 0.23 211
Total Defense -3.0 265

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +1.2 34 +0.2 201
Shot Type Accuracy -2.4 261 +4.0 321
Possession Length 16.7 116 16.2 28
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 64 0.21 313
Improvement +3.9 #19 -0.7 #232

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 5.3% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.8 15.4
.500 or above 17.7% 27.7% 6.4%
.500 or above in Conference 64.3% 81.2% 44.9%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.6% 0.3% 0.8%
First Round4.0% 5.2% 2.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: College of Charleston (Home) - 53.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 34 - 65 - 14
Quad 49 - 314 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 38 @Wisconsin L 64 - 96 5% -8  16% 0 - 1 F+ -15 D -6 D+ A F D- -9 C- F C
 Thu, Nov 6 55 @West Virginia L 65 - 73 9% -6  0% 0 - 2 B- +5 C +1 D B+ C+ B +4 A+ C- C
 Sun, Nov 9 288 Western Michigan W 91 - 82 79% +6  92% 1 - 2 C -1 D+ -4 C C F C+ +1 C+ B C+
 Wed, Nov 19 231 @Weber St. L 85 - 91 46% -5  36% 1 - 3 D+ -7 C+ +3 F A+ C- F+ -9 F D C
 Fri, Nov 21 169 Texas Arlington W 71 - 67 45% -4  8% 2 - 3 C+ +3 D -5 C- A F A- +9 A- C+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 71 @Wake Forest L 51 - 99 12% -26  0% 2 - 4 F -37 F -21 F D B- F -15 F F D-
 Tue, Dec 2 113 @Penn St. L 76 - 87 21% -5  16% 2 - 5 C- -5 D+ -2 C C F C- -2 D- A+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 307 Ball St. W 69 - 64 82% -1  31% 3 - 5 D+ -7 F -10 F F+ B- B- +4 B D+ A-
 Wed, Dec 17 14 @Gonzaga L 70 - 98 2% -14  0% 3 - 6 D+ -6 D -6 C C- F+ B- +3 D- B- A
 Sun, Dec 21 72 @Minnesota L 50 - 78 12% -18  0% 3 - 7 F+ -17 F -12 D- F+ F D- -9 F F B-
 Tue, Dec 23 244 Green Bay W 102 - 79 70% +9  78% 4 - 7 A- +15 A+ +25 A+ A+ B- D- -8 F D B+
 Mon, Dec 29 117 @Hofstra L 72 - 86 22% -12  18% 4 - 8 0 - 1 D -8 C+ +3 F+ A A- F -12 D- F A-
 Wed, Dec 31 207 @Monmouth W 68 - 65 41% -2  16% 5 - 8 1 - 1 C+ +3 C +0 F A F+ B- +3 B+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 3 269 Northeastern W 97 - 82 75% +8  90% 6 - 8 2 - 1 B- +6 A +12 A D A D -6 D- D+ D
 Thu, Jan 8 246 Hampton W 86 - 72 71% +13  93% 7 - 8 3 - 1 B- +6 B- +4 C- F C- C+ +1 D D- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 219 @Elon L 82 - 83 42% +6  93% 7 - 9 3 - 2 C -1 B +6 B+ F+ A- D- -7 D F D+
 Sat, Jan 17 114 @UNC Wilmington L 75 - 78 21% +4  67% 7 - 10 3 - 3 C+ +3 B- +4 A F F C -1 D- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 155 @College of Charleston L 83 - 87 32% -3  35% 7 - 11 3 - 4 C -1 B +6 B A+ F D- -7 F D- B
 Sat, Jan 24 207 Monmouth L 73 - 88 64% -5  12% 7 - 12 3 - 5 F -21 D -5 F+ D- A+ F -15 F F A+
 Thu, Jan 29 213 Stony Brook L 69 - 81 65% -3  20% 7 - 13 3 - 6 F -18 D -5 D+ C- C- F -14 F B+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 145 @William & Mary W 104 - 96 28% +13  96% 8 - 13 4 - 6 B+ +12 A+ +18 A+ D A- D -7 F+ F+ C
 Thu, Feb 5 215 Drexel W 81 - 60 65% +6  54% 9 - 13 5 - 6 A- +15 B +7 B+ B C A- +9 C- B A+
 Sat, Feb 7 286 @N.C. A&T W 79 - 71 58% +6  93% 10 - 13 6 - 6 C+ +4 C +1 D A+ F+ B- +2 D+ A F
 Sat, Feb 14 155 College of Charleston W 80 - 79 53%
 Thu, Feb 19 145 William & Mary L 86 - 87 50%
 Sat, Feb 21 114 UNC Wilmington L 76 - 78 41%
 Thu, Feb 26 215 @Drexel L 71 - 73 42%
 Sat, Feb 28 171 @Towson L 70 - 74 35%
 Tue, Mar 3 286 N.C. A&T W 85 - 77 77%
Totals 13 - 16 9 - 9 -2 C +1 C- C+ D+ D+ -3 D D+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- D+ C- D+ 47% 15% 38% B+ C- B- C C+ D+ A C- A- D+ D- C D+ D 47% 24% 29% C- D C D- D+ C+ C D+ C
1.10 56% 34% 32% -2 +1 0.99 33% 1.0 .35 18% .39 71% .28 1.13 64% 39% 36% +4 0 1.10 31% 1.2 .36 17% .31 74% .29
Nov
3		 Wisconsin D D+ A- F D 44% 18% 38% A- D+ B+ A A F A- B A- D- F A+ C- C- 41% 14% 45% C+ C- F F F C B- F C-
0.90 50% 50% 24% -7 +1 0.89 30% 1.2 .37 27% .33 76% .25 1.35 74% 25% 36% +6 +1 1.16 38% 1.5 .56 13% .31 89% .27
Nov
6		 West Virginia C C F F F 59% 11% 30% A+ D A+ D B+ C+ A+ B+ A+ B A B+ A A+ 49% 19% 32% C- A+ C D+ C- C F F+ F
0.96 56% 20% 14% -12 +3 0.83 37% 0.9 .34 18% .57 78% .45 1.07 48% 33% 27% -9 +1 0.85 32% 1.3 .39 16% .47 74% .35
Nov
9		 Western Michigan D+ F D A+ C 32% 13% 55% C C F+ A+ C F A+ C- A+ C+ B- B- C- B- 50% 25% 25% D+ C+ B- B+ B C+ F F F
1.13 47% 33% 42% +3 +1 1.09 24% 1.6 .38 19% .63 71% .44 1.02 50% 36% 36% -4 0 0.95 28% 0.8 .23 19% .40 81% .32
Nov
19		 Weber St. C+ F A+ F F 62% 10% 28% A F A- A A+ C- A+ A+ A+ F+ F C+ D F 37% 23% 40% A F F+ C D C D+ B+ C
1.15 48% 80% 14% -10 +3 0.88 38% 1.4 .53 18% .51 90% .46 1.23 84% 33% 38% +11 0 1.23 38% 1.0 .38 16% .37 65% .24
Nov
21		 Texas Arlington D C- D+ F D 51% 20% 29% A- C- B+ A+ A F A+ F A A- B A+ C- A 56% 21% 23% D+ A- A- D- C+ C C A B
0.97 57% 33% 23% -6 +1 0.91 34% 1.4 .47 23% .57 59% .34 0.91 48% 9% 33% -12 +1 0.81 30% 1.1 .33 20% .34 65% .22
Nov
25		 Wake Forest F F F F F 35% 15% 50% C F D+ D D B- A+ F B- F F C F F 41% 13% 46% D F D F F D- D F F+
0.71 44% 13% 15% -22 0 0.58 26% 0.9 .24 19% .45 58% .26 1.38 73% 43% 40% +11 +1 1.26 36% 1.6 .57 11% .34 86% .30
Dec
2		 Penn St. D+ D+ F A+ C- 52% 12% 36% A- C A F C F A+ F B- C- D+ F D- F+ 52% 23% 25% C+ D- A+ A+ A+ F D- F F
1.04 54% 17% 44% +1 +2 1.08 38% 1.0 .38 23% .34 53% .18 1.19 63% 58% 38% +9 +1 1.21 20% 0.3 .07 10% .38 88% .33
Dec
14		 Ball St. F B- D+ F F 35% 24% 41% C- F A- F F+ B- A+ F A- B- A- F A+ B 47% 26% 26% C B F+ C+ D+ A- F+ C D-
0.99 65% 33% 20% -7 -1 0.86 42% 0.6 .24 17% .50 55% .28 0.92 44% 50% 14% -11 0 0.79 32% 0.8 .26 20% .36 70% .25
Dec
17		 Gonzaga D C B- F D+ 42% 19% 40% A C C+ D- C- F+ A F+ B+ B- D+ C- F D 59% 24% 17% F D- B- C+ B- A D- C- D-
0.85 55% 40% 24% -7 0 0.89 25% 0.7 .18 24% .38 63% .24 1.19 68% 43% 50% +11 +1 1.26 34% 1.2 .41 18% .36 71% .25
Dec
21		 Minnesota F B- C F F+ 38% 21% 41% B D- B+ F F+ F A+ A A+ D- F A+ F F 44% 22% 33% B- F C F F B- A+ F A+
0.82 60% 38% 19% -9 0 0.85 34% 0.4 .13 28% .44 79% .34 1.29 85% 20% 40% +11 0 1.24 30% 2.0 .61 18% .18 89% .16
Dec
23		 Green Bay A+ C B A+ A+ 43% 15% 43% B A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ F+ A D- F F D+ F 36% 39% 25% A+ F F B- D B+ F+ A+ D+
1.54 60% 43% 55% +15 +1 1.34 47% 1.6 .73 12% .46 67% .31 1.19 69% 65% 36% +15 -2 1.27 32% 1.0 .32 20% .43 65% .28
Dec
29		 Hofstra C+ C+ F F F 46% 14% 40% A F+ C+ A+ A A- B+ D B F F+ B- D D- 38% 19% 44% D- D- F F F A- F A D
1.09 57% 14% 20% -12 +1 0.80 32% 1.5 .46 11% .37 68% .25 1.30 67% 33% 38% +5 0 1.13 50% 1.8 .89 21% .36 68% .25
Dec
31		 Monmouth C F F C- F 58% 7% 35% A+ F B A+ A F+ A+ C A+ B- C+ A A+ A 47% 26% 28% D B+ B- F+ C- F F A F
1.05 40% 0% 33% -13 +3 0.81 38% 1.2 .46 23% .60 73% .44 1.00 55% 25% 23% -9 0 0.83 28% 1.2 .33 11% .45 65% .29
Jan
3		 Northeastern A A+ A+ D A 55% 14% 31% B+ A C F D A A+ B A+ D D D F F 39% 25% 36% A- D- A+ F D+ D A F C+
1.34 79% 57% 31% +13 +2 1.31 33% 0.8 .26 12% .49 77% .38 1.14 64% 43% 40% +7 -1 1.14 14% 2.3 .32 15% .20 92% .18
Jan
8		 Hampton B- F D+ A+ C- 42% 13% 46% B C- B F F C- A+ A+ A+ C+ F+ B B D 47% 30% 23% D D C- F+ D- A+ F D F
1.16 40% 33% 45% 0 +1 1.04 33% 0.4 .14 18% .62 84% .52 0.97 65% 31% 30% 0 -1 1.00 35% 1.1 .39 28% .49 77% .38
Jan
10		 Elon B F+ A+ A+ B+ 39% 15% 46% B- B+ D D- F+ A- C- C- C- D- C A+ F D+ 58% 8% 34% F+ D B- F F D+ A+ A+ A+
1.22 48% 50% 48% +8 +1 1.19 28% 1.0 .28 12% .29 71% .20 1.23 58% 25% 44% +4 +3 1.17 30% 1.9 .57 15% .17 40% .07
Jan
17		 UNC Wilmington B- A- A+ C- A 43% 15% 41% A A B F F F A+ D A+ C D- B- C+ D 54% 23% 23% F D- A- A+ A+ F D- F F
1.11 70% 57% 32% +7 +1 1.17 32% 0.5 .16 21% .45 71% .32 1.15 64% 33% 33% +2 +1 1.08 29% 0.7 .20 10% .41 80% .33
Jan
22		 College of Charleston B B- D A B+ 20% 30% 50% D- B B- A+ A+ F D+ D+ D+ D- F D+ F F 44% 35% 21% B+ F D- C- D- B F D- F
1.14 64% 31% 41% +4 -2 1.06 34% 1.8 .60 18% .20 67% .13 1.20 76% 41% 40% +11 -2 1.21 35% 1.1 .38 19% .49 79% .39
Jan
24		 Monmouth D D- F F+ F 47% 9% 44% A- F+ F C- D- A+ A+ D A F F B- F F 46% 26% 28% D+ F F F F A+ F A+ F
1.01 50% 20% 29% -9 +2 0.89 24% 0.9 .21 11% .41 69% .28 1.22 71% 33% 54% +13 0 1.28 39% 1.4 .54 24% .45 64% .29
Jan
29		 Stony Brook D A- F B- C- 31% 25% 43% D D+ F+ A C- C- C- A B- F F D+ F F 45% 15% 40% D F F A+ B+ D- F+ F+ F
1.04 69% 15% 36% -1 -1 0.98 23% 1.1 .26 17% .29 81% .23 1.22 67% 43% 47% +13 +1 1.30 36% 0.5 .18 15% .32 78% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 William & Mary A+ A+ B A+ A+ 45% 13% 43% B- A+ B F D A- A+ A- A+ D D- F A D- 67% 9% 24% F F+ B- F F+ C F D F
1.32 76% 43% 46% +16 +1 1.38 35% 0.7 .24 15% .45 77% .34 1.22 68% 50% 27% +5 +4 1.20 24% 1.7 .40 18% .66 79% .52
Feb
5		 Drexel B A+ F D+ B 52% 21% 27% B+ B+ B C+ B C A+ C A+ A- D F A+ D 38% 36% 26% A+ C- B+ C+ B A+ A B A
1.17 76% 10% 31% +2 +1 1.08 37% 1.1 .40 16% .48 75% .36 0.87 61% 53% 25% +3 -2 1.04 25% 0.9 .21 28% .16 63% .10
Feb
7		 N.C. A&T C F C B- F+ 55% 11% 34% A D C A+ A+ F+ A+ B A+ B- C C C- D+ 51% 33% 16% D+ D+ B+ A+ A F C+ A+ A
1.13 46% 40% 38% -5 +3 0.98 27% 1.9 .52 17% .45 73% .33 1.01 57% 39% 33% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.8 .20 13% .34 57% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 1.2 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.0 5.4 0.5 7.8 3rd
4th 0.2 7.9 2.4 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 2.9 8.4 0.2 11.6 5th
6th 0.2 10.5 3.5 14.1 6th
7th 0.0 2.6 12.3 0.3 15.3 7th
8th 0.3 9.3 4.3 0.0 13.9 8th
9th 0.0 2.8 9.0 0.3 12.1 9th
10th 0.6 5.1 2.4 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 1.2 2.0 0.1 3.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 13th
Total 1.9 10.3 23.6 30.5 22.2 9.7 1.9 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 10.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 1.9% 14.5% 14.5% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.6
11-7 9.7% 9.8% 9.8% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 8.8
10-8 22.2% 5.9% 5.9% 14.9 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.1 20.8
9-9 30.5% 3.1% 3.1% 15.5 0.5 0.5 29.6
8-10 23.6% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5 23.0
7-11 10.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 10.2
6-12 1.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.9
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 15.0 95.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 13.3 9.1 50.9 40.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 1.0%