Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#287
Expected Predictive Rating-10.6#320
Pace63.2#332
Improvement-0.5#214

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#272
First Shot-2.4#238
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#280
Layup/Dunks-2.2#265
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#250
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#98
Freethrows-1.6#282
Improvement-0.2#194

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#265
First Shot-3.3#291
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#151
Layups/Dunks-1.3#229
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#113
Freethrows-2.4#318
Improvement-0.3#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 15.4
.500 or above 6.4% 8.6% 2.4%
.500 or above in Conference 17.6% 19.9% 13.5%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 24.1% 21.7% 28.5%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Home) - 63.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 92 - 12
Quad 49 - 811 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 174 @Saint Joseph's L 65-76 21%     0 - 1 -9.0 -6.5 -2.4
  Tue, Nov 11 178 @Colgate L 83-90 21%     0 - 2 -5.3 +10.8 -16.2
  Sat, Nov 15 72 Syracuse L 50-80 9%     0 - 3 -22.2 -13.6 -11.2
  Tue, Nov 18 352 NJIT W 75-43 81%     1 - 3 +15.9 -2.1 +18.1
  Fri, Nov 21 254 Penn L 68-84 56%     1 - 4 -24.3 -7.3 -17.6
  Sun, Nov 23 205 Old Dominion W 75-71 47%     2 - 4 -2.0 +3.7 -5.5
  Tue, Nov 25 358 @Morgan St. W 71-66 68%     3 - 4 -6.4 -3.2 -2.8
  Wed, Dec 3 248 @American L 73-75 32%     3 - 5 -4.0 +3.4 -7.4
  Sat, Dec 6 238 La Salle L 64-69 41%     3 - 6 -9.4 -5.6 -4.1
  Tue, Dec 16 283 Howard L 66-74 61%     3 - 7 -17.6 -6.8 -11.2
  Fri, Dec 19 302 Mount St. Mary's W 71-67 64%    
  Sun, Dec 21 335 Maine W 66-59 75%    
  Mon, Dec 29 185 @College of Charleston L 66-74 23%    
  Wed, Dec 31 108 @UNC Wilmington L 61-74 10%    
  Sat, Jan 3 115 Hofstra L 64-71 25%    
  Thu, Jan 8 239 Stony Brook W 67-66 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 120 William & Mary L 72-79 27%    
  Thu, Jan 15 237 @Monmouth L 67-72 31%    
  Sat, Jan 17 137 @Towson L 60-71 16%    
  Sat, Jan 17 212 Northeastern L 68-69 48%    
  Thu, Jan 29 227 Hampton W 67-66 51%    
  Sat, Jan 31 304 N.C. A&T W 72-68 64%    
  Thu, Feb 5 229 @Campbell L 69-75 31%    
  Sat, Feb 7 180 @Elon L 69-77 23%    
  Thu, Feb 12 237 Monmouth W 70-69 51%    
  Mon, Feb 16 239 @Stony Brook L 64-69 32%    
  Thu, Feb 19 212 @Northeastern L 66-72 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 137 Towson L 63-68 32%    
  Thu, Feb 26 229 Campbell W 73-72 52%    
  Tue, Mar 3 115 @Hofstra L 61-74 12%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.1 0.6 0.0 4.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.1 1.2 0.1 5.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.1 2.2 0.2 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.0 4.0 0.5 0.0 9.2 8th
9th 0.4 3.6 5.1 1.3 0.0 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.3 2.7 0.1 12.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.4 4.2 0.6 0.0 14.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 3.3 6.4 4.6 0.7 0.0 15.8 12th
13th 0.3 1.6 3.8 5.2 3.3 0.7 0.0 14.9 13th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.6 8.8 12.5 14.8 15.4 13.5 10.9 7.7 5.1 2.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 63.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 53.2% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.2% 16.1% 16.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.5% 9.4% 9.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.2% 4.4% 4.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
11-7 2.8% 4.5% 4.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.7
10-8 5.1% 2.8% 2.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 4.9
9-9 7.7% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 7.6
8-10 10.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.8
7-11 13.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.5
6-12 15.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.3
5-13 14.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.8
4-14 12.5% 12.5
3-15 8.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.8
2-16 4.6% 4.6
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 99.3 0.0%