IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.2	#291
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.0	#148
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.6	#247

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.6	#316

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.1%	1.5%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.0	14.3	14.8

.500 or above	15.5%	21.4%	6.5%
.500 or above in Conference	25.6%	30.7%	17.6%
Conference Champion	1.2%	1.6%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	17.3%	13.3%	23.3%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
First Round	1.1%	1.5%	0.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Home) - 60.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	2 - 7	2 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 6	10 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	284	Georgia St.	W	77-74	60%
Nov 10, 2025	77	@ Pittsburgh	L	63-80	5%
Nov 14, 2025	359	IU Indianapolis	W	76-66	83%
Nov 18, 2025	309	@ Detroit Mercy	L	70-72	43%
Nov 21, 2025	197	Oakland	L	68-70	42%
Nov 24, 2025	11	@ Louisville	L	62-90	1%
Nov 26, 2025	45	@ Cincinnati	L	58-80	3%
Nov 28, 2025	357	NJIT	W	74-64	81%
Dec 02, 2025	66	@ Butler	L	64-83	5%
Dec 10, 2025	192	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	72-80	24%
Dec 19, 2025	104	@ Akron	L	71-86	10%
Dec 22, 2025	191	@ Wright St.	L	70-78	24%
Dec 30, 2025	173	Massachusetts	L	74-77	40%
Jan 03, 2026	145	Ohio	L	74-79	34%
Jan 06, 2026	244	@ Ball St.	L	69-75	31%
Jan 10, 2026	286	@ Western Michigan	L	72-75	40%
Jan 13, 2026	316	Northern Illinois	W	77-72	65%
Jan 17, 2026	220	@ Bowling Green	L	70-77	29%
Jan 24, 2026	126	Kent St.	L	67-73	30%
Jan 27, 2026	299	@ Central Michigan	L	70-73	41%
Jan 31, 2026	173	@ Massachusetts	L	71-80	23%
Feb 03, 2026	104	Akron	L	74-83	23%
Feb 11, 2026	126	@ Kent St.	L	64-76	16%
Feb 14, 2026	286	Western Michigan	W	75-72	59%
Feb 17, 2026	299	Central Michigan	W	73-70	60%
Feb 21, 2026	180	@ Toledo	L	72-81	24%
Feb 24, 2026	128	Miami (OH)	L	72-78	30%
Mar 03, 2026	334	@ Buffalo	W	76-75	51%
Mar 06, 2026	220	Bowling Green	L	73-74	48%
Projected Record						10 - 19	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0		1.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0				1.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.7	1.3	0.6	0.1	0.0					2.9	3rd
4th										0.1	1.0	1.8	1.0	0.1							4.1	4th
5th									0.1	1.2	2.6	1.4	0.2								5.6	5th
6th								0.1	1.1	3.2	2.0	0.3	0.0								6.7	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	1.2	3.8	3.1	0.5	0.0									8.8	7th
8th						0.0	1.1	4.1	4.0	0.8	0.0										10.1	8th
9th					0.0	1.0	4.2	4.8	1.3	0.1											11.3	9th
10th				0.1	1.1	4.2	5.0	1.7	0.2												12.3	10th
11th			0.1	1.2	4.4	4.7	1.8	0.2	0.0												12.3	11th
12th		0.2	1.9	4.2	4.1	1.6	0.2														12.3	12th
13th	0.9	2.3	3.7	2.7	0.9	0.1	0.0														10.6	13th

Total	0.9	2.5	5.7	8.2	10.5	11.6	12.4	12.1	10.5	8.5	6.4	4.4	3.0	1.7	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	87.5%	0.2		0.1	0.0
15-3	77.3%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
14-4	39.4%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-5	14.1%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.2%	1.2		0.6	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		32.5%	32.5%		13.0														0.0				0.0
17-1	0.0%		9.8%	9.8%		12.0													0.0					0.0
16-2	0.2%		27.1%	27.1%		12.7												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
15-3	0.4%		13.3%	13.3%		12.7													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.4
14-4	0.9%		12.9%	12.9%		13.4													0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.8
13-5	1.7%		7.8%	7.8%		13.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		1.6
12-6	3.0%		6.4%	6.4%		14.4													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	2.8
11-7	4.4%		4.1%	4.1%		15.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	4.2
10-8	6.4%		2.4%	2.4%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.0	6.2
9-9	8.5%		1.6%	1.6%		18.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	8.4
8-10	10.5%		0.7%	0.7%		16.7																0.0	0.1	10.4
7-11	12.1%		0.3%	0.3%		15.9																0.0	0.0	12.0
6-12	12.4%																							12.4
5-13	11.6%																							11.6
4-14	10.5%																							10.5
3-15	8.2%																							8.2
2-16	5.7%																							5.7
1-17	2.5%																							2.5
0-18	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		1.1%	1.1%	0.0%	15.0												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.2	98.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%