Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#119
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#177
Pace82.3#7
Improvement-9.1#365

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#125
First Shot+0.8#153
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#123
Layup/Dunks+1.6#117
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#62
Freethrows-1.1#253
Improvement-3.3#359

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#125
First Shot-0.7#204
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#49
Layups/Dunks+0.7#148
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#265
Freethrows-0.8#234
Improvement-5.8#364
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 9.9 9.9 n/a
.500 or above 6.8% 6.8% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 6.3% 6.4% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 24.4% 24.3% 46.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Home) - 99.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 61 - 12
Quad 22 - 63 - 18
Quad 32 - 25 - 19
Quad 47 - 012 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 331 Alcorn St. W 108-76 93%     1 - 0 +18.6 +20.9 -4.7
  Fri, Nov 7 266 Alabama St. W 101-64 86%     2 - 0 +28.4 +11.3 +13.1
  Tue, Nov 11 13 @Florida L 76-78 6%     2 - 1 +18.8 +4.0 +15.1
  Tue, Nov 18 251 Tennessee Martin W 87-73 85%     3 - 1 +5.8 +5.6 -0.8
  Fri, Nov 21 237 Georgia Southern W 98-72 83%     4 - 1 +18.9 +4.9 +9.9
  Tue, Nov 25 312 Cal St. Bakersfield W 89-59 91%     5 - 1 +18.2 -1.3 +15.4
  Fri, Nov 28 46 Texas A&M L 59-95 22%     5 - 2 -24.8 -13.6 -8.6
  Tue, Dec 2 19 Georgia L 73-107 17%     5 - 3 -21.1 -2.1 -15.4
  Sat, Dec 6 8 Houston L 67-82 7%     5 - 4 +5.0 +5.7 -0.8
  Sat, Dec 13 153 Massachusetts L 95-103 60%     5 - 5 -7.6 +10.2 -16.6
  Tue, Dec 16 62 @Dayton L 69-97 20%     5 - 6 -16.0 -4.1 -9.0
  Fri, Dec 19 365 Mississippi Valley W 94-65 99.7%   
  Mon, Dec 22 305 Jacksonville W 85-71 91%    
  Tue, Dec 30 23 @North Carolina L 74-89 7%    
  Sat, Jan 3 2 Duke L 71-88 6%    
  Sat, Jan 10 29 North Carolina St. L 81-89 23%    
  Tue, Jan 13 69 @Syracuse L 76-84 23%    
  Sat, Jan 17 42 Wake Forest L 80-86 30%    
  Tue, Jan 20 33 @Miami (FL) L 76-89 11%    
  Sat, Jan 24 40 @SMU L 78-90 14%    
  Wed, Jan 28 81 California L 80-81 45%    
  Sat, Jan 31 93 Stanford W 84-83 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 54 @Notre Dame L 72-82 19%    
  Tue, Feb 10 24 Virginia L 77-86 21%    
  Sat, Feb 14 64 @Virginia Tech L 78-87 22%    
  Tue, Feb 17 147 Boston College W 78-73 68%    
  Sat, Feb 21 35 @Clemson L 70-82 13%    
  Tue, Feb 24 33 Miami (FL) L 79-86 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 128 @Georgia Tech L 79-81 42%    
  Wed, Mar 4 106 @Pittsburgh L 75-79 37%    
  Sat, Mar 7 40 SMU L 81-87 29%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.2 2.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.1 0.7 0.0 3.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.4 2.1 0.2 5.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.8 3.8 0.8 0.0 6.5 12th
13th 0.1 1.3 4.8 2.5 0.1 8.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.8 4.8 4.8 0.8 0.0 11.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.6 4.7 6.6 2.0 0.1 14.0 15th
16th 0.0 0.4 4.1 7.2 3.3 0.3 0.0 15.3 16th
17th 0.5 3.7 7.0 4.0 0.6 0.0 15.8 17th
18th 0.9 3.7 5.4 3.0 0.6 0.0 13.6 18th
Total 0.9 4.2 9.6 14.8 17.3 16.7 13.9 10.3 6.1 3.5 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 33.3% 0.0    0.0
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 47.6% 4.8% 42.9% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 45.0%
12-6 0.3% 22.9% 1.2% 21.7% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 22.0%
11-7 0.8% 3.0% 3.0% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.0%
10-8 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.6% 11.0 0.0 1.7 0.6%
9-9 3.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 3.5 0.1%
8-10 6.1% 6.1
7-11 10.3% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 10.2
6-12 13.9% 13.9
5-13 16.7% 16.7
4-14 17.3% 17.3
3-15 14.8% 14.8
2-16 9.6% 9.6
1-17 4.2% 4.2
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.2%