IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.8	#249
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.7	#62
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.5	#218

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.3	#284

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.6%	4.6%	2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.7	13.2	13.8

.500 or above	32.3%	52.6%	25.7%
.500 or above in Conference	42.1%	56.7%	37.4%
Conference Champion	3.5%	6.5%	2.5%
Last Place in Conference	9.2%	4.5%	10.8%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	2.6%	4.6%	2.0%
Second Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 24.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 8	3 - 11
Quad 4	9 - 6	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	158	@ East Carolina	L	68-76	24%
Nov 08, 2025	184	UNC Asheville	L	76-77	50%
Nov 11, 2025	181	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	68-74	29%
Nov 18, 2025	83	@ Georgia Tech	L	68-82	10%
Nov 21, 2025	78	@ Florida St.	L	69-84	10%
Nov 24, 2025	179	Youngstown St.	L	74-77	38%
Nov 25, 2025	167	Texas San Antonio	L	76-80	37%
Nov 29, 2025	289	Houston Christian	W	73-68	68%
Dec 03, 2025	143	Louisiana Tech	L	68-71	41%
Dec 06, 2025	307	@ Gardner-Webb	W	76-75	52%
Dec 13, 2025	345	@ West Georgia	W	77-73	64%
Dec 18, 2025	284	Georgia St.	W	80-75	67%
Dec 20, 2025	129	James Madison	L	70-74	38%
Jan 01, 2026	275	@ Coastal Carolina	L	69-71	45%
Jan 03, 2026	200	@ Old Dominion	L	70-75	32%
Jan 10, 2026	163	@ South Alabama	L	65-72	28%
Jan 15, 2026	200	Old Dominion	W	73-72	52%
Jan 17, 2026	275	Coastal Carolina	W	72-68	64%
Jan 22, 2026	140	Arkansas St.	L	75-78	40%
Jan 24, 2026	130	Troy	L	70-74	38%
Jan 29, 2026	348	@ Louisiana Monroe	W	76-72	64%
Jan 31, 2026	234	@ Louisiana	L	71-75	38%
Feb 04, 2026	193	Texas St.	W	73-72	51%
Feb 11, 2026	201	Appalachian St.	W	67-66	52%
Feb 14, 2026	187	Marshall	W	76-75	50%
Feb 19, 2026	284	@ Georgia St.	L	77-78	47%
Feb 21, 2026	201	@ Appalachian St.	L	64-69	32%
Feb 25, 2026	129	@ James Madison	L	67-77	22%
Feb 27, 2026	187	@ Marshall	L	72-78	31%
Projected Record						12 - 17	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.5	1.0	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0		3.5	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.7	1.7	1.0	0.4	0.0				4.0	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.0	2.3	1.5	0.3	0.0					5.4	3rd
4th										0.0	1.0	2.9	1.9	0.3	0.0						6.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	3.0	2.5	0.5	0.0							6.5	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	2.7	3.5	0.9	0.1								7.6	6th
7th							0.0	0.1	2.0	4.2	1.7	0.1									8.1	7th
8th							0.1	1.4	4.3	2.5	0.2	0.0									8.6	8th
9th						0.1	0.9	3.9	3.5	0.5	0.0										9.0	9th
10th					0.0	0.7	3.4	4.3	1.1	0.0											9.6	10th
11th				0.0	0.7	3.1	3.8	1.5	0.1												9.2	11th
12th			0.1	0.7	2.8	3.7	1.7	0.2													9.1	12th
13th	0.0	0.2	1.1	2.4	2.9	1.4	0.2	0.0													8.2	13th
14th	0.3	1.0	1.8	1.3	0.6	0.1															5.1	14th

Total	0.3	1.2	2.9	4.5	6.9	9.0	10.2	11.5	11.4	10.6	9.5	7.5	5.7	4.1	2.4	1.5	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	92.4%	0.6		0.5	0.1
15-3	70.2%	1.0		0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	42.2%	1.0		0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0
13-5	13.0%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1
12-6	1.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.5%	3.5		1.9	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		45.4%	45.4%		11.2												0.0	0.0					0.0
17-1	0.2%		43.2%	43.2%		12.0												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.1
16-2	0.6%		36.4%	36.4%		12.4												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.4
15-3	1.5%		28.4%	28.4%		13.0												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.0
14-4	2.4%		23.0%	23.0%		13.3												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	1.8
13-5	4.1%		11.7%	11.7%		13.8													0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	3.6
12-6	5.7%		6.6%	6.6%		14.5														0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	5.3
11-7	7.5%		3.4%	3.4%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	7.3
10-8	9.5%		1.4%	1.4%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	9.3
9-9	10.6%		0.3%	0.3%		14.9															0.0	0.0	0.0	10.5
8-10	11.4%		0.2%	0.2%		15.7																0.0	0.0	11.4
7-11	11.5%		0.1%	0.1%		15.5																0.0	0.0	11.5
6-12	10.2%																							10.2
5-13	9.0%																							9.0
4-14	6.9%																							6.9
3-15	4.5%																							4.5
2-16	2.9%																							2.9
1-17	1.2%																							1.2
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		2.6%	2.6%	0.0%	13.7												0.1	0.4	0.8	0.8	0.4	0.1	97.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%