IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.5	#219
Expected Predictive Rating	-2.0	#199

Pace	75.1	#46
Improvement	+0.9	#110

Offense
Total Offense	+0.0	#166

First Shot	+1.7	#127
After Offensive Rebound	-1.7	#290

Layup/Dunks	-2.4	#268
2 Pt Jumpshots	-2.3	#305
3 Pt Jumpshots	+5.0	#45
Freethrows	+1.4	#99

Improvement	+1.0	#102

Defense
Total Defense	-3.5	#295

First Shot	-2.5	#259
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.0	#264

Layups/Dunks	-2.4	#273
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.0	#43
3 Pt Jumpshots	+0.1	#180
Freethrows	-2.2	#313

Improvement	-0.1	#183

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.5%	5.9%	2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	14.6	14.8

.500 or above	68.7%	79.2%	55.3%
.500 or above in Conference	66.6%	77.6%	52.8%
Conference Champion	5.8%	8.5%	2.4%
Last Place in Conference	0.9%	0.3%	1.7%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	4.4%	5.9%	2.6%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Home) - 55.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	4 - 7	4 - 8
Quad 4	13 - 6	16 - 14

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Tue, Nov 4	250 @East Carolina	L	89-92	45%	0 - 1			-5.2	+6.1	-10.9
Sat, Nov 8	216 UNC Asheville	W	93-90	61%	1 - 1			-3.5	+4.0	-7.9
Tue, Nov 11	183 @Florida Gulf Coast	W	95-94	32%	2 - 1			+2.4	+17.7	-15.4
Tue, Nov 18	127 @Georgia Tech	L	66-68	21%	2 - 2			+3.1	-6.1	+9.3
Fri, Nov 21	119 @Florida St.	L	72-98	19%	2 - 3			-20.1	-9.3	-6.7
Mon, Nov 24	166 Youngstown St.	L	61-67	39%	2 - 4			-6.6	-8.9	+2.1
Tue, Nov 25	295 Texas San Antonio	L	64-77	64%	2 - 5			-20.2	-13.3	-6.3
Sat, Nov 29	279 Houston Christian	W	80-62	71%	3 - 5			+8.7	+4.1	+5.5
Wed, Dec 3	188 Louisiana Tech	W	77-69	55%	4 - 5			+3.1	+9.2	-5.7
Sat, Dec 6	362 @Gardner-Webb	W	88-84	80%	5 - 5			-8.5	+3.7	-12.5
Sat, Dec 13	312 @West Georgia	W	91-85	59%	6 - 5			+0.2	+12.0	-12.0
Thu, Dec 18	344 Georgia St.	W	90-67	85%	7 - 5	1 - 0		+8.5	+15.4	-5.9
Sat, Dec 20	195 James Madison	W	79-77	56%
Thu, Jan 1	259 @Coastal Carolina	L	77-78	46%
Sat, Jan 3	209 @Old Dominion	L	78-81	38%
Sat, Jan 10	185 @South Alabama	L	72-77	33%
Thu, Jan 15	209 Old Dominion	W	81-78	59%
Sat, Jan 17	259 Coastal Carolina	W	80-75	67%
Thu, Jan 22	138 Arkansas St.	L	83-85	43%
Sat, Jan 24	143 Troy	L	77-79	44%
Thu, Jan 29	355 @Louisiana Monroe	W	84-77	75%
Sat, Jan 31	321 @Louisiana	W	72-69	61%
Wed, Feb 4	257 Texas St.	W	77-72	67%
Wed, Feb 11	207 Appalachian St.	W	72-70	59%
Sat, Feb 14	157 Marshall	L	80-81	48%
Thu, Feb 19	344 @Georgia St.	W	81-76	68%
Sat, Feb 21	207 @Appalachian St.	L	69-73	37%
Wed, Feb 25	195 @James Madison	L	76-80	35%
Fri, Feb 27	157 @Marshall	L	77-84	28%
Projected Record					16 - 13	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.2	2.0	1.5	0.6	0.2	0.0		5.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	2.0	3.1	1.7	0.4	0.0	0.0			7.4	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.9	4.2	2.2	0.3	0.0					8.7	3rd
4th										0.0	1.2	4.9	3.0	0.3	0.0						9.4	4th
5th										0.4	4.1	4.7	0.7	0.0							10.0	5th
6th								0.0	0.1	2.6	6.0	1.6	0.0								10.4	6th
7th								0.1	1.3	5.5	3.0	0.2									10.1	7th
8th							0.0	0.7	4.0	4.3	0.6	0.0									9.6	8th
9th						0.0	0.3	2.8	4.7	1.3	0.0										9.2	9th
10th					0.0	0.2	1.9	3.8	2.0	0.1											8.1	10th
11th				0.0	0.2	1.3	2.8	1.8	0.2	0.0											6.3	11th
12th			0.0	0.1	0.7	1.4	1.0	0.2	0.0												3.4	12th
13th			0.0	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0													1.2	13th
14th		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0															0.3	14th

Total		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.5	3.4	6.2	9.3	12.4	14.3	15.0	13.6	10.2	6.9	3.9	1.9	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	98.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	94.5%	0.6		0.5	0.1
15-3	78.4%	1.5		1.0	0.5	0.0	0.0
14-4	50.8%	2.0		0.8	0.9	0.3	0.0	0.0
13-5	17.9%	1.2		0.2	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0
12-6	2.1%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	5.8%	5.8		2.7	1.9	0.9	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																		0.0	0.0				0.0
17-1	0.2%		48.0%	48.0%		13.3													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
16-2	0.7%		28.0%	28.0%		13.8														0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.5
15-3	1.9%		27.1%	27.1%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.3	0.2		1.4
14-4	3.9%		20.8%	20.8%		14.3														0.1	0.4	0.3	0.0	3.1
13-5	6.9%		13.5%	13.5%		14.7														0.0	0.3	0.5	0.1	6.0
12-6	10.2%		8.2%	8.2%		14.8														0.0	0.2	0.5	0.1	9.3
11-7	13.6%		4.3%	4.3%		15.1															0.1	0.4	0.1	13.0
10-8	15.0%		2.0%	2.0%		15.2															0.0	0.2	0.1	14.7
9-9	14.3%		1.0%	1.0%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.1	14.1
8-10	12.4%		0.4%	0.4%		15.7																0.0	0.0	12.4
7-11	9.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.3
6-12	6.2%																							6.2
5-13	3.4%																							3.4
4-14	1.5%																							1.5
3-15	0.5%																							0.5
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		4.5%	4.5%	0.0%	14.7													0.0	0.3	1.5	2.1	0.6	95.5		0.0%