Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -10.3 #326
Expected Predictive Rating -9.7 #323
Pace 64.4 #298
Improvement -2.6 #290

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #311 C- F+ C D+ D-
Defense #314 D C D B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% #337 1.05 #304 -6.0 #349
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #51 0.87 #46 +4.3 #24
Three Pointers 41% #188 0.99 #225 -0.6 #208
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #244 -2.2 #244
Freethrows 0.26 #314 74% #108 0.19 #281
Second Chance 20.7% #360 0.97 #256 0.20 #358
Turnovers 17.1% #186
Total Offense -5.4 #311

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #62 1.28 #323 -5.2 #343
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #214 0.90 #348 -0.9 #260
Three Pointers 38% #270 1.02 #183 +1.6 #117
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #313 -4.4 #312
Freethrows 0.27 #69 72% #162 0.19 #75
Second Chance 29.7% #136 1.09 #279 0.32 #211
Turnovers 14.1% #332
Total Defense -4.9 #314

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.8% #330 1.0% #262
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.6% #199 7.6% #316
Possession Length 18.5 #303 17.4 #205
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #328 0.16 #125
Improvement -1.0 #240 -1.5 #271

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.0% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 4.1% 7.0% 0.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 50.4% 37.7% 65.1%
First Four1.6% 2.0% 1.1%
First Round0.8% 1.0% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lehigh (Home) - 53.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 42 - 7
Quad 48 - 1410 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 67 @Providence L 79 - 89 3% -10  0 - 1 +1 -1 C+ F C- +3 B B D+
 Sat, Nov 8 15 @BYU L 53 - 98 1% -28  0 - 2 -24 -12 F+ D D- -10 F A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 105 @Utah L 69 - 87 6% -9  0 - 3 -11 -2 C- F+ A- -9 D+ C+ F
 Sun, Nov 16 252 Hampton W 67 - 61 31% +0  1 - 3 +1 +6 C+ C+ D -4 C- D+ C-
 Tue, Nov 18 281 @Brown L 49 - 68 27% -12  1 - 4 -23 -14 D F D- -12 F F D+
 Fri, Nov 21 274 @Sacred Heart L 66 - 79 25% -9  1 - 5 -16 -8 C F F -9 F B+ F+
 Mon, Nov 24 175 Siena L 69 - 73 28% -1  1 - 6 -8 -1 A- F C- -7 F A+ D-
 Wed, Dec 3 256 Northeastern W 76 - 59 43% +13  2 - 6 +9 -0 B F B+ +9 A C+ B-
 Sat, Dec 6 169 @Fordham W 70 - 69 12% -7  3 - 6 +3 +7 B- A D- -3 D C D-
 Tue, Dec 16 228 Dartmouth L 64 - 89 37% -11  3 - 7 -32 -10 F+ F C -23 F D+ B
 Sat, Dec 20 165 @Harvard L 53 - 81 12% -16  3 - 8 -25 -11 F D A -19 F F C-
 Wed, Dec 31 315 Bucknell W 65 - 58 58% +4  4 - 8 1 - 0 -5 -5 D F+ C +0 D+ A- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 180 Navy L 58 - 65 28% -6  4 - 9 1 - 1 -11 -6 F A+ D+ -6 D+ A D
 Wed, Jan 7 300 @Lehigh L 58 - 66 31% -5  4 - 10 1 - 2 -13 -10 D- F B -4 D- C C
 Sat, Jan 10 245 @American W 84 - 73 21% +3  5 - 10 2 - 2 +9 +10 B+ D A -1 A- D- D-
 Wed, Jan 14 336 Army W 82 - 75 65% +7  6 - 10 3 - 2 -7 +3 A F B -10 D+ C+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 309 @Lafayette L 55 - 74 34% -12  6 - 11 3 - 3 -25 -16 F F D- -11 C- F+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 180 @Navy L 68 - 85 13% -6  6 - 12 3 - 4 -15 +3 B- C D -20 F+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 245 American L 67 - 76 40% -8  6 - 13 3 - 5 -17 -3 B F D- -15 D C- F
 Wed, Jan 28 221 @Colgate L 74 - 79 18% +0  6 - 14 3 - 6 -5 +4 B+ F A -10 C+ F+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 336 @Army L 68 - 69 42% -1  6 - 15 3 - 7 -9 -8 F D- C+ -1 B+ F B+
 Mon, Feb 2 286 Boston University L 64 - 72 49% -3  6 - 16 3 - 8 -18 -4 F C- A+ -15 F B+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 300 Lehigh W 70 - 69 54%
 Wed, Feb 11 221 Colgate L 70 - 74 36%
 Sun, Feb 15 318 @Loyola Maryland L 71 - 75 38%
 Wed, Feb 18 309 Lafayette W 71 - 69 56%
 Sun, Feb 22 315 @Bucknell L 68 - 72 37%
 Wed, Feb 25 286 @Boston University L 67 - 73 28%
 Sat, Feb 28 318 Loyola Maryland W 74 - 72 59%
Totals 9 - 20 6 - 12 -10 -5 C- F+ C -5 D C D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 0.1 0.4 3rd
4th 0.8 2.1 0.2 3.2 4th
5th 0.6 5.1 1.2 0.0 6.9 5th
6th 0.1 5.0 4.4 0.2 9.5 6th
7th 2.2 9.8 1.1 13.1 7th
8th 0.7 10.3 5.5 0.1 16.6 8th
9th 0.6 7.2 12.3 0.6 20.7 9th
10th 2.4 10.3 13.8 3.1 0.0 29.6 10th
Total 2.4 10.8 21.7 28.0 21.5 11.5 3.7 0.4 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.4% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4
9-9 3.7% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.3 3.4
8-10 11.5% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.4 11.1
7-11 21.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.3 21.2
6-12 28.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.3 27.7
5-13 21.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.2 21.6
4-14 10.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.7
3-15 2.4% 2.4
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 16.0 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%