Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#290
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#223
Pace65.1#297
Improvement+2.6#38

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#248
First Shot+2.1#121
After Offensive Rebound-5.1#363
Layup/Dunks-4.4#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#11
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#107
Freethrows-1.3#265
Improvement+2.1#41

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#305
First Shot-8.1#363
After Offensive Rebounds+4.2#4
Layups/Dunks-8.1#362
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#180
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#271
Freethrows+2.1#68
Improvement+0.5#146
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.6% 8.9% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 32.5% 42.3% 21.4%
.500 or above in Conference 57.1% 62.3% 51.3%
Conference Champion 8.0% 10.0% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 6.3% 10.6%
First Four4.1% 4.3% 3.9%
First Round5.6% 6.8% 4.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Home) - 53.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 412 - 914 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 70 @Providence L 79-89 6%     0 - 1 +0.9 +0.1 +1.9
  Sat, Nov 8 9 @BYU L 53-98 1%     0 - 2 -22.7 -11.4 -10.0
  Mon, Nov 10 120 @Utah L 69-87 12%     0 - 3 -11.9 -1.7 -10.5
  Sun, Nov 16 230 Hampton W 67-61 38%     1 - 3 +2.0 +5.6 -2.5
  Tue, Nov 18 218 @Brown L 49-68 26%     1 - 4 -19.4 -13.2 -9.0
  Fri, Nov 21 257 @Sacred Heart L 66-79 32%     1 - 5 -15.3 -6.6 -9.3
  Mon, Nov 24 164 Siena L 69-73 36%     1 - 6 -7.3 +1.2 -8.8
  Wed, Dec 3 208 Northeastern W 76-59 47%     2 - 6 +10.8 +6.3 +5.4
  Sat, Dec 6 195 @Fordham W 70-69 24%     3 - 6 +1.6 +4.6 -2.9
  Tue, Dec 16 246 Dartmouth W 74-73 53%    
  Sat, Dec 20 199 @Harvard L 65-72 24%    
  Wed, Dec 31 304 Bucknell W 72-68 64%    
  Sat, Jan 3 204 Navy L 69-70 46%    
  Wed, Jan 7 309 @Lehigh L 70-72 44%    
  Sat, Jan 10 249 @American L 70-75 32%    
  Wed, Jan 14 332 Army W 74-68 73%    
  Sat, Jan 17 319 @Lafayette L 70-71 48%    
  Wed, Jan 21 204 @Navy L 66-73 26%    
  Sat, Jan 24 249 American W 73-72 54%    
  Wed, Jan 28 181 @Colgate L 67-76 22%    
  Sat, Jan 31 332 @Army W 72-71 51%    
  Mon, Feb 2 289 Boston University W 72-69 61%    
  Sat, Feb 7 309 Lehigh W 73-69 65%    
  Wed, Feb 11 181 Colgate L 70-73 40%    
  Sun, Feb 15 339 @Loyola Maryland W 74-73 54%    
  Wed, Feb 18 319 Lafayette W 73-68 68%    
  Sun, Feb 22 304 @Bucknell L 69-71 43%    
  Wed, Feb 25 289 @Boston University L 69-72 39%    
  Sat, Feb 28 339 Loyola Maryland W 77-70 74%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.2 2.3 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 8.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.0 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 11.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.6 5.4 2.9 0.5 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.4 3.8 6.1 2.7 0.4 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.2 3.0 6.1 2.7 0.2 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.3 6.1 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.0 3.1 0.3 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.9 2.9 0.4 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.7 2.2 0.5 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.4 1.1 0.3 4.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.0 5.3 8.4 11.0 13.0 13.4 13.0 11.2 8.4 5.5 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 97.7% 0.6    0.5 0.0
15-3 87.3% 1.4    1.2 0.3
14-4 66.2% 2.1    1.3 0.7 0.1
13-5 41.7% 2.3    1.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
12-6 14.0% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.0% 8.0 4.5 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 40.4% 40.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 32.6% 32.6% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.6% 23.0% 23.0% 15.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.2
14-4 3.2% 20.7% 20.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 2.6
13-5 5.5% 17.5% 17.5% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 4.6
12-6 8.4% 14.5% 14.5% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.2
11-7 11.2% 12.7% 12.7% 15.9 0.1 1.3 9.8
10-8 13.0% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0 11.9
9-9 13.4% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.8 12.6
8-10 13.0% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.6
7-11 11.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 10.8
6-12 8.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.3
5-13 5.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.3
4-14 3.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.6% 7.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 6.1 92.4 0.0%