James Madison
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#193
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#182
Pace64.8#304
Improvement-0.2#195

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#127
First Shot+2.7#101
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#254
Layup/Dunks-1.0#221
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#316
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#30
Freethrows+0.3#160
Improvement+0.2#156

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#294
First Shot-4.6#326
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#113
Layups/Dunks-1.5#238
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#219
Freethrows-3.5#347
Improvement-0.4#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.2% 8.6% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.5
.500 or above 70.5% 82.4% 60.4%
.500 or above in Conference 67.5% 80.0% 56.8%
Conference Champion 4.9% 8.0% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.2% 1.4%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round6.2% 8.6% 4.1%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Away) - 46.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 34 - 64 - 10
Quad 412 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 66 @Akron L 71-85 11%     0 - 1 -2.5 -3.4 +1.2
  Sun, Nov 9 364 Coppin St. W 84-70 95%     1 - 1 -7.6 +1.3 -8.9
  Wed, Nov 12 293 @Longwood L 72-82 58%     1 - 2 -14.2 -3.2 -11.0
  Sat, Nov 15 201 @LIU Brooklyn L 79-88 41%     1 - 3 -8.6 -0.2 -7.8
  Tue, Nov 18 137 Towson W 81-75 48%     2 - 3 +4.4 +18.6 -13.5
  Mon, Nov 24 187 @Florida International W 80-72 37%     3 - 3 +9.2 +10.7 -1.2
  Tue, Nov 25 231 Nebraska Omaha W 88-77 58%     4 - 3 +6.9 +18.8 -11.0
  Sat, Nov 29 75 @George Mason L 66-82 12%     4 - 4 -5.4 +2.4 -8.7
  Wed, Dec 3 350 NC Central W 67-62 89%     5 - 4 -10.2 -4.5 -5.1
  Sat, Dec 6 226 Norfolk St. W 68-67 68%     6 - 4 -6.0 +0.6 -6.5
  Wed, Dec 17 205 @Old Dominion L 68-77 42%     6 - 5 0 - 1 -9.0 -2.2 -7.2
  Sat, Dec 20 235 @Georgia Southern L 78-79 46%    
  Mon, Dec 29 20 @Arkansas L 67-88 2%    
  Sun, Jan 4 141 @Arkansas St. L 76-82 27%    
  Wed, Jan 7 158 Marshall W 75-74 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 205 Old Dominion W 76-72 64%    
  Thu, Jan 15 225 @Appalachian St. L 67-68 46%    
  Sat, Jan 17 158 @Marshall L 72-77 31%    
  Thu, Jan 22 186 South Alabama W 72-69 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 260 Texas St. W 73-67 73%    
  Thu, Jan 29 143 @Troy L 70-76 28%    
  Sat, Jan 31 202 @Southern Miss L 73-75 42%    
  Wed, Feb 4 327 Louisiana W 72-61 84%    
  Thu, Feb 12 337 Georgia St. W 79-67 85%    
  Sat, Feb 14 225 Appalachian St. W 70-65 67%    
  Wed, Feb 18 241 @Coastal Carolina L 73-74 48%    
  Sat, Feb 21 337 @Georgia St. W 76-70 70%    
  Wed, Feb 25 235 Georgia Southern W 81-76 68%    
  Fri, Feb 27 241 Coastal Carolina W 76-70 70%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.3 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 4.9 1st
2nd 0.3 2.0 3.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 4.4 2.1 0.3 0.0 8.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 5.4 3.2 0.4 0.0 10.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.5 4.6 0.8 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.9 5.8 1.6 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 5.8 3.0 0.1 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.4 4.3 0.5 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.5 1.2 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.0 1.8 0.1 7.7 10th
11th 0.2 0.9 2.6 1.6 0.2 5.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.9 5.7 9.3 12.5 14.9 15.3 14.1 10.6 7.0 3.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-2 95.9% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 82.7% 1.2    0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
14-4 48.6% 1.8    0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 18.4% 1.3    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.2 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.5% 46.9% 46.9% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
15-3 1.4% 31.4% 31.4% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.0
14-4 3.6% 27.0% 27.0% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.7
13-5 7.0% 21.0% 21.0% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.0 5.5
12-6 10.6% 11.9% 11.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 9.3
11-7 14.1% 6.9% 6.9% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 13.1
10-8 15.3% 2.8% 2.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 14.9
9-9 14.9% 1.3% 1.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.7
8-10 12.5% 1.1% 1.1% 15.5 0.1 0.1 12.4
7-11 9.3% 0.3% 0.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 9.2
6-12 5.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.7
5-13 2.9% 2.9
4-14 1.5% 1.5
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.3 0.4 93.8 0.0%