Liberty
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +2.4 126
Results Rating +6.2 90
Consistency 0.17 269
Pace 61.9 340
Improvement -5.1 341

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 68 A F A- D- A
Defense D+ 272 C- D- C+ B+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 13 B 65% 50 +7.7 8
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% 365 C 38% 199 -5.6 364
Three Pointers 48% 47 A- 39% 16 +6.9 18
Shot Selection/Accuracy A +2.4 1 A- +6.0 24
1st FG Attempt A 1.20 9
Second Chance F 18.3% 364 C- 0.99 248 F 0.18 362
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.7% 31
Other Turnovers B+ 5.7% 24
Turnovers A- 13.4% 19
Freethrows D- 0.25 333 D 69% 295 D- 0.17 345
Total Offense B +5.5 68

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 52% 110 B- 9.2% 87
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 253 C+ 4.5% 148
Three Pointers C- 82% 239 D+ 1.2% 276
Total B 62% 58 C+ 5.1% 128


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 170 B 53% 53 -1.7 113
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 173 D- 43% 325 +0.8 256
Three Pointers 40% 197 D- 38% 341 +2.2 294
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 184 C- +1.2 232
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 224
Second Chance C- 31.3% 229 F 1.25 364 D- 0.39 342
Turnovers from Steals C 9.4% 182
Other Turnovers C+ 7.7% 105
Turnovers C+ 17.2% 145
Freethrows A- 0.23 14 D+ 74% 259 B+ 0.17 20
Total Defense D+ -3.2 272

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 41% 41 C+ 11.9% 131
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 88 C- 4.1% 223
Three Pointers D 88% 298 C 1.0% 133
Total C+ 53% 133 C 5.9% 150

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.5 295 18.2 305
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 325 0.12 50
Consistency 0.13 220 0.11 107
Improvement -1.8 285 -3.3 324

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 127 125 124
Results Rating Rank 93 91 90
Conference Record 17 - 3 17 - 3 17 - 3
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 1
Quad 21 - 02 - 1
Quad 39 - 411 - 5
Quad 411 - 222 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 162 College of Charleston W 90 - 75 69% +8  95% 1 - 0 B+ +12 A+ +25 A+ A- A+ F -11 D- F B+
 Sun, Nov 9 128 Florida Atlantic W 88 - 68 62% +15  97% 2 - 0 A +19 A+ +16 A+ D- B+ B- +4 A+ F B-
 Mon, Nov 24 231 Vermont W 79 - 73 73% +10  95% 3 - 0 C+ +2 B- +5 A+ F B- C- -3 C- F C+
 Tue, Nov 25 155 Towson L 69 - 72 58% +1  53% 3 - 1 C- -3 B- +4 B D- A+ D- -7 D+ F C-
 Wed, Nov 26 111 Bradley L 64 - 74 46% -10  1% 3 - 2 D+ -7 D -4 B- F C+ C- -3 D F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 362 Coppin St. W 92 - 50 98% +34  97% 4 - 2 A +20 A +12 A+ D C A +10 A A+ C
 Wed, Dec 10 35 @North Carolina St. L 45 - 85 9% -25  0% 4 - 3 F -23 F -24 F F F C -1 D+ A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 20 79 @Dayton W 64 - 61 22% -2  33% 5 - 3 B+ +14 B +7 A F A+ A- +7 A+ C C-
 Sun, Dec 28 189 @Florida International W 97 - 94 OT 54% -0  38% 6 - 3 1 - 0 C+ +4 A +14 A- D+ A+ F -10 C- F C+
 Fri, Jan 2 165 Kennesaw St. W 81 - 73 70% +8  99% 7 - 3 2 - 0 C+ +5 C- -1 A- F C B+ +5 A+ C- C+
 Sun, Jan 4 202 Jacksonville St. W 78 - 69 77% +4  70% 8 - 3 3 - 0 C+ +4 B+ +9 C C A+ D+ -5 B+ F D-
 Thu, Jan 8 183 @Louisiana Tech W 72 - 56 52% +8  96% 9 - 3 4 - 0 A- +18 A +12 B C A+ A +9 B- A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 112 @Sam Houston St. W 82 - 74 34% +5  84% 10 - 3 5 - 0 B+ +14 B +7 A+ F C A- +7 C B- A+
 Thu, Jan 15 184 New Mexico St. W 73 - 71 74% +6  89% 11 - 3 6 - 0 C- -2 A- +10 A+ F A F -12 D- F D
 Sat, Jan 17 261 UTEP W 80 - 69 85% +7  95% 12 - 3 7 - 0 C+ +2 A +13 A+ F A+ F+ -9 F A A-
 Wed, Jan 21 163 @Western Kentucky W 76 - 69 47% +5  81% 13 - 3 8 - 0 B +10 B+ +9 A+ D- C+ C+ +2 C- F A+
 Sat, Jan 24 287 Delaware W 67 - 51 88% +7  80% 14 - 3 9 - 0 B- +6 D+ -3 A F A A+ +12 C+ A- A+
 Thu, Jan 29 167 @Middle Tennessee W 81 - 65 48% +12  90% 15 - 3 10 - 0 A +19 A+ +18 A+ F A+ B- +3 A F B-
 Wed, Feb 4 287 @Delaware W 75 - 69 74% +1  53% 16 - 3 11 - 0 C +2 B +6 A+ F C- D+ -3 D- A- D
 Sat, Feb 7 194 Missouri St. W 79 - 76 75% +7  86% 17 - 3 12 - 0 C- -2 B- +4 A F C+ D -5 C F D+
 Wed, Feb 11 184 @New Mexico St. W 77 - 75 52% +1  43% 18 - 3 13 - 0 C+ +4 B- +5 C+ B A C -1 D+ F C
 Sat, Feb 14 261 @UTEP W 73 - 64 68% +2  68% 19 - 3 14 - 0 B- +6 B+ +9 A F A+ C -1 F D B
 Thu, Feb 19 189 Florida International W 90 - 89 OT 75% +1  48% 20 - 3 15 - 0 C- -4 C+ +2 A F B- D -6 C- F+ B
 Sat, Feb 21 163 Western Kentucky L 73 - 94 70% -8  18% 20 - 4 15 - 1 F -24 D+ -3 A+ F C F -21 F F D+
 Thu, Feb 26 165 @Kennesaw St. L 65 - 74 48% -3  29% 20 - 5 15 - 2 D+ -6 D+ -3 B- F D- D+ -4 F B- B
 Sat, Feb 28 202 @Jacksonville St. W 81 - 78 56% -3  13% 21 - 5 16 - 2 C+ +4 A+ +16 A+ F A- F -12 F+ F F
 Thu, Mar 5 183 Louisiana Tech L 71 - 76 74% -5  0% 21 - 6 16 - 3 D -9 B+ +9 A D- A+ F -19 F F F
 Sat, Mar 7 112 Sam Houston St. W 79 - 72 57% +6  83% 22 - 6 17 - 3 B- +7 A +13 A+ C A- D+ -4 A- F F+
 Wed, Mar 11 194 Missouri St. L 69 - 77 65% +1  45% 22 - 7 D -10 C- -1 D D A F+ -9 F C C-
Totals 22 - 7 17 - 3 +2 B +6 D A- A D+ -3 A- D D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B C A- A- 47% 12% 48% A A F C- F A- D- D D- D+ B D- D- C- 39% 21% 40% C C- C- F D- C+ A- D+ B+
1.17 65% 38% 39% +6 +2 1.20 18% 1.0 .18 13% .25 69% .17 1.13 53% 43% 38% +1 0 1.05 31% 1.3 .39 17% .23 74% .19
Nov
7		 College of Charleston A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 44% 8% 48% A+ A+ C+ A+ A- A+ A- C B+ F A F F F+ 35% 22% 43% C D- F F F B+ C+ A+ B+
1.44 64% 50% 46% +12 +2 1.30 32% 1.3 .42 8% .30 71% .21 1.20 50% 50% 40% +4 0 1.09 36% 1.5 .55 19% .34 65% .22
Nov
9		 Florida Atlantic A+ A+ F A+ A+ 45% 7% 47% A- A+ F+ C D- B+ F A+ D B- A+ C A+ A+ 48% 22% 30% D+ A+ D+ F F B- F F F
1.30 72% 0% 46% +12 +2 1.31 19% 1.0 .19 13% .22 85% .19 1.00 45% 40% 14% -15 +1 0.74 34% 1.6 .54 19% .44 88% .38
Nov
24		 Vermont B- A- D+ A+ A+ 50% 6% 44% A+ A+ F A+ F B- C- F F C- C F C- D+ 34% 20% 46% B- C- C F F C+ C+ C- C+
1.17 69% 33% 43% +12 +3 1.31 10% 1.3 .14 12% .30 50% .15 1.08 59% 50% 35% +3 0 1.08 23% 1.4 .33 16% .27 73% .20
Nov
25		 Towson B- A+ D- F B- 44% 6% 50% A B F C+ D- A+ F A+ D D- D- F A+ D 35% 35% 30% B- D+ D+ F F C- C+ D+ C
1.09 71% 33% 26% -1 +2 1.06 18% 1.0 .18 9% .17 80% .14 1.14 63% 63% 14% +1 -2 1.00 39% 1.4 .55 16% .26 71% .19
Nov
26		 Bradley D D+ A+ B- C 43% 9% 48% A+ B- F F+ F C+ A- F D+ C- D+ C- F D- 35% 28% 37% B D F F F A+ B F C
1.00 55% 50% 36% +1 +2 1.09 17% 0.8 .13 19% .40 52% .21 1.15 63% 38% 41% +6 -1 1.11 42% 1.4 .58 23% .28 86% .24
Dec
6		 Coppin St. A A+ D A+ A+ 40% 6% 55% B+ A+ D D+ D C F F F A B+ A+ A A 31% 31% 39% B+ A C+ A+ A+ C D+ C+ C-
1.35 76% 33% 52% +21 +2 1.49 31% 1.1 .34 16% .12 57% .07 0.74 47% 20% 26% -13 -2 0.71 28% 0.5 .13 22% .34 67% .23
Dec
10		 North Carolina St. F D+ F F 43% 0% 57% A+ F F F F F F F F C D- A F+ D+ 46% 13% 41% D+ D+ B+ A+ A+ C- C+ A B
0.67 52% 21% -13 +3 0.82 15% 0.3 .05 25% .20 30% .06 1.26 68% 29% 41% +8 +2 1.20 26% 0.9 .24 12% .32 68% .22
Dec
20		 Dayton B B+ F A+ A- 55% 12% 33% A+ A F F F A+ F F F A- A+ F B- A+ 27% 16% 57% A- A+ D B+ C C- A+ D A
1.07 63% 17% 44% +5 +2 1.16 13% 0.8 .10 10% .17 44% .07 1.02 33% 43% 32% -8 0 0.86 31% 1.1 .34 17% .30 80% .24
Dec
28		 Florida International A A+ F B+ A- 34% 5% 61% B A- D+ C- D+ A+ F B- F+ F A+ F D- C 60% 16% 24% F C- F F F C+ D- C- D-
1.26 71% 33% 38% +8 +2 1.21 31% 1.0 .31 13% .24 75% .18 1.22 42% 78% 38% -1 +2 1.04 50% 1.3 .63 18% .37 70% .25
Jan
2		 Kennesaw St. C- C+ A+ A- B 56% 4% 40% A+ A- F C+ F C D+ B- C B+ A+ A- A A+ 40% 12% 48% C A+ F A C- C+ A+ C A+
1.11 57% 50% 40% +4 +3 1.16 14% 1.0 .14 16% .39 79% .31 1.00 38% 29% 28% -14 +1 0.77 46% 0.8 .35 18% .22 69% .15
Jan
4		 Jacksonville St. B+ D- F B- D+ 50% 4% 46% A+ C B- D- C A+ A+ C+ A+ D+ B+ A+ B A- 51% 10% 39% D B+ F+ F F D- C F F
1.23 50% 0% 36% -4 +3 1.00 31% 0.9 .28 11% .49 79% .39 1.08 48% 20% 32% -8 +2 0.90 34% 1.2 .40 14% .35 89% .31
Jan
8		 Louisiana Tech A C+ F B B- 46% 8% 46% A B D+ B C A+ D+ A C+ A A+ C+ F B- 34% 22% 44% C+ B- A+ A+ A+ F A- A+ A+
1.18 55% 25% 36% -1 +2 1.04 29% 1.1 .32 11% .30 81% .24 0.92 29% 36% 41% -6 0 0.90 26% 0.5 .14 13% .21 45% .09
Jan
10		 Sam Houston St. B A- A+ C A 58% 6% 36% A+ A+ F A+ F C A A A+ A- A+ F F C+ 46% 16% 38% D+ C D A B- A+ B- F C
1.15 69% 67% 33% +8 +3 1.24 8% 2.0 .16 17% .39 78% .30 1.04 35% 75% 42% 0 +1 1.04 40% 0.8 .31 22% .25 79% .20
Jan
15		 New Mexico St. A- B+ D+ A+ A+ 52% 14% 34% A A+ F F F A D+ B- C- F C- C F F 19% 37% 44% A+ D- C F F D A+ A+ A+
1.25 65% 33% 47% +10 +2 1.25 19% 0.8 .15 10% .34 78% .27 1.22 60% 37% 43% +6 -3 1.08 33% 1.3 .42 12% .08 50% .04
Jan
17		 UTEP A A+ A C+ A+ 52% 8% 40% A+ A+ F C- F A+ F A F F+ D+ F F F 33% 23% 44% D- F A+ C- A A- A+ A+ A+
1.29 81% 50% 35% +13 +3 1.34 18% 1.0 .18 10% .20 82% .16 1.11 63% 64% 48% +16 -1 1.33 14% 1.0 .14 21% .08 50% .04
Jan
21		 Western Kentucky B+ F F A+ A 33% 2% 65% A+ A+ F A+ D- C+ B+ C B C+ A+ B+ F D+ 32% 21% 47% B C- D+ F F A+ C A+ B
1.17 21% 0% 57% +10 +2 1.26 15% 1.3 .19 17% .45 71% .32 1.07 40% 30% 41% -3 -1 0.96 33% 1.3 .42 20% .33 65% .21
Jan
24		 Delaware D+ B D A A- 36% 6% 57% A A F F F A D F F A+ F A+ D C 33% 28% 40% B+ C+ A+ F A- A+ D- A+ B
1.11 65% 33% 41% +8 +2 1.21 16% 0.4 .06 10% .24 62% .15 0.85 69% 27% 38% +3 -1 1.05 4% 2.0 .08 27% .29 54% .16
Jan
29		 Middle Tennessee A+ A A+ A+ A+ 52% 8% 40% A+ A+ F F F A+ F F+ F B- A+ A C+ A 26% 24% 50% B- A D F F B- D- A- C-
1.32 70% 75% 48% +17 +3 1.42 0% 0.0 .00 8% .18 70% .12 1.06 45% 30% 33% -6 -1 0.88 34% 1.5 .51 18% .32 63% .20
Feb
4		 Delaware B A+ F A A+ 30% 9% 61% B+ A+ F F F C- A+ A+ A+ D+ F F D F 28% 24% 48% B+ D- A+ D- A- D A F B+
1.20 85% 25% 41% +13 +1 1.30 9% 0.0 .00 14% .37 90% .34 1.11 71% 50% 38% +9 -1 1.18 8% 1.0 .08 16% .17 89% .15
Feb
7		 Missouri St. B- A- A+ D B 48% 11% 41% A+ A F B F C+ A+ F A- D B B+ F C- 38% 29% 33% C+ C D F F D+ F A+ C-
1.17 73% 60% 32% +8 +2 1.22 19% 1.2 .22 16% .50 64% .32 1.13 56% 29% 44% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.4 .49 15% .45 54% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
11		 New Mexico St. B- D A+ D C- 42% 7% 51% A+ C+ D- A+ B A F A+ F C F D A- D+ 34% 21% 45% D- D+ B- F F C A+ F A+
1.14 52% 75% 30% -3 +2 1.00 25% 1.7 .42 10% .15 89% .13 1.11 68% 42% 28% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.5 .45 15% .12 100% .12
Feb
14		 UTEP B+ A+ C C+ A 37% 10% 53% A- A F+ F F A+ D+ F F C F+ B- F F 28% 34% 38% B F B- F D B B+ D B-
1.19 78% 40% 35% +8 +1 1.20 24% 0.8 .18 11% .33 56% .18 1.04 69% 31% 44% +7 -2 1.11 23% 1.3 .31 20% .22 73% .16
Feb
19		 Florida International C+ D+ A- A+ A 47% 4% 49% A A F C- F B- B- C+ B- D A- B F C- 54% 21% 25% D C- F C- F+ B C+ F F+
1.14 54% 50% 48% +9 +3 1.25 17% 1.0 .17 19% .34 73% .25 1.12 48% 33% 50% 0 +1 1.04 41% 1.1 .44 20% .30 89% .27
Feb
21		 Western Kentucky D+ A+ A+ F+ A 51% 2% 47% A+ A+ F C+ F C A+ F C+ F C A+ F F 47% 14% 39% D- F D F F D+ D- F F
1.05 78% 100% 29% +8 +3 1.24 4% 1.0 .04 17% .51 59% .30 1.36 54% 14% 50% +4 +2 1.14 34% 1.9 .66 13% .38 96% .36
Feb
26		 Kennesaw St. D+ C+ F C+ C+ 45% 2% 52% A B- F A+ F D- B A- A- D+ A C- F F 48% 17% 35% C F C+ B- B- B A+ A+ A+
1.03 58% 0% 36% +1 +3 1.10 4% 2.0 .09 19% .45 83% .37 1.17 43% 38% 65% +9 +1 1.23 33% 0.9 .30 19% .23 58% .14
Feb
28		 Jacksonville St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 4% 52% A A+ F F F A- C- C+ C- F B- F F D- 59% 6% 35% F F+ B- F F F C- D+ C-
1.28 76% 50% 44% +16 +3 1.40 12% 0.0 .00 13% .32 78% .25 1.23 52% 67% 41% +2 +3 1.12 27% 1.5 .40 11% .35 70% .25
Mar
5		 Louisiana Tech B+ A F A+ A+ 19% 11% 70% C- A D- D- D- A+ F D F F D F B F 31% 29% 39% A F D- F F F A+ F A+
1.19 67% 0% 42% +6 0 1.15 26% 0.9 .24 12% .25 69% .17 1.27 63% 67% 30% +7 -2 1.14 39% 1.3 .50 13% .10 100% .10
Mar
7		 Sam Houston St. A A+ F A- A+ 34% 2% 64% A A+ F+ A+ C A- F A+ F+ D+ A+ A+ F A 52% 20% 28% D+ A- D+ F F F+ C A+ B+
1.27 76% 0% 38% +9 +2 1.24 21% 1.5 .32 13% .20 82% .17 1.16 38% 20% 50% -7 +1 0.90 38% 1.5 .56 13% .28 53% .15
Mar
11		 Missouri St. C- F A+ D- F 44% 6% 50% A+ D C- D D A F F F F+ C+ A F F 61% 9% 30% F F B+ F C C- F+ A C-
1.08 46% 100% 30% -5 +2 0.96 29% 1.0 .29 13% .16 67% .11 1.21 59% 25% 54% +8 +3 1.25 27% 1.3 .35 16% .41 59% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%