Oregon St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#165
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#202
Pace64.1#313
Improvement+1.8#71

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#172
First Shot-0.4#184
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#167
Layup/Dunks-5.3#338
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#74
Freethrows+3.1#27
Improvement-0.3#209

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#174
First Shot-0.3#178
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#179
Layups/Dunks-1.7#247
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#67
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#162
Freethrows-0.7#229
Improvement+2.1#48
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.3 12.7
.500 or above 22.8% 43.2% 20.0%
.500 or above in Conference 31.4% 39.8% 30.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.8% 4.3% 7.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona St. (Away) - 12.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 36 - 87 - 16
Quad 47 - 314 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 149 North Dakota St. W 67-65 57%     1 - 0 -0.1 -2.3 +2.3
  Fri, Nov 7 192 Illinois-Chicago W 76-73 68%     2 - 0 -2.1 +1.6 -3.7
  Wed, Nov 12 146 North Texas W 66-64 56%     3 - 0 +0.0 +3.7 -3.5
  Mon, Nov 17 62 @Oregon L 75-87 13%     3 - 1 -0.1 +9.4 -9.8
  Fri, Nov 21 268 Evansville L 69-73 70%     3 - 2 -9.8 -2.7 -7.2
  Sat, Nov 22 171 Iona L 84-91 2OT 52%     3 - 3 -7.9 -4.3 -2.3
  Mon, Nov 24 155 Massachusetts L 65-73 47%     3 - 4 -7.7 -3.1 -5.0
  Sat, Nov 29 126 California Baptist L 69-75 51%     3 - 5 -6.7 -1.4 -5.6
  Wed, Dec 3 174 Vermont W 80-58 64%     4 - 5 +18.0 +12.6 +8.2
  Sat, Dec 6 317 Southern Utah W 81-70 86%     5 - 5 -1.3 +3.0 -4.3
  Sat, Dec 13 169 Montana St. W 67-57 63%     6 - 5 +6.2 -1.0 +8.1
  Wed, Dec 17 116 Sam Houston St. L 75-85 47%     6 - 6 -9.8 -3.3 -5.8
  Sun, Dec 21 63 @Arizona St. L 67-79 12%    
  Sun, Dec 28 77 Santa Clara L 70-75 33%    
  Tue, Dec 30 94 San Francisco L 68-71 39%    
  Fri, Jan 2 139 @Pacific L 66-71 33%    
  Sun, Jan 4 150 @Washington St. L 69-73 35%    
  Thu, Jan 8 122 Seattle L 69-70 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 245 @Portland W 73-72 55%    
  Wed, Jan 14 145 Loyola Marymount W 67-65 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 139 Pacific W 69-68 55%    
  Wed, Jan 21 42 @St. Mary's L 60-75 8%    
  Wed, Jan 28 145 @Loyola Marymount L 64-68 35%    
  Sat, Jan 31 242 @San Diego W 75-74 55%    
  Wed, Feb 4 150 Washington St. W 72-70 56%    
  Sat, Feb 7 5 Gonzaga L 65-84 4%    
  Thu, Feb 12 94 @San Francisco L 65-74 21%    
  Sun, Feb 15 122 @Seattle L 66-72 29%    
  Sat, Feb 21 292 Pepperdine W 73-63 81%    
  Wed, Feb 25 242 San Diego W 78-71 74%    
  Sat, Feb 28 77 @Santa Clara L 67-78 17%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.9 2.7 0.8 0.1 7.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.2 3.8 0.9 0.1 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.5 5.4 1.1 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.4 4.0 6.8 2.0 0.1 13.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.8 7.6 2.8 0.1 14.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.5 6.9 3.5 0.2 14.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.4 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.3 1.6 0.2 7.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.1 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.5 3.5 7.2 10.9 14.1 15.9 15.1 12.6 8.5 5.5 2.9 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 25.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 4.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 0.7% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.2% 6.4% 6.4% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 2.0% 2.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 12.3 0.0 0.0 1.2
12-6 2.9% 0.8% 0.8% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9
11-7 5.5% 0.2% 0.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 5.5
10-8 8.5% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
9-9 12.6% 0.2% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.6
8-10 15.1% 15.1
7-11 15.9% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 15.9
6-12 14.1% 14.1
5-13 10.9% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 10.9
4-14 7.2% 7.2
3-15 3.5% 3.5
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%