Oregon St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -1.6 #185
Expected Predictive Rating +0.4 #156
Pace 64.6 #292
Improvement -1.2 #246

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #190 C C- C- A- C
Defense #198 C+ C D+ C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #283 1.04 #314 -4.3 #325
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #223 0.84 #68 -0.3 #190
Three Pointers 47% #54 1.04 #153 +3.7 #61
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #197 -0.9 #198
Freethrows 0.37 #18 77% #29 0.29 #10
Second Chance 25.0% #325 1.19 #22 0.30 #210
Turnovers 18.0% #250
Total Offense -0.8 #190

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #79 1.12 #127 -1.5 #228
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #290 0.77 #201 +1.2 #92
Three Pointers 40% #205 0.96 #98 +1.5 #123
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #139 +1.2 #138
Freethrows 0.33 #243 74% #284 0.24 #270
Second Chance 32.3% #248 0.95 #73 0.31 #160
Turnovers 14.9% #303
Total Defense -0.8 #198

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.1% #182 1.4% #301
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.9% #209 -3.7% #105
Possession Length 18.2 #269 17.3 #190
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #347 0.18 #222
Improvement -1.5 #277 +0.3 #173

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 n/a
.500 or above 19.7% 34.5% 7.0%
.500 or above in Conference 16.3% 30.0% 4.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Home) - 46.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 38 - 69 - 14
Quad 46 - 315 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 140 North Dakota St. W 67 - 65 51% +1  1 - 0 +0 -3 C F B- +4 B A F
 Fri, Nov 7 135 Illinois-Chicago W 76 - 73 49% +3  2 - 0 +2 +5 A- A+ F -3 D- A+ B-
 Wed, Nov 12 148 North Texas W 66 - 64 52% -6  3 - 0 -0 +5 D+ D A+ -5 D- C- A-
 Mon, Nov 17 83 @Oregon L 75 - 87 15% -7  3 - 1 -2 +8 C B C- -11 D C- D
 Fri, Nov 21 270 Evansville L 69 - 73 67% -4  3 - 2 -10 -2 F A+ D -8 B- D- D
 Sat, Nov 22 231 Iona L 84 - 91 2OT 59% +5  3 - 3 -11 -4 C F C- -6 C+ C D-
 Mon, Nov 24 172 Massachusetts L 65 - 73 48% -2  3 - 4 -9 -4 B- F F -5 B+ F D-
 Sat, Nov 29 133 California Baptist L 69 - 75 49% -2  3 - 5 -7 -0 B F+ D -7 D- A+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 212 Vermont W 80 - 58 67% +16  4 - 5 +16 +13 A+ D+ D+ +5 A- B C-
 Sat, Dec 6 285 Southern Utah W 81 - 70 79% +11  5 - 5 +1 +3 B+ D+ F -2 B F C-
 Sat, Dec 13 166 Montana St. W 67 - 57 57% +4  6 - 5 +7 -1 F A+ C- +9 A+ D- C+
 Wed, Dec 17 109 Sam Houston St. L 75 - 85 41% -8  6 - 6 -9 -3 C F+ B+ -6 C C- C
 Sun, Dec 21 76 @Arizona St. W 78 - 75 13% -1  7 - 6 +14 +12 A- F+ B +1 A A+ D+
 Sun, Dec 28 46 Santa Clara L 64 - 102 17% -22  7 - 7 0 - 1 -29 -4 C D+ D+ -26 F A+ D-
 Tue, Dec 30 97 San Francisco W 70 - 62 35% +3  8 - 7 1 - 1 +10 +5 A+ F D +6 A+ B+ D+
 Fri, Jan 2 123 @Pacific L 53 - 84 25% -17  8 - 8 1 - 2 -26 -11 F B- D- -19 F C F+
 Sun, Jan 4 122 @Washington St. L 67 - 81 25% -11  8 - 9 1 - 3 -8 -0 C- C+ C -9 C+ F C
 Thu, Jan 8 125 Seattle W 68 - 55 47% +2  9 - 9 2 - 3 +12 +3 F A+ B- +10 A+ A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 10 230 @Portland L 76 - 82 48% +2  9 - 10 2 - 4 -7 +8 C+ D- A- -15 C+ D- F
 Wed, Jan 14 170 Loyola Marymount W 76 - 70 59% +1  10 - 10 3 - 4 +2 +4 F A A- -1 A+ F B
 Sat, Jan 17 123 Pacific L 64 - 81 46% -6  10 - 11 3 - 5 -18 -1 D+ C+ C+ -19 F+ B- F
 Wed, Jan 21 42 @St. Mary's L 51 - 81 7% -14  10 - 12 3 - 6 -15 -8 F F C+ -10 C+ D- F
 Wed, Jan 28 170 @Loyola Marymount W 72 - 69 36% +0  11 - 12 4 - 6 +5 +7 A+ B F -2 C C+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 198 @San Diego W 78 - 76 OT 42% -1  12 - 12 5 - 6 +2 -6 D+ F C+ +8 B- B- A+
 Wed, Feb 4 122 Washington St. L 74 - 75 46%
 Sat, Feb 7 11 Gonzaga L 65 - 83 4%
 Thu, Feb 12 97 @San Francisco L 65 - 75 18%
 Sun, Feb 15 125 @Seattle L 63 - 70 26%
 Sat, Feb 21 284 Pepperdine W 73 - 65 79%
 Wed, Feb 25 198 San Diego W 77 - 73 64%
 Sat, Feb 28 46 @Santa Clara L 67 - 83 7%
Totals 14 - 17 7 - 11 -2 -1 C C- C- -1 C+ C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.3 3.6 2.0 0.2 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 4.6 6.6 0.8 12.1 5th
6th 2.0 12.8 2.6 0.0 17.5 6th
7th 0.3 11.2 10.4 0.3 22.2 7th
8th 4.3 15.8 2.4 22.5 8th
9th 1.0 10.6 4.4 0.1 16.1 9th
10th 1.5 1.6 0.1 3.2 10th
11th 0.3 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 2.8 16.8 33.5 30.6 13.1 2.9 0.3 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.3
10-8 2.9% 2.9
9-9 13.1% 13.1
8-10 30.6% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 30.6
7-11 33.5% 33.5
6-12 16.8% 16.8
5-13 2.8% 2.8
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.4%