San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#247
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#286
Pace75.4#52
Improvement-1.9#324

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#205
First Shot-2.7#253
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#109
Layup/Dunks-3.4#295
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#340
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#45
Freethrows-0.8#218
Improvement-1.8#331

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#283
First Shot+0.5#143
After Offensive Rebounds-3.8#342
Layups/Dunks-1.6#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#85
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#94
Freethrows-1.7#280
Improvement-0.1#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 4.0% 6.7% 1.4%
.500 or above in Conference 9.8% 12.6% 7.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.3% 22.2% 30.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Long Beach St. (Away) - 48.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 21 - 51 - 10
Quad 33 - 63 - 16
Quad 46 - 59 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 230 Idaho St. L 68-71 59%     0 - 1 -10.0 -1.4 -8.9
  Wed, Nov 12 168 Idaho W 78-74 47%     1 - 1 -0.1 +6.1 -6.0
  Tue, Nov 18 290 Grambling St. W 78-68 70%     2 - 1 -0.2 -3.0 +2.2
  Fri, Nov 21 257 UC Riverside L 71-85 63%     2 - 2 -22.2 -3.6 -19.1
  Tue, Nov 25 136 California Baptist L 61-76 27%     2 - 3 -13.4 -9.8 -3.5
  Sun, Nov 30 298 @Long Beach St. L 77-78 49%    
  Fri, Dec 5 187 @San Jose St. L 71-77 29%    
  Tue, Dec 9 31 USC L 74-89 8%    
  Sat, Dec 13 249 Northern Arizona W 79-76 61%    
  Fri, Dec 19 96 @UC San Diego L 72-85 11%    
  Mon, Dec 22 48 @Washington L 69-87 5%    
  Sun, Dec 28 144 Pacific L 75-77 42%    
  Tue, Dec 30 6 Gonzaga L 70-91 3%    
  Fri, Jan 2 77 @San Francisco L 70-85 8%    
  Sun, Jan 4 59 @Santa Clara L 70-87 6%    
  Thu, Jan 8 264 Pepperdine W 79-75 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 144 @Pacific L 72-80 23%    
  Thu, Jan 15 116 @Seattle L 70-81 17%    
  Wed, Jan 21 157 Washington St. L 82-83 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 59 Santa Clara L 73-84 16%    
  Wed, Jan 28 264 @Pepperdine L 76-78 43%    
  Sat, Jan 31 169 Oregon St. L 73-74 48%    
  Wed, Feb 4 30 @St. Mary's L 62-83 3%    
  Sat, Feb 7 114 @Loyola Marymount L 68-79 17%    
  Wed, Feb 11 274 Portland W 81-77 65%    
  Sun, Feb 15 77 San Francisco L 73-82 21%    
  Sat, Feb 21 114 Loyola Marymount L 71-76 33%    
  Wed, Feb 25 169 @Oregon St. L 70-77 28%    
  Sat, Feb 28 274 @Portland L 78-80 44%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.3 0.5 0.1 5.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.4 3.6 0.8 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.7 4.4 4.9 1.3 0.1 11.4 8th
9th 1.0 5.4 7.0 2.0 0.1 15.6 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 6.3 7.5 2.4 0.2 17.6 10th
11th 0.1 2.0 6.5 7.4 2.2 0.2 0.0 18.4 11th
12th 0.8 3.5 6.2 4.4 1.3 0.1 16.3 12th
Total 0.8 3.6 8.2 12.1 15.9 15.9 14.7 11.1 7.8 5.0 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 33.3% 0.0    0.0
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.2% 0.2
12-6 0.5% 0.5
11-7 1.4% 1.4
10-8 2.7% 2.7
9-9 5.0% 5.0
8-10 7.8% 7.8
7-11 11.1% 11.1
6-12 14.7% 14.7
5-13 15.9% 15.9
4-14 15.9% 15.9
3-15 12.1% 12.1
2-16 8.2% 8.2
1-17 3.6% 3.6
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%