Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#88
Expected Predictive Rating+8.0#76
Pace72.8#91
Improvement-0.8#238

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#98
First Shot+1.5#132
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#71
Layup/Dunks+0.6#159
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#99
Freethrows+1.5#99
Improvement+1.1#92

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#88
First Shot+2.2#96
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#148
Layups/Dunks+1.9#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#265
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#62
Freethrows-2.1#307
Improvement-1.9#312
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 10.6% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.9% 10.4% 4.5%
Average Seed 9.8 9.6 10.0
.500 or above 69.0% 82.0% 60.2%
.500 or above in Conference 21.6% 26.1% 18.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.8% 6.6% 10.3%
First Four2.6% 3.5% 2.0%
First Round5.5% 8.4% 3.5%
Second Round2.0% 3.1% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado (Neutral) - 40.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 8
Quad 23 - 36 - 12
Quad 35 - 311 - 14
Quad 46 - 117 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 176 Portland St. W 89-79 83%     1 - 0 +5.9 +5.6 -0.9
  Sat, Nov 8 204 Montana W 91-68 87%     2 - 0 +17.1 +8.2 +7.5
  Wed, Nov 12 169 Montana St. W 77-68 82%     3 - 0 +5.2 -1.8 +6.5
  Tue, Nov 18 327 Louisiana W 93-66 95%     4 - 0 +14.2 +15.1 -1.4
  Fri, Nov 21 123 Seattle L 69-77 72%     4 - 1 -8.1 -5.3 -2.5
  Thu, Nov 27 96 Minnesota W 72-68 53%     5 - 1 +9.2 +8.7 +0.9
  Fri, Nov 28 34 Saint Louis W 78-77 25%     6 - 1 +14.2 +9.0 +5.1
  Mon, Dec 1 246 Portland W 94-72 90%     7 - 1 +14.1 +18.7 -4.5
  Sun, Dec 7 139 UNLV L 74-75 77%     7 - 2 -2.7 -2.3 -0.3
  Sat, Dec 13 188 @San Jose St. W 86-82 68%     8 - 2 +5.2 +13.3 -8.1
  Wed, Dec 17 179 Texas Arlington W 76-60 84%     9 - 2 +11.7 +6.4 +5.9
  Sat, Dec 20 65 Colorado L 78-81 40%    
  Sat, Dec 27 217 Cal St. Northridge W 88-75 88%    
  Tue, Dec 30 56 Notre Dame L 72-73 47%    
  Fri, Jan 2 14 Louisville L 77-85 21%    
  Wed, Jan 7 64 @Virginia Tech L 75-81 31%    
  Sat, Jan 10 25 @Virginia L 71-83 14%    
  Wed, Jan 14 23 North Carolina L 74-80 28%    
  Sat, Jan 17 2 Duke L 69-83 11%    
  Sat, Jan 24 80 California W 77-75 57%    
  Wed, Jan 28 33 @Miami (FL) L 73-83 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 122 @Florida St. W 83-82 51%    
  Wed, Feb 4 37 Clemson L 70-73 38%    
  Sat, Feb 7 128 Georgia Tech W 79-72 75%    
  Wed, Feb 11 150 @Boston College W 72-70 59%    
  Sat, Feb 14 53 @Wake Forest L 74-81 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 80 @California L 74-78 36%    
  Wed, Feb 25 102 Pittsburgh W 76-72 65%    
  Sat, Feb 28 42 SMU L 78-81 40%    
  Wed, Mar 4 56 @Notre Dame L 69-76 28%    
  Sat, Mar 7 29 @North Carolina St. L 75-86 15%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 1.1 0.1 2.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 2.3 0.6 0.0 3.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.6 1.8 0.1 4.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 3.4 0.6 6.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.3 2.0 0.1 7.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.8 4.0 0.5 0.0 8.6 11th
12th 0.1 2.2 6.0 1.9 0.1 10.3 12th
13th 0.1 1.2 5.5 3.8 0.3 0.0 10.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 4.3 5.2 0.9 0.0 11.1 14th
15th 0.3 2.8 5.3 1.9 0.1 10.4 15th
16th 0.1 1.6 4.5 2.4 0.3 8.9 16th
17th 0.2 1.0 2.8 2.4 0.5 0.0 6.9 17th
18th 0.1 0.9 1.7 1.4 0.3 4.3 18th
Total 0.1 1.0 2.8 6.2 10.7 13.7 15.5 15.7 12.7 9.5 6.2 3.4 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 18.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 16.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 3.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.3% 93.8% 4.9% 88.9% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 93.5%
13-5 0.7% 85.6% 2.0% 83.6% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 85.3%
12-6 1.6% 74.1% 0.8% 73.3% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 73.9%
11-7 3.4% 50.2% 1.0% 49.2% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.7 49.7%
10-8 6.2% 27.8% 0.4% 27.4% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.0 4.5 27.5%
9-9 9.5% 11.8% 0.2% 11.7% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.1 8.3 11.7%
8-10 12.7% 2.8% 0.1% 2.7% 10.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 12.4 2.7%
7-11 15.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 11.0 0.1 15.6 0.4%
6-12 15.5% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 15.5 0.1%
5-13 13.7% 13.7
4-14 10.7% 10.7
3-15 6.2% 6.2
2-16 2.8% 2.8
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.1% 0.2% 6.9% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.3 2.1 2.4 0.1 92.9 6.9%