TCU
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.0#54
Expected Predictive Rating+10.3#61
Pace70.2#165
Improvement-0.2#193

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#109
First Shot+1.0#145
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#81
Layup/Dunks+3.2#70
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#243
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#247
Freethrows+0.9#121
Improvement-0.5#226

Defense
Total Defense+7.3#20
First Shot+5.6#34
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#63
Layups/Dunks+2.1#103
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#64
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#185
Freethrows+1.8#75
Improvement+0.3#160
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 4.3% 4.4% 1.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 35.4% 35.8% 19.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 35.1% 35.5% 19.9%
Average Seed 8.6 8.6 9.1
.500 or above 77.4% 78.2% 49.8%
.500 or above in Conference 34.6% 34.9% 24.3%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 6.4% 13.7%
First Four6.1% 6.2% 4.8%
First Round32.2% 32.6% 16.9%
Second Round15.1% 15.3% 7.6%
Sweet Sixteen3.4% 3.4% 1.3%
Elite Eight1.1% 1.1% 0.5%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oral Roberts (Home) - 97.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 25 - 10
Quad 24 - 39 - 13
Quad 33 - 111 - 13
Quad 47 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 244 New Orleans L 74-78 94%     0 - 1 -11.8 -9.3 -2.3
  Thu, Nov 6 363 St. Francis (PA) W 104-63 99%     1 - 1 +22.3 +13.8 +4.5
  Mon, Nov 10 242 Lamar W 78-65 94%     2 - 1 +5.3 +11.0 -4.6
  Fri, Nov 14 1 Michigan L 63-67 10%     2 - 2 +19.8 +2.9 +16.8
  Wed, Nov 19 347 UMKC W 81-45 98%     3 - 2 +21.1 +2.7 +17.9
  Thu, Nov 27 13 Florida W 84-80 23%     4 - 2 +21.8 +13.9 +7.5
  Fri, Nov 28 43 Wisconsin W 74-63 43%     5 - 2 +22.8 +2.2 +20.0
  Fri, Dec 5 56 Notre Dame L 85-87 OT 63%     5 - 3 +4.7 +9.9 -5.1
  Sun, Dec 7 146 @North Texas W 65-55 72%     6 - 3 +14.0 +1.5 +13.0
  Mon, Dec 15 173 Incarnate Word W 69-65 90%     7 - 3 +0.0 -2.2 +2.6
  Thu, Dec 18 300 Oral Roberts W 84-64 97%    
  Sun, Dec 21 334 Florida A&M W 84-60 99%    
  Mon, Dec 29 317 Jackson St. W 81-59 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 32 Baylor L 76-77 48%    
  Tue, Jan 6 17 @Kansas L 64-74 18%    
  Sat, Jan 10 3 Arizona L 71-81 19%    
  Wed, Jan 14 9 @BYU L 66-79 12%    
  Sat, Jan 17 119 @Utah W 76-72 64%    
  Tue, Jan 20 51 Oklahoma St. W 81-78 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 32 @Baylor L 73-80 28%    
  Wed, Jan 28 8 Houston L 63-70 27%    
  Sun, Feb 1 65 @Colorado L 75-77 44%    
  Sat, Feb 7 67 Kansas St. W 81-76 66%    
  Tue, Feb 10 4 Iowa St. L 68-77 21%    
  Sat, Feb 14 51 @Oklahoma St. L 78-81 39%    
  Tue, Feb 17 55 @Central Florida L 75-78 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 68 West Virginia W 69-64 67%    
  Tue, Feb 24 63 Arizona St. W 76-72 65%    
  Sat, Feb 28 67 @Kansas St. L 78-79 45%    
  Tue, Mar 3 27 @Texas Tech L 69-77 24%    
  Sat, Mar 7 69 Cincinnati W 72-67 67%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.1 3rd
4th 0.2 1.0 1.5 0.6 0.1 3.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 2.6 1.1 0.1 5.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 3.7 2.0 0.2 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.4 3.0 0.5 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.4 3.7 4.4 0.8 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.4 5.9 1.7 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.9 5.2 3.1 0.2 9.4 10th
11th 0.2 3.6 4.8 0.7 0.0 9.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.8 5.2 1.7 0.0 8.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.9 4.2 3.0 0.2 8.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.4 0.7 0.0 7.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.5 0.7 0.1 5.5 15th
16th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 3.4 16th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.4 6.7 10.3 13.5 14.8 14.6 12.3 9.2 6.3 3.7 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 80.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 61.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 13.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 23.1% 76.9% 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 8.3% 91.7% 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.9% 100.0% 5.1% 94.9% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.8% 99.6% 2.4% 97.2% 6.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-6 3.7% 98.7% 2.7% 96.0% 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.1 98.6%
11-7 6.3% 95.9% 1.7% 94.3% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 95.9%
10-8 9.2% 87.8% 0.4% 87.5% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.4 2.6 1.8 0.4 1.1 87.8%
9-9 12.3% 69.2% 0.4% 68.7% 9.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.5 3.3 1.4 3.8 69.0%
8-10 14.6% 31.8% 0.1% 31.7% 10.5 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.7 0.1 9.9 31.8%
7-11 14.8% 8.5% 0.2% 8.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.1 13.5 8.2%
6-12 13.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.4 0.9%
5-13 10.3% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 10.3 0.1%
4-14 6.7% 6.7
3-15 3.4% 3.4
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 35.4% 0.5% 34.9% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.2 2.3 4.4 6.6 7.2 7.0 5.5 0.2 64.6 35.1%