Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.2#45
Expected Predictive Rating+7.1#88
Pace76.1#40
Improvement+2.2#58

Offense
Total Offense+6.7#52
First Shot+7.2#25
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#211
Layup/Dunks+1.0#141
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#39
Freethrows+3.7#16
Improvement+1.7#60

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#60
First Shot+2.8#83
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#64
Layups/Dunks+3.3#68
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#300
Freethrows+2.0#69
Improvement+0.5#146
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 4.2% 4.3% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.0% 32.4% 15.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 30.9% 31.2% 14.3%
Average Seed 8.6 8.6 9.2
.500 or above 81.0% 81.6% 52.2%
.500 or above in Conference 38.5% 38.8% 27.2%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.3% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 6.1% 11.4%
First Four5.9% 5.9% 3.8%
First Round29.3% 29.6% 13.7%
Second Round15.4% 15.6% 4.7%
Sweet Sixteen3.9% 3.9% 1.5%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Final Four0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Texas A&M (Home) - 97.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 10
Quad 24 - 38 - 14
Quad 33 - 011 - 14
Quad 48 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 273 Northwestern St. W 98-68 96%     1 - 0 +21.0 +11.7 +7.1
  Thu, Nov 6 321 Texas Southern W 104-70 98%     2 - 0 +21.4 +16.1 +2.2
  Sun, Nov 9 51 @Oklahoma St. L 63-87 41%     2 - 1 -10.6 -6.9 -2.7
  Fri, Nov 14 55 Central Florida L 74-86 66%     2 - 2 -5.1 -2.0 -2.3
  Tue, Nov 18 204 Montana W 86-81 94%     3 - 2 -0.9 +8.8 -9.7
  Fri, Nov 21 319 Manhattan W 109-68 98%     4 - 2 +28.6 +20.4 +5.7
  Tue, Nov 25 365 Mississippi Valley W 120-84 99.7%    5 - 2 +10.0 +13.8 -10.7
  Fri, Nov 28 122 Florida St. W 95-59 79%     6 - 2 +38.9 +16.6 +19.7
  Tue, Dec 2 102 @Pittsburgh W 81-73 64%     7 - 2 +15.6 +16.6 -0.4
  Sun, Dec 7 42 SMU L 80-93 OT 47%     7 - 3 -0.9 -2.2 +3.6
  Sun, Dec 14 309 Jacksonville W 112-75 97%     8 - 3 +25.3 +24.7 -2.5
  Sun, Dec 21 298 East Texas A&M W 89-67 98%    
  Mon, Dec 29 324 Prairie View W 93-69 99%    
  Sat, Jan 3 35 LSU W 80-79 56%    
  Tue, Jan 6 28 @Auburn L 79-85 28%    
  Sat, Jan 10 47 Oklahoma W 83-80 61%    
  Tue, Jan 13 15 @Tennessee L 72-81 19%    
  Sat, Jan 17 40 @Texas L 78-82 34%    
  Wed, Jan 21 84 Mississippi St. W 83-75 75%    
  Sat, Jan 24 86 South Carolina W 79-71 77%    
  Sat, Jan 31 19 @Georgia L 83-91 25%    
  Tue, Feb 3 16 @Alabama L 86-95 20%    
  Sat, Feb 7 13 Florida L 78-82 37%    
  Wed, Feb 11 49 Missouri W 83-80 61%    
  Sat, Feb 14 10 @Vanderbilt L 78-88 18%    
  Wed, Feb 18 60 Mississippi W 78-73 68%    
  Sat, Feb 21 47 @Oklahoma L 80-83 39%    
  Wed, Feb 25 20 @Arkansas L 79-87 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 40 Texas W 81-79 57%    
  Tue, Mar 3 21 Kentucky L 80-81 45%    
  Sat, Mar 7 35 @LSU L 77-82 34%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.5 0.1 3.2 3rd
4th 0.4 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.3 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 5.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 3.6 1.2 0.0 5.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.5 3.0 0.3 7.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 4.8 1.0 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.7 3.0 0.1 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 3.1 5.4 0.8 0.0 9.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 5.3 2.4 0.1 9.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 4.1 4.2 0.4 9.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.6 1.4 0.0 9.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.7 1.7 0.1 7.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.3 1.5 0.2 5.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.1 16th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.9 5.5 9.5 12.2 14.8 15.2 13.5 10.2 7.3 4.1 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 76.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 53.3% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 18.9% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 14.9% 85.1% 4.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.0% 100.0% 10.8% 89.2% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.1% 99.2% 11.0% 88.2% 6.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.1%
12-6 4.1% 96.5% 7.0% 89.5% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 96.2%
11-7 7.3% 88.7% 4.0% 84.7% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.8 88.3%
10-8 10.2% 74.5% 2.4% 72.1% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.3 2.1 0.8 0.0 2.6 73.8%
9-9 13.5% 50.9% 1.1% 49.8% 9.8 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.6 1.9 0.0 6.6 50.3%
8-10 15.2% 19.2% 0.9% 18.2% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 0.1 12.3 18.4%
7-11 14.8% 4.4% 0.5% 4.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 14.2 4.0%
6-12 12.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2 0.3%
5-13 9.5% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 9.5
4-14 5.5% 5.5
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 32.0% 1.6% 30.4% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.2 3.8 6.0 6.2 6.5 5.2 0.2 68.0 30.9%