Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -12.2 #347
Expected Predictive Rating -9.2 #314
Pace 73.4 #69
Improvement -1.0 #243

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #337 C- F F F D-
Defense #332 F F C+ D+ F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #231 1.10 #250 -2.1 #257
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% #35 0.57 #354 +0.7 #141
Three Pointers 34% #321 1.19 #10 -0.8 #215
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #237 -2.2 #237
Freethrows 14.7 #313 65% #348 9.6 #337
Second Chance 26.2% #307 0.81 #361 0.21 #355
Turnovers 20.2% #349
Total Offense -6.9 #337

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #47 1.37 #358 -7.8 #361
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #348 0.71 #124 +3.1 #5
Three Pointers 42% #142 1.07 #255 -1.8 #264
1st FG Attempt 1.15 #348 -6.4 #347
Freethrows 18.5 #248 74% #270 13.8 #96
Second Chance 38.5% #356 1.23 #342 0.47 #361
Turnovers 17.4% #120
Total Defense -5.3 #332

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.5% #323 2.5% #355
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.8% #204 10.5% #338
Possession Length 17.0 #148 15.8 #15
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #130 0.28 #364
Improvement -1.6 #279 +0.7 #141

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 3.4% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 41.3% 53.0% 26.1%
Conference Champion 4.4% 6.4% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.4% 1.8%
First Four2.6% 3.3% 1.7%
First Round1.1% 1.4% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Southern (Home) - 56.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 30 - 20 - 10
Quad 49 - 129 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 117 @Florida St. L 76 - 108 6% -17  0 - 1 -26 -2 A+ C- F -22 F F F
 Thu, Nov 6 190 @South Alabama L 70 - 76 11% +3  0 - 2 -5 -3 A+ F F -2 F F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 76 @Minnesota L 50 - 95 3% -30  0 - 3 -34 -17 F C F -17 C+ F B-
 Tue, Nov 11 112 @Maryland L 64 - 84 5% -12  0 - 4 -13 -6 C+ D- F -7 F F A+
 Thu, Nov 13 275 @Howard L 64 - 72 21% -5  0 - 5 -12 -4 C F B- -8 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 44 @LSU L 81 - 107 1% -7  0 - 6 -11 +11 A- A+ F -21 B F C
 Sun, Nov 23 54 @Oklahoma L 53 - 72 2% -5  0 - 7 -6 -15 C+ F F +9 A+ A+ D-
 Fri, Nov 28 207 Indiana St. W 81 - 74 19% +11  1 - 7 +4 -2 A+ F F +5 A+ F A
 Sat, Nov 29 234 @Louisiana Tech L 58 - 83 15% -10  1 - 8 -26 -6 D+ F D- -23 F F F
 Wed, Dec 3 6 @Iowa St. L 68 - 132 0% -36  1 - 9 -40 -1 A+ D F -31 F F A-
 Fri, Dec 19 37 @Baylor L 56 - 113 1% -29  1 - 10 -40 -17 F F D+ -17 F C A+
 Mon, Dec 29 65 @Mississippi L 43 - 79 2% -14  1 - 11 -24 -22 F F B+ -4 F D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 333 @Jackson St. L 86 - 89 33% -7  1 - 12 0 - 1 -11 +10 C C- B -20 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 300 @Alabama A&M W 64 - 62 25% -4  2 - 12 1 - 1 -3 -5 F F B +2 C D B-
 Mon, Jan 12 306 @Alabama St. L 66 - 81 26% -6  2 - 13 1 - 2 -20 -12 F C D+ -9 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 17 334 Texas Southern W 77 - 75 56%
 Mon, Jan 19 317 Prairie View W 79 - 78 51%
 Sat, Jan 24 322 @Florida A&M L 74 - 79 30%
 Mon, Jan 26 272 @Bethune-Cookman L 72 - 81 20%
 Sat, Jan 31 263 Southern L 76 - 79 38%
 Mon, Feb 2 269 Grambling St. L 73 - 76 39%
 Sat, Feb 7 327 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 78 - 83 32%
 Mon, Feb 9 365 @Mississippi Valley W 76 - 67 79%
 Sat, Feb 14 272 Bethune-Cookman L 75 - 78 39%
 Mon, Feb 16 322 Florida A&M W 77 - 76 52%
 Sat, Feb 21 333 Jackson St. W 79 - 77 56%
 Thu, Feb 26 334 @Texas Southern L 74 - 78 35%
 Sat, Feb 28 317 @Prairie View L 76 - 82 30%
 Tue, Mar 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 79 - 64 91%
 Thu, Mar 5 327 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81 - 80 54%
Totals 9 - 21 8 - 10 -12 -7 C- F F -5 F F C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.4 1st
2nd 0.4 2.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.5 3.1 0.5 0.0 6.2 3rd
4th 0.7 4.7 1.1 0.0 6.5 4th
5th 0.1 4.2 3.5 0.1 8.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 6.5 0.7 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 5.8 3.4 0.1 9.8 7th
8th 0.2 3.3 6.7 0.6 10.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.2 7.4 2.7 0.0 12.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.9 4.7 0.3 13.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 3.1 5.0 3.8 0.6 13.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.7 7.8 12.0 16.6 17.1 15.5 11.9 7.5 4.0 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-4 97.6% 0.4    0.4 0.1
13-5 82.9% 1.5    0.9 0.5 0.1
12-6 43.9% 1.7    0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 8.2% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 15.0% 15.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 12.0% 12.0% 16.0 0.1 0.4
13-5 1.8% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.2 1.7
12-6 4.0% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.3 3.7
11-7 7.5% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.6 7.0
10-8 11.9% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.6 11.3
9-9 15.5% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.6 15.0
8-10 17.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 16.8
7-11 16.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 16.5
6-12 12.0% 12.0
5-13 7.8% 7.8
4-14 3.7% 3.7
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 16.0 97.3 0.0%