Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -12.6 345
Results Rating -11.2 334
Consistency 0.16 228
Pace 68.9 171
Improvement +1.7 121

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 325 D+ D- D D- D+
Defense D- 335 D- F B- D+ F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 150 D+ 55% 265 -0.7 209
2 Pt. Jumpers 58% 23 F+ 30% 354 +0.1 175
Three Pointers 34% 311 C+ 35% 135 -2.8 274
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.6 268 D+ -2.9 281
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 290
Second Chance D 25.7% 309 D 0.92 326 D- 0.24 332
Opponents' Steals C- 10.1% 247
Other Turnovers D- 8.8% 336
Turnovers D 18.9% 307
Freethrows D- 0.25 344 D+ 70% 268 D- 0.17 349
Total Offense D -6.2 325

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 36% 341 C- 11.5% 211
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 210 C 5.1% 187
Three Pointers C+ 87% 127 B+ 0.1% 18
Total D 48% 319 C- 5.9% 217

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 19 F+ 67% 355 +8.0 361
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 354 C- 40% 253 -2.5 15
Three Pointers 41% 191 C- 35% 224 +0.4 199
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ +1.4 360 D- +4.4 334
1st FG Attempt D- 1.14 347
Second Chance F 37.9% 363 F+ 1.19 355 F 0.45 363
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.8% 84
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 187
Turnovers B- 18.0% 100
Freethrows D+ 0.34 283 C- 73% 247 D+ 0.25 285
Total Defense D- -6.4 335

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 309 C- 10.2% 202
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 37% 333 B- 6.9% 65
Three Pointers C- 85% 223 C- 0.6% 227
Total D 61% 311 C 5.9% 151

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.8 237 16.2 26
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 160 0.26 363
Consistency 0.12 183 0.15 336
Improvement +1.3 117 +0.4 161

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 350 344 333
Results Rating Rank 342 334 321
Conference Record 7 - 11 8 - 10 9 - 9
Conference Finish 11 9 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 2% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 17% 52% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 2% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Prairie View (Away) - 33.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 11
Quad 49 - 119 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 80 @Florida St. L 76 - 108 3% -17  6% 0 - 1 F -22 C- -1 A C F F -18 F F D-
 Thu, Nov 6 185 @South Alabama L 70 - 76 10% +3  71% 0 - 2 C- -5 D -6 A F F C+ +1 D- F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 58 @Minnesota L 50 - 95 2% -30  0% 0 - 3 F -33 F -19 F D+ F F -14 B F C+
 Tue, Nov 11 102 @Maryland L 64 - 84 4% -12  0% 0 - 4 D- -12 F+ -10 B- D- F C- -2 F+ D- A+
 Thu, Nov 13 200 @Howard L 64 - 72 11% -5  1% 0 - 5 D+ -7 D -5 C+ F B+ C- -3 F F A
 Tue, Nov 18 53 @LSU L 81 - 107 2% -7  28% 0 - 6 D- -12 B +7 B+ A+ D F -18 B- F C+
 Sun, Nov 23 51 @Oklahoma L 53 - 72 2% -5  23% 0 - 7 D+ -5 F -18 C F F A+ +13 A+ A D-
 Fri, Nov 28 213 Indiana St. W 81 - 74 18% +11  98% 1 - 7 C+ +4 D -5 A F+ F A- +8 A+ F B
 Sat, Nov 29 216 @Louisiana Tech L 58 - 83 13% -10  0% 1 - 8 F -25 D- -7 D+ F D- F -21 F F F
 Wed, Dec 3 8 @Iowa St. L 68 - 132 0% -36  5% 1 - 9 F -40 D+ -3 A+ D F F -29 F F B+
 Fri, Dec 19 46 @Baylor L 56 - 113 1% -29  1% 1 - 10 F -43 F -21 F D- C- F -16 F C B+
 Mon, Dec 29 79 @Mississippi L 43 - 79 3% -14  17% 1 - 11 F -26 F -25 F F B- C- -2 F+ D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 344 @Jackson St. L 86 - 89 37% -7  11% 1 - 12 0 - 1 D- -12 B- +5 C+ C- C+ F -17 F B F
 Sat, Jan 10 309 @Alabama A&M W 64 - 62 26% -4  13% 2 - 12 1 - 1 C- -4 F+ -9 F+ F B- B +5 C+ F+ B-
 Mon, Jan 12 314 @Alabama St. L 66 - 81 27% -6  2% 2 - 13 1 - 2 F -21 F -12 F B- D+ F+ -9 F F A-
 Sat, Jan 17 307 Texas Southern L 71 - 72 47% -1  31% 2 - 14 1 - 3 D- -13 D -5 F+ F+ D+ F+ -8 D+ F D-
 Mon, Jan 19 331 Prairie View W 76 - 75 55% +3  74% 3 - 14 2 - 3 D- -13 D -6 F+ C- C- D- -7 F A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 318 @Florida A&M L 58 - 66 30% +0  42% 3 - 15 2 - 4 F+ -15 F -15 F F F C -0 F F A+
 Mon, Jan 26 239 @Bethune-Cookman L 73 - 82 15% -11  4% 3 - 16 2 - 5 D -10 C- -2 F+ A- B F+ -9 F A- D+
 Sat, Jan 31 276 Southern W 78 - 73 38% +1  52% 4 - 16 3 - 5 C- -4 B- +4 A+ F+ F F+ -8 D+ F+ C-
 Mon, Feb 2 299 Grambling St. L 50 - 74 44% -13  2% 4 - 17 3 - 6 F -35 F -21 F F A+ F -17 F F C
 Sat, Feb 7 330 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 77 - 84 32% -10  0% 4 - 18 3 - 7 F+ -15 C +1 B D- C+ F -16 F F A-
 Mon, Feb 9 365 @Mississippi Valley W 74 - 66 77% +12  98% 5 - 18 4 - 7 D- -12 B +6 B+ F A+ F -16 D- F D
 Sat, Feb 14 239 Bethune-Cookman W 57 - 55 30% -5  14% 6 - 18 5 - 7 D+ -5 F -15 D- B F A +9 D F A+
 Mon, Feb 16 318 Florida A&M L 78 - 86 52% -10  0% 6 - 19 5 - 8 F -21 D+ -3 F A+ B F -18 D+ F F
 Sat, Feb 21 344 Jackson St. W 83 - 65 60% -2  22% 7 - 19 6 - 8 C+ +3 D+ -3 F B C B +5 B D A+
 Thu, Feb 26 307 @Texas Southern L 87 - 92 OT 26% +4  75% 7 - 20 6 - 9 D -11 C- -2 F B C+ F+ -8 D- B- F
 Sat, Feb 28 331 @Prairie View L 76 - 81 33%
 Tue, Mar 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 79 - 65 90%
 Thu, Mar 5 330 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78 - 77 54%
Totals 9 - 21 8 - 10 -13 D -6 D D+ D+ D- -6 C+ D+ D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D+ F+ C+ D+ 40% 58% 34% D+ D+ D D D- D D- D+ D- D- F+ C- C- D- 46% 14% 41% F+ D- F F+ F B- D+ C- D+
1.00 55% 30% 35% -3 -1 0.95 26% 0.9 .24 19% .25 70% .17 1.18 67% 40% 35% +4 +1 1.14 38% 1.2 .45 18% .34 73% .18
Nov
4		 Florida St. C- D+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 39% 32% F A C B- C F A+ F A+ F F B F+ F 54% 5% 40% F F D- F F D- F+ B+ D+
1.00 54% 53% 50% +12 -3 1.20 29% 1.0 .29 28% .49 59% .29 1.42 71% 33% 39% +10 +3 1.28 37% 1.4 .50 11% .37 68% .25
Nov
6		 South Alabama D A+ D+ B+ A 25% 6% 69% B- A F+ F F F D+ A C C+ F+ A+ D D- 59% 17% 24% D- D- F+ F F A+ F A- F
0.97 77% 33% 37% +8 +1 1.20 23% 0.1 .03 25% .20 82% .17 1.06 67% 13% 36% +1 +2 1.09 29% 1.5 .43 21% .47 59% .28
Nov
8		 Minnesota F F F B+ F 35% 48% 17% F F C- D+ D+ F B F C F C+ B- A A- 63% 6% 31% F B F F F C+ F F F
0.72 47% 17% 38% -13 -4 0.69 24% 0.8 .20 23% .28 60% .17 1.36 60% 33% 27% -3 +4 1.04 58% 1.3 .73 17% .64 86% .55
Nov
11		 Maryland F+ A+ F A B+ 26% 30% 44% F B- C- F D- F F+ F+ F C- F B B F+ 33% 13% 54% D+ F+ F B- D- A+ F C- F
0.89 77% 20% 41% +4 -2 1.06 26% 0.8 .19 29% .22 64% .14 1.17 81% 33% 31% +5 +1 1.13 45% 1.0 .45 24% .49 74% .36
Nov
13		 Howard D B- D D+ C+ 45% 19% 36% C- C+ F F F B+ F A+ F+ C- F C+ A F 46% 27% 27% B+ F F F F A D A- C-
0.96 63% 30% 32% -1 +1 1.02 21% 0.3 .07 16% .21 83% .18 1.08 74% 36% 27% +4 0 1.10 42% 1.6 .67 25% .38 68% .26
Nov
18		 LSU B F+ A+ B+ A- 27% 27% 46% D- B+ B+ A+ A+ D F F F F C A A- 61% 0% 39% F B- F F F C+ F D+ F
1.11 47% 53% 38% +4 -2 1.07 35% 1.3 .46 18% .18 45% .08 1.47 61% 28% -2 +4 1.07 56% 1.6 .88 15% .63 79% .50
Nov
23		 Oklahoma F D F A+ C+ 34% 30% 36% D+ C F F F F F F F A+ A A+ A A+ 32% 13% 55% C- A+ D+ A+ A D- F A- F
0.77 50% 21% 47% -1 -1 0.98 20% 0.3 .06 28% .16 63% .10 1.05 47% 14% 28% -12 +1 0.79 37% 0.9 .33 10% .45 68% .31
Nov
28		 Indiana St. D B+ A+ C A 46% 20% 33% B- A B+ F F+ F B+ F C A- B+ A+ A+ A+ 51% 4% 45% D- A+ D F F B F F F
1.02 64% 64% 33% +8 +1 1.19 38% 0.5 .21 25% .30 61% .18 0.93 54% 0% 16% -16 +3 0.76 29% 1.5 .43 21% .40 80% .32
Nov
29		 Louisiana Tech D- F C- B D+ 51% 24% 24% C D+ B F F D- A+ F D F F+ B F F 44% 23% 33% C- F F F F F A+ A A+
0.92 43% 36% 36% -7 0 0.89 38% 0.5 .19 21% .42 48% .20 1.31 65% 33% 41% +6 0 1.13 48% 1.2 .58 13% .16 56% .09
Dec
3		 Iowa St. D+ A+ F A+ A+ 30% 34% 36% D A+ C- F D F F+ D+ F+ F F+ A+ F F 44% 9% 47% F+ F F F F B+ D+ F D-
0.85 80% 24% 44% +7 -2 1.12 24% 0.9 .21 34% .17 67% .11 1.64 72% 20% 74% +33 +2 1.72 48% 2.0 .95 17% .36 75% .27
Dec
19		 Baylor F A+ F A F 10% 65% 25% F F C- F D- C- F A+ F F F F F F 36% 29% 35% D F F A C B+ D+ F F
0.72 83% 15% 40% -10 -8 0.67 26% 0.7 .19 18% .11 86% .09 1.45 90% 63% 47% +26 -1 1.51 48% 0.9 .43 18% .36 87% .31
Dec
29		 Mississippi F F F F F 32% 40% 28% F F F F F B- D- B- D+ C- F A D- D- 32% 20% 48% F F+ F A+ D+ A+ A+ F A+
0.64 25% 20% 21% -23 -3 0.50 18% 0.9 .16 16% .27 73% .20 1.18 81% 30% 38% +8 0 1.18 44% 0.8 .36 19% .15 88% .13
Jan
3		 Jackson St. B- D- F A+ B 28% 28% 44% F C+ D+ C C- C+ B+ F D+ F F C F+ F 36% 16% 48% F F B- B+ B F F F F
1.23 53% 20% 54% +7 -2 1.13 34% 1.1 .37 14% .40 58% .23 1.27 83% 38% 38% +12 0 1.26 24% 0.9 .21 14% .42 84% .35
Jan
10		 Alabama A&M F+ F A- D+ F 46% 18% 36% C+ F+ D- F F B- F B+ F+ B C+ F A+ B- 35% 17% 48% D- C+ F+ D+ F+ B- C+ A+ A
0.99 48% 44% 33% -4 +1 0.96 26% 0.7 .17 14% .23 77% .18 0.96 53% 63% 22% -7 0 0.90 31% 1.1 .33 19% .32 53% .17
Jan
12		 Alabama St. F F F F+ F 35% 19% 46% D+ F D- A+ B- D+ F C F F+ F A+ F+ F 43% 11% 46% F F C- F F A- F F F
0.92 44% 10% 29% -13 0 0.75 26% 1.6 .42 20% .28 75% .21 1.13 70% 0% 38% +4 +2 1.13 31% 1.3 .38 22% .47 81% .38
Jan
17		 Texas Southern D C+ F F F 46% 9% 46% B+ F+ D F F+ D+ B+ A+ A+ F+ B- F B+ C 62% 22% 16% F D+ D- F+ F D- F A- F
1.10 62% 25% 24% -6 +2 0.93 28% 0.9 .25 17% .43 91% .39 1.11 54% 50% 29% -1 +1 1.02 30% 1.2 .36 14% .59 64% .38
Jan
19		 Prairie View D D A+ F F 44% 17% 39% C+ F+ A F C- C- F A D- D- F B- F F 38% 29% 33% D F A+ A+ A+ D+ B- F C
1.09 54% 56% 24% -5 +1 0.94 48% 0.8 .38 19% .28 81% .23 1.07 70% 33% 41% +7 -1 1.13 13% 0.5 .07 14% .32 84% .27
Jan
24		 Florida A&M F F A+ F F 52% 19% 29% B- F D F F F D+ D+ D C F+ A C F 53% 10% 38% F F F+ F F A+ C B- C
0.87 48% 67% 21% -5 +1 0.94 26% 0.6 .16 26% .30 73% .22 0.99 67% 25% 33% +3 +2 1.13 33% 1.4 .48 29% .30 64% .19
Jan
26		 Bethune-Cookman C- D F C D- 43% 25% 32% D F+ D+ A+ A- B F D- F F+ F F A F 55% 13% 32% F F B- A+ A- D+ F C- F
1.04 50% 21% 33% -8 0 0.86 30% 1.6 .48 13% .20 67% .13 1.16 73% 67% 27% +8 +2 1.23 26% 0.8 .19 17% .44 69% .31
Jan
31		 Southern B- B+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 9% 51% A- A+ D- D- F+ F D C- D F+ D F A C- 36% 20% 43% D- D+ F D+ F+ C- F C F
1.20 67% 75% 43% +14 +2 1.33 26% 1.0 .26 23% .32 75% .24 1.12 63% 44% 26% -2 0 0.98 36% 1.1 .39 15% .47 69% .33
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 Grambling St. F F F F F 49% 17% 34% C+ F F D+ F A+ C+ F D+ F D- B+ D+ F 43% 15% 43% D- F F F F C A D+ A-
0.80 43% 0% 25% -18 +1 0.68 22% 1.0 .22 14% .35 63% .22 1.18 65% 29% 35% +2 +1 1.09 36% 1.5 .54 21% .24 75% .18
Feb
7		 Arkansas Pine Bluff C D D A+ B+ 40% 24% 36% D B F A+ D- C+ F A F F C- F F F 45% 14% 40% F F F F F A- F D- F
1.16 55% 33% 50% +6 0 1.14 21% 1.5 .32 15% .23 85% .20 1.27 58% 50% 53% +13 +1 1.31 36% 1.3 .48 23% .47 79% .37
Feb
9		 Mississippi Valley B A+ F A- B+ 36% 14% 50% C+ B+ F A+ F A+ D+ D- D- F B- F A+ F+ 28% 42% 30% C+ D- F F F D F A+ F
1.26 81% 17% 41% +11 +1 1.25 12% 1.7 .20 7% .37 70% .26 1.12 50% 56% 23% 0 -3 0.95 41% 1.1 .44 19% .48 52% .25
Feb
14		 Bethune-Cookman F D+ C F D- 50% 34% 16% F+ D- D- A+ B F A- F C+ A F A+ A D+ 51% 19% 30% F+ D F B+ F A+ D+ B C-
0.89 53% 38% 17% -7 -1 0.87 26% 1.7 .44 22% .38 63% .24 0.86 74% 14% 27% +1 +1 1.05 47% 0.9 .42 36% .34 64% .22
Feb
16		 Florida A&M D+ D D- D- F 46% 29% 25% D F D A+ A+ B B A+ A F C+ A- D- D+ 35% 24% 41% C D+ F F F F F D+ F
1.09 54% 33% 31% -4 -1 0.92 27% 1.8 .47 15% .38 87% .33 1.20 56% 27% 37% -1 -1 0.98 36% 1.7 .61 15% .50 70% .35
Feb
21		 Jackson St. D+ F+ F D- F 46% 11% 43% B F B C B C A+ B- A+ B C+ D A+ A- 39% 16% 45% F B F+ C D A+ F B F
1.16 52% 20% 30% -7 +2 0.91 42% 1.1 .45 15% .63 76% .48 0.91 53% 43% 20% -11 +1 0.82 32% 1.0 .32 25% .48 73% .35
Feb
26		 Texas Southern C- D+ F F F 44% 18% 39% C F D+ A+ B C+ B- B- B F+ F A+ A+ D 60% 19% 21% F D- F A+ B- F D- F F
1.09 56% 30% 27% -6 +1 0.91 29% 1.5 .44 15% .40 74% .30 1.16 70% 25% 23% +1 +2 1.08 33% 0.7 .23 13% .34 79% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 1.0 1.0 5th
6th 4.5 4.5 6th
7th 1.0 7.7 8.7 7th
8th 0.2 26.5 3.9 30.6 8th
9th 6.9 16.3 23.2 9th
10th 0.9 20.6 2.3 23.8 10th
11th 2.5 5.8 8.3 11th
12th 12th
Total 3.4 33.4 46.2 17.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 17.1% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.6 16.5
8-10 46.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.5 45.7
7-11 33.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 33.4
6-12 3.4% 3.4
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 16.0 98.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.1% 26.6% 16.0 26.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.8%
Lose Out 3.4%