Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.8#338
Expected Predictive Rating-10.8#322
Pace69.4#194
Improvement+1.1#91

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#340
First Shot-2.4#246
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#352
Layup/Dunks-3.1#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#30
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#148
Freethrows-3.6#347
Improvement-0.5#232

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#326
First Shot-1.0#204
After Offensive Rebounds-3.5#341
Layups/Dunks-4.9#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#22
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#42
Freethrows-3.0#327
Improvement+1.5#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 4.7% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.1% 7.3% 2.2%
.500 or above in Conference 55.0% 65.9% 52.7%
Conference Champion 5.5% 8.5% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 0.8% 2.3%
First Four2.9% 4.4% 2.6%
First Round1.5% 2.4% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana St. (Neutral) - 17.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 30 - 40 - 12
Quad 49 - 1010 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 55 @Florida St. L 76-108 3%     0 - 1 -19.3 +5.0 -21.8
  Thu, Nov 6 180 @South Alabama L 70-76 13%     0 - 2 -4.5 -3.9 -0.4
  Sat, Nov 8 103 @Minnesota L 50-95 5%     0 - 3 -37.5 -18.6 -19.0
  Tue, Nov 11 93 @Maryland L 64-84 5%     0 - 4 -11.4 -5.8 -5.0
  Thu, Nov 13 315 @Howard L 64-72 30%     0 - 5 -13.3 -7.2 -6.5
  Tue, Nov 18 40 @LSU L 81-107 2%     0 - 6 -11.0 +11.1 -21.1
  Sun, Nov 23 52 @Oklahoma L 53-72 2%     0 - 7 -5.8 -15.1 +8.9
  Fri, Nov 28 166 Indiana St. L 71-81 18%    
  Sat, Nov 29 194 @Louisiana Tech L 59-71 13%    
  Wed, Dec 3 4 @Iowa St. L 56-90 0.1%   
  Fri, Dec 19 28 @Baylor L 62-90 1%    
  Mon, Dec 29 49 @Mississippi L 60-84 1%    
  Wed, Dec 31 197 Southern L 73-78 31%    
  Sat, Jan 3 326 @Jackson St. L 71-76 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 293 @Alabama A&M L 68-74 28%    
  Mon, Jan 12 266 @Alabama St. L 69-77 23%    
  Sat, Jan 17 307 Texas Southern W 75-74 50%    
  Mon, Jan 19 332 Prairie View W 75-73 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 351 @Florida A&M L 72-73 45%    
  Mon, Jan 26 217 @Bethune-Cookman L 68-78 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 197 Southern L 73-78 32%    
  Mon, Feb 2 290 Grambling St. L 70-71 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 363 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 77-75 56%    
  Mon, Feb 9 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77-69 77%    
  Sat, Feb 14 217 Bethune-Cookman L 71-75 35%    
  Mon, Feb 16 351 Florida A&M W 75-70 66%    
  Sat, Feb 21 326 Jackson St. W 74-73 56%    
  Thu, Feb 26 307 @Texas Southern L 71-77 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 332 @Prairie View L 72-76 38%    
  Tue, Mar 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 80-66 90%    
  Thu, Mar 5 363 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-72 75%    
Projected Record 9 - 22 9 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 5.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.8 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 3.9 3.4 1.1 0.1 9.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.4 4.2 1.1 0.1 11.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.3 4.9 1.3 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 4.0 5.6 1.7 0.1 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.7 2.4 0.2 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.9 2.6 0.2 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.6 0.9 0.2 4.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.4 5.8 8.8 11.2 13.4 13.6 12.4 10.6 7.7 5.5 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 92.2% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 81.4% 1.2    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 55.4% 1.6    0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 25.5% 1.4    0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.8% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.5% 5.5 2.9 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 24.2% 24.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.6% 17.8% 17.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5
15-3 1.5% 14.3% 14.3% 16.0 0.2 1.3
14-4 2.9% 13.1% 13.1% 16.0 0.4 2.6
13-5 5.5% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.4 5.1
12-6 7.7% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 0.6 7.1
11-7 10.6% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.4 10.2
10-8 12.4% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 12.0
9-9 13.6% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 13.3
8-10 13.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 13.2
7-11 11.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.1
6-12 8.8% 8.8
5-13 5.8% 5.8
4-14 3.4% 3.4
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.1 96.9 0.0%