Bowling Green
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#140
Expected Predictive Rating-1.0#189
Pace71.1#147
Improvement-3.2#356

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#202
First Shot+1.9#124
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#344
Layup/Dunks+3.5#66
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#180
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#246
Freethrows+0.3#156
Improvement-2.1#340

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#96
First Shot+1.1#135
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#98
Layups/Dunks+0.1#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#112
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#118
Freethrows-1.6#274
Improvement-1.1#285
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.1% 11.6% 7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 12.5 13.4
.500 or above 79.8% 92.6% 77.8%
.500 or above in Conference 76.6% 85.3% 75.2%
Conference Champion 8.5% 12.9% 7.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.6% 1.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round8.1% 11.6% 7.6%
Second Round0.7% 1.3% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 13.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 35 - 66 - 10
Quad 411 - 217 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 203 Texas St. W 83-48 75%     1 - 0 +29.3 +9.1 +20.0
  Sun, Nov 9 336 Le Moyne W 83-60 91%     2 - 0 +9.3 +0.8 +8.5
  Sat, Nov 15 135 @Davidson L 87-91 36%     2 - 1 +0.8 +7.5 -6.3
  Wed, Nov 19 130 William & Mary L 74-82 58%     2 - 2 -8.9 -6.9 -1.2
  Mon, Nov 24 284 Bucknell W 71-66 77%     3 - 2 -1.7 -3.0 +1.4
  Wed, Nov 26 342 VMI W 81-48 87%     4 - 2 +21.8 +5.9 +17.5
  Mon, Dec 1 54 @Kansas St. L 74-86 13%    
  Sat, Dec 6 89 Utah Valley L 70-72 43%    
  Tue, Dec 16 340 Chicago St. W 81-66 92%    
  Sat, Dec 20 207 @Ohio W 76-75 54%    
  Tue, Dec 30 121 Miami (OH) W 76-75 55%    
  Sat, Jan 3 181 @Massachusetts L 74-75 49%    
  Tue, Jan 6 124 @Kent St. L 76-81 34%    
  Sat, Jan 10 58 Akron L 77-82 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 209 Eastern Michigan W 74-67 74%    
  Tue, Jan 20 243 @Western Michigan W 75-72 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 173 @Toledo L 76-77 47%    
  Tue, Jan 27 228 Buffalo W 78-70 77%    
  Sat, Jan 31 305 @Central Michigan W 74-68 70%    
  Tue, Feb 3 277 Ball St. W 75-65 82%    
  Wed, Feb 11 280 @Northern Illinois W 76-71 66%    
  Sat, Feb 14 173 Toledo W 79-74 68%    
  Tue, Feb 17 124 Kent St. W 79-78 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 121 @Miami (OH) L 73-78 34%    
  Tue, Feb 24 243 Western Michigan W 78-69 78%    
  Sat, Feb 28 181 Massachusetts W 78-72 69%    
  Fri, Mar 6 209 @Eastern Michigan W 71-70 54%    
Projected Record 16 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 2.2 2.4 1.9 0.7 0.2 8.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.4 5.8 5.0 2.3 0.4 0.0 17.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.2 6.3 3.5 0.7 0.1 15.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.8 2.7 0.5 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.5 2.5 0.2 11.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 4.5 2.6 0.3 8.9 6th
7th 0.6 3.7 2.7 0.4 0.0 7.4 7th
8th 0.2 1.8 2.9 0.5 5.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.4 0.8 0.0 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.0 0.1 3.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.2 2.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.3 4.1 6.1 9.1 10.9 12.9 13.5 12.7 10.6 7.9 4.8 2.4 0.7 0.2 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 98.6% 0.7    0.6 0.1
16-2 81.6% 1.9    1.3 0.6 0.0
15-3 51.2% 2.4    1.4 1.0 0.1
14-4 27.9% 2.2    0.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
13-5 8.4% 0.9    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1
12-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.5% 8.5 4.5 3.0 0.8 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 49.1% 49.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.7% 26.4% 26.4% 11.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.4% 25.7% 25.7% 12.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8
15-3 4.8% 21.0% 21.0% 12.4 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 3.8
14-4 7.9% 18.7% 18.7% 12.9 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 6.4
13-5 10.6% 13.6% 13.6% 13.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 9.1
12-6 12.7% 9.7% 9.7% 13.5 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 11.5
11-7 13.5% 5.8% 5.8% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 12.7
10-8 12.9% 5.4% 5.4% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 12.2
9-9 10.9% 3.8% 3.8% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.5
8-10 9.1% 1.8% 1.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.9
7-11 6.1% 0.2% 0.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 6.1
6-12 4.1% 4.1
5-13 2.3% 2.3
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.9 2.1 0.8 0.1 91.9 0.0%