Bowling Green
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -1.1 177
Results Rating -2.6 210
Consistency 0.19 348
Pace 70.4 128
Improvement -8.4 364

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 238 C D- C C+ B+
Defense C+ 136 C C+ C+ D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 50% 4 C- 56% 242 +5.4 25
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 156 C- 36% 244 -1.8 272
Three Pointers 33% 328 C+ 35% 128 -3.3 293
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.3 31 C- -1.0 208
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 161
Second Chance D+ 27.2% 267 F 0.83 361 D- 0.23 346
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.9% 124
Other Turnovers C- 7.8% 241
Turnovers C 16.7% 172
Freethrows C+ 0.31 158 C 73% 182 C+ 0.23 150
Total Offense C- -2.4 238

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 37% 332 D+ 13.0% 303
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 32% 88 D+ 6.9% 300
Three Pointers B- 87% 121 C- 1.1% 248
Total D 49% 312 F 8.0% 350

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 205 C+ 57% 138 -1.0 134
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 292 C- 40% 257 -1.0 114
Three Pointers 45% 65 C+ 33% 144 +1.6 262
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 241 C+ -0.8 151
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 163
Second Chance B- 28.0% 88 C- 1.06 223 C+ 0.30 135
Turnovers from Steals B 11.2% 57
Other Turnovers D+ 6.8% 253
Turnovers C+ 18.0% 103
Freethrows D+ 0.33 261 C 73% 200 D+ 0.24 260
Total Defense C+ +1.3 136

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 45% 118 B- 13.1% 91
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 44 C 5.2% 149
Three Pointers D+ 86% 253 D 0.3% 306
Total C 55% 171 C+ 6.0% 148

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 180 16.8 86
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 26 0.18 224
Consistency 0.14 284 0.16 355
Improvement -4.5 347 -3.9 340

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 203 179 155
Results Rating Rank 244 209 173
Conference Record 7 - 11 8 - 10 9 - 9
Conference Finish 8 6 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.1 15.2
.500 or above 47% 67% 12%
.500 or above in Conference 35% 54% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round3% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Massachusetts (Home) - 64.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 33 - 64 - 11
Quad 411 - 415 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 234 Texas St. W 83 - 48 72% +13  88% 1 - 0 A+ +28 B- +5 A+ F B- A+ +23 A A+ A+
 Sun, Nov 9 293 Le Moyne W 83 - 60 82% +6  70% 2 - 0 B+ +12 C+ +3 B- F A+ A +9 B C A+
 Sat, Nov 15 110 @Davidson L 87 - 91 23% -9  1% 2 - 1 C+ +3 B +6 D+ B- A+ C- -3 F B A+
 Wed, Nov 19 139 William & Mary L 74 - 82 52% -9  10% 2 - 2 D -10 F -10 F C- F C+ +2 C- C+ A+
 Mon, Nov 24 334 Bucknell W 71 - 66 84% +7  91% 3 - 2 D+ -7 D- -7 D+ D- F C+ +0 F B- A+
 Wed, Nov 26 359 VMI W 81 - 48 92% +22  99% 4 - 2 A- +17 C +0 B- C+ F A+ +18 A+ A- A-
 Mon, Dec 1 97 @Kansas St. W 82 - 66 18% +9  98% 5 - 2 A+ +25 A+ +18 A- A- A+ A- +8 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 96 Utah Valley L 71 - 82 35% -10  6% 5 - 3 D -8 D+ -3 D+ C+ B D+ -5 F A- B+
 Tue, Dec 16 347 Chicago St. W 76 - 55 91% +11  99% 6 - 3 B- +5 D+ -4 C- F A A +10 A+ B C+
 Sat, Dec 20 210 @Ohio W 68 - 58 45% +9  87% 7 - 3 1 - 0 B +10 D -5 D C- F A+ +16 A+ C- A+
 Tue, Dec 30 87 Miami (OH) L 83 - 93 33% -13  12% 7 - 4 1 - 1 D+ -7 C +1 B- D+ C D- -7 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 190 @Massachusetts W 101 - 100 OT 41% +0  50% 8 - 4 2 - 1 C+ +2 B +6 B+ F A+ D+ -4 F B- B-
 Tue, Jan 6 159 @Kent St. L 93 - 96 35% -2  22% 8 - 5 2 - 2 C -0 A+ +17 B+ A+ B+ F -17 F F F
 Fri, Jan 9 72 Akron L 67 - 77 27% -11  0% 8 - 6 2 - 3 C- -5 F -11 C F D B+ +6 A- C+ B+
 Sat, Jan 17 247 Eastern Michigan W 85 - 79 74% +6  77% 9 - 6 3 - 3 C- -2 A +13 A+ C+ C+ F -15 F C+ F+
 Tue, Jan 20 272 @Western Michigan W 72 - 54 59% +10  87% 10 - 6 4 - 3 A- +15 D+ -3 D+ F C+ A+ +19 A+ B+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 164 @Toledo L 72 - 73 36% +1  57% 10 - 7 4 - 4 C+ +2 D+ -2 A- F F B +4 A+ D- F+
 Tue, Jan 27 206 Buffalo L 78 - 89 67% -5  5% 10 - 8 4 - 5 F+ -17 C +1 D A- B+ F -18 F B- D-
 Sat, Jan 31 266 @Central Michigan L 59 - 62 57% +4  66% 10 - 9 4 - 6 D+ -6 F -19 F F C+ A+ +13 A+ F C
 Tue, Feb 3 313 Ball St. W 77 - 52 85% +13  94% 11 - 9 5 - 6 B+ +13 B+ +8 A+ F F A- +8 A- C- C-
 Sat, Feb 7 145 @Arkansas St. L 54 - 91 31% -21  0% 11 - 10 F -33 F -24 F F F D- -7 F D D
 Wed, Feb 11 321 @Northern Illinois W 68 - 52 72% +15  94% 12 - 10 6 - 6 B +9 D- -8 C+ F F A+ +17 A+ B+ D-
 Sat, Feb 14 164 Toledo W 80 - 70 58% +6  71% 13 - 10 7 - 6 B- +7 B- +5 C C+ A+ B- +2 A F+ D+
 Tue, Feb 17 159 Kent St. L 71 - 78 58% -3  28% 13 - 11 7 - 7 D -10 F+ -10 F F+ D C -0 D A+ F
 Fri, Feb 20 87 @Miami (OH) L 77 - 91 16% -10  6% 13 - 12 7 - 8 C- -5 C +1 C D B- D+ -4 D D C
 Tue, Feb 24 272 Western Michigan L 79 - 88 78% -2  29% 13 - 13 7 - 9 F -18 D- -6 D+ F A- F -12 D- C F
 Sat, Feb 28 190 Massachusetts W 79 - 75 64%
 Fri, Mar 6 247 @Eastern Michigan W 70 - 69 53%
Totals 14 - 14 8 - 10 -1 C- -2 D- C- B+ C+ +1 C+ C C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- C- C+ C- 50% 40% 33% B+ C D+ F D- C C+ C C+ C+ C+ C- C+ C+ 38% 17% 45% C- C B- C- C+ C+ D+ C D+
1.05 56% 36% 35% -1 +1 1.03 27% 0.8 .23 17% .31 73% .23 1.07 57% 40% 33% -1 0 1.01 28% 1.1 .30 18% .33 73% .23
Nov
3		 Texas St. B- A F+ A+ A+ 47% 14% 39% B- A+ D F F B- D- D F+ A+ B+ C- A+ A+ 47% 20% 33% F A A+ D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+
1.18 71% 29% 50% +14 +2 1.33 25% 0.6 .14 17% .27 69% .19 0.68 50% 40% 18% -12 +1 0.80 14% 1.0 .14 26% .13 43% .06
Nov
9		 Le Moyne C+ F A+ A+ C+ 57% 10% 33% A B- D F F A+ D- A+ C+ A A- F A- B+ 35% 11% 54% D+ B F A+ C A+ A- F C-
1.18 42% 67% 47% +1 +3 1.09 27% 0.4 .11 9% .26 94% .25 0.85 50% 60% 28% -5 +1 0.93 34% 0.7 .25 34% .26 92% .24
Nov
15		 Davidson B C D F D+ 49% 30% 21% C+ D+ C+ B- B- A+ A+ B- A+ C- D+ F F F 30% 21% 49% B- F A D- B A+ F F F
1.10 57% 35% 25% -4 0 0.93 31% 1.1 .33 11% .50 69% .34 1.15 62% 56% 48% +15 -1 1.30 23% 1.2 .27 23% .62 74% .46
Nov
19		 William & Mary F D- A+ F F 54% 8% 38% A F D+ B- C- F A+ A A+ C+ D B- C+ C- 43% 6% 51% D C- C C+ C+ A+ D- F F
0.95 52% 75% 16% -11 +3 0.86 27% 1.1 .30 23% .45 78% .35 1.05 67% 33% 32% +2 +2 1.10 25% 1.1 .28 23% .40 88% .35
Nov
24		 Bucknell D- F C A+ D- 42% 11% 47% A- D+ F A+ D- F A+ D- A+ C+ D- A+ F F 44% 12% 44% F+ F A+ F B- A+ F C+ F
1.03 42% 40% 43% 0 +2 1.04 16% 1.8 .28 22% .48 69% .33 0.96 63% 0% 42% +3 +2 1.12 15% 1.5 .23 26% .39 75% .29
Nov
26		 VMI C B+ A- B+ B- 42% 17% 42% B- B- A+ F C+ F C- C C A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 5% 56% F A+ D- A+ A- A- F F F
1.22 70% 50% 40% +11 +1 1.25 56% 0.8 .42 24% .30 73% .22 0.72 35% 0% 8% -32 +2 0.42 30% 0.5 .14 21% .61 78% .47
Dec
1		 Kansas St. A+ F A+ A+ A- 40% 10% 50% B+ A- A+ C- A- A+ B B- B A- A- A+ A+ A+ 49% 14% 37% D- A+ D+ C D+ F F A+ D+
1.28 37% 60% 46% +3 +1 1.10 44% 1.1 .50 12% .34 74% .25 1.03 52% 14% 26% -11 +2 0.84 35% 1.1 .38 9% .38 55% .21
Dec
6		 Utah Valley D+ A+ F+ F D 43% 19% 39% C+ D+ C B C+ B C+ F C- D+ F F D F 52% 8% 40% D F B- A- A- B+ C+ C+ B-
0.99 74% 30% 14% -6 +1 0.91 30% 1.1 .33 18% .34 65% .22 1.14 76% 75% 37% +14 +3 1.35 35% 0.9 .31 24% .27 67% .18
Dec
16		 Chicago St. D+ B- F F D 58% 2% 40% A+ C- F D F A D+ D D A A+ A+ A- A+ 30% 48% 22% A A+ D+ A B C+ F A+ F
1.13 67% 0% 29% +1 +4 1.12 23% 1.0 .23 15% .31 72% .23 0.82 33% 25% 27% -16 -4 0.62 30% 0.7 .22 16% .48 63% .30
Dec
20		 Ohio D F B C+ D- 53% 16% 31% B+ D C+ D C- F A+ A+ A+ A+ F F A+ A+ 26% 13% 62% D+ A+ B- F+ C- A+ F A- F
1.01 46% 43% 36% -5 +2 0.96 35% 0.9 .32 24% .45 83% .37 0.86 70% 60% 17% -10 0 0.82 25% 1.1 .28 22% .57 63% .36
Dec
30		 Miami (OH) C A- A+ F C+ 47% 18% 35% B+ B- C- D D+ C A D- B+ D- D+ F F F 44% 17% 40% D+ F F D F A+ F F F
1.10 69% 50% 26% +3 +1 1.11 28% 0.8 .22 17% .37 70% .26 1.23 67% 50% 47% +14 +1 1.31 31% 1.3 .38 21% .40 92% .37
Jan
3		 Massachusetts B B- F A+ B 54% 18% 29% B B+ F A- F A+ A+ D- A+ D+ D B+ F F 54% 12% 35% F F A+ F B- B- F D- F
1.16 63% 30% 44% +6 +1 1.16 14% 1.2 .17 11% .58 67% .39 1.15 64% 33% 50% +11 +2 1.29 20% 1.7 .33 21% .51 71% .36
Jan
6		 Kent St. A+ C- F A+ B 53% 9% 38% A B+ A+ A- A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F F D- F F 42% 13% 45% D F C F F F B+ F C
1.32 56% 25% 44% +4 +3 1.15 44% 1.2 .52 13% .51 87% .44 1.36 68% 43% 42% +10 +1 1.25 34% 1.5 .52 14% .31 89% .28
Jan
9		 Akron F D+ B C+ C 43% 24% 33% C- C D F F D D+ F D- B+ D+ A+ B- A 31% 13% 56% C+ A- C C C+ B+ D C- D
0.93 55% 42% 35% 0 0 1.02 28% 0.5 .15 21% .25 64% .16 1.07 65% 14% 32% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.3 .41 19% .31 78% .24
Jan
17		 Eastern Michigan A C D- A+ A+ 51% 24% 24% C+ A+ B- C C+ C+ A- B A- F D F D F 38% 24% 38% D+ F D- A C+ F+ C+ F D+
1.28 56% 33% 67% +10 0 1.22 32% 1.0 .32 15% .37 76% .28 1.19 63% 58% 37% +8 0 1.18 32% 0.8 .26 14% .24 86% .21
Jan
20		 Western Michigan D+ D A+ F D- 58% 6% 36% A+ D+ D+ F F C+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 34% 15% 51% D- A+ B- A B+ A+ B- D C+
1.08 55% 67% 28% -3 +3 1.02 26% 0.4 .11 12% .46 70% .32 0.81 31% 57% 25% -13 0 0.77 28% 0.8 .23 23% .25 77% .19
Jan
24		 Toledo D+ C- A+ A+ B+ 67% 8% 25% A+ A- C+ F F F C- D- D+ B A+ B- C A+ 39% 22% 39% D+ A+ C F D- F+ A F B-
1.06 59% 75% 46% +8 +4 1.25 36% 0.2 .07 24% .23 67% .15 1.08 39% 38% 35% -7 0 0.88 28% 1.3 .36 12% .20 92% .18
Jan
27		 Buffalo C C F C D- 55% 12% 33% A- D C- A+ A- B+ C- F D- F B F F F 40% 10% 50% D- F B+ D B- D- D D D-
1.17 61% 17% 35% 0 +2 1.06 31% 1.4 .43 15% .26 60% .16 1.33 53% 60% 54% +15 +1 1.35 22% 1.2 .26 13% .38 77% .29
Jan
31		 Central Michigan F F F F F 59% 15% 25% B+ F F F F C+ F F F A+ C A+ A+ A+ 46% 28% 26% D+ A+ C- F F C C+ A+ A
0.84 49% 22% 27% -11 +2 0.85 25% 0.4 .09 16% .20 58% .12 0.88 57% 21% 15% -13 0 0.76 29% 1.5 .44 18% .26 47% .12
Feb
3		 Ball St. B+ A+ F A+ A+ 42% 21% 37% C+ A+ C- F F F B- A+ A A- C- C- A+ A- 34% 23% 43% B A- A+ F C- C- D A+ B+
1.23 78% 22% 56% +17 0 1.37 32% 0.7 .23 22% .31 93% .29 0.83 56% 36% 15% -13 -1 0.74 16% 1.5 .24 16% .32 47% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Arkansas St. F C F F F 40% 22% 38% C F D F F F B+ C+ B+ D- F A F F 37% 8% 56% D F D C- D D C A+ A-
0.72 59% 25% 10% -16 0 0.69 23% 0.1 .03 23% .38 73% .27 1.21 74% 25% 41% +11 +2 1.27 41% 1.1 .44 17% .34 57% .19
Feb
11		 Northern Illinois D- C B+ C C 56% 14% 30% B C+ F D+ F F F A+ F A+ B+ D- A+ A+ 37% 14% 49% C+ A+ A+ F B+ D- A- F B-
0.98 61% 43% 33% +2 +2 1.10 17% 1.0 .17 22% .20 82% .16 0.75 47% 43% 16% -17 +1 0.71 17% 1.0 .17 19% .26 73% .19
Feb
14		 Toledo B- F F A+ C 50% 14% 36% B C F+ A+ C+ A+ A D B+ B- A+ F D A- 27% 33% 40% A A F+ D F+ D+ B+ C- B
1.22 48% 29% 50% +2 +2 1.10 26% 1.4 .37 11% .32 68% .22 1.07 14% 59% 38% -3 -2 0.92 34% 1.1 .37 14% .23 77% .18
Feb
17		 Kent St. F+ F+ D+ F F 59% 6% 35% A+ F D F F+ D A+ D+ A+ C A D- F D 29% 16% 56% C+ D A A+ A+ F F B F
0.98 48% 33% 24% -12 +3 0.86 25% 0.8 .20 18% .60 69% .42 1.08 46% 43% 40% +2 0 1.07 26% 0.3 .08 14% .64 70% .45
Feb
20		 Miami (OH) C D- F A D+ 43% 14% 43% B+ C D D- D B- D C- D D+ B- F F D- 33% 13% 54% C- D C F D C F A D-
1.04 52% 25% 40% -1 +1 1.03 24% 0.8 .19 16% .24 73% .18 1.23 59% 57% 43% +10 +1 1.23 24% 1.4 .32 15% .43 67% .29
Feb
24		 Western Michigan D- C F A- D+ 45% 18% 36% C D+ D- F F A- A+ D- A+ F D D D- F+ 38% 37% 25% A D- A+ F C F F F F
1.08 60% 10% 40% -1 +1 1.02 23% 0.7 .15 10% .49 66% .32 1.21 60% 42% 38% +4 -2 1.06 19% 1.7 .31 12% .48 87% .42



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 13.0 13.0 5th
6th 2.3 39.7 21.8 63.8 6th
7th 8.0 7.7 15.7 7th
8th 7.5 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 17.8 47.4 34.8 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 34.8% 4.0% 4.0% 13.8 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.2 33.4
8-10 47.4% 2.6% 2.6% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.1 46.1
7-11 17.8% 2.1% 2.1% 15.5 0.2 0.2 17.5
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 14.4 97.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.4% 100.0% 13.8 0.7 34.2 52.9 12.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 11.3%
Lose Out 14.9%