Central Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#305
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#296
Pace67.4#246
Improvement-2.0#332

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#277
First Shot-5.7#335
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#84
Layup/Dunks+0.0#179
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#322
Freethrows-3.5#341
Improvement-1.2#292

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#310
First Shot+0.7#140
After Offensive Rebounds-4.5#354
Layups/Dunks-0.4#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#219
Freethrows+0.1#177
Improvement-0.8#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.6
.500 or above 2.4% 5.2% 1.2%
.500 or above in Conference 12.5% 17.6% 10.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 33.0% 26.2% 36.1%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Away) - 30.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 32 - 72 - 14
Quad 46 - 68 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 279 Appalachian St. W 82-66 56%     1 - 0 +6.6 +11.0 -3.1
  Sat, Nov 8 112 @Bradley L 54-85 10%     1 - 1 -24.7 -14.5 -10.8
  Thu, Nov 13 180 South Alabama L 64-66 27%     1 - 2 -3.5 -1.0 -2.8
  Fri, Nov 14 364 Coppin St. W 82-59 81%     2 - 2 +6.0 +2.8 +3.0
  Thu, Nov 20 198 Northern Kentucky L 66-90 41%     2 - 3 -29.4 -7.7 -22.3
  Sat, Nov 22 73 @Marquette L 71-85 5%     2 - 4 -3.2 +3.2 -6.2
  Tue, Dec 2 265 @Loyola Chicago L 68-73 31%    
  Sun, Dec 7 50 @Saint Louis L 65-86 2%    
  Sat, Dec 13 251 @Stony Brook L 66-72 29%    
  Sat, Dec 20 280 @Northern Illinois L 71-75 35%    
  Mon, Dec 22 27 @Wisconsin L 63-88 1%    
  Tue, Dec 30 207 Ohio L 75-77 43%    
  Sat, Jan 3 173 Toledo L 74-78 38%    
  Tue, Jan 6 58 @Akron L 70-90 3%    
  Sat, Jan 10 124 Kent St. L 74-82 24%    
  Tue, Jan 13 121 @Miami (OH) L 69-83 11%    
  Tue, Jan 20 277 Ball St. W 70-69 55%    
  Sat, Jan 24 243 @Western Michigan L 70-76 29%    
  Tue, Jan 27 209 Eastern Michigan L 69-71 44%    
  Sat, Jan 31 140 Bowling Green L 68-74 30%    
  Tue, Feb 3 181 @Massachusetts L 70-79 20%    
  Sat, Feb 14 280 Northern Illinois W 74-72 56%    
  Tue, Feb 17 209 @Eastern Michigan L 66-74 24%    
  Sat, Feb 21 243 Western Michigan L 73-74 49%    
  Tue, Feb 24 124 @Kent St. L 71-85 11%    
  Sat, Feb 28 228 @Buffalo L 71-78 27%    
  Tue, Mar 3 58 Akron L 73-87 11%    
  Fri, Mar 6 277 @Ball St. L 67-72 35%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.7 0.2 2.2 4th
5th 0.2 1.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 2.3 0.7 0.0 4.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.2 1.4 0.1 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.4 2.9 0.3 0.0 7.4 8th
9th 0.4 3.4 4.6 0.9 0.0 9.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.1 2.0 0.1 11.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.7 3.6 0.2 0.0 14.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 4.1 7.2 4.5 0.6 0.0 17.3 12th
13th 1.1 3.4 6.8 6.7 3.6 0.6 0.0 22.3 13th
Total 1.1 3.5 7.7 11.2 14.4 15.2 14.5 11.4 8.5 5.7 3.6 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 62.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 38.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 17.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 9.1% 9.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.4% 7.4% 7.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 15.0 0.0 0.9
11-7 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 1.8
10-8 3.6% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.5
9-9 5.7% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.6
8-10 8.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.5
7-11 11.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.3
6-12 14.5% 14.5
5-13 15.2% 15.2
4-14 14.4% 14.4
3-15 11.2% 11.2
2-16 7.7% 7.7
1-17 3.5% 3.5
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%