Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +14.1 #33
Expected Predictive Rating +18.1 #17
Pace 63.4 #325
Improvement +1.8 #87

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #63 A- C B+ B+ B+
Defense #17 A A- B- C B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #96 1.32 #35 +5.3 #32
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #317 0.92 #25 -1.5 #256
Three Pointers 45% #109 1.02 #175 +2.1 #116
1st FG Attempt 1.13 #45 +5.8 #45
Freethrows 20.3 #43 75% #122 15.2 #45
Second Chance 30.3% #193 1.05 #180 0.32 #171
Turnovers 14.1% #47
Total Offense +5.6 #63

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #304 1.06 #62 +4.6 #48
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #57 0.67 #66 -0.7 #228
Three Pointers 41% #183 0.88 #38 +2.7 #85
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #21 +6.6 #20
Freethrows 16.9 #168 73% #203 12.3 #193
Second Chance 23.1% #9 1.06 #216 0.25 #33
Turnovers 18.1% #86
Total Defense +8.5 #17

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.3% #50 -1.9% #47
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 8.9% #54 -11.1% #22
Possession Length 16.7 #118 19.3 #362
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #239 0.10 #18
Improvement -1.6 #277 +3.5 #20

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 10.7% 14.2% 5.1%
Top 6 Seed 44.3% 53.4% 30.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 95.8% 97.6% 93.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 95.5% 97.4% 92.7%
Average Seed 6.7 6.4 7.4
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 99.4% 99.8% 98.8%
Conference Champion 17.7% 24.1% 7.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.9% 1.0% 3.4%
First Round94.9% 97.1% 91.4%
Second Round58.6% 63.3% 51.1%
Sweet Sixteen19.5% 23.0% 13.9%
Elite Eight6.1% 7.3% 4.2%
Final Four2.0% 2.4% 1.2%
Championship Game0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Miami (FL) (Home) - 61.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 42 - 4
Quad 1b5 - 26 - 6
Quad 27 - 214 - 8
Quad 34 - 018 - 9
Quad 46 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 335 New Hampshire W 88 - 38 99% +26  1 - 0 +36 +11 A- D- A+ +25 A+ A+ C
 Fri, Nov 7 362 Gardner-Webb W 97 - 59 99% +21  2 - 0 +19 +15 D- A- A+ +4 C+ B A-
 Tue, Nov 11 304 Morehead St. W 83 - 56 98% +17  3 - 0 +16 +18 B B+ A+ +2 A+ F C
 Sat, Nov 15 100 @Georgetown L 74 - 79 72% -1  3 - 1 +3 +4 C D+ A- -1 C- A+ C
 Mon, Nov 17 279 North Alabama W 81 - 61 98% +14  4 - 1 +10 +13 C A+ F -0 B+ C F
 Fri, Nov 21 59 West Virginia W 70 - 67 68% -2  5 - 1 +12 +7 A+ F C +6 A+ C+ D-
 Sun, Nov 23 23 Georgia W 97 - 94 OT 43% -0  6 - 1 +19 +16 A+ A+ A +3 C A+ A
 Fri, Nov 28 300 Alabama A&M W 92 - 56 98% +25  7 - 1 +25 +13 A- B+ C- +11 C+ A+ C-
 Wed, Dec 3 14 @Alabama L 84 - 90 25% -9  7 - 2 +15 +15 A+ F A+ +0 B- B- C+
 Tue, Dec 9 11 BYU L 64 - 67 29% +5  7 - 3 +17 +9 B+ B- D +7 A+ F C+
 Sat, Dec 13 153 Mercer W 70 - 63 93% -0  8 - 3 +4 +1 B+ F A +4 C A+ C-
 Tue, Dec 16 69 South Carolina W 68 - 61 80% +6  9 - 3 +12 +1 C+ C+ A- +11 A+ A- A+
 Sun, Dec 21 56 Cincinnati W 68 - 65 66% +13  10 - 3 +13 +8 A+ D- A- +5 A D+ B+
 Wed, Dec 31 61 @Syracuse W 64 - 61 58% +4  11 - 3 1 - 0 +15 +0 A+ F C+ +15 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 88 @Pittsburgh W 73 - 68 67% +2  12 - 3 2 - 0 +15 +7 A+ D- F +8 A A- C+
 Wed, Jan 7 30 SMU W 74 - 70 60% +7  13 - 3 3 - 0 +16 +9 B- B- A+ +7 A+ D A+
 Sat, Jan 10 71 @Notre Dame W 76 - 61 62% +6  14 - 3 4 - 0 +26 +17 B A+ A+ +10 C+ A- A+
 Tue, Jan 13 151 Boston College W 74 - 50 93% +11  15 - 3 5 - 0 +21 +8 A- B+ C +15 D A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 35 Miami (FL) W 73 - 70 61%
 Tue, Jan 20 24 North Carolina St. W 72 - 71 55%
 Sat, Jan 24 111 @Georgia Tech W 74 - 67 75%
 Sat, Jan 31 88 Pittsburgh W 73 - 62 84%
 Wed, Feb 4 77 @Stanford W 71 - 67 63%
 Sat, Feb 7 81 @California W 71 - 67 65%
 Wed, Feb 11 64 Virginia Tech W 74 - 66 78%
 Sat, Feb 14 7 @Duke L 65 - 75 19%
 Wed, Feb 18 57 @Wake Forest W 72 - 70 56%
 Sat, Feb 21 117 Florida St. W 83 - 69 91%
 Sat, Feb 28 19 Louisville W 74 - 73 53%
 Tue, Mar 3 29 @North Carolina L 68 - 72 37%
 Sat, Mar 7 111 Georgia Tech W 77 - 64 89%
Totals 23 - 8 13 - 5 +14 +6 A- C B+ +9 A A- B-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 2.4 6.0 6.2 2.5 0.4 17.7 1st
2nd 0.2 3.4 10.0 7.7 1.9 0.1 23.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.2 8.7 6.9 1.2 0.0 19.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 6.3 6.1 1.1 0.0 14.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 3.2 5.8 1.3 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.0 1.7 0.1 6.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 1.6 0.1 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.9 10.1 16.4 19.8 20.4 14.9 8.2 2.6 0.4 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 95.6% 2.5    2.1 0.4
16-2 75.8% 6.2    3.9 2.1 0.2
15-3 40.5% 6.0    2.0 2.8 1.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 11.7% 2.4    0.3 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.0
13-5 1.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.7% 17.7 8.6 6.2 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 100.0% 26.0% 74.0% 2.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
17-1 2.6% 100.0% 14.6% 85.4% 3.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 8.2% 100.0% 12.7% 87.3% 4.6 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.6 2.9 1.3 0.3 100.0%
15-3 14.9% 99.9% 10.6% 89.3% 5.4 0.0 0.6 2.4 5.1 4.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-4 20.4% 99.6% 9.1% 90.5% 6.2 0.2 1.1 4.4 6.5 5.6 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.1 99.6%
13-5 19.8% 98.7% 6.6% 92.0% 7.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.7 6.4 4.3 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 98.6%
12-6 16.4% 96.6% 3.7% 92.9% 7.9 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.8 5.2 3.6 1.3 0.2 0.6 96.4%
11-7 10.1% 89.9% 1.9% 88.0% 8.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.2 3.1 2.1 0.5 1.0 89.7%
10-8 4.9% 77.3% 1.2% 76.1% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.4 0.6 1.1 77.1%
9-9 1.8% 60.7% 0.6% 60.1% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.7 60.4%
8-10 0.5% 32.3% 32.3% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 32.3%
7-11 0.1% 23.1% 23.1% 11.0 0.0 0.1 23.1%
6-12 0.0% 0.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 95.8% 7.1% 88.7% 6.7 4.2 95.5%