Davidson
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +0.6 #149
Expected Predictive Rating +2.6 #126
Pace 63.4 #324
Improvement -5.5 #361

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #193 B- C C C C
Defense #118 C B+ C C+ B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #258 1.14 #200 -1.9 #248
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #205 0.91 #30 +1.0 #124
Three Pointers 45% #104 1.08 #94 +3.7 #62
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #106 +2.7 #106
Freethrows 17.7 #168 70% #268 12.4 #201
Second Chance 28.6% #241 1.07 #146 0.31 #202
Turnovers 16.9% #196
Total Offense -1.0 #193

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #243 1.18 #208 +0.8 #142
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #29 0.78 #214 -2.9 #348
Three Pointers 36% #301 0.98 #137 +3.0 #72
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #149 +1.0 #150
Freethrows 17.2 #182 68% #37 11.8 #224
Second Chance 27.1% #69 0.94 #65 0.26 #43
Turnovers 17.1% #145
Total Defense +1.6 #118

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.0% #196 -2.0% #40
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.4% #96 0.2% #189
Possession Length 18.2 #262 18.4 #328
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #325 0.16 #153
Improvement -4.5 #356 -1.1 #253

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.0 12.8
.500 or above 57.2% 80.7% 53.3%
.500 or above in Conference 36.3% 62.5% 32.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 0.6% 3.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Away) - 14.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 42 - 9
Quad 36 - 58 - 13
Quad 48 - 215 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 136 Washington St. W 85 - 69 59% +16  1 - 0 +14 +11 A+ C F +3 A+ D- A+
 Tue, Nov 11 170 @Charlotte W 62 - 55 44% +10  2 - 0 +9 +1 A- F F +10 A+ A+ C-
 Sat, Nov 15 131 Bowling Green W 91 - 87 58% +9  3 - 0 +3 +8 A+ D- F -6 B+ D F
 Fri, Nov 21 151 Boston College W 59 - 49 51% +3  4 - 0 +10 +2 B F A +10 B B- A+
 Sun, Nov 23 28 Utah St. L 60 - 94 10% -17  4 - 1 -19 -7 C C- F -12 F A+ A
 Fri, Nov 28 302 N.C. A&T W 90 - 74 86% +9  5 - 1 +5 +18 A+ A+ A -12 F A+ D
 Thu, Dec 4 358 The Citadel W 79 - 63 95% +9  6 - 1 -2 +2 D- C A -3 F A+ B
 Sun, Dec 7 42 St. Mary's L 61 - 70 21% -1  6 - 2 +0 -3 C F C+ +2 B- A- B-
 Sat, Dec 13 308 Mercyhurst W 80 - 47 87% +17  7 - 2 +21 +18 A+ C+ A- +9 C+ A+ C+
 Thu, Dec 18 140 Temple L 63 - 68 60% -6  7 - 3 -7 -5 F A+ B -2 A A+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 18 @Kansas L 61 - 90 5% -20  7 - 4 -9 -4 C+ C+ F -3 F D+ A+
 Tue, Dec 30 132 Duquesne L 83 - 89 2OT 58% +3  7 - 5 0 - 1 -7 -1 F D A+ -6 A- C- F
 Sat, Jan 3 175 @Saint Joseph's W 62 - 56 45% -5  8 - 5 1 - 1 +8 +2 F A+ F +7 B+ C+ B
 Wed, Jan 7 259 @Loyola Chicago W 79 - 64 62% +10  9 - 5 2 - 1 +12 +7 A C F +6 A+ D- C
 Sat, Jan 10 123 Rhode Island L 45 - 70 55% -14  9 - 6 2 - 2 -26 -19 F F C -11 F A+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 60 @George Washington L 69 - 80 14%
 Wed, Jan 21 183 Fordham W 68 - 63 69%
 Sat, Jan 24 51 Virginia Commonwealth L 69 - 76 26%
 Wed, Jan 28 86 @George Mason L 64 - 73 20%
 Sat, Jan 31 116 @Richmond L 68 - 74 30%
 Tue, Feb 3 32 Saint Louis L 68 - 79 16%
 Fri, Feb 6 259 Loyola Chicago W 74 - 65 81%
 Sun, Feb 15 70 @Dayton L 62 - 72 17%
 Wed, Feb 18 116 Richmond W 72 - 71 51%
 Sat, Feb 21 183 @Fordham L 65 - 66 47%
 Wed, Feb 25 132 @Duquesne L 72 - 76 36%
 Sun, Mar 1 208 La Salle W 70 - 64 73%
 Wed, Mar 4 175 Saint Joseph's W 70 - 65 67%
 Sat, Mar 7 127 @St. Bonaventure L 68 - 72 35%
Totals 15 - 14 8 - 10 +1 -1 B- C C +2 C B+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 1.7 1.0 0.1 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.8 2.5 0.4 0.0 7.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.6 6.7 5.3 0.8 0.0 14.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 6.5 6.8 1.2 0.0 15.6 7th
8th 0.2 4.6 7.7 1.9 0.0 14.5 8th
9th 0.0 2.1 7.8 2.9 0.2 13.0 9th
10th 0.6 5.6 4.3 0.4 0.0 10.9 10th
11th 0.2 2.7 4.8 0.8 0.0 8.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 3.3 1.0 0.0 5.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.2 0.1 3.2 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 1.0 14th
Total 0.1 0.8 3.2 8.0 13.8 18.6 19.2 16.6 10.9 5.4 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 15.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 3.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.2% 2.3% 2.3% 12.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.7% 2.7% 2.7% 11.0 0.0 0.7
12-6 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3
11-7 5.4% 1.8% 1.8% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.3
10-8 10.9% 1.1% 1.1% 12.4 0.1 0.1 10.8
9-9 16.6% 0.2% 0.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.6
8-10 19.2% 0.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 19.1
7-11 18.6% 0.2% 0.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 18.6
6-12 13.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 13.8
5-13 8.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 7.9
4-14 3.2% 3.2
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 12.6 99.5 0.0%