Davidson
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#135
Expected Predictive Rating+10.9#60
Pace65.3#289
Improvement-2.0#330

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#153
First Shot+3.8#73
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#347
Layup/Dunks-5.2#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#18
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#70
Freethrows+0.8#131
Improvement-0.2#200

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#120
First Shot+0.5#148
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#123
Layups/Dunks+1.4#127
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#304
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#90
Freethrows-1.6#276
Improvement-1.8#325
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.3% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.6 11.6 11.6
.500 or above 73.8% 76.8% 49.1%
.500 or above in Conference 53.7% 55.3% 39.8%
Conference Champion 2.8% 2.9% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 3.1% 6.2%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round2.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Home) - 89.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 42 - 9
Quad 36 - 38 - 12
Quad 49 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 157 Washington St. W 85-69 69%     1 - 0 +12.7 +7.1 +5.6
  Tue, Nov 11 196 @Charlotte W 62-55 54%     2 - 0 +7.7 -0.1 +9.3
  Sat, Nov 15 140 Bowling Green W 91-87 64%     3 - 0 +2.2 +9.1 -7.4
  Fri, Nov 21 127 Boston College W 59-49 48%     4 - 0 +12.2 +2.5 +11.7
  Sun, Nov 23 35 Utah St. L 60-94 15%     4 - 1 -21.2 -8.3 -12.7
  Fri, Nov 28 313 N.C. A&T W 78-65 89%    
  Thu, Dec 4 358 The Citadel W 80-61 96%    
  Sun, Dec 7 30 St. Mary's L 62-71 21%    
  Sat, Dec 13 320 Mercyhurst W 72-59 89%    
  Thu, Dec 18 148 Temple W 77-72 67%    
  Mon, Dec 22 18 @Kansas L 61-79 5%    
  Tue, Dec 30 126 Duquesne W 77-75 59%    
  Sat, Jan 3 175 @Saint Joseph's W 73-72 50%    
  Wed, Jan 7 265 @Loyola Chicago W 70-66 65%    
  Sat, Jan 10 106 Rhode Island W 72-71 52%    
  Wed, Jan 14 62 @George Washington L 72-82 18%    
  Wed, Jan 21 212 Fordham W 70-62 77%    
  Sat, Jan 24 53 Virginia Commonwealth L 69-74 31%    
  Wed, Jan 28 74 @George Mason L 63-72 22%    
  Sat, Jan 31 115 @Richmond L 69-73 35%    
  Tue, Feb 3 50 Saint Louis L 71-77 31%    
  Fri, Feb 6 265 Loyola Chicago W 73-63 82%    
  Sun, Feb 15 78 @Dayton L 64-73 22%    
  Wed, Feb 18 115 Richmond W 72-70 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 212 @Fordham W 67-65 57%    
  Wed, Feb 25 126 @Duquesne L 74-78 38%    
  Sun, Mar 1 214 La Salle W 74-66 76%    
  Wed, Mar 4 175 Saint Joseph's W 75-69 71%    
  Sat, Mar 7 119 @St. Bonaventure L 66-70 36%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.6 1.9 0.4 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.2 2.9 0.5 0.0 7.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.3 3.9 1.0 0.1 8.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 3.1 5.0 2.0 0.1 10.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 5.7 2.9 0.3 11.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.2 4.1 0.6 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.4 4.4 0.8 0.0 10.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.4 1.3 0.1 9.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.6 1.5 0.1 7.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.6 1.1 0.1 5.3 12th
13th 0.2 0.8 1.4 0.8 0.1 3.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.8 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.3 6.4 8.8 11.8 13.3 14.3 12.7 10.2 7.3 4.6 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 92.9% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 65.0% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 35.9% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.6% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
12-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.5% 31.4% 16.0% 15.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 18.3%
15-3 1.3% 21.8% 15.3% 6.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.6%
14-4 2.7% 12.5% 11.0% 1.5% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.4 1.7%
13-5 4.6% 7.6% 7.1% 0.5% 11.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.2 0.5%
12-6 7.3% 4.1% 4.1% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 7.0
11-7 10.2% 2.3% 2.3% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 10.0
10-8 12.7% 1.3% 1.3% 12.4 0.1 0.1 12.5
9-9 14.3% 0.8% 0.8% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.2
8-10 13.3% 0.4% 0.4% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3
7-11 11.8% 0.4% 0.4% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.8
6-12 8.8% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 8.8
5-13 6.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.4
4-14 3.3% 3.3
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.1% 1.8% 0.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.9 0.3%