Delaware
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.4 #271
Expected Predictive Rating -8.1 #292
Pace 61.3 #353
Improvement +1.4 #115

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #304 B- F D F C-
Defense #221 C B- D C B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #302 1.09 #263 -3.8 #304
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #182 0.85 #62 +0.9 #134
Three Pointers 46% #85 1.13 #41 +5.2 #32
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #115 +2.3 #115
Freethrows 12.3 #355 73% #178 9.0 #348
Second Chance 21.5% #359 0.87 #346 0.19 #363
Turnovers 18.5% #294
Total Offense -4.9 #304

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #322 1.13 #140 +4.0 #58
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #112 0.76 #180 -0.7 #227
Three Pointers 45% #69 1.05 #235 -2.9 #296
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #168 +0.5 #168
Freethrows 15.9 #111 80% #360 12.6 #174
Second Chance 29.5% #131 0.97 #88 0.29 #97
Turnovers 14.6% #304
Total Defense -1.5 #221

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.6% #226 -1.4% #72
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.0% #106 0.6% #196
Possession Length 19.5 #353 17.2 #170
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.08 #364 0.20 #282
Improvement -2.0 #302 +3.4 #22

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 0.8% 1.2% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 2.6% 4.0% 0.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 55.5% 42.1% 73.9%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UTEP (Home) - 57.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 104 - 14
Quad 46 - 810 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 318 @Bucknell L 70 - 78 50% +4  0 - 1 -14 -4 F A D+ -10 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 11 @BYU L 68 - 85 1% +0  0 - 2 +6 +16 A+ F A+ -13 A- F D-
 Tue, Nov 18 246 St. Peter's W 81 - 70 56% +14  1 - 2 +3 +10 A+ F C- -6 F A+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 126 Southern Illinois L 59 - 79 21% -10  1 - 3 -18 -9 C+ F F -10 B- D- D
 Tue, Nov 25 288 UNC Greensboro W 73 - 60 54% +1  2 - 3 +6 +1 A+ F F +6 A+ A+ D
 Mon, Dec 1 198 Iona L 66 - 89 46% -7  2 - 4 -28 -8 B- F D- -20 F A+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 356 @Delaware St. L 72 - 75 OT 66% -1  2 - 5 -14 -7 D+ F F -6 F C- B+
 Wed, Dec 10 60 @George Washington W 70 - 58 5% +6  3 - 5 +24 +2 A+ D+ F +23 A+ A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 13 216 Cal St. Northridge L 66 - 88 49% -19  3 - 6 -28 -8 C- F F -21 F B- F
 Tue, Dec 16 348 Rider W 65 - 57 81% +6  4 - 6 -8 -5 D+ F C- -2 A F F
 Mon, Dec 29 192 Missouri St. L 43 - 61 44% -12  4 - 7 0 - 1 -23 -25 F F F -1 C A+ C
 Fri, Jan 2 203 Jacksonville St. L 64 - 67 46% -4  4 - 8 0 - 2 -8 -0 A- F B+ -9 C D+ C
 Sun, Jan 4 159 Kennesaw St. W 67 - 52 37% +5  5 - 8 1 - 2 +12 -1 A- F C +14 A+ A+ B+
 Thu, Jan 8 141 @Sam Houston St. L 60 - 72 16% -7  5 - 9 1 - 3 -8 -5 D+ F A- -5 B B+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 234 @Louisiana Tech L 68 - 70 OT 30% +5  5 - 10 1 - 4 -3 +2 B D C -5 C D D
 Thu, Jan 15 257 UTEP W 65 - 63 58%
 Sat, Jan 17 139 New Mexico St. L 64 - 68 34%
 Sat, Jan 24 95 @Liberty L 60 - 75 8%
 Wed, Jan 28 139 @New Mexico St. L 61 - 71 17%
 Sat, Jan 31 257 @UTEP L 62 - 66 36%
 Wed, Feb 4 95 Liberty L 63 - 72 20%
 Sat, Feb 7 120 Middle Tennessee L 62 - 68 29%
 Thu, Feb 12 172 @Florida International L 68 - 76 22%
 Sat, Feb 14 192 @Missouri St. L 61 - 68 24%
 Wed, Feb 18 150 Western Kentucky L 69 - 73 37%
 Sat, Feb 21 120 @Middle Tennessee L 59 - 71 13%
 Thu, Feb 26 203 @Jacksonville St. L 61 - 68 26%
 Sat, Feb 28 159 @Kennesaw St. L 69 - 78 20%
 Thu, Mar 5 141 Sam Houston St. L 70 - 74 35%
 Sat, Mar 7 234 Louisiana Tech W 61 - 60 51%
Totals 9 - 21 5 - 15 -6 -5 B- F D -1 C B- D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 0.7 0.1 1.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 2.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 2.9 1.1 0.0 4.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.0 2.9 0.3 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.0 5.5 0.9 0.0 14.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 4.9 9.8 7.4 1.8 0.1 0.0 24.9 11th
12th 1.4 5.9 11.2 12.5 7.7 1.9 0.1 40.7 12th
Total 1.4 5.9 12.2 17.6 19.9 16.5 12.3 7.7 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 22.2% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.2
11-9 0.6% 5.2% 5.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.6
10-10 1.8% 2.3% 2.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
9-11 4.0% 1.4% 1.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 3.9
8-12 7.7% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.6
7-13 12.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.3
6-14 16.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 16.4
5-15 19.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 19.8
4-16 17.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.6
3-17 12.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.1
2-18 5.9% 5.9
1-19 1.4% 1.4
0-20
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.7 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%