Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#262
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#267
Pace62.7#340
Improvement+1.2#83

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#271
First Shot-2.2#235
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#281
Layup/Dunks-0.6#209
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#277
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#106
Freethrows-2.0#300
Improvement-0.3#216

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#220
First Shot-2.6#265
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#135
Layups/Dunks-1.3#235
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#56
Freethrows-2.7#318
Improvement+1.5#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.9% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 26.8% 38.2% 18.0%
.500 or above in Conference 27.3% 32.8% 23.0%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.5% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 16.9% 13.3% 19.6%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round1.4% 1.8% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Away) - 43.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 83 - 11
Quad 410 - 613 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 175 @Saint Joseph's L 65-76 25%     0 - 1 -9.3 -7.3 -1.8
  Tue, Nov 11 182 @Colgate L 83-90 25%     0 - 2 -5.5 +10.9 -16.5
  Sat, Nov 15 64 Syracuse L 50-80 10%     0 - 3 -21.5 -14.2 -9.8
  Tue, Nov 18 349 NJIT W 75-43 81%     1 - 3 +17.2 -2.4 +19.7
  Fri, Nov 21 223 Penn L 68-84 55%     1 - 4 -22.8 -6.9 -16.5
  Sun, Nov 23 216 Old Dominion W 75-71 54%     2 - 4 -2.5 +2.4 -4.6
  Tue, Nov 25 360 @Morgan St. W 71-66 70%     3 - 4 -6.0 -2.5 -3.1
  Wed, Dec 3 283 @American L 70-72 44%    
  Tue, Dec 16 315 Howard W 72-66 71%    
  Fri, Dec 19 297 Mount St. Mary's W 70-65 67%    
  Sun, Dec 21 321 Maine W 66-60 71%    
  Mon, Dec 29 151 @College of Charleston L 64-72 23%    
  Wed, Dec 31 113 @UNC Wilmington L 61-73 14%    
  Sat, Jan 3 162 Hofstra L 66-68 44%    
  Thu, Jan 8 251 Stony Brook W 67-65 59%    
  Sat, Jan 10 130 William & Mary L 73-78 34%    
  Thu, Jan 15 201 @Monmouth L 64-70 30%    
  Sat, Jan 17 128 @Towson L 58-69 17%    
  Sat, Jan 17 200 Northeastern L 67-68 50%    
  Thu, Jan 29 235 Hampton W 67-65 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 313 N.C. A&T W 73-67 70%    
  Thu, Feb 5 219 @Campbell L 68-73 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 190 @Elon L 67-74 28%    
  Thu, Feb 12 201 Monmouth W 67-66 50%    
  Mon, Feb 16 251 @Stony Brook L 64-68 37%    
  Thu, Feb 19 200 @Northeastern L 65-71 30%    
  Sat, Feb 21 128 Towson L 61-66 34%    
  Thu, Feb 26 219 Campbell W 71-70 54%    
  Tue, Mar 3 162 @Hofstra L 63-71 25%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.2 1.7 2.1 0.6 0.0 4.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.8 3.0 0.8 0.1 5.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.1 1.6 0.1 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.0 3.2 0.3 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.8 4.6 0.8 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.8 5.9 1.8 0.1 10.9 9th
10th 0.3 2.3 5.7 3.2 0.3 11.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.3 4.0 0.6 12.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.9 3.6 0.8 12.7 12th
13th 0.2 1.1 2.6 3.2 2.4 0.6 0.0 10.1 13th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.3 6.1 9.6 12.0 13.8 14.4 12.1 10.1 7.1 5.0 2.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 78.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 57.4% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.1
13-5 20.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 26.1% 26.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 14.3% 14.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 13.1% 13.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.3% 10.8% 10.8% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2
12-6 2.8% 11.3% 11.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.5
11-7 5.0% 5.2% 5.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 4.7
10-8 7.1% 2.3% 2.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.9
9-9 10.1% 1.9% 1.9% 15.5 0.1 0.1 10.0
8-10 12.1% 0.9% 0.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 12.0
7-11 14.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 14.3
6-12 13.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.8
5-13 12.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.9
4-14 9.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.5
3-15 6.1% 6.1
2-16 3.3% 3.3
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 98.5 0.0%