Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -2.4 203
Results Rating -3.6 227
Consistency 0.12 27
Pace 77.5 16
Improvement -2.1 266

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 223 C- C+ C- C C+
Defense C 188 C- D+ B+ C D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 23 C- 56% 234 +2.9 81
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 91 C- 36% 235 -0.1 182
Three Pointers 33% 333 C 34% 178 -4.0 315
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 135 C- -1.4 226
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 204
Second Chance C+ 32.2% 122 C+ 1.06 129 C+ 0.34 105
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.6% 289
Other Turnovers C+ 6.8% 119
Turnovers C- 17.5% 227
Freethrows C+ 0.32 154 D 68% 307 C 0.22 194
Total Offense C- -2.0 223

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 47% 200 B- 9.6% 105
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 28% 134 B- 3.7% 85
Three Pointers C- 81% 240 B- 0.5% 92
Total C- 52% 244 C+ 5.3% 150

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 231 C+ 57% 145 -1.3 125
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 342 F+ 45% 348 -1.5 64
Three Pointers 48% 17 C- 35% 212 +4.1 338
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.7 286 C- +0.9 218
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 234
Second Chance D- 34.9% 332 C 1.02 162 D+ 0.36 292
Turnovers from Steals A- 12.8% 16
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 153
Turnovers B+ 20.2% 28
Freethrows C 0.31 212 C 72% 176 C 0.23 210
Total Defense C -0.5 188

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 54% 304 B 15.3% 47
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 42% 355 C+ 6.0% 103
Three Pointers D- 90% 338 C- 0.6% 220
Total F+ 66% 350 B- 6.9% 83

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 14.9 10 17.4 194
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 54 0.17 192
Consistency 0.10 27 0.09 8
Improvement -3.0 323 +0.9 133

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 234 205 173
Results Rating Rank 272 224 184
Conference Record 6 - 14 7 - 13 9 - 11
Conference Finish 11 9 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.4 15.9
.500 or above 2% 4% 1%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 17% 4% 26%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round2% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Away) - 41.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 13
Quad 49 - 512 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 13 @Nebraska L 66 - 96 2% -21  2% 0 - 1 D+ -8 C- -2 D+ A- F D+ -3 F D- A+
 Thu, Nov 13 53 @LSU L 81 - 98 8% -10  1% 0 - 2 C- -3 C +1 C- B B+ D+ -3 B F A-
 Mon, Nov 24 202 James Madison L 72 - 80 61% +1  60% 0 - 3 D- -13 D -4 D+ D B F+ -9 A+ F D
 Wed, Nov 26 255 Nebraska Omaha W 74 - 61 71% +8  94% 1 - 3 B- +5 F+ -9 D- C- A A+ +14 A+ F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 257 Florida Gulf Coast W 89 - 83 72% +6  86% 2 - 3 C- -2 C+ +2 D+ B+ C- D -5 C+ D- B-
 Sat, Dec 6 305 Jacksonville W 88 - 65 81% +18  95% 3 - 3 B+ +11 B+ +9 A+ D D+ B- +3 B F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 39 @Miami (FL) L 81 - 98 5% -6  10% 3 - 4 C -0 B +7 B B+ C+ D -6 F C+ C
 Sat, Dec 20 218 LIU Brooklyn W 86 - 79 65% +2  46% 4 - 4 C +1 C+ +2 A C- D+ C- -2 C- C A+
 Sun, Dec 28 111 Liberty L 94 - 97 OT 39% +0  50% 4 - 5 0 - 1 C- -3 B +7 C A+ C F+ -10 C F C-
 Fri, Jan 2 176 New Mexico St. W 89 - 74 56% +11  86% 5 - 5 1 - 1 B +11 B+ +9 B+ A+ F+ C+ +2 F A A+
 Sun, Jan 4 246 UTEP W 76 - 64 70% +2  53% 6 - 5 2 - 1 C+ +4 C+ +2 C+ A+ C B- +3 B- C+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 194 @Jacksonville St. L 64 - 71 37% -1  34% 6 - 6 2 - 2 D+ -6 D -5 C- D- D C- -2 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 207 @Missouri St. L 71 - 79 39% -6  8% 6 - 7 2 - 3 D+ -8 D -5 F B- B C- -2 C- F A
 Wed, Jan 14 154 @Kennesaw St. L 86 - 89 29% +4  72% 6 - 8 2 - 4 C +0 B +7 D- A+ B+ D- -7 F+ C+ D+
 Sat, Jan 17 105 Sam Houston St. L 63 - 76 37% -7  3% 6 - 9 2 - 5 D- -12 F -17 F D- F B+ +6 B- B A
 Thu, Jan 22 246 @UTEP L 77 - 83 48% -5  7% 6 - 10 2 - 6 D+ -8 C +1 B+ F+ C F+ -8 F F A
 Sat, Jan 24 176 @New Mexico St. W 81 - 78 34% +4  71% 7 - 10 3 - 6 B- +5 C- -1 C F A+ B+ +5 A- C+ A
 Wed, Jan 28 194 Jacksonville St. L 74 - 78 60% +4  69% 7 - 11 3 - 7 D -9 F -12 C- D F B +4 D+ A B+
 Wed, Feb 4 160 @Middle Tennessee W 88 - 84 OT 31% +1  58% 8 - 11 4 - 7 B- +7 C +1 D+ D+ B B+ +6 C A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 140 @Western Kentucky L 70 - 80 26% +1  55% 8 - 12 4 - 8 D+ -6 C -0 C- C+ D+ D -6 B- F+ F+
 Thu, Feb 12 268 Delaware L 66 - 68 74% -3  36% 8 - 13 4 - 9 D -11 F -11 F B D+ C +0 C- F A+
 Sat, Feb 14 216 Louisiana Tech W 77 - 64 64% +4  77% 9 - 13 5 - 9 B- +7 B- +5 B A+ F B- +2 D- B+ A
 Thu, Feb 19 111 @Liberty L 89 - 90 OT 20% -1  38% 9 - 14 5 - 10 B- +5 C+ +3 C B- D B- +2 D+ C+ A
 Sat, Feb 21 207 Missouri St. W 70 - 67 62% +3  87% 10 - 14 6 - 10 C- -3 D -5 D+ D+ A- B- +3 C A- B+
 Thu, Feb 26 105 @Sam Houston St. L 67 - 100 18% -20  0% 10 - 15 6 - 11 F -26 F+ -9 F B F+ F -15 F D- B
 Sat, Feb 28 216 @Louisiana Tech L 69 - 71 41%
 Thu, Mar 5 160 Middle Tennessee W 77 - 76 53%
 Sat, Mar 7 140 Western Kentucky L 79 - 80 47%
Totals 11 - 17 7 - 13 -2 C- -2 C- C- C+ C +0 C D C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- C- C C- 45% 45% 33% C+ C- C+ C+ C+ C- C+ D C C C+ F+ C- C- 37% 15% 48% D+ C- D- C D+ B+ C C C
1.06 56% 36% 34% -1 0 1.00 32% 1.1 .34 17% .32 68% .22 1.09 57% 45% 35% +1 +1 1.05 35% 1.0 .36 20% .31 72% .23
Nov
8		 Nebraska C- F A+ D+ F+ 48% 17% 34% A+ D+ A+ C A- F F D+ F D+ C+ C+ F F 37% 10% 53% C- F C- F D- A+ A+ A+ A+
0.86 36% 50% 30% -11 +1 0.83 39% 0.8 .32 26% .11 67% .07 1.25 64% 33% 52% +15 +1 1.36 28% 1.3 .38 20% .13 63% .08
Nov
13		 LSU C D+ A+ F D 48% 13% 38% A C- C+ A- B B+ C D- C- D+ D- C A+ B 43% 25% 31% B B D- F F A- F F F
1.04 52% 50% 26% -6 +2 0.93 31% 1.1 .33 13% .31 62% .19 1.26 68% 38% 25% 0 0 1.02 39% 1.8 .68 18% .53 88% .47
Nov
24		 James Madison D F A+ B- D 38% 15% 47% C+ D+ B F D B A+ F C+ F+ A+ D A+ A+ 32% 10% 58% C- A+ F D F D F D F
1.07 30% 63% 36% -5 +1 0.92 35% 0.7 .25 10% .45 59% .26 1.18 38% 40% 21% -18 +1 0.68 51% 1.2 .59 15% .52 73% .38
Nov
26		 Nebraska Omaha F+ C- F B- D- 27% 23% 50% D- D- D+ B- C- A B F F+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 34% 15% 51% D+ A+ F F F A+ F B- F+
1.03 60% 23% 36% -2 -1 0.96 25% 1.1 .28 10% .34 50% .17 0.85 38% 57% 21% -14 0 0.74 32% 1.5 .49 28% .38 70% .27
Dec
3		 Florida Gulf Coast C+ D+ F C D 40% 14% 46% B- D+ C- A+ B+ C- A+ A+ A+ D C B+ A B+ 49% 11% 40% F C+ F B+ D- B- F F F
1.17 55% 29% 35% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.4 .41 17% .56 86% .48 1.09 59% 33% 27% -4 +2 0.98 41% 0.9 .38 18% .34 86% .29
Dec
6		 Jacksonville B+ B F A+ A+ 48% 18% 34% C+ A+ F+ B- D D+ A+ A A+ B- A+ A- C- B 23% 19% 58% B B F B F A+ C+ A B
1.29 67% 25% 67% +18 +1 1.41 23% 1.0 .23 16% .52 77% .40 0.95 33% 30% 33% -8 -1 0.85 43% 0.9 .41 26% .28 64% .18
Dec
16		 Miami (FL) B A- A+ F B 43% 26% 30% C+ B A+ D- B+ C+ A D+ A- D F F B+ F+ 55% 9% 36% F F D- A C+ C F C- F
1.07 65% 50% 25% +2 0 1.06 35% 0.9 .32 18% .34 67% .23 1.29 74% 80% 30% +11 +3 1.29 44% 0.9 .41 16% .49 71% .34
Dec
20		 LIU Brooklyn C+ A+ F B A 52% 17% 31% B- A C D C- D+ A- D+ B C- B- F C C+ 49% 11% 40% F C- F A+ C A+ C- C+ C-
1.13 78% 11% 38% +7 +1 1.19 34% 0.9 .31 20% .39 67% .26 1.04 54% 50% 33% -1 +2 1.04 45% 0.7 .33 26% .30 65% .20
Dec
28		 Liberty B F A+ B D+ 60% 16% 24% A C A+ C+ A+ C A+ D A+ F+ F+ B D+ C- 34% 5% 61% B C F C F C- B- F+ C
1.22 42% 78% 38% -1 +2 1.04 50% 1.3 .63 18% .37 70% .25 1.26 71% 33% 38% +8 +2 1.21 31% 1.0 .31 13% .24 75% .18
Jan
2		 New Mexico St. B+ A- F A+ A- 40% 25% 35% C B+ A A+ A+ F+ A D+ B+ C+ D+ F F+ F 31% 18% 51% D- F A+ C- A A+ A- A- A-
1.25 68% 25% 41% +5 0 1.10 41% 1.5 .62 18% .45 73% .33 1.04 63% 56% 38% +8 0 1.18 20% 1.0 .20 21% .21 67% .14
Jan
4		 UTEP C+ B+ B- F C- 53% 16% 31% A C+ B A+ A+ C A+ F B+ B- A+ C+ D+ B+ 35% 17% 48% F B- F+ A C+ C+ B F C
1.14 67% 43% 21% -1 +2 1.04 39% 1.3 .52 18% .49 63% .31 0.96 39% 33% 36% -6 0 0.90 32% 0.8 .24 18% .22 83% .18
Jan
7		 Jacksonville St. D C+ A- F C 46% 23% 31% C- C- F A- D- D B- A- B+ C- C F F F 44% 10% 46% C- F F F F A+ F+ F+ F
0.99 59% 45% 27% -1 0 1.00 18% 1.2 .21 19% .36 84% .30 1.10 56% 50% 42% +6 +2 1.17 38% 1.2 .46 25% .41 75% .31
Jan
10		 Missouri St. D A D- F F 30% 42% 28% D F C- A- B- B D F F C- D F B- D+ 14% 20% 66% B C- D- F F A F B+ F
0.99 75% 32% 20% -3 -3 0.89 30% 1.3 .38 15% .31 58% .18 1.11 67% 56% 31% +2 -2 1.02 36% 1.5 .55 22% .56 61% .34
Jan
14		 Kennesaw St. B F F A+ F 53% 13% 35% B+ D- A+ A A+ B+ C- D+ D+ D- B- A+ F F 31% 15% 55% B F+ D+ B+ C+ D+ F A+ D
1.16 31% 29% 47% -9 +2 0.89 44% 1.2 .53 14% .39 72% .28 1.21 53% 13% 47% +5 0 1.13 37% 0.8 .30 15% .46 59% .27
Jan
17		 Sam Houston St. F F F A F 37% 21% 42% C F C+ F D- F A+ F A+ B+ F B+ B+ C+ 29% 20% 51% B B- B B B A F A+ D-
0.84 25% 11% 39% -15 0 0.72 32% 0.7 .22 24% .68 62% .42 1.01 73% 30% 31% 0 -1 1.02 33% 0.9 .30 23% .45 54% .24
Jan
22		 UTEP C B+ D A+ A 38% 36% 26% D- B+ D+ F F+ C A+ F B F+ D F+ F F 32% 26% 42% D+ F D+ F F A C+ D+ C
1.07 67% 35% 50% +8 -2 1.15 31% 0.8 .25 18% .46 63% .29 1.16 65% 43% 41% +8 -1 1.15 29% 1.3 .39 22% .25 71% .18
Jan
24		 New Mexico St. C- C A+ F C 39% 19% 42% B- C F F+ F A+ B F C- B+ A+ A C- A- 30% 28% 43% C+ A- F A+ C+ A F A- F
1.07 59% 55% 25% -2 0 0.98 20% 1.0 .20 8% .40 68% .27 1.03 44% 27% 35% -7 -2 0.85 43% 0.7 .29 20% .45 67% .30
Jan
28		 Jacksonville St. F C C+ F+ D+ 50% 10% 40% A- C- D- C- D F B- D- C+ B F A A+ C- 62% 8% 30% F D+ A+ C A B+ F C F
0.93 58% 40% 29% -3 +2 1.00 22% 1.0 .22 24% .36 73% .26 0.98 68% 25% 20% -1 +3 1.06 18% 1.0 .18 20% .50 69% .34
Feb
4		 Middle Tennessee C D C A C- 48% 34% 18% D- D+ C F+ D+ B A+ F+ A+ B+ D- F B- C+ 21% 7% 71% D- C A A+ A+ D+ F D+ F
1.07 52% 37% 40% -2 -1 0.96 25% 0.9 .23 13% .52 70% .37 1.02 67% 50% 33% +1 +1 1.05 22% 0.3 .07 15% .47 70% .33
Feb
7		 Western Kentucky C A F B C 35% 31% 33% D C- C+ C C+ D+ D- A+ C- D C+ A+ B+ B 40% 12% 47% D B- F B- F+ F+ A+ F A-
1.03 71% 20% 38% +1 -2 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 19% .34 79% .27 1.17 52% 14% 30% -8 +1 0.88 44% 0.9 .40 10% .21 85% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Delaware F F+ D- F+ F 37% 24% 39% C+ F C+ B B D+ F D F C F+ F B C- 31% 10% 58% D C- F F F A+ B- B B
0.99 50% 31% 29% -8 -1 0.85 33% 1.1 .37 15% .16 78% .12 1.02 67% 60% 32% +3 +1 1.10 31% 1.1 .34 24% .22 73% .16
Feb
14		 Louisiana Tech B- C+ F+ A+ B+ 43% 21% 36% C- B A+ D+ A+ F B F C- B- D B B D 53% 12% 35% F D- A B- B+ A C A- B-
1.14 55% 30% 41% +1 0 1.04 52% 1.0 .52 24% .35 61% .21 0.95 62% 33% 29% -1 +2 1.04 26% 0.8 .19 24% .27 57% .16
Feb
19		 Liberty C+ D- D- A+ C- 54% 21% 25% B C A F+ B- D A- A+ A+ B- B+ F F D+ 47% 4% 49% C- D+ C+ C C+ A F D F
1.12 48% 33% 50% 0 +1 1.04 41% 1.1 .44 20% .30 89% .27 1.14 54% 50% 48% +9 +3 1.25 17% 1.0 .17 19% .34 73% .25
Feb
21		 Missouri St. D C C F D 40% 32% 28% B- D+ F A+ D+ A- B+ F+ C+ B- A+ F F C+ 38% 17% 45% F C D A+ A- B+ D C D
1.04 65% 38% 29% 0 -1 1.00 19% 1.5 .29 13% .41 67% .27 1.00 33% 50% 43% -1 0 1.00 35% 0.8 .27 21% .39 67% .26
Feb
26		 Sam Houston St. F+ C+ C+ F F 27% 38% 35% F F F+ A+ B F+ A+ B+ A+ F F F+ F F 49% 22% 29% C- F F C D- B F F F
0.91 62% 39% 12% -11 -3 0.75 22% 1.8 .39 20% .50 76% .38 1.36 71% 45% 64% +21 +1 1.45 43% 1.0 .43 19% .42 80% .34



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.9 0.9 5th
6th 3.8 3.8 6th
7th 1.4 5.1 6.5 7th
8th 2.7 19.5 1.7 23.9 8th
9th 0.4 13.5 12.3 26.2 9th
10th 3.9 16.7 1.1 21.7 10th
11th 9.1 5.4 0.0 14.5 11th
12th 2.3 0.1 2.4 12th
Total 15.7 38.4 34.4 11.5 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 11.5% 3.7% 3.7% 14.7 0.1 0.3 11.1
8-12 34.4% 2.5% 2.5% 15.8 0.2 0.7 33.6
7-13 38.4% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.8 37.6
6-14 15.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 15.5
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.7 97.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 14.7 27.4 72.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.3%
Lose Out 9.5%