Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#215
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#262
Pace73.0#101
Improvement+0.1#166

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#257
First Shot-2.7#255
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#205
Layup/Dunks+0.9#147
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#191
Freethrows-4.5#356
Improvement-0.8#258

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#170
First Shot+7.4#16
After Offensive Rebounds-7.6#365
Layups/Dunks+5.2#36
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#262
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#66
Freethrows-0.7#229
Improvement+0.9#97
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.6% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.7
.500 or above 24.3% 34.4% 13.9%
.500 or above in Conference 35.0% 42.1% 27.7%
Conference Champion 2.3% 3.4% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 15.5% 11.5% 19.7%
First Four0.4% 0.2% 0.5%
First Round2.7% 3.5% 1.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Home) - 50.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 31 - 6
Quad 33 - 74 - 13
Quad 48 - 512 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 43 @Nebraska L 66-96 5%     0 - 1 -15.1 -7.0 -5.4
  Thu, Nov 13 40 @LSU L 81-98 5%     0 - 2 -2.0 +5.9 -6.2
  Mon, Nov 24 147 James Madison L 72-80 48%     0 - 3 -10.9 -3.2 -8.0
  Wed, Nov 26 256 Nebraska Omaha W 74-61 68%     1 - 3 +4.8 -7.0 +11.4
  Wed, Dec 3 164 Florida Gulf Coast W 77-76 51%    
  Sat, Dec 6 269 Jacksonville W 72-67 69%    
  Tue, Dec 16 44 @Miami (FL) L 67-85 4%    
  Sat, Dec 20 232 LIU Brooklyn W 76-72 64%    
  Sun, Dec 28 97 Liberty L 70-76 30%    
  Fri, Jan 2 108 New Mexico St. L 67-71 35%    
  Sun, Jan 4 234 UTEP W 70-66 63%    
  Wed, Jan 7 222 @Jacksonville St. L 65-68 41%    
  Sat, Jan 10 239 @Missouri St. L 67-69 43%    
  Wed, Jan 14 163 @Kennesaw St. L 78-84 31%    
  Sat, Jan 17 170 Sam Houston St. W 76-75 53%    
  Thu, Jan 22 234 @UTEP L 67-69 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 108 @New Mexico St. L 64-74 19%    
  Wed, Jan 28 222 Jacksonville St. W 68-65 61%    
  Wed, Feb 4 149 @Middle Tennessee L 72-78 28%    
  Sat, Feb 7 132 @Western Kentucky L 74-82 23%    
  Thu, Feb 12 241 Delaware W 75-71 64%    
  Sat, Feb 14 194 Louisiana Tech W 67-65 56%    
  Thu, Feb 19 97 @Liberty L 67-79 16%    
  Sat, Feb 21 239 Missouri St. W 70-66 65%    
  Thu, Feb 26 170 @Sam Houston St. L 73-78 33%    
  Sat, Feb 28 194 @Louisiana Tech L 64-68 35%    
  Thu, Mar 5 149 Middle Tennessee L 74-75 49%    
  Sat, Mar 7 132 Western Kentucky L 77-79 42%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.8 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 8.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.4 1.7 0.1 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.9 2.2 0.2 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.8 2.8 0.3 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.0 3.5 0.6 0.0 11.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.4 3.4 0.7 0.0 11.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 4.0 2.9 0.7 0.1 11.5 11th
12th 0.2 0.6 1.7 2.6 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 9.7 12th
Total 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.4 5.9 8.2 10.2 11.4 11.9 11.3 10.0 8.6 6.3 4.3 2.8 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 83.5% 0.3    0.2 0.1
16-4 66.4% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 46.0% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.1
14-6 16.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 28.6% 28.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 30.8% 30.8% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.9% 23.3% 23.3% 12.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
15-5 1.7% 17.6% 17.6% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
14-6 2.8% 13.2% 13.2% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.4
13-7 4.3% 9.4% 9.4% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.9
12-8 6.3% 6.8% 6.8% 14.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 5.8
11-9 8.6% 4.3% 4.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.3
10-10 10.0% 2.2% 2.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.8
9-11 11.3% 1.7% 1.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.1
8-12 11.9% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.8
7-13 11.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.3
6-14 10.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.1
5-15 8.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.2
4-16 5.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.9
3-17 3.4% 3.4
2-18 1.8% 1.8
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 14.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.5 97.1 0.0%