Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -0.9 #172
Expected Predictive Rating -2.1 #202
Pace 76.7 #30
Improvement +0.8 #143

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #155 C B C+ D+ B-
Defense #204 C F A- B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #20 1.16 #184 +4.6 #45
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #185 0.79 #121 +0.2 #166
Three Pointers 34% #322 0.98 #230 -4.4 #319
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #170 +0.4 #169
Freethrows 16.6 #230 67% #323 11.1 #273
Second Chance 33.1% #116 1.13 #80 0.38 #78
Turnovers 15.9% #133
Total Offense +0.2 #155

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #247 1.06 #64 +3.2 #80
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #331 0.91 #346 +0.9 #128
Three Pointers 49% #20 0.98 #141 -3.2 #306
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #152 +0.9 #151
Freethrows 14.2 #37 80% #362 11.3 #265
Second Chance 36.8% #348 1.16 #312 0.43 #353
Turnovers 20.0% #33
Total Defense -1.2 #204

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.4% #93 1.1% #277
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.6% #183 -2.9% #131
Possession Length 14.6 #10 17.8 #258
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.27 #14 0.16 #141
Improvement +0.6 #146 +0.2 #170

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 6.2% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.8 14.4
.500 or above 41.4% 58.8% 31.9%
.500 or above in Conference 45.0% 63.2% 35.2%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.9% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 1.9% 6.6%
First Four0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round4.3% 6.1% 3.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kennesaw St. (Away) - 35.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 74 - 13
Quad 410 - 314 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 16 @Nebraska L 66 - 96 3% -21  0 - 1 -10 -3 D A F -4 F D- A+
 Thu, Nov 13 44 @LSU L 81 - 98 8% -10  0 - 2 -2 +6 C A- B+ -6 B+ F A-
 Mon, Nov 24 213 James Madison L 72 - 80 68% +1  0 - 3 -14 -3 D F B+ -12 A+ F D
 Wed, Nov 26 258 Nebraska Omaha W 74 - 61 76% +8  1 - 3 +5 -7 F C A+ +12 A+ F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 201 Florida Gulf Coast W 89 - 83 67% +6  2 - 3 +1 +4 D+ B+ C -4 A- D- B
 Sat, Dec 6 305 Jacksonville W 88 - 65 84% +18  3 - 3 +12 +13 A+ C- C -1 A- F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 35 @Miami (FL) L 81 - 98 6% -6  3 - 4 -0 +9 B+ C+ B -8 F C C+
 Sat, Dec 20 219 LIU Brooklyn W 86 - 79 69% +2  4 - 4 +1 +3 A C- D -3 B- D- A+
 Sun, Dec 28 95 Liberty L 94 - 97 OT 36% +0  4 - 5 0 - 1 -0 +12 B- A+ C- -12 C- F C
 Fri, Jan 2 139 New Mexico St. W 89 - 74 54% +11  5 - 5 1 - 1 +13 +14 A+ A+ D+ -1 F A+ A+
 Sun, Jan 4 257 UTEP W 76 - 64 76% +2  6 - 5 2 - 1 +4 +4 C A+ C +0 C+ B C+
 Wed, Jan 7 203 @Jacksonville St. L 64 - 71 44% -1  6 - 6 2 - 2 -6 -3 C D- F -4 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 192 @Missouri St. L 71 - 79 42% -6  6 - 7 2 - 3 -7 -2 F B- B- -5 C- F A+
 Wed, Jan 14 159 @Kennesaw St. L 83 - 87 35%
 Sat, Jan 17 141 Sam Houston St. W 84 - 83 54%
 Thu, Jan 22 257 @UTEP W 75 - 73 56%
 Sat, Jan 24 139 @New Mexico St. L 74 - 79 32%
 Wed, Jan 28 203 Jacksonville St. W 76 - 72 66%
 Wed, Feb 4 120 @Middle Tennessee L 72 - 79 27%
 Sat, Feb 7 150 @Western Kentucky L 81 - 85 34%
 Thu, Feb 12 271 Delaware W 76 - 68 78%
 Sat, Feb 14 234 Louisiana Tech W 73 - 67 71%
 Thu, Feb 19 95 @Liberty L 72 - 82 19%
 Sat, Feb 21 192 Missouri St. W 76 - 72 64%
 Thu, Feb 26 141 @Sam Houston St. L 81 - 86 32%
 Sat, Feb 28 234 @Louisiana Tech W 70 - 69 51%
 Thu, Mar 5 120 Middle Tennessee L 75 - 76 48%
 Sat, Mar 7 150 Western Kentucky W 84 - 82 56%
Totals 13 - 15 9 - 11 -1 +0 C B C+ -1 C F A-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 3.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.6 3.4 0.5 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.6 4.5 4.6 0.8 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.3 3.3 6.5 1.5 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 7.1 2.9 0.2 12.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.9 4.7 0.5 0.0 12.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.8 5.6 1.0 0.0 12.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 3.2 4.2 1.3 0.0 9.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.5 1.0 0.1 5.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.3 6.9 11.4 15.1 16.7 15.7 12.3 8.9 4.9 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 84.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-5 39.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 16.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 33.3% 33.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.8% 27.5% 27.5% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-6 2.2% 14.0% 14.0% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.9
13-7 4.9% 11.3% 11.3% 13.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.4
12-8 8.9% 9.8% 9.8% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 8.0
11-9 12.3% 6.5% 6.5% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 11.5
10-10 15.7% 4.3% 4.3% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 15.0
9-11 16.7% 2.6% 2.6% 15.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 16.3
8-12 15.1% 1.9% 1.9% 15.8 0.1 0.2 14.9
7-13 11.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.3
6-14 6.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.8
5-15 3.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.3
4-16 1.2% 1.2
3-17 0.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 14.1 95.6 0.0%