Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -8.1 299
Results Rating -9.1 310
Consistency 0.13 78
Pace 68.6 178
Improvement -3.5 309

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 348 D D+ F C+ C
Defense C 167 D+ D+ B+ D+ D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 139 D+ 55% 253 -0.3 195
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 99 D- 31% 349 -1.0 237
Three Pointers 38% 239 D+ 31% 287 -3.0 280
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 197 D -4.1 314
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 311
Second Chance D+ 27.5% 258 D+ 0.97 268 D+ 0.27 274
Opponents' Steals F+ 12.0% 354
Other Turnovers D- 9.0% 342
Turnovers F 21.0% 357
Freethrows C+ 0.32 125 C 72% 192 C+ 0.23 130
Total Offense D- -8.2 348

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 47% 196 F 16.2% 359
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 261 D 7.6% 323
Three Pointers F+ 73% 348 C+ 0.8% 154
Total D+ 50% 293 F 8.4% 362

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 62 D+ 61% 259 +4.0 314
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 331 B 34% 61 -2.5 19
Three Pointers 41% 168 C- 35% 219 +0.6 212
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.0 342 C- +1.1 225
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.06 250
Second Chance D 33.3% 298 C- 1.06 229 D+ 0.35 287
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.7% 94
Other Turnovers B+ 8.9% 26
Turnovers B+ 19.6% 36
Freethrows D+ 0.34 284 C- 73% 211 D+ 0.25 277
Total Defense C +0.1 167

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 54% 305 D 7.6% 317
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 224 C- 4.2% 213
Three Pointers C+ 81% 105 B- 1.5% 65
Total D+ 60% 276 D+ 4.6% 255

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.2 151 17.2 165
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 113 0.21 318
Consistency 0.12 188 0.10 50
Improvement -5.9 359 +2.4 60

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 314 298 279
Results Rating Rank 334 307 280
Conference Record 6 - 12 8 - 10 9 - 9
Conference Finish 11 9 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2% 3% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 13% 19% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 3% 0%
First Round1% 2% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Florida A&M (Home) - 67.7% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 411 - 1212 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 8 @Iowa St. L 62 - 102 1% -16  1% 0 - 1 F+ -16 D -4 C D- D F+ -9 D+ D B-
 Sun, Nov 9 200 @Howard W 73 - 70 20% +1  52% 1 - 1 C+ +4 B +7 B A F D+ -3 F F A+
 Thu, Nov 13 226 Southern Miss W 75 - 70 44% +6  84% 2 - 1 C -2 C- -1 A D- F C -1 A+ F D-
 Tue, Nov 18 233 @San Diego L 68 - 78 25% -7  1% 2 - 2 D -11 F -13 F C- D+ B- +2 B- A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 21 134 @California Baptist L 59 - 72 12% -13  1% 2 - 3 D -8 D- -6 C F F D+ -3 F C+ A+
 Mon, Nov 24 281 @UC Riverside L 74 - 83 34% +1  53% 2 - 4 D- -13 C- -1 F+ C A- F -12 F D B-
 Tue, Dec 2 180 @Tulane L 63 - 65 18% -0  32% 2 - 5 C -0 D+ -3 D+ B+ F B- +2 B+ D+ F+
 Mon, Dec 8 226 @Southern Miss L 60 - 68 24% +1  64% 2 - 6 D -9 F -12 D+ F F B +4 D C A+
 Thu, Dec 18 304 Norfolk St. W 80 - 68 52% +14  99% 3 - 6 C+ +3 D+ -3 C+ F A+ B+ +6 A- D D+
 Fri, Dec 19 267 Hampton W 81 - 72 42% +7  95% 4 - 6 C+ +3 B+ +9 B A+ F D -5 F A+ A-
 Tue, Dec 23 36 @Ohio St. L 63 - 89 2% -13  1% 4 - 7 D -9 D+ -3 D- B+ F D- -7 F A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 331 Prairie View W 76 - 72 71% +4  92% 5 - 7 1 - 0 D -10 F -11 C- D F C+ +0 C D A+
 Mon, Jan 5 307 Texas Southern W 84 - 67 64% +9  87% 6 - 7 2 - 0 B- +5 C+ +3 B+ B+ D+ B- +2 A F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 239 @Bethune-Cookman L 65 - 74 26% -8  11% 6 - 8 2 - 1 D -10 F -13 D+ F F B +4 C+ F A
 Mon, Jan 12 318 @Florida A&M L 84 - 91 46% -3  24% 6 - 9 2 - 2 D- -14 B- +5 C- B+ B- F -19 F F B
 Sat, Jan 17 276 Southern L 53 - 71 55% -11  0% 6 - 10 2 - 3 F -27 F -27 F C- F C -1 D- A B
 Sat, Jan 31 344 @Jackson St. W 69 - 66 55% +3  73% 7 - 10 3 - 3 D+ -6 D- -8 D+ F D- C+ +1 C C C-
 Mon, Feb 2 345 @Alcorn St. W 74 - 50 56% +13  96% 8 - 10 4 - 3 B+ +14 C+ +2 D+ B+ D- A+ +15 A+ C+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 330 Arkansas Pine Bluff L 64 - 67 71% -4  4% 8 - 11 4 - 4 F+ -17 F -17 F D D C -0 B F C+
 Sat, Feb 7 314 Alabama St. W 57 - 47 66% +3  62% 9 - 11 5 - 4 C- -2 F -16 F F C- A+ +15 A+ B+ C-
 Mon, Feb 9 309 Alabama A&M L 58 - 66 64% -10  0% 9 - 12 5 - 5 F -20 F -20 F C- D C -0 C- C A-
 Sat, Feb 14 307 @Texas Southern L 79 - 82 41% -2  29% 9 - 13 5 - 6 D -9 C +0 B- F D- F+ -9 F F A-
 Mon, Feb 16 331 @Prairie View L 63 - 68 50% -3  29% 9 - 14 5 - 7 D- -13 F -16 F A F B- +3 B+ F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 276 @Southern L 73 - 87 33% -17  1% 9 - 15 5 - 8 F+ -17 F+ -8 F A- D+ F+ -8 F D A+
 Mon, Feb 23 365 Mississippi Valley W 83 - 62 95% +9  95% 10 - 15 6 - 8 D+ -5 F -12 D+ D+ F B +4 D+ A B+
 Thu, Feb 26 239 Bethune-Cookman L 71 - 76 47% +2  53% 10 - 16 6 - 9 D- -12 F -12 D D F C -0 C+ F A+
 Sat, Feb 28 318 Florida A&M W 71 - 66 68%
 Tue, Mar 3 309 @Alabama A&M L 67 - 69 42%
 Thu, Mar 5 314 @Alabama St. L 69 - 71 43%
Totals 12 - 17 8 - 10 -8 D- -8 B- D C C +0 D+ C C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D+ D- D+ D 40% 45% 38% C D D+ D+ D+ F C+ C C+ C D+ B C- C- 43% 16% 41% D- D+ D C- D+ B+ D+ C- D+
0.97 55% 31% 31% -4 0 0.94 28% 1.0 .27 21% .32 72% .23 1.08 61% 34% 35% +1 +1 1.06 33% 1.1 .35 20% .34 73% .23
Nov
6		 Iowa St. D C D D+ C 42% 36% 22% C- C F B+ D- D A+ C A+ F+ C F F D+ 42% 9% 49% D- D+ F+ C+ D B- F A- F
0.83 58% 31% 30% -4 -2 0.91 16% 1.2 .19 25% .41 70% .29 1.36 64% 60% 42% +10 +2 1.26 44% 1.1 .47 16% .46 62% .29
Nov
9		 Howard B C- F A+ B 48% 10% 43% B B B A+ A F A- D+ B D+ B- F F F 50% 18% 33% D+ F F D- F A+ C- F D
1.13 55% 0% 44% +2 +2 1.10 37% 1.4 .52 26% .40 68% .27 1.08 50% 57% 54% +9 +1 1.23 43% 1.2 .52 29% .35 81% .28
Nov
13		 Southern Miss C- B- A+ A A 54% 6% 40% A+ A D- C- D- F D- A- D+ C A+ A- A+ A+ 57% 14% 29% F A+ F F F D- F A+ D-
1.08 62% 67% 42% +8 +3 1.25 21% 1.0 .21 24% .30 75% .23 1.00 43% 29% 14% -19 +2 0.69 44% 1.2 .54 16% .49 62% .31
Nov
18		 San Diego F F+ F+ F F 45% 32% 23% D- F B F C- D+ A+ F A- B- F A+ C+ B- 22% 18% 60% C+ B- C- A+ A+ A- F F F
0.92 52% 33% 18% -10 -1 0.81 38% 0.9 .33 20% .53 58% .31 1.05 90% 0% 33% 0 -1 1.00 30% 0.4 .12 22% .55 97% .53
Nov
21		 California Baptist D- B+ B F C 40% 18% 43% B- C F F F F A+ A+ A+ D+ F F F+ F 61% 7% 32% F F B- C C+ A+ F+ C+ D-
0.91 63% 43% 24% -4 +1 0.95 17% 0.0 .00 22% .46 91% .42 1.12 68% 67% 38% +10 +3 1.29 35% 0.9 .30 28% .37 71% .26
Nov
24		 UC Riverside C- F A+ D+ F+ 41% 27% 33% D F+ F+ A+ C A- A+ C A+ F F B- F F 50% 20% 30% D F B- F D B- F D F
1.07 40% 54% 31% -5 -1 0.92 23% 1.3 .29 12% .54 70% .38 1.20 73% 33% 46% +12 +1 1.27 24% 1.2 .28 20% .56 77% .43
Dec
2		 Tulane D+ A+ B F D+ 26% 17% 57% C- D+ C- A+ B+ F A+ C A B- B A+ C B+ 38% 22% 40% B- B+ F A+ D+ F+ C- C C-
1.02 73% 43% 25% -3 0 0.95 32% 1.3 .43 24% .43 70% .30 1.05 53% 20% 33% -6 0 0.89 31% 0.9 .29 11% .38 76% .29
Dec
8		 Southern Miss F D- F A+ D+ 49% 22% 29% C+ D+ A+ F F F A+ F A B F D A+ D 45% 26% 30% D- D D B+ C A+ A D A-
0.87 50% 0% 58% -2 +1 1.00 42% 0.4 .16 31% .52 60% .31 0.99 76% 42% 14% 0 0 1.02 34% 0.9 .31 25% .27 79% .21
Dec
18		 Norfolk St. D+ A F A B- 41% 19% 41% D+ C+ F C- F A+ D A- C B+ C- A+ A+ A 46% 26% 28% D+ A- D C- D D+ F+ A+ B+
1.08 73% 10% 41% +5 0 1.13 7% 1.0 .07 12% .34 77% .26 0.92 57% 23% 21% -10 0 0.82 34% 1.0 .34 18% .41 44% .18
Dec
19		 Hampton B+ A- A+ F B- 61% 15% 24% A B B+ A+ A+ F A+ A A+ D F B F F 39% 28% 33% C- F F A+ A+ A- F D- F
1.22 72% 50% 20% +5 +2 1.17 36% 1.3 .48 23% .58 77% .45 1.08 72% 31% 40% +6 -1 1.13 42% 0.4 .16 23% .45 78% .35
Dec
23		 Ohio St. D+ F B- F F+ 33% 26% 41% C+ D- B B B+ F A+ C+ A+ D- F F D F 44% 20% 36% F+ F F A+ A+ A+ F F F
0.94 40% 42% 26% -10 -1 0.80 33% 1.1 .36 22% .44 74% .33 1.33 85% 78% 38% +22 +1 1.47 43% 0.6 .24 21% .47 84% .40
Jan
3		 Prairie View F A F A+ C+ 33% 37% 30% F C- D+ D D F A+ F A+ C+ B A D C+ 33% 31% 35% C- C F A- D A+ F C- F
1.02 71% 25% 46% +5 -3 1.07 33% 1.0 .33 27% .64 66% .42 0.96 50% 27% 35% -6 -2 0.88 34% 0.9 .32 24% .48 78% .37
Jan
5		 Texas Southern C+ A F A+ A 25% 18% 57% D- B+ A C- B+ D+ A+ D- B+ B- A+ B A- A+ 34% 30% 36% B A D- F F A+ A- F C
1.20 73% 25% 44% +10 -1 1.20 43% 1.1 .46 17% .47 67% .31 0.96 41% 33% 28% -11 -2 0.78 30% 2.1 .63 23% .22 92% .20
Jan
10		 Bethune-Cookman F A- C+ F D+ 41% 20% 39% D+ D+ D+ F F F A- B+ A B B- A D+ B- 48% 24% 28% C- C+ F+ D- F A F+ C D-
0.87 65% 40% 21% -4 0 0.94 29% 0.2 .06 24% .39 77% .30 0.99 54% 25% 36% -4 0 0.94 33% 1.2 .38 23% .38 68% .26
Jan
12		 Florida A&M B- C+ D- B- C- 50% 18% 32% B- C- D+ A+ B+ B- A A A+ F F F C F 28% 21% 51% C+ F F F F B F F F
1.16 60% 33% 38% +2 +1 1.08 28% 1.4 .40 17% .43 85% .36 1.26 77% 70% 33% +12 -1 1.23 37% 1.3 .48 23% .47 81% .38
Jan
17		 Southern F F D F F 53% 9% 38% A+ F B- D- C- F A+ F A+ C B D D- D+ 46% 10% 44% F D- C+ A+ A B F+ A+ C-
0.76 28% 33% 23% -23 +3 0.62 35% 1.0 .35 33% .68 69% .47 1.02 50% 40% 38% -1 +2 1.04 28% 0.6 .17 19% .39 59% .23
Jan
31		 Jackson St. D- F F A+ D+ 29% 17% 54% D+ D+ C F F D- F D+ F C+ D+ B B+ C 27% 27% 47% C+ C C+ C C C- F B- F
1.05 50% 13% 42% 0 0 1.02 38% 0.7 .25 18% .26 71% .19 1.00 58% 33% 29% -5 -2 0.89 26% 1.0 .26 18% .56 73% .41
Feb
2		 Alcorn St. C+ C+ F C+ D+ 43% 15% 43% C- D+ C- A+ B+ D- F C+ F A+ A A+ A+ A+ 49% 17% 34% F A+ B D C+ F F A- F+
1.18 65% 29% 35% +2 +1 1.09 36% 1.5 .54 21% .24 75% .18 0.80 43% 0% 25% -18 +1 0.68 22% 1.0 .22 14% .35 63% .22
Feb
4		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F C+ A+ F F 40% 19% 40% C- F C+ F D D F D+ F C C+ A B+ B+ 39% 24% 37% C- B C- F F C+ F B- D-
0.95 62% 50% 10% -11 0 0.81 37% 0.9 .34 18% .27 73% .20 0.99 56% 27% 29% -6 0 0.89 26% 1.4 .38 19% .38 71% .27
Feb
7		 Alabama St. F F D+ C- F 32% 7% 61% B- F F D F C- C- D+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ 44% 15% 41% F A+ D- A+ B+ C- A A+ A+
0.90 43% 33% 33% -6 +1 0.93 18% 1.0 .18 19% .35 72% .25 0.74 29% 13% 27% -21 +1 0.63 35% 0.6 .19 17% .19 50% .10
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
9		 Alabama A&M F F+ F F F 40% 11% 49% B- F D- B+ C- D A+ A+ A+ C A- C- D- C 45% 18% 36% F C- C C C A- F B- F
0.87 50% 0% 18% -19 +1 0.67 26% 1.1 .29 18% .49 89% .44 0.99 45% 38% 38% -4 +1 0.95 25% 1.0 .25 21% .46 71% .32
Feb
14		 Texas Southern C B+ A+ C- B- 37% 10% 53% C+ B- F F F D- B- C- C+ F+ F B F F 46% 13% 41% F F B- F F A- F B F
1.12 68% 60% 33% +5 +1 1.16 23% 0.7 .16 18% .40 70% .28 1.17 71% 33% 47% +14 +2 1.33 23% 1.8 .42 21% .49 67% .33
Feb
16		 Prairie View F F F A+ F 40% 38% 23% F F C+ A+ A F F A+ F B- D A A+ A- 42% 38% 21% C B+ D+ F F D+ F D F
0.89 32% 28% 45% -10 -2 0.77 38% 1.4 .53 24% .21 91% .19 0.96 60% 28% 10% -11 -2 0.77 26% 1.6 .42 14% .48 79% .38
Feb
21		 Southern F+ A F F F 38% 32% 30% D- F C A+ A- D+ A- D+ B+ F+ F B- F F 42% 27% 31% D+ F A+ F D A+ F F F
0.98 72% 20% 21% -6 -1 0.87 32% 1.5 .47 20% .44 73% .32 1.17 79% 33% 43% +12 -1 1.24 13% 2.7 .35 23% .40 83% .33
Feb
23		 Mississippi Valley F C+ C D+ D+ 52% 22% 26% C+ D+ F A+ D+ F A+ D A B B- D+ B C- 32% 30% 38% F D+ C- A+ A B+ C+ A+ A-
1.05 63% 40% 33% +2 +1 1.09 23% 1.9 .43 25% .53 71% .37 0.79 50% 41% 29% -5 -2 0.89 24% 0.4 .10 24% .25 53% .13
Feb
26		 Bethune-Cookman F D F C+ D 46% 18% 36% C D B- F D F F F F C C- A+ A B 65% 12% 22% F C+ F F F A+ C+ B- C+
0.93 50% 20% 35% -6 +1 0.91 36% 0.9 .31 21% .22 54% .12 1.00 59% 0% 27% -6 +3 0.96 42% 1.3 .55 26% .30 65% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 1.3 1.3 5th
6th 4.7 4.7 6th
7th 0.7 5.3 6.1 7th
8th 0.1 20.8 1.9 22.7 8th
9th 9.3 15.1 24.4 9th
10th 0.4 19.1 1.2 20.7 10th
11th 11.1 9.0 20.1 11th
12th 12th
Total 11.6 37.4 37.9 13.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 13.1% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8 11.4
8-10 37.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.7 37.2
7-11 37.4% 37.4
6-12 11.6% 11.6
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 16.0 97.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.7% 65.3% 16.0 0.2 65.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.6%
Lose Out 11.6%