Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#290
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#243
Pace67.0#258
Improvement-1.1#272

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#299
First Shot-2.0#228
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#329
Layup/Dunks-1.0#222
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#300
Freethrows+2.6#53
Improvement-0.7#251

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#251
First Shot-2.1#249
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#212
Layups/Dunks-2.5#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#143
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#96
Freethrows-2.9#324
Improvement-0.4#238
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.6% 10.3% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 32.6% 53.7% 28.3%
.500 or above in Conference 49.5% 61.2% 47.2%
Conference Champion 3.1% 4.5% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.6% 1.6%
First Four4.7% 5.1% 4.6%
First Round5.1% 7.9% 4.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Away) - 16.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 412 - 813 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 4 @Iowa St. L 62-102 1%     0 - 1 -17.1 -3.4 -11.1
  Sun, Nov 9 315 @Howard W 73-70 43%     1 - 1 -2.3 +4.7 -6.8
  Thu, Nov 13 237 Southern Miss W 75-70 51%     2 - 1 -2.4 -3.1 +0.7
  Tue, Nov 18 247 @San Diego L 68-78 30%     2 - 2 -11.8 -10.2 -1.1
  Fri, Nov 21 136 @California Baptist L 59-72 14%     2 - 3 -8.4 -4.6 -4.9
  Mon, Nov 24 257 @UC Riverside L 74-83 31%     2 - 4 -11.2 +1.2 -12.5
  Tue, Dec 2 152 @Tulane L 68-78 17%    
  Mon, Dec 8 237 @Southern Miss L 68-74 29%    
  Thu, Dec 18 233 Norfolk St. L 64-67 39%    
  Fri, Dec 19 235 Hampton L 67-70 38%    
  Tue, Dec 23 20 @Ohio St. L 61-86 1%    
  Sat, Jan 3 332 Prairie View W 75-69 70%    
  Mon, Jan 5 307 Texas Southern W 75-71 64%    
  Sat, Jan 10 217 @Bethune-Cookman L 68-75 27%    
  Mon, Jan 12 351 @Florida A&M W 72-70 59%    
  Sat, Jan 17 197 Southern L 73-75 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 365 Mississippi Valley W 80-62 94%    
  Mon, Jan 26 363 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-69 84%    
  Sat, Jan 31 326 @Jackson St. L 71-72 47%    
  Mon, Feb 2 338 @Alcorn St. W 71-70 52%    
  Sat, Feb 7 266 Alabama St. W 72-71 55%    
  Mon, Feb 9 293 Alabama A&M W 72-69 61%    
  Sat, Feb 14 307 @Texas Southern L 72-74 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 197 @Southern L 70-78 24%    
  Thu, Feb 26 217 Bethune-Cookman L 71-72 47%    
  Thu, Feb 26 351 Florida A&M W 75-67 76%    
  Tue, Mar 3 293 @Alabama A&M L 69-72 40%    
  Thu, Mar 5 266 @Alabama St. L 69-74 35%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 3.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 2.7 1.9 0.5 0.1 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.7 2.6 0.4 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.9 3.7 0.7 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.8 4.9 1.0 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.2 6.0 1.6 0.1 12.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.6 6.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 13.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.8 2.7 0.3 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.4 2.5 0.3 10.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.9 1.9 0.3 0.0 7.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.1 3.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.8 6.6 10.1 12.7 14.8 14.6 13.0 9.9 6.6 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 87.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1
14-4 65.5% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 31.6% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 7.7% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 70.8% 70.8% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.5% 40.4% 40.4% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.5% 31.4% 31.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.0
13-5 3.4% 23.5% 23.5% 15.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.6
12-6 6.6% 18.9% 18.9% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.4
11-7 9.9% 13.2% 13.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.2 8.6
10-8 13.0% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.0 1.3 11.7
9-9 14.6% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.0 1.2 13.5
8-10 14.8% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.7 14.2
7-11 12.7% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 12.4
6-12 10.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.0
5-13 6.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.6
4-14 3.8% 3.8
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 7.6% 7.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.3 92.4 0.0%