Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -8.8 #310
Expected Predictive Rating -6.2 #261
Pace 64.4 #305
Improvement +0.0 #186

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #301 C- F C D F
Defense #297 F C+ D B+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% #346 1.12 #222 -5.2 #337
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #62 0.90 #33 +4.4 #24
Three Pointers 43% #152 0.94 #266 -0.7 #206
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #218 -1.6 #218
Freethrows 15.1 #292 71% #236 10.8 #287
Second Chance 20.9% #361 1.02 #221 0.21 #354
Turnovers 16.7% #183
Total Offense -4.8 #301

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #57 1.34 #346 -6.7 #358
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #268 0.93 #355 -0.4 #211
Three Pointers 39% #235 0.98 #140 +1.6 #127
1st FG Attempt 1.13 #333 -5.6 #333
Freethrows 13.8 #33 75% #283 10.3 #321
Second Chance 28.0% #90 1.05 #203 0.30 #127
Turnovers 14.7% #298
Total Defense -4.0 #297

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.8% #331 1.5% #305
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.3% #178 9.2% #328
Possession Length 18.5 #296 17.4 #207
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #318 0.14 #63
Improvement -0.4 #207 +0.4 #160

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 5.0% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 10.7% 14.0% 3.9%
.500 or above in Conference 47.8% 56.6% 29.2%
Conference Champion 2.3% 3.1% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 9.5% 5.1% 18.6%
First Four3.1% 3.5% 2.4%
First Round2.6% 3.1% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Army (Home) - 67.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 410 - 1212 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 68 @Providence L 79 - 89 4% -10  0 - 1 +1 +0 B F D+ +2 B+ B+ D
 Sat, Nov 8 11 @BYU L 53 - 98 1% -28  0 - 2 -22 -11 D- F F -10 F A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 113 @Utah L 69 - 87 8% -9  0 - 3 -11 -2 C- F A -10 D- B- F
 Sun, Nov 16 242 Hampton W 67 - 61 34% +0  1 - 3 +1 +6 C+ C F -4 C- D+ C-
 Tue, Nov 18 248 @Brown L 49 - 68 26% -12  1 - 4 -21 -13 D F F -10 F F C-
 Fri, Nov 21 285 @Sacred Heart L 66 - 79 32% -9  1 - 5 -17 -8 C F F -10 F A F
 Mon, Nov 24 177 Siena L 69 - 73 33% -1  1 - 6 -8 +0 A+ F C -9 F A+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 236 Northeastern W 76 - 59 43% +13  2 - 6 +10 +1 A- F A +10 A+ C B+
 Sat, Dec 6 183 @Fordham W 70 - 69 17% -7  3 - 6 +2 +5 B- A+ F -3 D- C D
 Tue, Dec 16 204 Dartmouth L 64 - 89 38% -11  3 - 7 -31 -9 F F C -23 F D+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 162 @Harvard L 53 - 81 14% -16  3 - 8 -25 -10 F D A+ -19 F F C-
 Wed, Dec 31 318 Bucknell W 65 - 58 64% +7  4 - 8 1 - 0 -5 -3 C- F D+ -2 F B+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 200 Navy L 58 - 65 37% -6  4 - 9 1 - 1 -12 -7 F A+ D- -7 F A D+
 Wed, Jan 7 313 @Lehigh L 58 - 66 39% -5  4 - 10 1 - 2 -14 -11 F F A- -4 F C+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 239 @American W 84 - 73 24% +3  5 - 10 2 - 2 +10 +10 A- D- A+ -1 A+ F D+
 Wed, Jan 14 330 Army W 74 - 69 68%
 Sat, Jan 17 326 @Lafayette L 69 - 71 44%
 Wed, Jan 21 200 @Navy L 63 - 72 18%
 Sat, Jan 24 239 American L 70 - 71 45%
 Wed, Jan 28 215 @Colgate L 66 - 75 20%
 Sat, Jan 31 330 @Army L 71 - 72 46%
 Mon, Feb 2 256 Boston University L 70 - 71 49%
 Sat, Feb 7 313 Lehigh W 71 - 68 61%
 Wed, Feb 11 215 Colgate L 69 - 72 40%
 Sun, Feb 15 336 @Loyola Maryland L 72 - 73 47%
 Wed, Feb 18 326 Lafayette W 72 - 68 66%
 Sun, Feb 22 318 @Bucknell L 67 - 69 41%
 Wed, Feb 25 256 @Boston University L 68 - 74 28%
 Sat, Feb 28 336 Loyola Maryland W 75 - 70 68%
Totals 11 - 18 8 - 10 -9 -5 C- F C -4 F C+ D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.3 1.7 2.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.5 3.4 4.4 1.7 0.1 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.4 6.8 2.2 0.2 14.1 4th
5th 0.4 4.5 8.7 3.1 0.3 17.0 5th
6th 0.2 3.4 8.2 3.5 0.3 0.0 15.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.9 7.1 4.0 0.3 0.0 13.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 5.0 3.9 0.4 10.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 7.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.5 10th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.4 5.7 10.3 15.3 17.6 17.4 13.8 8.8 4.9 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 93.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-4 74.6% 0.4    0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 41.4% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 14.0% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.2% 11.6% 11.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 22.0% 22.0% 15.5 0.1 0.1 0.5
13-5 2.1% 16.0% 16.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.7
12-6 4.9% 11.4% 11.4% 15.9 0.1 0.5 4.4
11-7 8.8% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7 8.0
10-8 13.8% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9 12.9
9-9 17.4% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.9 16.5
8-10 17.6% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 17.2
7-11 15.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 15.2
6-12 10.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.2
5-13 5.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.7
4-14 2.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-15 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 15.9 95.7 0.0%