Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -10.6 327
Results Rating -10.8 330
Consistency 0.16 216
Pace 65.0 276
Improvement -1.4 242

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 303 D+ F C C- D-
Defense D 323 D C- D- B- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 334 D 52% 312 -5.9 348
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 98 B+ 44% 36 +4.6 20
Three Pointers 40% 199 C- 33% 232 -1.0 215
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.4 336 C- -0.8 201
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.98 248
Second Chance F 20.5% 359 D 0.93 315 F 0.19 359
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.3% 269
Other Turnovers B 6.1% 52
Turnovers C 16.4% 157
Freethrows D 0.27 293 B 76% 58 C- 0.20 237
Total Offense D -5.1 303

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 35% 344 D- 14.4% 340
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 304 B- 3.8% 90
Three Pointers C+ 86% 135 D 1.5% 320
Total D- 46% 338 C- 6.2% 256

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 76 D- 64% 329 +5.2 341
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 196 F+ 44% 345 +1.0 266
Three Pointers 37% 287 C 34% 161 -2.1 91
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 244 D +3.5 314
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 312
Second Chance C+ 29.3% 136 D- 1.16 344 C- 0.34 259
Turnovers from Steals D 7.4% 323
Other Turnovers D 6.1% 322
Turnovers D- 13.5% 344
Freethrows B- 0.27 73 C- 73% 233 B- 0.20 82
Total Defense D -5.4 323

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 133 D- 5.7% 349
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 15% 12 F -0.3% 365
Three Pointers D+ 87% 266 F -0.4% 365
Total B- 51% 87 F 2.2% 360

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 280 17.3 178
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 320 0.16 141
Consistency 0.10 29 0.10 57
Improvement +0.2 182 -1.6 272

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 337 327 316
Results Rating Rank 341 329 316
Conference Record 5 - 13 6 - 12 6 - 12
Conference Finish 10 9 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 60% 33% 100%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Home) - 59.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 48 - 149 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 60 @Providence L 79 - 89 3% -10  5% 0 - 1 C+ +2 D+ -3 B- F D B+ +6 B+ A- D+
 Sat, Nov 8 22 @BYU L 53 - 98 1% -28  0% 0 - 2 F -25 F -17 F D F+ D- -7 F A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 99 @Utah L 69 - 87 5% -9  3% 0 - 3 D -10 D+ -3 C D- A- D- -8 D B- F
 Sun, Nov 16 267 Hampton W 67 - 61 33% +0  51% 1 - 3 C -0 C+ +3 C+ C+ F+ C- -2 D+ D+ C
 Tue, Nov 18 277 @Brown L 49 - 68 25% -12  3% 1 - 4 F -23 F -17 D- F F+ F+ -8 F F D+
 Fri, Nov 21 284 @Sacred Heart L 66 - 79 27% -9  5% 1 - 5 F+ -17 F -11 C F F D- -7 F B+ F+
 Mon, Nov 24 201 Siena L 69 - 73 31% -1  19% 1 - 6 D -9 D+ -4 A- F D D -6 F A D-
 Wed, Dec 3 288 Northeastern W 76 - 59 50% +13  91% 2 - 6 B- +6 D+ -2 B F B A +10 A- C+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 153 @Fordham W 70 - 69 10% -7  2% 3 - 6 C+ +4 B +6 B- A D C- -2 D- C+ D
 Tue, Dec 16 256 Dartmouth L 64 - 89 41% -11  17% 3 - 7 F -33 F -12 F+ F C+ F -22 F D B+
 Sat, Dec 20 149 @Harvard L 53 - 81 10% -16  1% 3 - 8 F -24 F -12 F D+ A F -17 F F C
 Wed, Dec 31 334 Bucknell W 65 - 58 65% +4  85% 4 - 8 1 - 0 D+ -8 D- -8 D F C C+ +1 D A C+
 Sat, Jan 3 146 Navy L 58 - 65 21% -6  7% 4 - 9 1 - 1 D -9 D- -7 F A+ D C- -3 C- A D
 Wed, Jan 7 295 @Lehigh L 58 - 66 29% -5  9% 4 - 10 1 - 2 D- -13 F -13 F+ F B- C -1 D- C- C+
 Sat, Jan 10 251 @American W 84 - 73 21% +3  55% 5 - 10 2 - 2 B +9 B +7 B+ D- A- B- +2 A D- D
 Wed, Jan 14 341 Army W 82 - 75 67% +7  95% 6 - 10 3 - 2 D+ -8 C +1 A- F B+ F+ -9 D C+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 323 @Lafayette L 55 - 74 38% -12  0% 6 - 11 3 - 3 F -26 F -19 F F D- F+ -9 C- F F
 Wed, Jan 21 146 @Navy L 68 - 85 9% -6  14% 6 - 12 3 - 4 D- -13 C+ +2 B C+ D F -16 F+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 251 American L 67 - 76 40% -8  3% 6 - 13 3 - 5 F+ -17 D- -7 B- F F+ F -11 D C- F
 Wed, Jan 28 250 @Colgate L 74 - 79 20% +0  57% 6 - 14 3 - 6 D+ -7 C +1 A- F A F+ -8 C F F
 Sat, Jan 31 341 @Army L 68 - 69 44% -1  19% 6 - 15 3 - 7 D -10 F -10 F D- B- C+ +0 B F A-
 Mon, Feb 2 258 Boston University L 64 - 72 42% -3  11% 6 - 16 3 - 8 F+ -16 D- -7 F C- A+ F -11 F A- F
 Sat, Feb 7 295 Lehigh W 76 - 67 52% -0  31% 7 - 16 4 - 8 C- -2 C+ +2 B- F A+ C- -3 D+ B+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 250 Colgate L 70 - 74 40% -5  20% 7 - 17 4 - 9 D- -12 F+ -9 F D+ D- D+ -3 A- F F+
 Sun, Feb 15 319 @Loyola Maryland L 73 - 83 37% +0  45% 7 - 18 4 - 10 F+ -17 C- -1 D F A+ F -17 F F F
 Wed, Feb 18 323 Lafayette L 83 - 86 61% +8  90% 7 - 19 4 - 11 F+ -16 C +0 A F C F -17 F F B-
 Sun, Feb 22 334 @Bucknell W 72 - 63 42% +1  52% 8 - 19 5 - 11 C +0 C- -1 C D C+ B- +2 A F F
 Wed, Feb 25 258 @Boston University L 63 - 78 22% -8  0% 8 - 20 5 - 12 F+ -17 F -12 D- F C D- -7 D- F F+
 Sat, Feb 28 319 Loyola Maryland W 76 - 73 60%
Totals 9 - 20 6 - 12 -11 D -5 C C- D- D -5 C- B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D B+ C- C- 32% 45% 40% D- D+ F D F C D B C- D D- F+ C D 43% 20% 37% C- D C+ D- C- D- B- C- B-
1.01 52% 44% 33% -1 -1 0.98 20% 0.9 .19 16% .27 76% .20 1.16 64% 44% 34% +3 0 1.10 29% 1.2 .34 14% .27 73% .20
Nov
3		 Providence D+ A- B+ C B+ 24% 27% 49% D- B- F+ F F D B+ D B- B+ F B+ A+ B+ 41% 17% 43% C+ B+ A+ F A- D+ D- B- D+
1.01 64% 44% 34% +3 -2 1.05 21% 0.4 .09 17% .32 67% .22 1.14 82% 33% 22% +1 +1 1.06 22% 1.5 .33 13% .40 74% .29
Nov
8		 BYU F D- A- F D- 4% 58% 38% F F D+ D- D F+ D B- D+ D- F F A- F 47% 13% 40% F F A+ A+ A+ F A F+ B+
0.74 50% 43% 15% -8 -7 0.71 22% 1.0 .22 21% .19 73% .14 1.36 93% 75% 29% +18 +2 1.42 16% 0.5 .08 8% .24 81% .20
Nov
10		 Utah D+ F A+ C C 32% 23% 45% D C F A+ D- A- A F C- D- F F B- D 44% 11% 44% D- D A F+ B- F C+ D- C-
1.00 41% 58% 33% -1 -1 0.98 13% 1.4 .18 12% .34 48% .16 1.26 71% 50% 33% +7 +2 1.19 23% 1.1 .27 9% .30 79% .24
Nov
16		 Hampton C+ A D+ D+ C+ 39% 22% 39% C- C+ F A+ C+ F+ F+ A+ A- C- C C- B C 44% 18% 38% F D+ F B+ D+ C C- F F
1.13 75% 33% 31% +4 0 1.10 19% 1.8 .33 20% .32 100% .32 1.03 55% 38% 29% -4 +1 0.96 43% 0.8 .34 19% .35 94% .33
Nov
18		 Brown F F F+ C F+ 35% 20% 46% C D- F+ F F F+ F F F F+ F D C- F 32% 11% 57% C- F C F F D+ B F C
0.80 44% 33% 33% -6 0 0.89 24% 0.4 .11 21% .23 45% .10 1.11 67% 40% 33% +2 +1 1.09 29% 1.5 .43 20% .22 82% .18
Nov
21		 Sacred Heart F C- A+ B- C 33% 13% 53% C- C D F F F B C+ B D- C- F F F 23% 8% 70% D F C- A+ B+ F+ A- B- A-
0.99 60% 50% 38% +5 +1 1.13 27% 0.8 .20 24% .29 73% .22 1.18 58% 50% 41% +8 +1 1.19 28% 0.7 .19 15% .21 75% .16
Nov
24		 Siena D+ A+ A+ D A 38% 24% 38% C A- F F F D F C- F D F F A+ F 55% 25% 20% F F A+ C A D- A+ D+ A+
1.06 74% 58% 32% +9 0 1.20 13% 0.7 .08 18% .19 70% .13 1.12 71% 62% 20% +9 +1 1.22 16% 1.0 .16 14% .16 78% .12
Dec
3		 Northeastern D+ C+ A+ C+ A- 38% 34% 28% F B F F F B F A+ F+ A B- A+ A- A+ 43% 8% 49% F+ A- C B C+ B A+ A+ A+
1.14 63% 65% 36% +12 -2 1.22 22% 0.7 .15 15% .23 85% .19 0.89 55% 0% 28% -9 +2 0.88 27% 1.0 .27 20% .15 38% .06
Dec
6		 Fordham B B+ F A B- 24% 20% 56% C B- C- A+ A D A+ B A+ C- C+ F C- D- 38% 19% 44% C- D- A+ F C+ D F C+ F
1.09 64% 11% 40% +1 -1 1.02 24% 1.8 .42 19% .46 71% .33 1.07 56% 56% 33% +2 0 1.06 21% 1.5 .32 16% .35 68% .24
Dec
16		 Dartmouth F F D- B+ F+ 36% 26% 38% D- F+ F D- F C+ A A+ A+ F B- F F F 35% 19% 46% C F F A+ D B+ D- A C-
0.95 39% 31% 37% -7 -1 0.86 19% 0.9 .16 12% .35 81% .29 1.32 53% 56% 59% +19 0 1.40 39% 0.8 .32 22% .38 65% .25
Dec
20		 Harvard F D- D- F F 23% 23% 54% F F D+ D D+ A F B F F D- F F F 62% 13% 26% F F F F F C D- C+ D-
0.87 50% 33% 21% -13 -1 0.73 27% 0.9 .24 11% .17 78% .13 1.32 66% 50% 42% +9 +3 1.26 36% 1.8 .64 18% .30 80% .24
Dec
31		 Bucknell D- C- A+ F D+ 48% 35% 18% D+ D D+ F F C A+ B- A+ C+ C- C- D+ F+ 27% 27% 45% A+ D D A+ A C+ A+ A+ A+
1.04 58% 57% 14% +1 -1 1.03 30% 0.8 .22 18% .51 77% .39 0.93 57% 36% 35% 0 -2 0.98 30% 0.5 .16 21% .10 40% .04
Jan
3		 Navy D- F C- D+ F 28% 30% 43% D F B- A+ A+ D B- B B C- D A A+ C+ 64% 16% 20% F C- C+ A+ A D C- F D-
0.95 31% 36% 30% -11 -2 0.77 33% 1.5 .50 20% .29 79% .22 1.06 62% 29% 22% -2 +3 1.02 29% 0.8 .21 16% .35 83% .29
Jan
7		 Lehigh F B F F F+ 42% 33% 25% D- F+ F F F B- F D F C D+ C- F F+ 38% 32% 30% B D- C D+ C- C+ A F B+
0.91 64% 29% 23% -5 -1 0.90 16% 0.8 .13 14% .18 70% .13 1.04 61% 40% 43% +6 -1 1.11 21% 1.0 .21 19% .17 89% .16
Jan
10		 American B A A+ F A 32% 34% 34% F B+ F A- D- A- A+ C+ A+ B- F F A+ A 37% 20% 43% B A D+ F D- D F F F
1.18 73% 69% 25% +11 -2 1.19 20% 1.2 .24 14% .54 73% .39 1.03 74% 50% 9% -8 0 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 14% .43 88% .38
Jan
14		 Army C F C+ A+ A+ 30% 28% 42% F+ A- F F F B+ F+ A+ C- F+ C- F B D+ 48% 5% 47% F D F+ A+ C+ F A- D+ B+
1.21 50% 40% 59% +14 -2 1.26 13% 0.5 .07 12% .28 88% .25 1.11 57% 67% 30% -2 +3 1.03 35% 0.7 .25 13% .19 73% .14
Jan
17		 Lafayette F D D+ F F 23% 35% 42% F F F D F D- A D A- F+ B C- F+ C- 54% 21% 25% C- C- F C- F F F A- F+
0.85 55% 35% 25% -7 -3 0.81 17% 1.0 .17 17% .37 70% .26 1.14 50% 36% 38% -3 +1 0.98 38% 0.9 .35 8% .40 63% .25
Jan
21		 Navy C+ A+ B+ C- A 25% 42% 33% F B D+ A- C+ D D+ A C F F F B- F 40% 26% 34% C F+ A+ F F F F D F
1.04 75% 45% 31% +6 -4 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 20% .23 83% .19 1.30 68% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 20% 2.4 .48 9% .46 78% .35
Jan
24		 American D- F+ C+ A+ B 35% 26% 39% D- B- F+ F F F+ F A+ D F D- D- B+ D 49% 13% 38% D- D C D+ C- F B+ F B-
1.04 50% 42% 50% +8 -1 1.15 23% 0.6 .13 22% .28 86% .24 1.18 65% 43% 30% +2 +2 1.09 26% 1.0 .26 11% .21 83% .17
Jan
28		 Colgate C A- A+ C- A 35% 27% 38% D- A- F A+ F A F F F F+ A- F F C- 38% 32% 30% B C C- F F F A- D+ B+
1.12 68% 60% 33% +9 -1 1.18 7% 2.0 .14 11% .17 50% .08 1.19 48% 50% 41% +3 -2 1.05 28% 1.3 .36 9% .20 75% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Army F F C A F 41% 25% 33% D+ F D- D D- B- D+ A+ C+ C+ A+ F C+ A- 33% 4% 63% D+ B F F F A- D- A+ A
1.00 29% 38% 41% -8 0 0.84 26% 1.1 .28 13% .32 84% .27 1.02 31% 50% 32% -10 +2 0.86 40% 1.5 .58 22% .30 38% .11
Feb
2		 Boston University D- F B- A- F 38% 29% 33% D F D A- C- A+ F C+ F F F B+ F F 29% 36% 36% A+ F A C+ A- F F A+ D
1.10 35% 47% 41% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.2 .31 5% .15 75% .11 1.24 75% 33% 60% +17 -3 1.31 18% 1.0 .18 12% .43 55% .23
Feb
7		 Lehigh C+ C B A B- 48% 27% 25% C- B- F F F A+ A- A+ A+ C- F A- A+ C 46% 19% 35% F D+ A+ D+ B+ F A+ A+ A+
1.17 57% 46% 42% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.7 .13 8% .38 83% .32 1.03 84% 30% 16% +1 +1 1.06 12% 1.0 .12 11% .17 60% .10
Feb
11		 Colgate F+ B C F F 22% 33% 45% F F A F D+ D- A+ A+ A+ D+ B C A A 39% 28% 33% C A- B+ F F F+ C- F D
1.02 64% 38% 23% -7 -3 0.84 39% 0.7 .26 18% .48 85% .41 1.08 52% 40% 28% -5 -1 0.91 21% 1.7 .36 12% .28 82% .23
Feb
15		 Loyola Maryland C- D+ A+ F D+ 35% 30% 35% D- D F C- F A+ C- C+ C F B+ F F F 36% 11% 53% C- F B- F F F C- F+ D+
1.12 58% 56% 26% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.2 .19 8% .28 76% .22 1.28 50% 50% 41% +4 +1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 6% .28 76% .21
Feb
18		 Lafayette C A- A+ A- A 56% 15% 29% A A F D F C A- B A F D F F F 47% 24% 29% B- F C- F F B- F+ C- D-
1.16 69% 50% 40% +11 +2 1.27 13% 1.0 .13 14% .36 77% .28 1.20 63% 50% 47% +10 0 1.24 26% 2.0 .52 18% .34 70% .24
Feb
22		 Bucknell C- F C+ A+ B 20% 41% 39% F C F A+ D C+ C A+ B B- C+ A A+ A 35% 24% 41% B+ A F C F F C F D+
1.09 44% 42% 50% +8 -4 1.11 19% 1.6 .30 17% .33 83% .27 0.96 53% 25% 20% -14 -1 0.73 35% 1.1 .38 15% .27 87% .23
Feb
25		 Boston University F F A+ C- D 25% 31% 44% F D- F F F C F+ C+ D- D- F F A- D- 42% 17% 42% D+ D- B+ F F F+ C- F D
0.99 15% 75% 35% +1 -2 1.00 20% 0.3 .06 13% .22 75% .16 1.23 75% 63% 30% +9 +1 1.21 22% 1.8 .39 14% .29 81% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 44.5 44.5 8th
9th 26.9 15.4 42.3 9th
10th 13.2 13.2 10th
Total 40.1 59.9 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 59.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.6 59.3
5-13 40.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.4 39.7
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16.0 99.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.1%
Lose Out 21.6%