Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.7#330
Expected Predictive Rating-9.5#306
Pace65.1#296
Improvement-1.5#301

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#286
First Shot+1.6#132
After Offensive Rebound-5.9#363
Layup/Dunks-4.2#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#15
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#89
Freethrows-2.0#304
Improvement-1.1#286

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#338
First Shot-10.6#364
After Offensive Rebounds+5.2#3
Layups/Dunks-9.4#364
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#221
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#250
Freethrows+0.7#141
Improvement-0.4#231
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 3.7% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 6.4% 11.7% 3.7%
.500 or above in Conference 29.1% 35.7% 25.6%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.4% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 21.1% 16.3% 23.6%
First Four2.1% 2.8% 1.8%
First Round1.6% 2.3% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Home) - 34.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 49 - 1210 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 75 @Providence L 79-89 4%     0 - 1 +0.6 +1.7 -0.1
  Sat, Nov 8 7 @BYU L 53-98 1%     0 - 2 -22.5 -11.2 -10.1
  Mon, Nov 10 125 @Utah L 69-87 8%     0 - 3 -12.3 -1.0 -11.5
  Sun, Nov 16 235 Hampton W 67-61 30%     1 - 3 +1.8 +4.4 -1.5
  Tue, Nov 18 254 @Brown L 49-68 23%     1 - 4 -21.1 -14.2 -9.6
  Fri, Nov 21 261 @Sacred Heart L 66-79 24%     1 - 5 -15.4 -7.8 -8.2
  Mon, Nov 24 177 Siena L 69-73 30%     1 - 6 -8.4 -1.3 -7.4
  Wed, Dec 3 200 Northeastern L 69-73 34%    
  Sat, Dec 6 212 @Fordham L 62-71 19%    
  Tue, Dec 16 299 Dartmouth W 75-74 54%    
  Sat, Dec 20 179 @Harvard L 64-75 15%    
  Wed, Dec 31 284 Bucknell L 70-71 50%    
  Sat, Jan 3 159 Navy L 67-73 29%    
  Wed, Jan 7 312 @Lehigh L 68-73 34%    
  Sat, Jan 10 283 @American L 70-76 29%    
  Wed, Jan 14 346 Army W 75-70 67%    
  Sat, Jan 17 327 @Lafayette L 69-72 39%    
  Wed, Jan 21 159 @Navy L 64-76 13%    
  Sat, Jan 24 283 American L 73-74 50%    
  Wed, Jan 28 182 @Colgate L 66-77 16%    
  Sat, Jan 31 346 @Army L 72-73 46%    
  Mon, Feb 2 227 Boston University L 69-72 41%    
  Sat, Feb 7 312 Lehigh W 71-70 55%    
  Wed, Feb 11 182 Colgate L 69-74 33%    
  Sun, Feb 15 301 @Loyola Maryland L 67-72 33%    
  Wed, Feb 18 327 Lafayette W 72-69 60%    
  Sun, Feb 22 284 @Bucknell L 67-73 29%    
  Wed, Feb 25 227 @Boston University L 66-75 22%    
  Sat, Feb 28 301 Loyola Maryland W 70-69 54%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.2 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.8 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.4 2.4 3.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.1 1.7 0.2 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.7 6.4 2.9 0.3 0.0 13.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.8 6.3 3.5 0.4 14.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.4 5.7 2.9 0.4 0.0 14.9 9th
10th 0.2 1.3 2.9 3.9 3.8 1.8 0.2 14.0 10th
Total 0.2 1.3 3.0 5.3 9.1 11.7 13.6 14.1 12.7 10.4 7.9 5.1 3.1 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 81.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-4 55.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 33.5% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-6 12.1% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 13.5% 13.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 16.9% 16.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 12.8% 12.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6
13-5 1.5% 17.5% 17.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.3
12-6 3.1% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 2.7
11-7 5.1% 8.3% 8.3% 15.9 0.0 0.4 4.6
10-8 7.9% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.5 7.4
9-9 10.4% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.4 10.0
8-10 12.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 12.4
7-11 14.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.0
6-12 13.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.6
5-13 11.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.7
4-14 9.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.1
3-15 5.3% 5.3
2-16 3.0% 3.0
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.5 97.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%