Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.8 #333
Expected Predictive Rating -9.1 #309
Pace 75.2 #48
Improvement +1.9 #83

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #321 D- F D- D+ F
Defense #326 D- F C- D D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% #356 0.99 #339 -8.0 #361
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #76 0.78 #145 +2.4 #65
Three Pointers 45% #103 0.92 #285 +0.1 #178
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #327 -5.5 #326
Freethrows 14.6 #314 79% #25 11.5 #253
Second Chance 23.7% #340 0.94 #301 0.22 #349
Turnovers 19.2% #324
Total Offense -5.8 #321

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #146 1.29 #319 -3.5 #299
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #343 0.67 #71 +3.0 #8
Three Pointers 46% #56 1.08 #277 -4.0 #329
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #318 -4.6 #315
Freethrows 19.3 #281 74% #238 14.3 #72
Second Chance 35.6% #332 1.13 #284 0.40 #336
Turnovers 15.9% #217
Total Defense -5.0 #326

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.8% #330 1.8% #333
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -8.3% #306 7.0% #306
Possession Length 17.5 #191 15.3 #4
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #152 0.23 #337
Improvement +3.1 #30 -1.2 #258

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 5.6% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.5% 3.9% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 68.0% 78.6% 54.7%
Conference Champion 13.3% 19.1% 5.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four4.7% 5.4% 3.8%
First Round2.3% 2.8% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Prairie View (Home) - 55.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 6
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 20 - 9
Quad 411 - 1211 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 8 @Illinois L 55 - 113 0% -33  0 - 1 -34 -12 D F D- -18 F F B
 Thu, Nov 6 19 @Louisville L 70 - 106 1% -22  0 - 2 -17 -2 A F B -12 D+ D D-
 Sat, Nov 15 234 @Louisiana Tech L 51 - 68 18% -3  0 - 3 -18 -18 F F F -0 B- D- B-
 Wed, Nov 19 27 @Auburn L 66 - 112 1% -26  0 - 4 -28 -6 D+ D F -18 F B+ D+
 Fri, Nov 21 26 @Arkansas L 61 - 115 1% -30  0 - 5 -36 -11 F B+ F -21 F D- F
 Sun, Nov 23 143 Winthrop L 62 - 80 20% -8  0 - 6 -20 -8 C- F F -13 F D- D-
 Fri, Nov 28 315 @Louisiana W 51 - 45 33% +5  1 - 6 -0 -16 F F F +17 A+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 159 @Kennesaw St. L 73 - 88 10% -9  1 - 7 -12 -1 F B+ F -10 A+ F F
 Wed, Dec 10 5 @Houston L 38 - 80 0% -22  1 - 8 -18 -18 D F F -3 C+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 63 @Northwestern L 53 - 93 3% -18  1 - 9 -28 -17 F F C -9 D C B
 Thu, Dec 18 242 Hampton L 77 - 84 28% -5  1 - 10 -12 +2 B- F D+ -13 D- F B
 Fri, Dec 19 289 Norfolk St. L 72 - 82 37% -11  1 - 11 -17 -5 D- D+ F -12 F B B-
 Mon, Dec 29 45 @TCU L 64 - 115 2% -24  1 - 12 -36 -3 D- B+ D -30 F A- F
 Sat, Jan 3 347 Alcorn St. W 89 - 86 67% +7  2 - 12 1 - 0 -12 +9 B+ F A- -21 F F F
 Sat, Jan 10 306 @Alabama St. W 75 - 64 31% +7  3 - 12 2 - 0 +6 -7 F F D +11 A+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 300 @Alabama A&M L 91 - 100 29% -6  3 - 13 2 - 1 -14 +3 D- F A -16 F F C
 Sat, Jan 17 317 Prairie View W 81 - 79 56%
 Mon, Jan 19 334 Texas Southern W 79 - 76 61%
 Sat, Jan 24 272 @Bethune-Cookman L 74 - 81 25%
 Mon, Jan 26 322 @Florida A&M L 75 - 79 35%
 Sat, Jan 31 269 Grambling St. L 75 - 77 44%
 Mon, Feb 2 263 Southern L 78 - 80 43%
 Sat, Feb 7 365 @Mississippi Valley W 78 - 68 82%
 Mon, Feb 9 327 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 80 - 83 37%
 Sat, Feb 14 322 Florida A&M W 78 - 76 58%
 Mon, Feb 16 272 Bethune-Cookman L 77 - 78 45%
 Sat, Feb 21 347 @Alcorn St. L 77 - 79 44%
 Thu, Feb 26 317 @Prairie View L 78 - 82 35%
 Sat, Feb 28 334 @Texas Southern L 76 - 79 41%
 Tue, Mar 3 327 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83 - 80 59%
 Thu, Mar 5 365 Mississippi Valley W 81 - 65 93%
Totals 11 - 20 10 - 8 -11 -6 D- F D- -5 D- F C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.0 4.2 4.4 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 13.3 1st
2nd 0.5 4.7 4.7 1.2 0.1 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.4 6.1 1.1 0.1 10.8 3rd
4th 0.9 6.8 2.5 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.1 4.6 4.9 0.2 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 7.1 1.2 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 4.7 3.8 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 5.4 0.6 8.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.5 2.0 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.6 2.5 0.2 6.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.6 0.4 4.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.3 5.4 9.8 13.7 17.0 16.9 14.6 10.1 5.7 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.9    0.8 0.0
14-4 95.5% 2.6    2.2 0.4 0.0
13-5 77.3% 4.4    2.4 1.6 0.3 0.0
12-6 41.8% 4.2    0.9 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.0
11-7 6.9% 1.0    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.3% 13.3 6.6 4.0 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 18.2% 18.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.9% 15.2% 15.2% 16.0 0.1 0.7
14-4 2.7% 12.3% 12.3% 16.0 0.3 2.3
13-5 5.7% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.6 5.1
12-6 10.1% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.9 9.2
11-7 14.6% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 1.0 13.6
10-8 16.9% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.9 15.9
9-9 17.0% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.7 16.4
8-10 13.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 13.5
7-11 9.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.8
6-12 5.4% 5.4
5-13 2.3% 2.3
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 16.0 95.2 0.0%