Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -12.3 344
Results Rating -9.8 318
Consistency 0.16 231
Pace 73.0 64
Improvement +1.1 144

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 311 D- D+ D C- D-
Defense D- 346 D+ D- D+ D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% 357 D- 50% 343 -7.6 361
2 Pt. Jumpers 46% 89 C 38% 192 +2.0 79
Three Pointers 45% 106 D- 30% 324 -0.7 209
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.3 333 D- -5.1 339
1st FG Attempt D- 0.89 349
Second Chance D+ 26.4% 295 C- 1.00 233 D+ 0.26 285
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.6% 285
Other Turnovers D 8.4% 313
Turnovers D 19.0% 313
Freethrows D 0.27 290 B 76% 48 C- 0.21 232
Total Offense D -5.4 311

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots F 30% 356 D+ 12.3% 261
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 17% 295 D+ 6.6% 284
Three Pointers D+ 80% 269 F 2.2% 356
Total F+ 44% 353 D+ 6.3% 263

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 184 D- 65% 338 +2.6 270
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 321 A- 32% 14 -2.8 9
Three Pointers 45% 52 D+ 36% 256 +3.5 324
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 280 D+ +2.6 284
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.09 289
Second Chance F+ 36.7% 353 C- 1.06 233 D- 0.39 338
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.1% 285
Other Turnovers C- 7.1% 212
Turnovers D+ 15.1% 278
Freethrows D+ 0.34 295 D+ 74% 274 D 0.25 304
Total Defense D- -6.9 346

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F 62% 359 D 6.9% 326
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 44% 360 A 10.3% 12
Three Pointers D- 91% 349 C+ 1.2% 105
Total F 70% 360 C- 4.9% 235

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 220 15.7 4
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 171 0.24 353
Consistency 0.13 248 0.13 265
Improvement +2.8 59 -1.7 275

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 350 343 326
Results Rating Rank 335 323 299
Conference Record 9 - 9 10 - 8 11 - 7
Conference Finish 7 5 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 5% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 97% 100% 95%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four4% 5% 4%
First Round1% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Texas Southern (Away) - 27.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 7
Quad 20 - 00 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 411 - 1111 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 5 @Illinois L 55 - 113 0% -33  0% 0 - 1 F -33 F -16 D- F D+ F -13 F F B+
 Thu, Nov 6 14 @Louisville L 70 - 106 0% -22  1% 0 - 2 D- -14 D+ -3 A- F B F+ -8 D+ D+ D-
 Sat, Nov 15 216 @Louisiana Tech L 51 - 68 13% -3  38% 0 - 3 F+ -17 F -19 F D D- C+ +2 B+ D- C
 Wed, Nov 19 38 @Auburn L 66 - 112 1% -26  1% 0 - 4 F -29 F+ -10 D+ C- F F -16 F B+ D+
 Fri, Nov 21 15 @Arkansas L 61 - 115 0% -30  3% 0 - 5 F -32 F -12 F A F F -15 F D F+
 Sun, Nov 23 138 Winthrop L 62 - 80 16% -8  15% 0 - 6 F -20 F+ -10 C F+ F+ F -11 F D- D-
 Fri, Nov 28 301 @Louisiana W 51 - 45 25% +5  89% 1 - 6 C +1 F -19 F F D- A+ +20 A+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 154 @Kennesaw St. L 73 - 88 8% -9  24% 1 - 7 D- -12 D -4 F B D- D- -7 A F F
 Wed, Dec 10 6 @Houston L 38 - 80 0% -22  2% 1 - 8 F+ -18 F -22 D+ F F C+ +1 B- F A
 Sat, Dec 13 65 @Northwestern L 53 - 93 2% -18  0% 1 - 9 F -28 F -19 F F C D- -7 D- C- B-
 Thu, Dec 18 267 Hampton L 77 - 84 27% -5  12% 1 - 10 D- -13 C- -1 C+ D- C F -12 D- F B
 Fri, Dec 19 304 Norfolk St. L 72 - 82 36% -11  12% 1 - 11 F -19 F+ -9 D- D F F+ -9 F B C
 Mon, Dec 29 50 @TCU L 64 - 115 2% -24  0% 1 - 12 F -37 D -6 D- B D F -28 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 345 Alcorn St. W 89 - 86 63% +7  86% 2 - 12 1 - 0 D- -13 B +6 B+ F A- F -18 F F F
 Sat, Jan 10 314 @Alabama St. W 75 - 64 28% +7  90% 3 - 12 2 - 0 C+ +5 D- -7 F D- D+ A +11 A+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 309 @Alabama A&M L 91 - 100 27% -6  14% 3 - 13 2 - 1 F+ -15 C +0 D D- A- F -14 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 331 Prairie View W 82 - 78 57% +4  83% 4 - 13 3 - 1 D -10 D -4 C+ D- F D -6 C D C-
 Mon, Jan 19 307 Texas Southern W 94 - 89 48% +5  96% 5 - 13 4 - 1 D+ -7 B+ +9 A F+ B F -16 F D+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 239 @Bethune-Cookman L 48 - 85 15% -16  8% 5 - 14 4 - 2 F -38 F -28 F F D D- -8 C+ F D-
 Mon, Jan 26 318 @Florida A&M W 66 - 65 31% -3  10% 6 - 14 5 - 2 D+ -6 C- -2 F A- C D+ -4 C- C- F
 Sat, Jan 31 299 Grambling St. L 66 - 69 45% -3  14% 6 - 15 5 - 3 D- -14 D- -7 F D- B- D- -8 D C+ D-
 Mon, Feb 2 276 Southern L 91 - 96 OT 39% -11  1% 6 - 16 5 - 4 D- -14 C- -0 C- D A- F -13 F C+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 365 @Mississippi Valley W 97 - 81 78% +6  72% 7 - 16 6 - 4 C- -4 B +7 F A+ D- F -13 F C F
 Mon, Feb 9 330 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 63 - 84 33% -10  5% 7 - 17 6 - 5 F -29 F -13 F B+ D- F -17 F D+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 318 Florida A&M W 80 - 60 53% +12  99% 8 - 17 7 - 5 B- +7 C +1 C+ D+ C+ B+ +6 A+ B D
 Mon, Feb 16 239 Bethune-Cookman W 91 - 86 31% +2  69% 9 - 17 8 - 5 C- -2 B +6 A- C+ D+ F+ -8 C F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 345 @Alcorn St. L 65 - 83 40% +2  70% 9 - 18 8 - 6 F -28 F -17 F F F F -10 C+ F F+
 Thu, Feb 26 331 @Prairie View L 76 - 85 OT 34% -1  26% 9 - 19 8 - 7 F+ -17 D- -7 F+ C+ D- F+ -9 A- F C-
 Sat, Feb 28 307 @Texas Southern L 76 - 83 27%
 Tue, Mar 3 330 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82 - 80 55%
 Thu, Mar 5 365 Mississippi Valley W 81 - 67 90%
Totals 11 - 20 10 - 8 -12 D -5 A D- D- D- -7 D- B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- C D- D- 29% 46% 45% D- D- D+ C- D+ D D B C- D- D- A- D+ D+ 39% 16% 45% D+ D+ F+ C- D- D+ D+ D+ D
1.01 50% 38% 30% -5 -1 0.89 26% 1.0 .26 19% .27 76% .21 1.18 65% 32% 36% +3 +1 1.09 37% 1.1 .39 15% .34 74% .20
Nov
3		 Illinois F A- F+ F D 13% 42% 45% F D- F F F D+ B+ C+ B+ F B+ C F F 32% 9% 59% C- F F C F B+ F+ A+ C
0.73 63% 28% 26% -9 -5 0.75 9% 0.3 .02 15% .22 71% .15 1.50 56% 40% 52% +15 +1 1.34 58% 1.2 .72 16% .38 67% .25
Nov
6		 Louisville D+ F C+ A+ A- 30% 25% 45% C+ A- D- F F B D+ F F+ F+ F F C+ C- 48% 5% 46% D D+ F+ C+ D+ D- F B F
0.91 41% 36% 44% +1 -1 1.02 17% 0.6 .10 16% .25 56% .14 1.37 74% 67% 35% +10 +3 1.27 41% 1.0 .41 13% .52 74% .39
Nov
15		 Louisiana Tech F F F F F 33% 7% 61% B F F B+ D D- C B C+ C+ B+ A+ A- A+ 63% 12% 26% F B+ F B- D- C F B+ F
0.75 27% 0% 21% -24 +1 0.57 23% 1.2 .27 20% .31 76% .24 0.99 48% 0% 27% -13 +3 0.81 46% 0.7 .34 19% .56 58% .32
Nov
19		 Auburn F+ D B+ D C 26% 39% 35% F D+ B F+ C- F A C A- F F F F F 44% 5% 51% F+ F A D+ B+ D+ A+ D A
0.87 50% 44% 31% -1 -3 0.93 33% 0.8 .27 29% .35 74% .26 1.48 88% 67% 43% +22 +2 1.51 32% 1.1 .36 12% .29 79% .23
Nov
21		 Arkansas F F C- F F 25% 33% 42% F F C+ A+ A F D- B+ D+ F F A+ F F 54% 15% 31% F F D+ D+ D F+ F D+ F
0.80 31% 35% 23% -15 -3 0.67 29% 1.6 .46 26% .20 73% .14 1.51 79% 25% 53% +18 +2 1.43 38% 1.3 .50 8% .51 78% .40
Nov
23		 Winthrop F+ C- A C B- 18% 33% 49% F C D F F+ F+ F F F F F A+ F+ F 37% 11% 52% C F C F D- D- A+ F A+
0.96 56% 50% 33% +3 -3 1.02 24% 0.9 .21 20% .16 63% .10 1.24 65% 17% 39% +4 +1 1.13 33% 1.3 .42 12% .18 90% .16
Nov
28		 Louisiana F F A- F F 38% 22% 40% D F F F+ F D- F A- F A+ C A+ A+ A+ 35% 14% 51% F A+ F F+ F A+ F A+ C-
0.82 47% 45% 20% -11 0 0.80 23% 0.9 .20 21% .10 80% .08 0.73 53% 17% 14% -20 +1 0.63 37% 1.0 .37 26% .35 50% .17
Dec
2		 Kennesaw St. D F B- F F 31% 24% 45% F+ F C- A+ B D- A A+ A+ D- C A+ A+ A+ 41% 2% 57% F A F D F F F B+ F
1.00 33% 42% 27% -11 -1 0.78 29% 1.3 .37 19% .49 90% .44 1.21 57% 0% 21% -12 +3 0.82 50% 1.0 .52 12% .61 64% .39
Dec
10		 Houston F F F+ C- D+ 17% 20% 63% C- D+ D F F F F F F C+ D- F A C+ 15% 33% 52% A- B- F F F A B- A+ A
0.59 29% 25% 31% -11 -1 0.78 23% 0.4 .10 39% .13 60% .08 1.24 71% 56% 28% +3 -3 1.02 46% 1.4 .64 17% .24 54% .13
Dec
13		 Northwestern F F D+ F F 27% 24% 49% D+ F F F F C A+ F+ B+ D- F A+ A D 41% 11% 48% F D- D- B C- B- F D+ F
0.73 36% 33% 24% -15 -1 0.71 19% 0.5 .10 18% .39 65% .25 1.28 89% 20% 27% +6 +1 1.17 34% 1.2 .41 14% .62 77% .48
Dec
18		 Hampton C- B- A+ D- C+ 33% 22% 44% D+ C+ F B+ D- C F A+ D- F A+ B F F+ 30% 30% 41% B- D- C- F F B F F F
1.07 67% 58% 29% +4 -1 1.09 19% 1.2 .22 17% .27 81% .22 1.17 38% 31% 50% +2 -2 1.02 34% 1.5 .52 21% .55 84% .46
Dec
19		 Norfolk St. F+ D+ F A+ C- 24% 34% 42% F D- D C- D F F B F+ F+ F C- F F 20% 37% 43% A+ F D+ A+ B C F+ F F
0.99 58% 24% 43% +1 -3 0.98 29% 1.0 .29 22% .28 75% .21 1.12 70% 39% 48% +12 -3 1.18 32% 0.7 .24 19% .41 83% .34
Dec
29		 TCU D F B B D+ 30% 32% 38% F D- C A+ B D C D+ C F F F F F 43% 15% 43% D+ F B- B- B- F A+ F A
0.87 27% 44% 37% -6 -2 0.86 26% 1.3 .34 23% .26 67% .18 1.56 88% 56% 50% +26 +1 1.56 33% 1.0 .33 11% .18 100% .18
Jan
3		 Alcorn St. B A+ C- B A- 36% 16% 48% D B+ F F F A- A A+ A+ F B- A+ F F 28% 28% 44% B+ F F F+ F F F A+ F+
1.27 83% 38% 38% +12 0 1.26 24% 0.9 .21 14% .42 84% .35 1.23 53% 20% 54% +7 -2 1.13 34% 1.1 .37 14% .40 58% .23
Jan
10		 Alabama St. D- D F F F 53% 16% 31% B F C F D- D+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ 60% 11% 29% F A+ F B F A+ F B- F+
0.99 56% 0% 25% -12 +2 0.82 33% 0.8 .28 20% .53 88% .46 0.85 39% 17% 13% -23 +3 0.62 48% 0.8 .37 25% .37 67% .25
Jan
12		 Alabama A&M C B- A+ F D 32% 13% 55% C D F A+ D- A- A+ A- A+ F F B- C+ F 37% 18% 45% D- F C F F C- F D- F
1.12 63% 63% 27% -1 0 1.02 15% 1.5 .22 12% .43 77% .34 1.23 78% 33% 32% +5 0 1.12 25% 1.6 .41 16% .63 79% .50
Jan
17		 Prairie View D A D- C+ C+ 37% 17% 46% C C+ B F D- F D+ D D+ D C+ B- C+ C- 31% 31% 39% C C F+ C D C- F C- F
1.11 70% 33% 36% +5 0 1.13 42% 0.8 .32 23% .35 70% .25 1.05 53% 33% 32% -4 -2 0.90 29% 1.1 .32 15% .56 77% .43
Jan
19		 Texas Southern B+ A+ A+ B A+ 38% 24% 38% D- A D- D F+ B A A+ A+ F F C- B+ F 41% 9% 50% F F F A+ D+ D F C F
1.29 74% 58% 37% +12 0 1.26 27% 1.0 .27 14% .45 86% .38 1.22 83% 40% 29% +6 +2 1.18 38% 0.8 .31 15% .39 71% .27
Jan
24		 Bethune-Cookman F F F F F 33% 21% 46% D- F F C- F D F A+ F D- C- A+ C C+ 48% 20% 32% D C+ F F F D- D F F
0.65 32% 17% 15% -26 0 0.49 22% 1.1 .24 18% .17 90% .15 1.15 59% 18% 33% -4 +1 0.96 38% 1.4 .53 15% .35 82% .29
Jan
26		 Florida A&M C- B+ F C F+ 21% 40% 40% F F B+ B A- C A- D- B D+ F A+ A- D+ 25% 29% 46% A- C- D C C- F D+ A+ B-
1.06 67% 24% 35% -3 -4 0.88 38% 1.1 .41 18% .41 71% .29 1.05 92% 21% 27% -1 -2 0.96 31% 0.8 .26 15% .32 53% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Grambling St. D- C- D+ F+ F+ 27% 27% 47% F F F+ D+ D- B- A+ C A+ D- B+ A+ F D- 29% 17% 54% C D F A+ C+ D- A- C+ B+
1.00 58% 33% 29% -5 -2 0.89 26% 1.0 .26 18% .56 73% .41 1.05 50% 13% 42% 0 0 1.02 38% 0.7 .25 18% .26 71% .19
Feb
2		 Southern C- F C+ A+ C 26% 26% 48% F+ C- D C- D A- A C+ A F D+ B- D- F+ 46% 20% 34% F F F A+ C+ F F B F
1.13 47% 40% 43% +4 -2 1.07 28% 1.1 .30 15% .45 77% .35 1.19 61% 33% 38% +2 +1 1.08 36% 0.8 .27 11% .48 65% .31
Feb
7		 Mississippi Valley B F A+ D- F 30% 6% 64% B- F A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A A+ F D+ F+ D- F 30% 39% 30% C- F D+ B- C F F B F+
1.28 40% 67% 31% -6 +1 0.92 53% 1.6 .84 20% .58 83% .48 1.07 59% 45% 35% +4 -3 1.04 26% 0.8 .21 13% .37 67% .24
Feb
9		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F F B- F F 18% 37% 45% F F C+ A- B+ D- F F F F C+ F F F 37% 27% 37% C+ F D- C+ D+ F D- F+ F
0.96 33% 42% 22% -11 -4 0.73 37% 1.3 .49 18% .28 67% .19 1.28 56% 54% 50% +12 -1 1.24 30% 0.9 .27 11% .36 81% .29
Feb
14		 Florida A&M C C+ B+ C+ C+ 52% 26% 22% C- C+ B+ F D+ C+ C B- C B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 29% 40% B+ A+ A C B D F F F
1.15 62% 46% 36% +5 0 1.12 38% 0.7 .26 17% .33 79% .26 0.86 50% 23% 22% -14 -2 0.71 20% 0.9 .17 19% .48 89% .43
Feb
16		 Bethune-Cookman B D A+ A+ A 47% 17% 36% C A- D+ A- C+ D+ A+ B+ A+ F+ F A+ A+ C+ 50% 21% 29% D C F+ F+ F D+ F F F
1.18 50% 50% 47% +5 +1 1.15 29% 1.3 .38 17% .55 77% .42 1.11 73% 18% 20% -3 +1 0.98 34% 1.2 .40 17% .51 76% .39
Feb
21		 Alcorn St. F F+ B F F 39% 16% 45% D+ F D F F F A+ C A+ F B- A+ B+ B+ 46% 11% 43% F C+ F F+ F F+ F F+ F
0.91 53% 43% 20% -11 +1 0.82 32% 1.0 .32 25% .48 73% .35 1.16 52% 20% 30% -7 +2 0.91 42% 1.1 .45 15% .63 76% .48
Feb
26		 Prairie View D- B+ F C D 24% 30% 46% F F+ C+ C+ C+ D- C B B- F+ A+ A+ F A 34% 36% 29% B- A- F F F C- D+ F F
1.02 67% 27% 35% -1 -2 0.96 38% 1.1 .44 21% .38 77% .29 1.14 40% 14% 41% -12 -2 0.74 45% 1.5 .66 15% .38 92% .35



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.8 9.4 10.2 2nd
3rd 8.0 4.6 12.6 3rd
4th 0.0 20.5 20.5 4th
5th 3.5 14.5 17.9 5th
6th 15.2 4.2 19.4 6th
7th 1.6 15.5 0.4 17.6 7th
8th 1.5 1.5 8th
9th 0.3 0.3 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 3.4 34.3 48.3 14.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 14.0% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.8 13.2
10-8 48.3% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 2.0 46.3
9-9 34.3% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 1.2 33.1
8-10 3.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.4
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 16.0 96.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.8%
Lose Out 2.9%