Jacksonville St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#222
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#303
Pace63.1#331
Improvement-1.5#298

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#319
First Shot-6.5#346
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#101
Layup/Dunks-1.1#227
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#361
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#190
Freethrows-0.9#235
Improvement-2.7#354

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#121
First Shot-2.5#262
After Offensive Rebounds+4.0#10
Layups/Dunks+0.0#174
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#209
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#141
Freethrows-3.5#341
Improvement+1.2#70
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 2.9% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.9
.500 or above 24.8% 31.0% 13.4%
.500 or above in Conference 32.2% 36.5% 24.3%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.3% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 17.7% 14.3% 24.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round2.3% 2.8% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Alabama (Home) - 64.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 94 - 12
Quad 48 - 512 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 14 253 Coastal Carolina W 74-67 66%     1 - 0 -1.0 +2.9 -3.6
  Wed, Nov 19 180 South Alabama L 65-71 53%     1 - 1 -10.5 -6.2 -4.7
  Mon, Nov 24 172 @Arkansas St. L 63-74 30%     1 - 2 -9.2 -11.6 +2.9
  Wed, Nov 26 155 North Dakota St. L 43-56 37%     1 - 3 -13.2 -23.2 +8.3
  Mon, Dec 1 242 North Alabama W 68-64 65%    
  Sat, Dec 13 337 @Georgia St. W 68-64 64%    
  Wed, Dec 17 258 Eastern Kentucky W 72-67 66%    
  Sat, Dec 20 137 @East Tennessee St. L 60-68 22%    
  Mon, Dec 29 132 Western Kentucky L 69-72 40%    
  Fri, Jan 2 241 @Delaware L 65-67 41%    
  Sun, Jan 4 97 @Liberty L 60-72 14%    
  Wed, Jan 7 215 Florida International W 68-65 59%    
  Sat, Jan 10 163 @Kennesaw St. L 70-76 30%    
  Wed, Jan 14 170 Sam Houston St. W 69-68 52%    
  Sat, Jan 17 194 Louisiana Tech W 61-60 55%    
  Sat, Jan 24 149 Middle Tennessee L 67-68 47%    
  Wed, Jan 28 215 @Florida International L 65-68 39%    
  Sat, Jan 31 239 @Missouri St. L 61-63 42%    
  Thu, Feb 5 132 @Western Kentucky L 66-75 23%    
  Sat, Feb 7 163 Kennesaw St. L 72-73 51%    
  Wed, Feb 11 234 UTEP W 63-60 62%    
  Sat, Feb 14 108 New Mexico St. L 60-65 34%    
  Wed, Feb 18 194 @Louisiana Tech L 58-63 35%    
  Sat, Feb 21 170 @Sam Houston St. L 66-72 31%    
  Thu, Feb 26 241 Delaware W 68-64 63%    
  Sat, Feb 28 97 Liberty L 63-69 30%    
  Thu, Mar 5 108 @New Mexico St. L 57-68 18%    
  Sat, Mar 7 234 @UTEP L 60-63 41%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.5 2.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.6 2.1 0.1 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.0 2.9 0.3 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.9 3.3 0.5 0.0 11.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.7 3.5 0.8 0.0 11.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.8 4.6 2.9 0.7 0.1 12.3 11th
12th 0.2 0.9 2.0 3.0 3.1 1.9 0.4 0.0 11.5 12th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.1 4.0 6.5 9.0 10.6 11.5 12.0 11.0 9.4 8.0 5.7 4.2 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 91.6% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-4 64.7% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 38.8% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 15.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 31.0% 31.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 24.2% 24.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.6% 24.2% 24.2% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
15-5 1.4% 13.5% 13.5% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
14-6 2.3% 11.7% 11.7% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.1
13-7 4.2% 11.3% 11.3% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 3.7
12-8 5.7% 6.6% 6.6% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.3
11-9 8.0% 2.8% 2.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.8
10-10 9.4% 2.3% 2.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.1
9-11 11.0% 1.5% 1.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.8
8-12 12.0% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.9
7-13 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.5
6-14 10.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.6
5-15 9.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.9
4-16 6.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.5
3-17 4.0% 4.0
2-18 2.1% 2.1
1-19 0.9% 0.9
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.4 97.6 0.0%