Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.0 #159
Expected Predictive Rating -1.1 #187
Pace 80.8 #10
Improvement +0.5 #156

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #159 C C+ C- B- A-
Defense #169 C+ C+ C- F D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #80 1.14 #204 +1.8 #113
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #333 0.79 #127 -2.9 #313
Three Pointers 45% #97 0.92 #291 +0.1 #179
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #202 -1.0 #202
Freethrows 19.6 #78 72% #205 14.1 #93
Second Chance 34.1% #85 1.00 #243 0.34 #130
Turnovers 17.4% #231
Total Offense +0.2 #159

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #12 1.03 #37 -1.7 #242
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #261 0.69 #94 +1.6 #75
Three Pointers 36% #320 1.07 #256 +1.9 #113
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #119 +1.8 #119
Freethrows 23.8 #358 75% #277 17.7 #7
Second Chance 31.0% #195 0.96 #81 0.30 #134
Turnovers 15.8% #226
Total Defense -0.2 #169

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.7% #30 2.0% #337
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.6% #241 -5.3% #84
Possession Length 14.8 #18 16.8 #112
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #198 0.20 #264
Improvement -1.2 #260 +1.7 #85

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 8.0% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 14.1
.500 or above 68.3% 76.5% 53.0%
.500 or above in Conference 58.9% 67.9% 42.0%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.4% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 1.2% 5.5%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round7.0% 7.9% 5.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida International (Home) - 64.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 35 - 66 - 10
Quad 410 - 316 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 322 @Florida A&M W 92 - 72 74% +9  1 - 0 +13 +4 A F C- +6 A+ C F
 Sun, Nov 16 75 South Florida L 89 - 108 32% -9  1 - 1 -14 +7 D+ A+ A- -19 D+ C- F
 Mon, Nov 24 247 Rice W 89 - 84 OT 68% -1  2 - 1 +0 +2 D+ C+ C -2 D+ B- C+
 Tue, Nov 25 298 Oral Roberts L 83 - 91 78% +1  2 - 2 -16 -1 C- D- D- -14 F A A+
 Wed, Nov 26 201 @Florida Gulf Coast W 102 - 100 OT 48% +0  3 - 2 +3 +7 A- D- F -5 C+ B- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 333 Jackson St. W 88 - 73 90% +9  4 - 2 +1 +6 F A+ A -5 A F C
 Sat, Dec 6 290 Georgia St. W 92 - 69 83% +16  5 - 2 +13 +1 A+ C- F +8 A+ D- F
 Wed, Dec 17 120 @Middle Tennessee L 67 - 68 29% -7  5 - 3 0 - 1 +5 -1 D- C D +6 A+ A A+
 Sun, Dec 21 14 Alabama L 81 - 92 6% -18  5 - 4 +7 +4 C A+ F +5 A+ B+ D+
 Fri, Jan 2 95 @Liberty L 73 - 81 20% -8  5 - 5 0 - 2 +1 -1 F C C+ +2 C A- B+
 Sun, Jan 4 271 @Delaware L 52 - 67 63% -5  5 - 6 0 - 3 -18 -16 F D F -4 D+ B F
 Wed, Jan 7 192 Missouri St. W 90 - 80 68% +8  6 - 6 1 - 3 +5 +10 A+ B F -6 C+ C- C
 Sat, Jan 10 203 Jacksonville St. W 88 - 82 70% +5  7 - 6 2 - 3 +1 +10 C A+ B- -10 F C+ C-
 Wed, Jan 14 172 Florida International W 87 - 83 65%
 Sat, Jan 17 150 @Western Kentucky L 83 - 86 37%
 Wed, Jan 21 141 @Sam Houston St. L 83 - 87 35%
 Sat, Jan 24 234 @Louisiana Tech W 71 - 70 54%
 Wed, Jan 28 150 Western Kentucky W 86 - 83 60%
 Sat, Jan 31 139 New Mexico St. W 78 - 76 58%
 Sat, Feb 7 203 @Jacksonville St. L 75 - 76 48%
 Thu, Feb 12 120 Middle Tennessee W 77 - 76 51%
 Sat, Feb 14 141 Sam Houston St. W 86 - 84 57%
 Wed, Feb 18 192 @Missouri St. L 75 - 76 47%
 Sat, Feb 21 234 Louisiana Tech W 74 - 67 74%
 Thu, Feb 26 95 Liberty L 77 - 80 41%
 Sat, Feb 28 271 Delaware W 78 - 69 80%
 Thu, Mar 5 257 @UTEP W 76 - 74 59%
 Sat, Mar 7 139 @New Mexico St. L 75 - 79 36%
Totals 15 - 13 10 - 10 +0 +0 C C+ C- +0 C+ C+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 3.1 2.5 1.2 0.2 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 5.0 3.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 5.8 4.6 0.9 0.0 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.6 5.3 5.5 1.2 0.1 12.6 5th
6th 0.2 3.0 6.8 2.1 0.0 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 6.0 2.8 0.2 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.9 4.0 0.5 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.1 0.9 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.1 0.9 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.4 0.7 0.1 3.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.9 4.1 8.0 11.9 14.6 16.7 15.5 11.9 8.1 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 63.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-5 32.4% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 11.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.7% 22.9% 22.9% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-5 2.0% 21.9% 21.9% 12.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.5
14-6 4.1% 18.4% 18.4% 13.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.3
13-7 8.1% 15.3% 15.3% 13.4 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 6.9
12-8 11.9% 11.8% 11.8% 13.6 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 10.5
11-9 15.5% 8.1% 8.1% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 14.2
10-10 16.7% 5.1% 5.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 15.8
9-11 14.6% 3.1% 3.1% 14.9 0.1 0.4 0.0 14.1
8-12 11.9% 2.2% 2.2% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.6
7-13 8.0% 1.9% 1.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.9
6-14 4.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 4.0
5-15 1.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.8
4-16 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 13.8 93.0 0.0%