NJIT
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -13.2 #352
Expected Predictive Rating -8.9 #306
Pace 70.8 #129
Improvement -0.9 #239

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #356 F D D- C F
Defense #315 C- D+ D- D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 28% #360 0.94 #358 -9.0 #364
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #86 0.69 #258 +1.1 #116
Three Pointers 46% #78 0.89 #321 -0.3 #191
1st FG Attempt 0.85 #356 -8.2 #357
Freethrows 17.5 #180 71% #229 12.5 #182
Second Chance 26.3% #304 1.02 #208 0.27 #281
Turnovers 19.3% #326
Total Offense -8.8 #356

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #143 1.21 #243 -1.9 #250
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #229 0.69 #97 +1.2 #101
Three Pointers 41% #176 1.07 #264 -1.4 #239
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #248 -2.0 #248
Freethrows 19.5 #292 71% #120 13.9 #90
Second Chance 34.0% #301 1.06 #215 0.36 #284
Turnovers 13.8% #328
Total Defense -4.5 #315

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.8% #329 0.8% #234
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -13.7% #354 3.1% #245
Possession Length 17.6 #200 16.4 #46
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #265 0.18 #217
Improvement +2.8 #39 -3.7 #343

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 3.2% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.3% 3.8% 0.8%
.500 or above in Conference 25.2% 46.1% 20.2%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.6% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 14.5% 5.7% 16.5%
First Four1.9% 3.0% 1.6%
First Round0.8% 1.2% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 19.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 410 - 1211 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 183 @Fordham W 72 - 61 9% +5  1 - 0 +12 +7 A+ F D- +6 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Nov 8 281 Fairfield L 53 - 74 37% -6  1 - 1 -31 -30 F F F +1 A- F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 336 @Loyola Maryland W 66 - 64 31% -1  2 - 1 -6 -10 F B F +4 A- F C+
 Sat, Nov 15 351 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 81 61% +11  3 - 1 -4 +4 A+ C F -9 B- D+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 238 @Drexel L 43 - 75 14% -13  3 - 2 -33 -29 F F F -5 C D+ F
 Sat, Nov 22 200 @Navy L 70 - 86 10% -10  3 - 3 -15 +1 F C+ B+ -17 F C F
 Mon, Nov 24 56 @Cincinnati L 80 - 104 2% -16  3 - 4 -11 +5 D A+ F -12 F D+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 19 @Louisville L 47 - 104 1% -31  3 - 5 -38 -17 F F B- -21 F F D-
 Fri, Nov 28 211 @Eastern Michigan L 55 - 73 11% -3  3 - 6 -18 -13 F A+ F -6 F C- B+
 Fri, Dec 5 87 @High Point L 72 - 89 3% -12  3 - 7 -7 -3 C D- F -4 A+ F F
 Wed, Dec 10 340 New Haven W 70 - 64 54% +4  4 - 7 -8 -2 C F C- -5 A+ F F
 Sat, Dec 13 285 Sacred Heart L 49 - 65 38% -4  4 - 8 -26 -25 F F D- -2 B F F
 Mon, Dec 22 58 @Butler L 52 - 101 2% -29  4 - 9 -37 -17 D- F D- -18 F D- F
 Wed, Dec 31 206 @Penn L 61 - 80 11% -6  4 - 10 -19 -13 F F F -5 F A C-
 Sat, Jan 3 359 @Binghamton W 73 - 65 45% -1  5 - 10 1 - 0 -4 +3 F A- F -7 F A- B-
 Thu, Jan 8 335 New Hampshire W 80 - 76 53% -1  6 - 10 2 - 0 -10 +0 F A+ A- -11 F C B
 Sat, Jan 10 341 Maine L 70 - 74 54% -3  6 - 11 2 - 1 -18 +1 F F A+ -20 F C- D-
 Thu, Jan 15 284 @Umass Lowell L 71 - 80 19%
 Mon, Jan 19 329 Bryant W 68 - 67 51%
 Thu, Jan 22 277 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 68 - 78 18%
 Thu, Jan 29 309 @Albany L 69 - 77 24%
 Sat, Jan 31 195 @Vermont L 64 - 78 10%
 Thu, Feb 5 284 Umass Lowell L 74 - 77 38%
 Sat, Feb 7 359 Binghamton W 73 - 68 67%
 Thu, Feb 12 335 @New Hampshire L 68 - 73 31%
 Sat, Feb 14 341 @Maine L 63 - 68 32%
 Thu, Feb 19 309 Albany L 72 - 74 44%
 Sat, Feb 21 195 Vermont L 67 - 75 22%
 Sat, Feb 28 329 @Bryant L 65 - 71 30%
 Tue, Mar 3 277 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 71 - 75 38%
Totals 10 - 20 6 - 10 -13 -9 F D D- -4 C- D+ D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 2.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 5.4 3.1 0.4 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.8 7.5 5.4 0.6 15.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 8.5 7.2 1.1 0.0 18.8 6th
7th 0.1 2.4 8.9 8.2 1.7 0.1 21.4 7th
8th 0.1 2.5 7.4 6.6 1.6 0.1 18.2 8th
9th 1.0 2.8 2.4 0.6 0.0 6.8 9th
Total 1.1 5.4 12.2 18.1 20.1 18.0 13.2 7.2 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 73.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
12-4 47.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 20.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.1% 0.1
12-4 0.3% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
11-5 1.2% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.1 1.2
10-6 3.1% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.2 3.0
9-7 7.2% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.4 6.8
8-8 13.2% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.4 12.8
7-9 18.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 17.6
6-10 20.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 19.8
5-11 18.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 17.9
4-12 12.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.1
3-13 5.4% 5.4
2-14 1.1% 1.1
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 16.0 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%