Ohio St.
Big Ten
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +13.7 #36
Expected Predictive Rating +11.6 #46
Pace 68.2 #215
Improvement -0.6 #225

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #27 A+ C+ B- A C-
Defense #56 A- B C- C+ A+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #205 1.45 #3 +4.9 #39
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #125 0.97 #11 +3.5 #37
Three Pointers 39% #213 1.08 #103 +0.4 #157
1st FG Attempt 1.19 #14 +8.9 #14
Freethrows 20.8 #31 78% #30 16.2 #13
Second Chance 33.8% #95 1.02 #211 0.35 #123
Turnovers 15.5% #111
Total Offense +9.0 #27

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% #340 1.07 #80 +6.0 #21
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #17 0.80 #264 -3.7 #356
Three Pointers 41% #186 0.87 #33 +2.9 #78
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #39 +5.2 #39
Freethrows 15.2 #80 79% #358 12.1 #212
Second Chance 27.7% #83 0.97 #85 0.27 #58
Turnovers 16.0% #206
Total Defense +4.8 #56

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.8% #239 -3.2% #17
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 18.3% #4 -7.2% #58
Possession Length 16.2 #81 18.6 #341
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #300 0.11 #20
Improvement +1.0 #122 -1.6 #289

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.5% 2.1% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 10.2% 13.3% 5.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 63.9% 71.5% 51.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 63.5% 71.1% 50.7%
Average Seed 8.5 8.3 8.9
.500 or above 94.0% 97.3% 88.4%
.500 or above in Conference 64.4% 74.6% 46.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four11.4% 10.9% 12.4%
First Round58.9% 66.6% 45.7%
Second Round32.3% 37.2% 23.9%
Sweet Sixteen9.3% 11.1% 6.2%
Elite Eight3.2% 4.0% 2.0%
Final Four1.0% 1.3% 0.6%
Championship Game0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: UCLA (Home) - 62.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 10
Quad 27 - 311 - 13
Quad 32 - 013 - 13
Quad 46 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 353 IU Indianapolis W 118 - 102 99% +12  1 - 0 -0 +13 A+ C- C- -17 F D- D+
 Fri, Nov 7 237 Purdue Fort Wayne W 94 - 68 96% +14  2 - 0 +19 +14 A+ C+ F +4 A D+ B
 Tue, Nov 11 223 Appalachian St. W 75 - 53 96% +6  3 - 0 +16 +11 D A+ A+ +8 A+ D+ C-
 Sun, Nov 16 71 Notre Dame W 64 - 63 80% -3  4 - 0 +6 -2 C+ F C- +8 B A+ A-
 Thu, Nov 20 250 Western Michigan W 91 - 58 97% +25  5 - 0 +25 +9 A+ D+ F +14 A+ A- A
 Tue, Nov 25 297 Mount St. Mary's W 113 - 60 98% +25  6 - 0 +42 +32 A+ A+ B+ +8 C+ A+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 88 @Pittsburgh L 66 - 67 66% -4  6 - 1 +9 +2 C B- F +7 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 63 @Northwestern W 86 - 82 58% +0  7 - 1 1 - 0 +16 +16 A+ C B+ +0 A F A+
 Tue, Dec 9 8 Illinois L 80 - 88 36% -4  7 - 2 1 - 1 +10 +15 A A+ A+ -5 C- A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 13 59 West Virginia W 89 - 88 2OT 67% -4  8 - 2 +10 +7 D- A+ A+ +3 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 20 29 North Carolina L 70 - 71 46% -4  8 - 3 +14 +10 B+ C- A+ +4 A+ B- D-
 Tue, Dec 23 269 Grambling St. W 89 - 63 97% +13  9 - 3 +17 +17 A+ F C- +1 A+ F B
 Fri, Jan 2 124 @Rutgers W 80 - 73 79% -1  10 - 3 2 - 1 +12 +21 A+ C+ D- -7 C F D
 Mon, Jan 5 16 Nebraska L 69 - 72 48% -5  10 - 4 2 - 2 +11 +5 A+ F A+ +6 A A+ A+
 Thu, Jan 8 72 @Oregon W 72 - 62 61% +8  11 - 4 3 - 2 +21 +12 B A+ F +10 A+ A- F
 Sun, Jan 11 46 @Washington L 74 - 81 48% -0  11 - 5 3 - 3 +7 +14 C+ B C -7 C- B F
 Sat, Jan 17 38 UCLA W 76 - 72 63%
 Tue, Jan 20 76 Minnesota W 75 - 66 81%
 Fri, Jan 23 1 @Michigan L 73 - 88 8%
 Mon, Jan 26 99 Penn St. W 84 - 72 86%
 Sat, Jan 31 39 @Wisconsin L 78 - 80 42%
 Thu, Feb 5 112 @Maryland W 78 - 71 74%
 Sun, Feb 8 1 Michigan L 76 - 85 21%
 Wed, Feb 11 47 USC W 81 - 76 69%
 Sat, Feb 14 17 Virginia L 73 - 76 38%
 Tue, Feb 17 39 Wisconsin W 81 - 77 64%
 Sun, Feb 22 13 @Michigan St. L 67 - 75 22%
 Wed, Feb 25 22 @Iowa L 69 - 74 32%
 Sun, Mar 1 3 Purdue L 74 - 79 32%
 Wed, Mar 4 99 @Penn St. W 81 - 75 70%
 Sat, Mar 7 31 Indiana W 79 - 77 59%
Totals 19 - 12 10 - 10 +14 +9 A+ C+ B- +5 A- B C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 1.5 0.2 2.9 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 3.1 1.0 0.0 6.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 6.2 2.7 0.3 11.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 6.8 4.5 0.5 0.0 13.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 5.6 6.5 1.0 0.0 13.8 8th
9th 0.2 3.2 7.7 2.4 0.1 13.5 9th
10th 0.0 1.5 6.9 4.0 0.3 0.0 12.7 10th
11th 0.5 3.9 4.7 0.9 0.0 10.0 11th
12th 0.2 2.1 3.7 1.4 0.1 7.5 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 2.2 1.1 0.1 4.1 13th
14th 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 5.5 10.5 17.0 19.7 18.7 13.9 7.5 3.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 25.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.2% 100.0% 5.6% 94.4% 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.9% 100.0% 8.2% 91.8% 4.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 3.4% 99.9% 4.3% 95.6% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-7 7.5% 98.9% 2.3% 96.6% 6.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.1 98.9%
12-8 13.9% 96.3% 2.0% 94.2% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.3 3.7 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.5 96.2%
11-9 18.7% 87.2% 0.8% 86.4% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.9 4.5 3.7 1.6 2.4 87.1%
10-10 19.7% 71.8% 0.7% 71.1% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.2 4.4 3.9 0.1 5.6 71.6%
9-11 17.0% 39.7% 0.4% 39.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.8 3.8 0.2 10.2 39.5%
8-12 10.5% 11.7% 0.2% 11.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.1 9.3 11.5%
7-13 5.5% 2.2% 0.4% 1.8% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.4 1.8%
6-14 2.0% 2.0
5-15 0.7% 0.7
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 63.9% 1.1% 62.8% 8.5 36.1 63.5%