Portland
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#274
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#234
Pace72.1#117
Improvement+2.1#35

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#262
First Shot-1.9#220
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#274
Layup/Dunks+5.0#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#241
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#296
Freethrows-2.0#301
Improvement+3.3#5

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#262
First Shot-0.4#179
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#313
Layups/Dunks+2.2#97
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#40
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#336
Freethrows+0.6#149
Improvement-1.1#287
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 2.2% 7.7% 1.6%
.500 or above in Conference 3.6% 7.1% 3.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 39.0% 29.4% 39.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stanford (Away) - 8.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 61 - 10
Quad 32 - 73 - 17
Quad 46 - 39 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 363 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-74 87%     1 - 0 -9.6 -11.4 +0.5
  Sun, Nov 9 178 UC Davis W 67-63 43%     2 - 0 -0.4 -5.6 +5.3
  Sat, Nov 15 117 @Wyoming L 56-93 13%     2 - 1 -30.9 -13.3 -17.4
  Fri, Nov 21 324 Cal St. Fullerton W 103-85 70%     3 - 1 +6.3 +13.6 -9.2
  Sat, Nov 22 145 Northern Colorado L 80-86 OT 37%     3 - 2 -8.7 -4.9 -3.1
  Sun, Nov 23 158 St. Thomas L 66-76 39%     3 - 3 -13.4 -9.7 -3.4
  Wed, Nov 26 298 Long Beach St. W 93-73 67%     4 - 3 +9.4 +12.9 -3.9
  Mon, Dec 1 95 @Stanford L 70-85 9%    
  Sun, Dec 14 124 Kent St. L 78-84 30%    
  Wed, Dec 17 80 @Oregon L 67-83 6%    
  Mon, Dec 22 141 @UC Santa Barbara L 69-79 18%    
  Sun, Dec 28 157 Washington St. L 78-81 40%    
  Tue, Dec 30 59 Santa Clara L 69-81 13%    
  Fri, Jan 2 30 @St. Mary's L 59-82 2%    
  Sun, Jan 4 77 @San Francisco L 66-83 7%    
  Thu, Jan 8 144 Pacific L 71-75 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 169 Oregon St. L 70-72 43%    
  Wed, Jan 14 264 @Pepperdine L 72-76 37%    
  Sat, Jan 17 114 @Loyola Marymount L 65-77 13%    
  Sat, Jan 24 30 St. Mary's L 62-79 7%    
  Wed, Jan 28 144 @Pacific L 68-78 19%    
  Sat, Jan 31 157 @Washington St. L 75-84 21%    
  Wed, Feb 4 6 Gonzaga L 66-89 2%    
  Sat, Feb 7 116 Seattle L 70-76 28%    
  Wed, Feb 11 247 @San Diego L 77-81 35%    
  Wed, Feb 18 264 Pepperdine W 75-73 58%    
  Sat, Feb 21 116 @Seattle L 67-79 14%    
  Wed, Feb 25 6 @Gonzaga L 63-92 1%    
  Sat, Feb 28 247 San Diego W 80-78 56%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 4th
5th 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.9 3.5 0.8 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 1.0 5.1 5.7 1.3 0.1 13.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 7.0 7.7 2.0 0.1 18.5 10th
11th 0.2 2.9 8.7 8.6 2.5 0.2 23.1 11th
12th 1.7 6.1 9.6 6.6 2.0 0.1 26.1 12th
Total 1.7 6.3 12.5 16.9 18.6 16.1 12.2 7.7 4.4 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.3% 0.3
10-8 0.9% 0.9
9-9 2.2% 2.2
8-10 4.4% 4.4
7-11 7.7% 7.7
6-12 12.2% 12.2
5-13 16.1% 16.1
4-14 18.6% 18.6
3-15 16.9% 16.9
2-16 12.5% 12.5
1-17 6.3% 6.3
0-18 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%