Presbyterian
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -7.6 #292
Expected Predictive Rating -7.7 #285
Pace 60.6 #356
Improvement -2.9 #318

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #289 D- C+ F C- C
Defense #272 D- B- D+ B- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #60 1.10 #247 +1.6 #121
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #104 0.68 #266 +0.6 #150
Three Pointers 32% #334 0.82 #352 -7.5 #351
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #323 -5.3 #324
Freethrows 17.5 #183 68% #312 11.8 #231
Second Chance 33.0% #119 1.04 #183 0.35 #124
Turnovers 19.7% #338
Total Offense -4.4 #289

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #45 1.21 #244 -4.2 #311
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #266 0.90 #342 -0.2 #193
Three Pointers 39% #245 1.09 #286 -0.3 #193
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #319 -4.6 #318
Freethrows 16.7 #155 69% #44 11.5 #252
Second Chance 30.2% #161 0.97 #86 0.29 #115
Turnovers 15.1% #268
Total Defense -3.2 #272

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.2% #206 1.6% #311
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -10.3% #334 7.3% #310
Possession Length 18.8 #326 17.9 #288
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #323 0.16 #140
Improvement +1.2 #110 -4.1 #350

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.9% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 2.8% 5.2% 0.8%
.500 or above in Conference 22.2% 34.4% 12.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 2.6% 9.0%
First Four1.1% 1.2% 0.9%
First Round0.9% 1.4% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Asheville (Home) - 44.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 49 - 911 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 200 Navy L 55 - 76 41% -16  0 - 1 -26 -13 F F F -15 F C F
 Sat, Nov 8 119 East Tennessee St. W 68 - 64 24% +2  1 - 1 +4 +1 D- A+ F +3 A+ F B+
 Mon, Nov 10 290 @Georgia St. W 63 - 61 38% -5  2 - 1 -2 +1 C A+ F -3 D- C D+
 Wed, Nov 12 69 @South Carolina L 61 - 81 5% -18  2 - 2 -9 -2 F B C -9 C A F
 Sun, Nov 16 307 @Sacramento St. L 62 - 64 42% +4  2 - 3 -8 -10 F F C- +2 D+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 81 @California L 57 - 67 6% -3  2 - 4 -0 +1 F A+ D- -3 D C A+
 Fri, Nov 21 38 @UCLA L 46 - 86 2% -24  2 - 5 -24 -18 F F F -8 F F B-
 Sun, Nov 30 358 The Citadel W 69 - 41 76% +19  3 - 5 +13 +6 B- A+ F +15 A+ A B-
 Wed, Dec 3 228 @Wofford L 56 - 63 25% -4  3 - 6 -8 -13 F B- F +5 A- A- F
 Sat, Dec 6 304 Morehead St. W 80 - 72 64% +3  4 - 6 -3 +4 B- A+ F -7 F A+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 262 @East Carolina L 53 - 74 32% -10  4 - 7 -24 -17 F C F -7 F B+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 312 @Manhattan L 81 - 87 43% -3  4 - 8 -12 +2 D C- C -13 F C F
 Sat, Jan 3 299 South Carolina Upstate W 86 - 77 63% +4  5 - 8 1 - 0 -2 +10 A- B B+ -12 F B- B-
 Wed, Jan 7 254 @Radford L 61 - 80 31% -6  5 - 9 1 - 1 -21 -6 F D A- -18 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 270 @Longwood L 70 - 77 34% -10  5 - 10 1 - 2 -10 +3 B- D- F -14 F F F
 Wed, Jan 14 218 UNC Asheville L 67 - 68 44%
 Sat, Jan 17 362 @Gardner-Webb W 74 - 68 70%
 Wed, Jan 21 217 Charleston Southern L 70 - 71 44%
 Sat, Jan 24 143 Winthrop L 68 - 74 30%
 Thu, Jan 29 87 @High Point L 64 - 81 5%
 Sat, Jan 31 254 Radford W 75 - 74 53%
 Sat, Feb 7 362 Gardner-Webb W 77 - 65 85%
 Thu, Feb 12 217 @Charleston Southern L 67 - 74 25%
 Sat, Feb 14 218 @UNC Asheville L 64 - 71 24%
 Thu, Feb 19 270 Longwood W 71 - 69 56%
 Sat, Feb 21 299 @South Carolina Upstate L 66 - 69 41%
 Thu, Feb 26 87 High Point L 67 - 78 15%
 Sat, Feb 28 143 @Winthrop L 65 - 77 14%
Totals 10 - 18 6 - 10 -8 -4 D- C+ F -3 D- B- D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 3.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 5.2 2.6 0.3 9.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.7 7.6 4.9 0.3 14.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 9.8 7.4 0.9 0.0 20.5 6th
7th 0.6 4.7 11.5 8.5 1.3 0.0 26.6 7th
8th 0.8 4.3 7.5 4.9 0.9 18.3 8th
9th 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.5 9th
Total 0.2 1.7 6.0 12.6 18.7 20.8 17.8 12.1 6.3 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 31.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 4.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.2% 9.5% 9.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-5 0.8% 7.0% 7.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.7
10-6 2.7% 6.6% 6.6% 15.5 0.1 0.1 2.6
9-7 6.3% 3.7% 3.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.1
8-8 12.1% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 11.9
7-9 17.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 17.6
6-10 20.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 20.6
5-11 18.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 18.6
4-12 12.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.5
3-13 6.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.0
2-14 1.7% 1.7
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 15.9 98.5 0.0%