Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#59
Expected Predictive Rating+12.8#42
Pace71.3#140
Improvement-1.3#287

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#73
First Shot-2.1#232
After Offensive Rebound+6.3#5
Layup/Dunks+6.0#24
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#287
Freethrows-3.5#342
Improvement-2.1#343

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#46
First Shot+6.3#25
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#274
Layups/Dunks+1.5#123
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#243
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.1#4
Freethrows-3.7#344
Improvement+0.8#111
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.4% 1.9% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.1% 27.2% 14.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.8% 20.4% 9.8%
Average Seed 9.7 9.6 10.0
.500 or above 98.2% 99.3% 96.1%
.500 or above in Conference 92.3% 93.9% 88.9%
Conference Champion 6.6% 7.5% 4.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four7.7% 8.9% 5.3%
First Round19.3% 23.0% 12.0%
Second Round8.4% 10.3% 4.6%
Sweet Sixteen2.0% 2.5% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Neutral) - 67.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 4
Quad 24 - 36 - 7
Quad 38 - 214 - 9
Quad 48 - 022 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 82 McNeese St. W 79-67 70%     1 - 0 +16.0 +11.4 +5.0
  Mon, Nov 10 85 @Xavier W 87-68 49%     2 - 0 +28.7 +17.6 +10.6
  Sat, Nov 15 122 Nevada W 98-83 82%     3 - 0 +14.8 +24.7 -10.0
  Tue, Nov 18 230 Idaho St. W 64-55 93%     4 - 0 +2.0 -6.6 +9.4
  Fri, Nov 21 304 Louisiana W 80-43 96%     5 - 0 +26.2 +7.1 +21.0
  Thu, Nov 27 50 Saint Louis L 70-71 46%     5 - 1 +9.3 +2.2 +7.1
  Fri, Nov 28 103 Minnesota W 70-65 67%    
  Wed, Dec 3 281 Utah Tech W 80-61 96%    
  Sat, Dec 6 101 @New Mexico W 79-77 56%    
  Sat, Dec 13 83 Arizona St. W 78-76 58%    
  Wed, Dec 17 123 North Texas W 71-64 72%    
  Sat, Dec 20 265 Loyola Chicago W 79-64 91%    
  Sun, Dec 28 169 @Oregon St. W 74-67 75%    
  Tue, Dec 30 274 @Portland W 81-69 87%    
  Fri, Jan 2 264 Pepperdine W 82-64 95%    
  Sun, Jan 4 247 San Diego W 87-70 94%    
  Thu, Jan 8 6 @Gonzaga L 71-84 12%    
  Sat, Jan 10 114 Loyola Marymount W 75-66 80%    
  Wed, Jan 14 144 Pacific W 78-66 86%    
  Sat, Jan 17 30 St. Mary's L 69-70 46%    
  Sat, Jan 24 247 @San Diego W 84-73 84%    
  Wed, Jan 28 77 San Francisco W 77-72 66%    
  Sat, Jan 31 114 @Loyola Marymount W 72-69 61%    
  Wed, Feb 4 144 @Pacific W 75-69 70%    
  Sat, Feb 7 157 @Washington St. W 83-76 71%    
  Wed, Feb 11 116 Seattle W 77-68 79%    
  Sat, Feb 14 6 Gonzaga L 74-81 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 77 @San Francisco L 74-75 46%    
  Wed, Feb 25 30 @St. Mary's L 66-73 27%    
  Sat, Feb 28 169 Oregon St. W 77-64 88%    
Projected Record 21 - 9 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.7 1.1 0.2 6.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.8 8.2 6.0 1.0 21.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.5 9.3 9.8 4.2 0.4 27.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.5 7.5 6.0 1.3 0.0 18.8 4th
5th 0.3 2.7 4.9 3.1 0.6 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 1.9 1.0 0.1 3.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.1 2.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 2.3 4.0 7.4 10.8 14.5 17.4 16.0 12.9 8.3 3.7 1.1 0.2 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.1    0.9 0.2
16-2 72.4% 2.7    1.4 1.3 0.1
15-3 23.5% 1.9    0.6 1.1 0.3
14-4 4.4% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0
13-5 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.6% 6.6 3.1 2.8 0.6 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 100.0% 25.0% 75.0% 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 1.1% 93.6% 33.6% 59.9% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 90.3%
16-2 3.7% 79.5% 26.9% 52.6% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.8 72.0%
15-3 8.3% 63.7% 18.4% 45.3% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.3 0.0 3.0 55.5%
14-4 12.9% 43.2% 12.4% 30.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 2.3 0.1 7.3 35.2%
13-5 16.0% 28.3% 9.1% 19.2% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.7 0.2 11.4 21.1%
12-6 17.4% 13.5% 4.9% 8.7% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 0.2 15.0 9.1%
11-7 14.5% 5.8% 3.1% 2.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 13.6 2.8%
10-8 10.8% 2.7% 1.9% 0.7% 11.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 10.5 0.8%
9-9 7.4% 1.1% 1.0% 0.1% 11.3 0.1 0.0 7.3 0.1%
8-10 4.0% 0.3% 0.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 4.0
7-11 2.3% 2.3
6-12 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.8
5-13 0.4% 0.4
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 23.1% 7.6% 15.5% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.9 3.3 5.6 9.1 0.7 0.0 76.9 16.8%