Seattle
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#116
Expected Predictive Rating+4.6#108
Pace69.1#204
Improvement+2.0#44

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#158
First Shot+1.3#137
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#252
Layup/Dunks+3.4#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#198
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#185
Freethrows-1.5#269
Improvement+2.0#31

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#89
First Shot+3.2#79
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#199
Layups/Dunks+3.1#72
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#194
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#144
Freethrows-1.0#253
Improvement+0.0#189
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.9% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 10.8 10.7 11.4
.500 or above 77.8% 83.9% 62.4%
.500 or above in Conference 60.1% 63.9% 50.8%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.9% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 1.4% 3.2%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round1.4% 1.7% 0.6%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas St. (Neutral) - 71.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 33 - 7
Quad 35 - 48 - 10
Quad 49 - 217 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 300 Denver W 84-73 90%     1 - 0 +0.3 -5.3 +4.6
  Sat, Nov 8 245 Cal Poly L 71-73 85%     1 - 1 -9.8 -10.8 +1.2
  Wed, Nov 12 240 Eastern Washington W 94-67 84%     2 - 1 +19.4 +11.1 +6.9
  Sat, Nov 15 230 Idaho St. W 83-74 83%     3 - 1 +2.0 +16.6 -13.5
  Fri, Nov 21 95 @Stanford W 77-69 30%     4 - 1 +16.6 +6.5 +9.8
  Fri, Nov 28 203 Texas St. W 71-65 71%    
  Sun, Dec 7 234 UTEP W 71-61 83%    
  Wed, Dec 17 178 @UC Davis W 70-68 56%    
  Fri, Dec 19 48 Washington L 70-74 35%    
  Mon, Dec 22 231 @Texas San Antonio W 75-71 65%    
  Sun, Dec 28 77 San Francisco L 71-72 44%    
  Tue, Dec 30 157 Washington St. W 80-74 72%    
  Fri, Jan 2 6 @Gonzaga L 65-84 4%    
  Sun, Jan 4 30 @St. Mary's L 61-74 11%    
  Thu, Jan 8 169 @Oregon St. W 68-67 55%    
  Thu, Jan 15 247 San Diego W 81-70 83%    
  Sat, Jan 17 6 Gonzaga L 68-81 12%    
  Wed, Jan 21 114 Loyola Marymount W 70-67 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 144 @Pacific L 70-71 49%    
  Wed, Jan 28 157 @Washington St. W 77-76 52%    
  Wed, Feb 4 264 Pepperdine W 77-65 84%    
  Sat, Feb 7 274 @Portland W 76-70 72%    
  Wed, Feb 11 59 @Santa Clara L 68-77 21%    
  Sun, Feb 15 169 Oregon St. W 71-64 74%    
  Wed, Feb 18 30 St. Mary's L 64-71 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 274 Portland W 79-67 86%    
  Wed, Feb 25 264 @Pepperdine W 74-68 69%    
  Sat, Feb 28 114 @Loyola Marymount L 67-70 39%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.6 0.7 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.6 3.1 0.8 0.1 9.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.7 6.3 3.9 0.7 0.0 15.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.8 7.4 3.5 0.5 0.0 17.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.7 7.1 3.1 0.3 0.0 15.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.8 6.3 2.6 0.3 13.3 7th
8th 0.2 2.6 4.8 2.1 0.2 9.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 3.5 1.5 0.1 0.0 6.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.0 0.1 3.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.0 4.2 7.5 10.9 14.1 15.2 14.7 12.1 8.7 5.4 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-2 81.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1
15-3 28.7% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1
14-4 6.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 58.4% 16.9% 41.6% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 50.0%
15-3 1.0% 23.5% 11.0% 12.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 14.1%
14-4 2.6% 12.5% 8.2% 4.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 4.7%
13-5 5.4% 5.3% 4.6% 0.7% 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.1 0.8%
12-6 8.7% 2.4% 2.1% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.5 0.3%
11-7 12.1% 1.0% 1.0% 11.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.0
10-8 14.7% 0.4% 0.4% 11.7 0.0 0.0 14.7
9-9 15.2% 0.3% 0.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.2
8-10 14.1% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0
7-11 10.9% 10.9
6-12 7.5% 7.5
5-13 4.2% 4.2
4-14 2.0% 2.0
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 98.5 0.5%