Seattle
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +2.5 #121
Expected Predictive Rating +3.3 #118
Pace 69.8 #161
Improvement -2.7 #305

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #244 B- F C D+ B-
Defense #50 B C A C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #66 1.18 #158 +3.0 #86
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #225 0.78 #136 -0.6 #210
Three Pointers 39% #224 1.08 #101 +0.1 #174
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #108 +2.5 #108
Freethrows 16.0 #258 70% #251 11.3 #267
Second Chance 26.8% #284 0.78 #364 0.21 #356
Turnovers 16.7% #184
Total Offense -2.7 #244

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #103 1.03 #36 +1.1 #136
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #158 0.81 #267 -0.8 #236
Three Pointers 38% #276 0.92 #61 +3.6 #56
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #60 +3.9 #60
Freethrows 16.4 #132 70% #90 11.5 #249
Second Chance 33.4% #286 0.94 #54 0.31 #164
Turnovers 20.2% #23
Total Defense +5.2 #50

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.4% #96 0.3% #191
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.5% #129 -8.0% #49
Possession Length 16.1 #72 17.9 #280
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #286 0.14 #82
Improvement -3.8 #351 +1.1 #110

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.7 12.0
.500 or above 92.1% 95.2% 80.6%
.500 or above in Conference 41.1% 46.8% 19.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.3% 5.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Home) - 79.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 4
Quad 22 - 23 - 6
Quad 35 - 58 - 10
Quad 410 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 280 Denver W 84 - 73 87% +6  1 - 0 +1 -7 F F D +7 A- C A+
 Sat, Nov 8 249 Cal Poly L 71 - 73 84% +4  1 - 1 -10 -11 B F F +1 D+ C A+
 Wed, Nov 12 255 Eastern Washington W 94 - 67 85% +15  2 - 1 +19 +10 A+ C F +7 B A+ B
 Sat, Nov 15 196 Idaho St. W 83 - 74 77% +9  3 - 1 +4 +15 A+ A- F -10 B- F B
 Fri, Nov 21 77 @Stanford W 77 - 69 23% -2  4 - 1 +18 +7 B+ C- C- +11 A+ A- C+
 Fri, Nov 28 261 Texas St. W 66 - 52 78% +5  5 - 1 +8 +1 B F A +9 C A+ A
 Sat, Nov 29 181 UC Santa Barbara L 71 - 74 65% -1  5 - 2 -5 +3 B+ D- A- -8 D F A+
 Sun, Dec 7 257 UTEP W 75 - 68 85% +1  6 - 2 -1 +4 B+ C C -5 D C- B+
 Wed, Dec 17 188 @UC Davis W 79 - 78 55% +4  7 - 2 +2 +2 C C+ F +0 F A+ C
 Fri, Dec 19 46 Washington W 70 - 66 29% -2  8 - 2 +12 -5 C F D+ +17 A+ A+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 332 @Texas San Antonio W 71 - 68 83% +4  9 - 2 -5 -7 D F D +2 F B A
 Sun, Dec 28 103 San Francisco L 59 - 67 52% -4  9 - 3 0 - 1 -6 -13 F F A+ +7 A+ D C-
 Tue, Dec 30 136 Washington St. W 69 - 55 65% +6  10 - 3 1 - 1 +12 -3 B+ F C- +16 A+ C+ A+
 Fri, Jan 2 10 @Gonzaga L 72 - 80 OT 4% +6  10 - 4 1 - 2 +15 +4 B+ C+ B- +12 A+ A B-
 Sun, Jan 4 42 @St. Mary's L 76 - 93 12% -0  10 - 5 1 - 3 -2 +16 A+ F A+ -19 F F D
 Thu, Jan 8 189 @Oregon St. L 55 - 68 55% -2  10 - 6 1 - 4 -12 -16 F F D+ +4 A+ F B
 Thu, Jan 15 222 San Diego W 77 - 68 79%
 Sat, Jan 17 10 Gonzaga L 67 - 82 8%
 Wed, Jan 21 130 Loyola Marymount W 70 - 66 64%
 Sat, Jan 24 144 @Pacific L 69 - 70 45%
 Wed, Jan 28 136 @Washington St. L 70 - 72 43%
 Wed, Feb 4 286 Pepperdine W 74 - 61 88%
 Sat, Feb 7 233 @Portland W 73 - 70 63%
 Wed, Feb 11 55 @Santa Clara L 69 - 79 17%
 Sun, Feb 15 189 Oregon St. W 72 - 65 75%
 Wed, Feb 18 42 St. Mary's L 66 - 73 27%
 Sat, Feb 21 233 Portland W 76 - 67 81%
 Wed, Feb 25 286 @Pepperdine W 71 - 64 72%
 Sat, Feb 28 130 @Loyola Marymount L 67 - 69 42%
Totals 17 - 12 8 - 10 +2 -3 B- F C +5 B C A




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.0 3rd
4th 0.2 3.0 6.9 4.6 0.9 0.0 15.5 4th
5th 0.0 2.5 9.0 4.9 0.6 0.0 17.1 5th
6th 1.3 8.6 6.1 0.7 16.7 6th
7th 0.3 6.1 7.9 1.1 0.0 15.5 7th
8th 0.0 2.8 7.9 1.9 0.0 12.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 5.7 2.5 0.1 9.2 9th
10th 0.4 3.0 2.3 0.1 5.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.5 0.2 3.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.2 5.6 11.5 17.9 21.1 19.3 12.9 6.4 2.1 0.4 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 12.5% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.4% 2.8% 2.8% 11.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 2.1% 2.4% 2.4% 11.2 0.0 0.0 2.1
11-7 6.4% 1.2% 1.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3
10-8 12.9% 0.7% 0.7% 11.6 0.0 0.1 12.8
9-9 19.3% 0.3% 0.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 19.2
8-10 21.1% 0.3% 0.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 21.1
7-11 17.9% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 17.9
6-12 11.5% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 11.5
5-13 5.6% 5.6
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 11.7 99.6 0.0%