UNC Asheville
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#218
Expected Predictive Rating-10.1#314
Pace69.1#206
Improvement-0.6#232

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#181
First Shot-0.7#192
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#170
Layup/Dunks-6.9#353
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#3
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#180
Freethrows-0.8#226
Improvement-0.1#192

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#271
First Shot-0.7#194
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#310
Layups/Dunks-3.2#285
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#356
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.5#9
Freethrows-1.0#254
Improvement-0.6#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 6.1% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 31.9% 41.1% 18.0%
.500 or above in Conference 65.0% 69.7% 58.0%
Conference Champion 4.4% 5.4% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 2.3% 3.9%
First Four1.3% 1.2% 1.5%
First Round4.5% 5.5% 2.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Appalachian St. (Neutral) - 60.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 410 - 713 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 92 @Wichita St. L 58-75 13%     0 - 1 -8.3 -8.3 -0.6
  Sat, Nov 8 246 @Georgia Southern L 90-93 43%     0 - 2 -4.8 +4.5 -8.8
  Tue, Nov 11 176 Lipscomb W 69-64 53%     1 - 2 +0.7 +1.4 -0.3
  Wed, Nov 19 278 @Western Carolina L 73-80 49%     1 - 3 -10.4 +6.2 -17.2
  Tue, Nov 25 224 Tennessee St. L 73-75 62%     1 - 4 -8.8 -5.4 -3.4
  Sun, Nov 30 279 Appalachian St. W 70-67 60%    
  Tue, Dec 2 287 UNC Greensboro W 76-73 62%    
  Sat, Dec 6 29 @North Carolina St. L 71-91 3%    
  Wed, Dec 10 121 Miami (OH) L 76-79 37%    
  Sat, Dec 13 158 St. Thomas L 74-75 50%    
  Sun, Dec 21 107 @UAB L 72-83 16%    
  Wed, Dec 31 86 High Point L 75-82 26%    
  Sat, Jan 3 282 @Charleston Southern L 75-76 50%    
  Wed, Jan 7 260 Longwood W 79-74 67%    
  Sat, Jan 10 273 @Radford L 78-79 48%    
  Wed, Jan 14 275 @Presbyterian L 68-69 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 105 Winthrop L 76-81 33%    
  Wed, Jan 21 316 @South Carolina Upstate W 78-76 56%    
  Thu, Jan 29 356 Gardner-Webb W 84-72 87%    
  Sat, Jan 31 105 @Winthrop L 73-84 17%    
  Wed, Feb 4 316 South Carolina Upstate W 81-73 75%    
  Thu, Feb 12 260 @Longwood L 76-77 46%    
  Sat, Feb 14 275 Presbyterian W 71-65 69%    
  Thu, Feb 19 86 @High Point L 72-85 13%    
  Sat, Feb 21 273 Radford W 82-76 69%    
  Thu, Feb 26 356 @Gardner-Webb W 81-75 72%    
  Sat, Feb 28 282 Charleston Southern W 79-73 70%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 4.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.8 4.0 3.6 1.7 0.1 11.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.6 7.6 9.5 5.9 1.6 0.1 27.6 3rd
4th 0.3 3.2 7.6 6.5 2.1 0.2 0.0 20.0 4th
5th 0.3 2.8 6.4 4.0 0.8 0.0 14.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.0 2.4 0.4 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.2 1.6 0.2 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 0.8 0.1 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.4 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.6 6.5 9.9 12.5 14.6 15.4 13.5 10.4 6.2 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.3 0.0
14-2 89.0% 1.2    0.8 0.4 0.0
13-3 45.0% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.1
12-4 16.5% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-5 2.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 2.1 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 45.0% 45.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 31.0% 31.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.3% 24.6% 24.6% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-3 3.2% 18.8% 18.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.6
12-4 6.2% 12.0% 12.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 5.5
11-5 10.4% 9.3% 9.3% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 9.4
10-6 13.5% 5.6% 5.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 12.8
9-7 15.4% 4.7% 4.7% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 14.7
8-8 14.6% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.4 14.2
7-9 12.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 12.2
6-10 9.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 9.8
5-11 6.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.5
4-12 3.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.6
3-13 1.6% 1.6
2-14 0.6% 0.6
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 15.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.0 94.9 0.0%