Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.4 #136
Expected Predictive Rating -0.2 #168
Pace 70.2 #149
Improvement +2.5 #57

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #141 B C- D+ C+ C
Defense #144 C+ B D+ D+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #252 1.32 #39 +1.4 #126
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #224 0.80 #113 -0.5 #201
Three Pointers 46% #84 1.03 #166 +2.8 #92
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #79 +3.8 #79
Freethrows 17.8 #158 74% #131 13.3 #143
Second Chance 29.6% #219 1.01 #228 0.30 #230
Turnovers 17.8% #254
Total Offense +0.7 #141

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #284 1.14 #147 +2.6 #94
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #141 0.80 #265 -0.9 #250
Three Pointers 44% #103 0.97 #116 -0.3 #195
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #138 +1.3 #136
Freethrows 19.0 #268 74% #245 14.0 #84
Second Chance 23.3% #10 1.18 #322 0.28 #75
Turnovers 15.0% #275
Total Defense +0.7 #144

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.3% #172 -0.8% #101
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 7.0% #72 -1.8% #149
Possession Length 16.6 #111 18.5 #333
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #151 0.15 #113
Improvement -2.0 #305 +4.6 #7

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.8% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 12.3 13.4
.500 or above 13.3% 34.4% 11.7%
.500 or above in Conference 58.2% 82.9% 56.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.1% 0.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Home) - 7.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 71 - 12
Quad 36 - 47 - 16
Quad 47 - 214 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 194 Idaho L 81 - 83 73% -9  0 - 1 -7 +2 D+ D+ A+ -9 F B C
 Fri, Nov 7 149 @Davidson L 69 - 85 41% -16  0 - 2 -12 -1 F A F -12 F B- A+
 Mon, Nov 10 128 St. Thomas W 81 - 71 60% +15  1 - 2 +9 +8 B A+ F +1 B+ A D+
 Fri, Nov 14 46 Washington L 69 - 81 25% -10  1 - 3 -4 +8 B- B A+ -13 D B- F
 Wed, Nov 19 323 Southern Utah W 98 - 74 90% +12  2 - 3 +11 +18 B A+ A+ -7 F A+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 82 Arizona St. L 94 - 100 30% +2  2 - 4 +1 +21 A+ A A+ -21 F F C-
 Wed, Nov 26 49 Seton Hall L 61 - 75 19% -11  2 - 5 -3 +1 B- D C -5 F F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 114 @Bradley L 60 - 64 30% +3  2 - 6 +3 -9 C+ F F +11 A+ C- F
 Sun, Dec 7 85 Nevada L 64 - 78 41% -5  2 - 7 -10 -2 C D+ F -10 A+ F D-
 Sun, Dec 14 47 @USC L 61 - 68 12% -6  2 - 8 +7 -6 C F C +13 A+ A+ C-
 Wed, Dec 17 255 Eastern Washington W 78 - 63 74% +12  3 - 8 +10 -1 B F F +10 A+ A+ D+
 Sat, Dec 20 153 Mercer W 84 - 78 65% +4  4 - 8 +3 +3 A+ F C +0 B A- D
 Sun, Dec 28 233 @Portland W 67 - 62 59% +3  5 - 8 1 - 0 +4 -5 C F D- +9 A+ D- F
 Tue, Dec 30 121 @Seattle L 55 - 69 35% -6  5 - 9 1 - 1 -9 -10 F D+ F +1 C A+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 130 Loyola Marymount W 78 - 76 60% -1  6 - 9 2 - 1 +1 +7 A+ F C- -6 B- B F
 Sun, Jan 4 189 Oregon St. W 81 - 67 72% +11  7 - 9 3 - 1 +9 +11 A- A+ F -1 C+ D+ D-
 Sat, Jan 10 42 @St. Mary's L 82 - 88 10% -9  7 - 10 3 - 2 +9 +15 A+ C F -6 D A+ A-
 Thu, Jan 15 10 Gonzaga L 71 - 87 7%
 Sun, Jan 18 103 @San Francisco L 69 - 76 27%
 Wed, Jan 21 222 @San Diego W 78 - 76 56%
 Sat, Jan 24 286 Pepperdine W 77 - 66 86%
 Wed, Jan 28 121 Seattle W 72 - 70 57%
 Sat, Jan 31 233 Portland W 80 - 72 78%
 Wed, Feb 4 189 @Oregon St. W 73 - 72 51%
 Sat, Feb 7 55 Santa Clara L 75 - 80 30%
 Tue, Feb 10 10 @Gonzaga L 68 - 90 2%
 Wed, Feb 18 144 Pacific W 75 - 72 62%
 Sat, Feb 21 42 St. Mary's L 69 - 77 24%
 Wed, Feb 25 130 @Loyola Marymount L 70 - 73 38%
 Sat, Feb 28 286 @Pepperdine W 74 - 69 69%
Totals 13 - 17 9 - 9 +1 +1 B C- D+ +1 C+ B D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.5 1.0 0.1 6.6 3rd
4th 0.2 3.9 10.4 8.2 2.3 0.2 25.0 4th
5th 0.0 2.6 10.5 6.3 0.9 0.0 20.4 5th
6th 1.2 8.5 6.4 0.8 0.0 16.8 6th
7th 0.2 4.5 6.7 1.0 0.0 12.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.8 5.7 1.5 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.2 1.7 0.0 5.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 1.3 0.1 2.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 1.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.5 2.0 6.6 13.2 19.5 21.8 18.1 11.5 5.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 16.7% 0.0    0.0
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.3% 5.2% 5.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
12-6 5.0% 1.2% 1.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9
11-7 11.5% 0.5% 0.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 11.4
10-8 18.1% 0.2% 0.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0
9-9 21.8% 0.2% 0.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 21.8
8-10 19.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 19.5
7-11 13.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.2
6-12 6.6% 6.6
5-13 2.0% 2.0
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 13.1 99.7 0.0%