Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#117
Expected Predictive Rating+2.9#128
Pace72.6#111
Improvement+0.7#115

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#135
First Shot-2.2#237
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#34
Layup/Dunks+0.1#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#194
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#224
Freethrows-0.8#224
Improvement+1.0#81

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#101
First Shot+2.0#109
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#164
Layups/Dunks-1.9#256
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#191
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.6#3
Freethrows-7.0#363
Improvement-0.3#220
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 5.4% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.6 11.0 11.7
.500 or above 71.8% 89.6% 70.2%
.500 or above in Conference 48.8% 62.7% 47.5%
Conference Champion 2.3% 4.3% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 1.2% 3.0%
First Four0.2% 0.8% 0.1%
First Round3.0% 4.9% 2.8%
Second Round0.5% 1.3% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Tech (Away) - 8.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 53 - 9
Quad 35 - 48 - 13
Quad 410 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 324 Cal St. Fullerton W 92-82 91%     1 - 0 -1.7 -1.8 -1.5
  Tue, Nov 11 165 Austin Peay W 79-65 75%     2 - 0 +10.2 +0.1 +8.9
  Sat, Nov 15 274 Portland W 93-56 87%     3 - 0 +27.8 +15.4 +12.2
  Wed, Nov 19 170 @Sam Houston St. L 70-78 55%     3 - 1 -6.2 -4.0 -2.1
  Sun, Nov 23 233 Norfolk St. W 75-67 83%     4 - 1 +0.8 +5.5 -4.3
  Wed, Nov 26 300 Denver W 101-59 90%     5 - 1 +31.3 +18.7 +12.3
  Sun, Nov 30 24 @Texas Tech L 67-82 8%    
  Sat, Dec 6 299 Dartmouth W 84-70 90%    
  Tue, Dec 9 286 South Dakota W 88-75 88%    
  Mon, Dec 15 150 South Dakota St. W 75-72 62%    
  Sat, Dec 20 98 Grand Canyon W 75-74 53%    
  Tue, Dec 30 323 @Air Force W 73-64 79%    
  Sat, Jan 3 101 @New Mexico L 76-81 34%    
  Tue, Jan 6 129 UNLV W 83-79 64%    
  Sat, Jan 10 122 @Nevada L 73-76 40%    
  Wed, Jan 14 57 San Diego St. L 73-76 37%    
  Sat, Jan 17 153 @Fresno St. W 76-75 51%    
  Tue, Jan 20 61 Boise St. L 69-72 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 187 San Jose St. W 75-67 76%    
  Wed, Jan 28 35 @Utah St. L 70-83 13%    
  Sat, Jan 31 87 Colorado St. L 73-74 50%    
  Tue, Feb 3 57 @San Diego St. L 70-79 20%    
  Sat, Feb 7 35 Utah St. L 73-80 28%    
  Sat, Feb 14 87 @Colorado St. L 71-77 29%    
  Tue, Feb 17 153 Fresno St. W 79-73 71%    
  Sat, Feb 21 98 @Grand Canyon L 72-77 32%    
  Tue, Feb 24 61 @Boise St. L 66-75 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 323 Air Force W 76-61 90%    
  Tue, Mar 3 122 Nevada W 76-73 61%    
  Sat, Mar 7 187 @San Jose St. W 72-70 56%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.1 2.2 0.3 9.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.0 2.8 0.4 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.6 3.3 0.5 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.4 4.0 0.7 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.3 3.9 0.8 0.0 12.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.8 3.6 0.9 0.0 11.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 2.1 3.5 2.7 0.8 0.1 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.4 4.7 7.3 10.1 12.3 12.7 13.0 11.4 9.2 6.7 4.1 2.7 1.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 90.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 78.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 57.2% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 29.9% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
14-6 8.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.6% 36.1% 22.3% 13.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 17.8%
16-4 1.1% 27.0% 20.4% 6.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 8.3%
15-5 2.7% 15.4% 13.8% 1.6% 11.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 2.3 1.8%
14-6 4.1% 10.1% 9.5% 0.6% 11.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.6 0.6%
13-7 6.7% 7.4% 7.3% 0.1% 11.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.2 0.1%
12-8 9.2% 4.5% 4.4% 0.1% 11.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 8.8 0.1%
11-9 11.4% 2.9% 2.9% 12.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 11.1
10-10 13.0% 1.7% 1.7% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 12.8
9-11 12.7% 1.0% 1.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.6
8-12 12.3% 0.6% 0.6% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
7-13 10.1% 0.4% 0.4% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.1
6-14 7.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 7.2
5-15 4.7% 4.7
4-16 2.4% 2.4
3-17 1.1% 1.1
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.1% 2.8% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.9 0.3%