Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +5.4 #96
Expected Predictive Rating +3.6 #112
Pace 68.7 #195
Improvement -1.6 #265

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #76 B B+ C B B+
Defense #136 C+ B C+ F D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #48 1.16 #186 +3.1 #84
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #284 0.91 #29 -0.6 #207
Three Pointers 40% #191 1.08 #95 +1.1 #136
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #87 +3.6 #85
Freethrows 19.3 #91 74% #127 14.3 #76
Second Chance 37.1% #27 1.08 #138 0.40 #46
Turnovers 16.3% #158
Total Offense +4.5 #76

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #41 1.15 #164 -3.1 #283
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #274 0.71 #116 +1.6 #73
Three Pointers 39% #244 0.94 #90 +2.6 #87
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #142 +1.2 #141
Freethrows 24.0 #360 70% #96 16.9 #12
Second Chance 25.4% #26 1.04 #185 0.27 #52
Turnovers 17.6% #113
Total Defense +0.9 #136

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.1% #57 1.7% #325
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 4.7% #110 -3.9% #107
Possession Length 17.6 #205 17.0 #132
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #237 0.12 #27
Improvement +2.9 #36 -4.5 #356

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 4.2% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.5 11.4 11.7
.500 or above 89.9% 96.1% 85.1%
.500 or above in Conference 54.6% 70.1% 42.6%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round2.9% 4.1% 2.0%
Second Round0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego St. (Home) - 43.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 5
Quad 22 - 43 - 10
Quad 35 - 38 - 13
Quad 411 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 231 Cal St. Fullerton W 92 - 82 87% +3  1 - 0 +3 +0 C- C- A+ +1 A- A A+
 Tue, Nov 11 180 Austin Peay W 79 - 65 83% +5  2 - 0 +9 -0 C C- D+ +9 B+ B+ A+
 Sat, Nov 15 233 Portland W 93 - 56 87% +16  3 - 0 +30 +16 B+ A+ B+ +14 A+ A+ D
 Wed, Nov 19 141 @Sam Houston St. L 70 - 78 55% -3  3 - 1 -4 -3 B- F F -1 B+ D- A-
 Sun, Nov 23 289 Norfolk St. W 75 - 67 92% +11  4 - 1 -2 +3 F A+ F -5 C B+ C
 Wed, Nov 26 280 Denver W 101 - 59 91% +16  5 - 1 +32 +17 C+ A+ C+ +15 A+ B B
 Sun, Nov 30 21 @Texas Tech L 72 - 76 10% -2  5 - 2 +15 +10 A C- F +5 A- A C
 Sat, Dec 6 204 Dartmouth W 93 - 80 85% +1  6 - 2 +7 +14 A+ F B+ -7 F C A+
 Tue, Dec 9 282 South Dakota W 106 - 79 92% +15  7 - 2 +17 +20 A+ A- B- -5 B- D- C
 Mon, Dec 15 176 South Dakota St. W 87 - 72 74% +13  8 - 2 +14 +17 A+ A+ C- -2 C+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 90 Grand Canyon L 70 - 82 59% -14  8 - 3 0 - 1 -9 -1 F A B+ -7 F A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 30 342 @Air Force W 68 - 56 90% +5  9 - 3 1 - 1 +4 -5 F A+ F +8 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 48 @New Mexico L 58 - 78 21% -6  9 - 4 1 - 2 -6 +2 C A- D -11 C F C
 Tue, Jan 6 134 UNLV W 98 - 66 75% +20  10 - 4 2 - 2 +30 +22 A+ A C +8 A A C
 Sat, Jan 10 85 @Nevada L 83 - 92 34% -4  10 - 5 2 - 3 +1 +25 A+ A A+ -25 F F C
 Wed, Jan 14 52 San Diego St. L 74 - 76 43%
 Sat, Jan 17 152 @Fresno St. W 76 - 74 58%
 Tue, Jan 20 78 Boise St. W 73 - 72 53%
 Sat, Jan 24 227 San Jose St. W 80 - 68 87%
 Wed, Jan 28 28 @Utah St. L 72 - 84 12%
 Sat, Jan 31 97 Colorado St. W 75 - 72 62%
 Tue, Feb 3 52 @San Diego St. L 71 - 79 23%
 Sat, Feb 7 28 Utah St. L 75 - 81 28%
 Sat, Feb 14 97 @Colorado St. L 72 - 75 40%
 Tue, Feb 17 152 Fresno St. W 79 - 71 77%
 Sat, Feb 21 90 @Grand Canyon L 72 - 76 37%
 Tue, Feb 24 78 @Boise St. L 70 - 75 33%
 Sat, Feb 28 342 Air Force W 79 - 59 97%
 Tue, Mar 3 85 Nevada W 75 - 73 56%
 Sat, Mar 7 227 @San Jose St. W 77 - 71 71%
Totals 18 - 12 10 - 10 +5 +5 B B+ C +1 C+ B C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.2 2.2 4.6 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.6 7.0 4.5 0.6 14.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.5 7.8 5.6 0.9 0.0 16.9 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 7.9 6.3 1.0 0.0 17.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 6.2 5.8 1.1 0.0 14.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.2 4.5 1.1 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.7 2.8 0.8 0.0 7.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.3 4.2 8.6 13.5 17.6 18.0 15.9 10.9 6.2 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 85.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 52.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-5 19.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 23.8% 23.8% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.8% 16.4% 13.8% 2.6% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 3.1%
14-6 2.6% 14.2% 12.5% 1.7% 11.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 2.2 2.0%
13-7 6.2% 6.6% 6.4% 0.2% 11.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 5.8 0.3%
12-8 10.9% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 11.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 10.3 0.0%
11-9 15.9% 3.6% 3.6% 11.6 0.2 0.3 0.0 15.3
10-10 18.0% 2.6% 2.6% 11.7 0.1 0.3 0.0 17.5
9-11 17.6% 1.0% 1.0% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 17.4
8-12 13.5% 0.7% 0.7% 12.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.4
7-13 8.6% 0.6% 0.6% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
6-14 4.2% 0.4% 0.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 4.1
5-15 1.3% 1.3
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.0% 2.9% 0.1% 11.5 97.0 0.1%